Rating 7.05 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 8
Momentum
– Lincoln CitySwansea City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Lincoln City | at home | Stat | league | away | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.4 #24 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 58.6 #3 |
| 12.6 #15 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.4 #16 |
| 2.9 #23 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.1 #5 |
| 4.4 #21 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.7 #18 |
| 14.0 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.0 #22 |
| 2.9 #4 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.4 #8 |
| 18.7 #1 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 17.7 #3 |
| 81.3 #23 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 105.3 #4 |
| 42.9 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.6 #13 |
| 272.4 #24 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 532.7 #2 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.9 #11 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #19 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.5 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| -0.7 #23 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #11 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 0.9 #21 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 #7 |
| 0.9 #22 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 #23 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 11.4 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.9 #15 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #17 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #5 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.6 #19 |
| 5.7 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 3.6 #23 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.9 #8 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lincoln City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Rating 7.2 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Swansea City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.02 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.96 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (70th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 8
Venue
- Stadium
- LNER Stadium, Lincoln
- Capacity
- 10,780
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Cohen · Vítor Matos
- Position
- 8 · 2
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 19.1° (feels 19.2°)
- Wind
- 8.5
- Humidity
- 83%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Lincoln City
WDDWW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 1 · xG 7.38–5.2 · xPts 8.12
- W
A
Bristol City
1–0
xG 0.64–1.39
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
1–0
xG 0.87–0.69
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 2.88–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
LLWDDWW 3W 2D 2L · 11 pts (1.57 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 10.6–9.48 · xPts 10.47
- W
A
Bristol City
1–0
xG 0.64–1.39
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
1–0
xG 0.87–0.69
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 2.88–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
Swansea City
WWDLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 4 · xG 9.71–5.84 · xPts 8.88
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 1.46–1.24
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 1.34–1.72
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
0–0
xG 0.87–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
2–0
xG 3.08–1.11
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Derby County
3–0
xG 2.96–0.82
UK CHAMP
WDWWDLW 4W 2D 1L · 14 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 11.36–8.55 · xPts 10.9
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 1.46–1.24
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 1.34–1.72
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
0–0
xG 0.87–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
2–0
xG 3.08–1.11
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Derby County
3–0
xG 2.96–0.82
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
2–1
xG 0.97–0.89
UK CHAMP
first meeting No meetings in the last five years
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
44.4%Lincoln City P 33%28.2%Draw P 28%27.4%Swansea City P 40%
Over / under 2.5
41.0%Over 2.5 P 49%59.0%Under 2.5 P 51%
Both teams to score
46.5%Yes53.5%No
Expected
- Lincoln City goals
- 1.33 (0–3)
- Swansea City goals
- 0.99 (0–2)
- Corners
- 11.52 (7–16)
- Cards
- 4.53 (2–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
46.3%Lincoln City25.5%Draw28.2%Swansea City
Over / under 2.5
52.4%Over 2.547.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
56.1%Yes43.9%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
No previous meetings on record.
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 7 | Lincoln City at home · 3 | Swansea City all · 7 | Swansea City away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.57 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.86 | – | 0.71 | – |
| Clean sheets | 57% | – | 57% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | – | 57% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.62 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.22 | – |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | 0.40 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | -0.05 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.56 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.44 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 57% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 19% | – | 43% | – |
| Minutes level | 61% | – | 42% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | – | 15% | – |
| First goal (min) | 55 | – | 19 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | – | 26 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | – | 36% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 40% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 36% | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | 12.6 | – | 12.4 | – |
| On target | 3.0 | – | 5.1 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 61% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | 4.4 | – | 4.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 34% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | – | 12.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 37.1 | – | 51.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 13.6 | – | 9.1 | – |
| Cards | 2.57 | – | 1.86 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21
Swansea City
0–15'32
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'20
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217
Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14
Swansea City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222
Game state
When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355
Situations
At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 29% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 1.82 |
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 10 | Lincoln City at home · 4 | Swansea City all · 10 | Swansea City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | – | 6 / 3 / 1 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | – | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | – | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | – | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | – | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | – | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | – | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.63 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | 0.29 | 0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.59 | 0.36 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.67 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | – | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 86% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 45% | 37% |
