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Championship · Matchweek 8
MillwallMillwall
–
West Ham UnitedWHU

Momentum

– MillwallWHU –
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
8

Venue

Stadium
The Den, London
Capacity
20,146
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Alex Neil · Nuno Espírito Santo
Position
12 · 1
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Paul Tierney

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
20.6° (feels 20.4°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 216

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Millwall

LLWLD 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 13 · xG 7.35–8.14 · xPts 6.42

  • D A Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 1.37–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • L A Blackburn Rovers 1–3 xG 2.0–1.14 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bolton Wanderers 4–0 xG 2.22–0.99 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wrexham 0–3 xG 0.24–1.06 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–5 xG 1.52–3.23 UK CHAMP

West Ham United

DWWWW 4W 1D 0L · 13 pts (2.6 ppg) · GF 17 GA 5 · xG 11.89–4.92 · xPts 10.42

  • W H Wrexham 6–0 xG 2.52–0.43 UK CHAMP
  • W A Bolton Wanderers 3–2 xG 2.46–1.73 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 3–0 xG 3.74–0.15 UK CHAMP
  • W H Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–2 xG 2.1–1.0 UK CHAMP
  • D A Watford 1–1 xG 1.07–1.61 UK CHAMP

first meeting No meetings in the last five years

All-time since 2011: 2 meetings · Millwall 0 · draws 1 · West Ham United 1

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·

Match result

31.7%Millwall P 19%24.0%Draw P 24%44.3%West Ham United P 57%

Over / under 2.5

60.0%Over 2.5 P 58%40.0%Under 2.5 P 42%

Both teams to score

61.9%Yes38.1%No

Expected

Millwall goals
1.41 (0–3)
West Ham United goals
1.7 (0–3)
Corners
11.61 (7–16)
Cards
3.99 (1–7)

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

32.3%Millwall27.5%Draw40.3%West Ham United

Over / under 2.5

50.4%Over 2.549.6%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

55.7%Yes44.3%No

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 2 matches since 2011

Millwall 01 draws1 West Ham United

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Millwall 01 draws1 West Ham United

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Millwall 01 draws1 West Ham United

Goals 1–2 · 1.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L West Ham United 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Millwall 0–0 West Ham United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMillwall all · 7Millwall at home · 3West Ham United all · 7West Ham United away · 3
Results
Matches7–7–
Points per game1.43–2.00–
W / D / L3 / 1 / 3–4 / 2 / 1–
Goals for / match1.86–2.86–
Goals against / match1.86–1.29–
Clean sheets43%–29%–
Failed to score14%–0%–
Both teams scored43%–71%–
Over 2.586%–86%–
Expected goals
xG for / match2.00–2.41–
xG against / match1.38–1.23–
xG difference0.62–1.18–
Finishing vs xG-0.14–0.44–
xPts / match1.68–1.97–
Points vs xPts-0.25–0.03–
Game state
Scored first71%–71%–
PPG when scoring first2.00–2.60–
PPG when conceding first0.00–0.50–
Came back from behind0%–67%–
Leads held60%–80%–
Minutes leading37%–48%–
Minutes level38%–37%–
Minutes trailing25%–15%–
First goal (min)29–27–
First goal conceded (min)36–34–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half54%–55%–
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%–44%–
Late goals for (76'+)0.57–0.71–
Late goals against0.29–0.29–
Style
Possession46%–56%–
Shots14.1–15.9–
On target3.7–5.9–
Shot conversion13%–18%–
Shots inside box80%–78%–
Big chances created2.9–4.5–
Corners4.4–6.0–
xG from set plays24%–34%–
Goals from headers17%–15%–
Pressure index11.5–15.0–
Dominant minutes48.1–53.4–
Pass accuracy75%–86%–
Fouls11.1–8.3–
Cards1.57–1.71–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Millwall

0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42

West Ham United

0–15'31
16–30'23
31–45'41
46–60'21
61–75'41
76–90'52

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Millwall · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217

Game state

When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546

Situations

Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035

Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14

West Ham United · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: when behind +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.237
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.273

Game state

When ahead+0.235
When level+0.077
When behind+0.643
10 min after conceding-0.085
10 min after scoring+0.527

Situations

At home+0.454
Away-0.013
3 days rest or fewer+0.083
4+ days rest+0.324

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.142
v bottom-tier opponents+0.265
As favourite+0.306

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.197
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.336

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.57

Millwall

Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-33 43%2.02.01.672.721.57
4-2-3-13 43%1.332.331.671.861.29
3-1-4-21 14%0.00.03.00.241.06

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%2.53.751.02.481.14
4-4-1-13 43%1.331.671.672.331.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.6d before kick-off · 85 snapshots · last 3.5h before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.4 pts at 11.5h

5.03Home 19% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 4.234.02Draw 24% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 3.731.7Away 57% ▲ +4.1 ptsopened 1.78
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle5.03 ▼ -3.04.02 ▼ -1.11.7 ▲ +4.13.5h
bet3655.0 ▼ -4.44.0 · -0.91.61 ▲ +5.33.5h
Betfair4.75 ▼ -4.14.0 · -0.41.67 ▲ +4.53.5h
BetVictor4.75 ▼ -3.74.1 ▼ -1.11.65 ▲ +4.83.5h
Coral4.6 ▼ -4.24.0 · +0.11.7 ▲ +4.23.5h
Ladbrokes4.6 ▼ -4.23.9 · +0.11.7 ▲ +4.13.5h
Unibet4.6 ▼ -2.53.9 · -0.61.67 ▲ +3.13.5h
WilliamHill4.6 ▼ -3.43.75 · +0.51.67 ▲ +2.93.5h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 3.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

5.0Home 19% P 19%4.0Draw 23% P 24%1.61Away 58% P 57%

Double Chance

2.1Millwall or Draw 22%1.22Millwall or West Ham 38%1.18Draw or West Ham 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.61Over 59% P 58%2.3Under 41% P 42%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%

Number of Cards

4.51.8Over 51% P 67%1.9Under 49% P 33%
5.51.61Over 58% P 54%2.2Under 42% P 46%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home19%19%20%+0.6
Draw24%25%22%-3.1
Away57%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.558%59%60%+0.8

Paul Tierney

Career
356 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.43 (3.32 yellow · 0.06 red)
Fouls / match
19.7 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.19
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)

Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 3.75 cards, 23.3 fouls per match.

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 30 230 19'6
2026-08-29 10 210 61'6
2026-08-22 10 200 30'11
2026-05-18 40 230 28'9
2026-05-10 20 270 49'9
2026-05-02 41 220 24'7
2026-04-18 10 210 6'8
2026-04-13 51 270 18'9
2026-03-22 · West Ham United 10 100 45'7
2026-03-14 40 190 23'13