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Championship · Matchweek 8

Momentum

QPRPNE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
MATRADE Loftus Road, London
Capacity
18,500
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Julien Stéphan · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
6 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Thomas Parsons

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
20.2° (feels 20.0°)
Wind
6.0
Humidity
66%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Queens Park Rangers

WWLDD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 6.74–6.43 · xPts 7.03

  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.58–1.72 UK CHAMP
  • D A Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 0.81–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–1 xG 1.53–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Cardiff City 2–1 xG 2.2–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 1.61–1.2 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LLWLL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 8 · xG 6.93–5.84 · xPts 7.54

  • L H Lincoln City 0–1 xG 0.69–0.87 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.93–2.02 UK CHAMP
  • W H Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 1.51–0.78 UK CHAMP
  • L H Bristol City 1–3 xG 1.85–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.96–1.03 UK CHAMP

full sample 10 meetings 2021–2026

Recurring referee: Oliver Langford · 2 of these meetings

Last 10

Queens Park Rangers 62 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 14–10 · Queens Park Rangers hosting: 3W 1D 1L · Preston North End hosting: 1W 1D 3L

At MATRADE Loftus Road: 5 meetings · Queens Park Rangers 3 · draws 1 · Preston North End 1 · 2.6 goals per match · last away win Apr 2023

All-time since 2005: 34 meetings · Queens Park Rangers 12 · draws 11 · Preston North End 11

  • Queens Park Rangers unbeaten in the last 6 meetings
  • Preston North End haven't beaten Queens Park Rangers since Apr 2023
  • Last 2 meetings all drawn
  • Both teams have scored in the last 4 meetings

This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days

MetricFixtureLeagueΔn
Goals per match2.402.62-0.2210
Both teams score60%58%+2%10
Over 2.5 goals40%52%-12%10
Corners9.110.4-1.310
Cards3.04.1-1.110

1 with 4+ goals · 0.70 first-half goals per match · red card in 1

How these games go · 10 with event data

Queens Park RangersPreston North End
Scored first5 of 105 of 10
Scored first and won42
Won from behind30

first goal on average in minute 40 · a side came back in 5 · goal after the 75th minute in 5 · penalty scored in 1

When the goals come · all goals, 10 meetings

0-15'0
16-30'4
31-45'3
46-60'8
61-75'3
76-90'6

6 equalisers · 1 penalty · 3 own goals · 2 headers

Expected goals · last 5 with xG

Queens Park Rangers 1.49 xGper match0.52 xG Preston North End

Deserved on xG: Queens Park Rangers 4 · level 1 · Preston North End 0 — actual wins in those games 3 / 0

Against the market · 10 with closing odds

Favourite won 4 (40%), drew 2, upset 4 · market favoured Queens Park Rangers 5×, Preston North End 5× · avg favourite 42%, avg price of the actual result 34%

Fixture specialists

  • 3 Jimmy Dunne Queens Park Rangers · in 3 games · last Dec 2024
  • 2 Milutin Osmajic Preston North End · in 2 games · last Aug 2025
  • 2 Thomas Cannon Preston North End · last Apr 2023
  • 1 Brad Potts Preston North End · last Apr 2026
  • 1 Lucas Andersen Queens Park Rangers · last Apr 2025

Last meeting · 2026-04-06 · UK CHAMP

Preston North End 1-1 Queens Park Rangers · ref Thomas Kirk

  • 46' Brad Potts assist Alfie Devine 1–0
  • 82' Thierry Small (og) 1–1

xG 0.53 – 1.20 · corners 8 · cards 4

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

52.9%Queens Park Rangers P 55%25.2%Draw P 24%21.9%Preston North End P 21%

Over / under 2.5

47.8%Over 2.5 P 53%52.2%Under 2.5 P 47%

Both teams to score

49.7%Yes50.3%No

Expected

Queens Park Rangers goals
1.63 (0–3)
Preston North End goals
0.96 (0–2)
Corners
10.78 (6–15)
Cards
4.5 (2–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

48.6%Queens Park Rangers24.5%Draw27.0%Preston North End

Over / under 2.5

55.7%Over 2.544.3%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

57.1%Yes42.9%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 34 matches since 2005

Queens Park Rangers 1211 draws11 Preston North End

Goals 42–40 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 41%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Queens Park Rangers 62 draws2 Preston North End

Goals 14–10 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Queens Park Rangers 32 draws0 Preston North End

Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Preston North End 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricQueens Park Rangers all · 7Queens Park Rangers at home · 3Preston North End all · 7Preston North End away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.710.43
W / D / L3 / 3 / 11 / 0 / 6
Goals for / match1.140.86
Goals against / match0.711.86
Clean sheets29%0%
Failed to score43%29%
Both teams scored57%71%
Over 2.543%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.551.26
xG against / match1.191.17
xG difference0.360.08
Finishing vs xG-0.41-0.40
xPts / match1.601.42
Points vs xPts0.11-0.99
Game state
Scored first29%29%
PPG when scoring first2.001.50
PPG when conceding first2.000.00
Came back from behind67%0%
Leads held75%50%
Minutes leading20%23%
Minutes level66%34%
Minutes trailing14%43%
First goal (min)4048
First goal conceded (min)4040
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half38%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.29
Late goals against0.000.71
Style
Possession49%44%
Shots14.912.9
On target5.03.1
Shot conversion8%7%
Shots inside box70%58%
Big chances created2.12.1
Corners6.35.6
xG from set plays19%37%
Goals from headers14%33%
Pressure index14.68.3
Dominant minutes55.140.3
Pass accuracy84%73%
Fouls9.110.3
Cards1.572.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'01
16–30'01
31–45'51
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'00

Preston North End

0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.165
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%1.751.00.751.541.18
4-2-3-13 43%1.671.330.671.561.2

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-22 29%1.51.01.01.10.82
4-2-3-12 29%0.01.02.50.931.18
5-3-22 29%0.00.51.51.451.52
3-4-2-11 14%0.01.03.01.851.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 115 snapshots · last 6.0h before kick-off

1.77Home 55% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 1.693.97Draw 24% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 4.084.55Away 21% · +0.5 ptsopened 4.57
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.77 ▼ -1.63.97 ▲ +1.14.55 · +0.56.0h
bet3651.72 · -0.33.75 · +0.84.75 · -0.56.0h
Betfair1.75 ▼ -1.93.8 · +1.04.6 · +0.96.0h
BetVictor1.73 · -0.53.8 · -0.04.6 · +0.56.0h
Coral1.75 ▼ -1.83.8 · +0.64.5 ▲ +1.26.0h
Ladbrokes1.75 ▼ -2.73.75 · +0.94.4 ▲ +1.76.0h
Unibet1.67 · -0.93.8 · +0.24.7 · +0.76.0h
WilliamHill1.75 ▼ -2.93.6 ▲ +1.24.2 ▲ +1.86.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 6.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.72Home 55% P 55%3.75Draw 25% P 24%4.75Away 20% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18QPR or Draw 40%1.25QPR or Preston 37%2.05Draw or Preston 23%

Draw No Bet

1.281 73%3.52 27%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 53%2.0Under 47% P 47%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.629 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 21%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home55%54%56%+2.6
Draw24%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%55%+0.8

Thomas Parsons

Career
10 matches · 7 seasons
Cards / match
4.0 (3.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
26.5 · 4.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.5
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 3 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-12 70 290 31'4
2026-04-25 80 222 25'8
2026-04-18 30 300 15'7
2026-01-10 40 211 23'7
2025-11-02 40 301 41'15