| Minutes level | 49% | – | 45% | 32% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 10% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | – | 28 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | – | 55 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | – | 53% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 62% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | – | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | – | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | – | 58% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.4 | – | 13.2 | 10.9 |
| On target | 4.2 | – | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 58% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 36% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 30% | – | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 13.5 | – | 12.6 | 9.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.0 | – | 51.6 | 44.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | – | 82% | 80% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | – | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 2.60 | – | 1.90 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'14
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'12
76–90'34
Swansea City
0–15'42
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'30
76–90'44
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 8 | Lincoln City at home · 3 | Swansea City all · 49 | Swansea City away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | – | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 2 | – | 20 / 11 / 18 | 8 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | – | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Goals against / match | 0.88 | – | 1.27 | 1.46 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 29% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 12% | – | 22% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | – | 55% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | -0.07 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | -0.02 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.13 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | – | 47% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.39 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 31% | 25% |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 74% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 27% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 59% | – | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | – | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | 42 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | – | 38 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 59% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 52% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.25 | – | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | – | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | – | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 12.6 | – | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| On target | 3.4 | – | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 58% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.6 | – | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 37% | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 10% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | – | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.3 | – | 51.0 | 45.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | – | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 14.6 | – | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 3.00 | – | 1.92 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'22
Swansea City
0–15'98
16–30'106
31–45'715
46–60'1012
61–75'126
76–90'1514
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln City · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.098
Early press (0-15, level)+0.238
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.115
When level-0.048
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.287
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.135
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.086
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.105
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.118
Conceded when ahead-0.025
Conceded late (76+)+0.148
Congested vs rested -0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Swansea City · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1849
Late push (76+, level)-0.1119
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0718
Game state
When ahead+0.1527
When level+0.0849
When behind+0.1625
10 min after conceding-0.0535
10 min after scoring+0.3338
Situations
Against ten men-0.332
At home+0.1525
Away+0.0824
3 days rest or fewer+0.1016
4+ days rest+0.1333
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0125
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2119
As favourite+0.2814
Evenly matched+0.2617
As underdog-0.1518
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0149
Conceded when ahead-0.1027
Conceded late (76+)-0.0547
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.08
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 38% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 25% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 25% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 37% | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 14 29% | 1.93 | 1.5 | 0.79 | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 22% | 1.55 | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.88 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.61 | 1.68 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 19.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.4 pts at 3.7d
2.96Home 33% · -0.2 ptsopened 2.883.47Draw 28% · -0.9 ptsopened 3.32.42Away 40% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 2.44
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.96 · -0.2 | 3.47 · -0.9 | 2.42 ▲ +1.1 | 19.0h |
| bet365 | 2.87 ▼ -1.4 | 3.3 · +0.6 | 2.45 · +0.8 | 19.0h |
| Betfair | 2.88 ▼ -2.3 | 3.3 ▲ +1.6 | 2.4 · +0.7 | 19.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.9 ▼ -2.3 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 2.38 ▲ +2.3 | 19.0h |
| Coral | 2.8 ▼ -1.1 | 3.4 · +0.9 | 2.45 · +0.2 | 19.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.8 ▼ -1.1 | 3.4 · +0.9 | 2.45 · +0.2 | 19.0h |
| Unibet | 2.8 · +0.0 | 3.3 · +0.0 | 2.45 · +0.0 | 19.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.8 ▼ -1.4 | 3.2 · +0.7 | 2.4 · +0.6 | 19.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 102 snapshots · last 19.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.1 pts at 28.0h
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.722.1No 44% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +2.1 | 2.1 ▼ -2.1 | 19.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 · +0.3 | 2.15 · -0.3 | 19.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▼ -1.9 | 2.0 ▲ +1.9 | 19.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 19.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 71 snapshots · last 19.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.2 pts at 31.0h
1.98Over 49% · -0.6 ptsopened 1.921.89Under 51% · +0.6 ptsopened 1.88
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 · -0.6 | 1.89 · +0.6 | 19.0h |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 19.0h |
| Betfair | 1.9 ▼ -1.9 | 1.87 ▲ +1.9 | 19.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.87 ▼ -1.1 | 1.8 ▲ +1.1 | 19.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 19.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.87Home 33% P 33%3.3Draw 29% P 28%2.45Away 39% P 40%
Double Chance
1.5Lincoln City or Draw 31%1.33Lincoln City or Swansea 35%1.4Draw or Swansea 33%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.52.2Over 42% P 43%1.61Under 58% P 57%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 40% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |