Rating 7.0 (73th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (27% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 8
Momentum
– Stoke CitySHU –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Stoke City | at home | Stat | league | away | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 #20 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 40.3 #22 |
| 12.1 #17 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 8.3 #24 |
| 3.9 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.1 #21 |
| 4.0 #22 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 3.1 #24 |
| 15.7 #1 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.4 #9 |
| 2.7 #6 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 3.3 #2 |
| 16.6 #4 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.6 #15 |
| 85.4 #18 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 95.0 #11 |
| 34.0 #24 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 39.3 #21 |
| 349.6 #19 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 330.0 #22 |
| 2.3 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #17 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #15 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #6 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #4 |
| 1.1 #22 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #21 |
| 0.5 #3 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.0 #10 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #1 |
| 1.6 #7 | 2.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 #14 |
| 1.6 #8 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.3 #15 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 11.7 #2 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 12.0 #1 |
| – #8 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #17 |
| 3.0 #19 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 1.4 #24 |
| 8.1 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 5.7 #24 |
| 5.3 #15 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 3.7 #22 |
| 4.0 #14 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 2.6 #23 |
| – #8 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Stoke City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (75th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (36% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (65th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Sheffield United · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.08 (86th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (38% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (78th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.11 (87th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (12% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 8
Venue
- Stadium
- Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
- Capacity
- 30,089
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Mark Robins · Chris Wilder
- Position
- 13 · 15
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
Tim Robinson
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 19.5° (feels 19.5°)
- Wind
- 8.1
- Humidity
- 73%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Stoke City
LWWDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 6 · xG 5.59–7.19 · xPts 6.11
- W
A
Watford
2–1
xG 1.53–0.43
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 0.95–2.73
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Charlton Athletic
4–0
xG 2.16–0.55
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
1–0
xG 0.25–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–4
xG 0.7–2.44
UK CHAMP
LLLWWDW 3W 1D 3L · 10 pts (1.43 ppg) · GF 11 GA 11 · xG 7.31–10.47 · xPts 7.91
- W
A
Watford
2–1
xG 1.53–0.43
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 0.95–2.73
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Charlton Athletic
4–0
xG 2.16–0.55
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
1–0
xG 0.25–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–4
xG 0.7–2.44
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 0.83–2.31
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
1–2
xG 0.89–0.97
UK CHAMP
Sheffield United
DWLWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 5.62–10.11 · xPts 4.12
- L
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–1
xG 0.85–2.04
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 0.53–1.83
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Norwich City
1–3
xG 0.88–1.72
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Bolton Wanderers
3–2
xG 1.96–1.97
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.4–2.55
UK CHAMP
DDDWLWL 2W 3D 2L · 9 pts (1.29 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 7.87–11.61 · xPts 7.21
- L
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–1
xG 0.85–2.04
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 0.53–1.83
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Norwich City
1–3
xG 0.88–1.72
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Bolton Wanderers
3–2
xG 1.96–1.97
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.4–2.55
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Swansea City
0–0
xG 1.82–0.67
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Birmingham City
0–0
xG 0.42–0.83
UK CHAMP
full sample 8 meetings 2021–2025 · 1 on neutral ground
Last 8
Goals 7–16 · Stoke City hosting: 1W 0D 2L · Sheffield United hosting: 4W 0D 0L
At Bet365 Stadium: 3 meetings · Stoke City 1 · draws 0 · Sheffield United 2 · 3.0 goals per match · last away win Dec 2025
All-time since 2005: 14 meetings · Stoke City 3 · draws 3 · Sheffield United 8
- Stoke City haven't beaten Sheffield United since Oct 2022
- Sheffield United have won the last 5 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.88 | 2.62 | +0.26 | 8 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 58% | -8% | 8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 52% | +10% | 8 |
| Corners | 10.6 | 10.4 | +0.2 | 8 |
| Cards | 3.4 | 4.1 | -0.7 | 8 |
3 with 4+ goals · 1.38 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 8 with event data
| Stoke City | Sheffield United | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
| Scored first and won | 2 | 5 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 1 |
first goal on average in minute 32 · a side came back in 1 · goal after the 75th minute in 6 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
0-15'4
16-30'1
31-45'6
46-60'4
61-75'1
76-90'7
2 equalisers · 1 penalty · 1 own goal · 4 headers
Expected goals · last 4 with xG
Deserved on xG: Stoke City 0 · level 0 · Sheffield United 4 — actual wins in those games 0 / 4
Against the market · 8 with closing odds
Favourite won 5 (62%), drew 0, upset 3 · market favoured Stoke City 1×, Sheffield United 7× · avg favourite 45%, avg price of the actual result 41%
Fixture specialists
- 2 Ben Wilmot Stoke City · in 2 games · last Dec 2025
- 2 Jayden Bogle Sheffield United · last Jan 2023
- 1 Jaïro Riedewald Sheffield United · last Dec 2025
- 1 Tom Cannon Sheffield United · last Dec 2025
- 1 Femi Seriki Sheffield United · last Dec 2025
Last meeting · 2025-12-29 · UK CHAMP
Stoke City 1-2 Sheffield United · ref John Busby
- 47' Jaïro Riedewald 0–1
- 53' Tom Cannon assist Harrison Burrows 0–2
- 65' Ben Wilmot 1–2
xG 0.77 – 2.63 · corners 8 · cards 2 · reds 1
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
40.8%Stoke City P 41%26.5%Draw P 29%32.8%Sheffield United P 29%
Over / under 2.5
49.4%Over 2.5 P 49%50.6%Under 2.5 P 51%
Both teams to score
54.0%Yes46.0%No
Expected
- Stoke City goals
- 1.41 (0–3)
- Sheffield United goals
- 1.24 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.83 (7–15)
- Cards
- 4.55 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 40.8% / 26.5% / 32.7%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
37.5%Stoke City25.8%Draw36.7%Sheffield United
Over / under 2.5
53.9%Over 2.546.1%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.6%Yes42.4%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 14 matches since 2005
Goals 15–23 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 57%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–19 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 2–13 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Stoke City 1–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Sheffield United 4–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Stoke City 0–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Sheffield United 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Sheffield United 3–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Stoke City 3–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Stoke City 1–0 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Sheffield United 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Stoke City 2–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Sheffield United 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Stoke City all · 7 | Stoke City at home · 3 | Sheffield United all · 7 | Sheffield United away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 1.29 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 3 | – | 2 / 3 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | – | 1.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 43% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 57% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 57% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.04 | – | 1.12 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.50 | – | 1.66 | – |
| xG difference | -0.45 | – | -0.53 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.53 | – | 0.02 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.13 | – | 1.03 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.30 | – | 0.26 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 86% | – | 0% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | – | – | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 1.40 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 60% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 42% | – | 12% | – |
| Minutes level | 40% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | – | 13% | – |
| First goal (min) | 19 | – | 16 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | – | 24 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 9% | – | 25% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | – | 33% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 40% | – |
| Shots | 11.9 | – | 8.3 | – |
| On target | 4.0 | – | 3.1 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 69% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | – | 1.6 | – |
| Corners | 4.0 | – | 3.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 20% | – | 33% | – |
| Goals from headers | 9% | – | 12% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.6 | – | 8.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.0 | – | 34.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | – | 70% | – |
| Fouls | 15.7 | – | 10.0 | – |
| Cards | 2.71 | – | 1.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Stoke City
0–15'41
16–30'43
31–45'20
46–60'11
61–75'02
76–90'04
Sheffield United
0–15'33
16–30'11
31–45'22
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Stoke City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453
Game state
When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807
Situations
At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05
Sheffield United · 7 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392
Game state
When ahead-0.373
When level-0.127
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.114
Situations
At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197
Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23
Stoke City
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.81 | 1.91 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.53 | 0.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 1.03 |
Sheffield United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.19 | 2.02 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.82 | 0.67 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.85 | 2.04 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.42 | 0.83 |
| Metric | Stoke City all · 10 | Stoke City at home · 10 | Sheffield United all · 10 | Sheffield United away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 5 / 2 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 5 / 3 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.90 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.40 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 70% | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% | 70% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.12 | 1.72 | 1.40 | 1.33 |
| xG against / match | 1.51 | 1.29 | 1.67 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | -0.39 | 0.44 | -0.27 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.18 | 0.18 | -0.10 | -0.03 |
| xPts / match | 1.15 | 1.61 | 1.19 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.15 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 0.57 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 70% | 0% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.29 | – | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.33 | 1.25 | 1.60 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 40% | 50% | 67% |
| Leads held | 50% | 71% | 75% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 39% | 11% | 29% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 41% | 56% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | 20% | 34% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 33 | 37 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 38 | 18 | 24 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 23% | 42% | 54% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 64% | 25% | 25% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.60 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 47% | 43% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 13.0 | 10.3 | 10.6 |
| On target | 3.7 | 5.5 | 3.7 | 4.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 15% | 13% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 64% | 70% | 71% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 6.2 | 6.1 | 3.7 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 28% | 32% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 17% | 8% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 12.3 | 13.1 | 10.4 | 6.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 50.0 | 54.5 | 41.1 | 34.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 75% | 74% | 73% |
| Fouls | 14.0 | 12.8 | 9.8 | 10.0 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.90 | 1.50 | 2.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Stoke City
0–15'42
16–30'44
31–45'21
46–60'32
61–75'04
76–90'06
Sheffield United
0–15'36
16–30'12
31–45'24
46–60'10
61–75'42
76–90'22
Stoke City
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0.89 | 1.72 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.53 | 0.43 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 1.03 |
Sheffield United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 5 50% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.32 | 2.02 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.5 | 3.0 | 2.17 | 1.55 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.85 | 2.04 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.82 | 0.67 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.42 | 0.83 |
| Metric | Stoke City all · 50 | Stoke City at home · 25 | Sheffield United all · 49 | Sheffield United away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 49 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.12 | 1.44 | 1.41 | 1.48 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 11 / 24 | 10 / 6 / 9 | 20 / 9 / 20 | 10 / 4 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.52 | 1.55 | 1.39 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.37 | 1.26 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 32% | 24% | 26% |
| Failed to score | 32% | 16% | 20% | 26% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 60% | 61% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 60% | 61% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.23 | 1.46 | 1.64 | 1.49 |
| xG against / match | 1.47 | 1.24 | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | -0.24 | 0.22 | 0.30 | 0.02 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.13 | 0.06 | -0.09 | -0.10 |
| xPts / match | 1.25 | 1.51 | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.07 | -0.14 | 0.08 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 64% | 51% | 52% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.96 | 2.00 | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Came back from behind | 17% | 31% | 29% | 36% |
| Leads held | 60% | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | 35% | 27% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 49% | 48% | 47% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 17% | 25% | 23% |
| First goal (min) | 35 | 32 | 37 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 43 | 47 | 37 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 42% | 40% | 53% | 41% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 77% | 57% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.13 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 51% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.3 | 12.4 | 13.0 | 11.3 |
| On target | 3.7 | 4.6 | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 67% | 69% | 68% |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.0 | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 34% | 34% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 11% | 8% | 3% |
| Pressure index | 13.0 | 15.2 | 14.8 | 9.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.1 | 54.1 | 48.8 | 40.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 77% | 75% | 72% |
| Fouls | 11.2 | 11.4 | 10.0 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 2.28 | 2.20 | 1.82 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Stoke City
0–15'118
16–30'98
31–45'128
46–60'1215
61–75'57
76–90'620
Sheffield United
0–15'1311
16–30'1110
31–45'128
46–60'1618
61–75'148
76–90'1012
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Stoke City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: as favourite +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1250
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2850
Late push (76+, level)-0.1518
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0325
Game state
When ahead+0.2025
When level+0.1450
When behind+0.0329
10 min after conceding-0.2935
10 min after scoring+0.3734
Situations
With ten men+0.075
At home+0.0525
Away+0.2025
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1535
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0528
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2116
As favourite+0.4710
Evenly matched+0.0120
As underdog+0.0820
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0550
Conceded when ahead-0.0325
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.11
Sheffield United · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: against ten men +0.68
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1049
Late push (76+, level)-0.1817
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0721
Game state
When ahead+0.1532
When level+0.1149
When behind+0.1228
10 min after conceding-0.1037
10 min after scoring+0.3639
Situations
With ten men+0.175
Against ten men+0.684
At home+0.1826
Away+0.0623
3 days rest or fewer+0.1219
4+ days rest+0.1330
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0424
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1218
As favourite+0.3121
Evenly matched-0.0023
As underdog-0.065
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0449
Conceded when ahead+0.0132
Conceded late (76+)-0.1046
Congested vs rested -0.01 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.00
Stoke City
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 40 80% | 1.05 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 8% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.7 | 1.71 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.29 | 2.17 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.45 | 1.78 |
Sheffield United
Current: winless 1 · conceding 5
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 37% | 1.33 | 1.72 | 1.61 | 1.52 | 1.4 |
| 4-4-2 | 16 33% | 1.81 | 1.81 | 1.38 | 1.62 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 12% | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.89 | 1.36 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 5 10% | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.2 | 2.08 | 0.66 |
| 4-1-3-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.29 | 2.01 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: draw +1.3 pts at 3.5h
2.34Home 41% ▲ +4.4 ptsopened 2.583.29Draw 29% ▲ +1.6 ptsopened 3.433.32Away 29% ▼ -6.0 ptsopened 2.71
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.34 ▲ +4.4 | 3.29 ▲ +1.6 | 3.32 ▼ -6.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.25 ▲ +4.5 | 3.4 · -0.0 | 3.1 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.3 ▲ +3.0 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 3.0 ▼ -3.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.25 ▲ +5.1 | 3.4 · -0.1 | 3.1 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.3 ▲ +4.3 | 3.3 · +0.5 | 3.1 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.3 ▲ +3.8 | 3.3 ▲ +1.2 | 3.1 ▼ -5.1 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.35 ▲ +2.0 | 3.35 · -0.1 | 2.85 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.25 ▲ +4.2 | 3.1 ▲ +1.0 | 3.1 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes -2.1 pts at 3.8d
1.72Yes 54% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 1.662.0No 46% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 ▼ -2.1 | 2.0 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.65 · +0.9 | 2.2 · -0.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▼ -3.0 | 2.0 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -2.5 pts at 3.6d
1.98Over 49% ▼ -2.9 ptsopened 1.851.9Under 51% ▲ +2.9 ptsopened 1.99
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 ▼ -2.9 | 1.9 ▲ +2.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.86 ▼ -2.2 | 1.81 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.25Home 42% P 41%3.4Draw 28% P 29%3.1Away 30% P 29%
Double Chance
1.4Stoke or Draw 34%1.3Stoke or Sheff Utd 36%1.57Draw or Sheff Utd 30%
Draw No Bet
1.611 58%2.22 42%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.16 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 62%2.1Under 44% P 38%
4.52.1Over 44% P 45%1.66Under 56% P 55%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 27.5–30% · 815 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 42% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 29% | 30% | 27% | -2.4 |
| Away | 29% | 29% | 31% | +1.9 |
In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 47% · over 2.5 43%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Tim Robinson
- Career
- 329 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.65 | 4.05 | +1.08 | 92 |
| Fouls / match | 22.6 | 21.8 | +0.70 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.4 | -1.00 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.19 | 0.17 | +0.14 | 63 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 7.2 | -0.60 | 26 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | 7 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 14' | 8 |
| 2026-09-08 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 14' | 10 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 31' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 57' | 12 |
| 2026-03-14 · Sheffield United | 6 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 23' | 11 |
| 2026-03-03 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 64' | 13 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 75' | 4 |