Rating 7.3 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 5 (50% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 8
Momentum
– Bristol CityWatford –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Bristol City | at home | Stat | league | away | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 43.4 #21 |
| 14.1 #11 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.9 #19 |
| 4.3 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #15 |
| 5.7 #12 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 3.4 #23 |
| 11.9 #6 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| 1.0 #23 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| 12.1 #22 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.6 #6 |
| 85.3 #19 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 85.3 #19 |
| 37.4 #23 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 39.9 #20 |
| 364.7 #17 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 374.1 #16 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.6 #3 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.4 #22 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.2 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #18 |
| 0.2 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.4 #9 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.7 #6 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 #15 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 7.4 #18 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #5 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 6.7 #21 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #20 |
| 2.9 #22 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.9 #12 |
| 10.1 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.7 #11 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.1 #20 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.1 #21 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bristol City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.93 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.79 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Watford · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.95 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (37th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 8
Venue
- Stadium
- Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
- Capacity
- 27,000
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Michael Skubala · Alessio Dionisi
- Position
- 13 · 17
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 16.3° (feels 15.8°)
- Wind
- 7.9
- Humidity
- 68%
Where to watch · 154
Algeria
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Argentina
Disney+ Premium Argentina · Fox Sports 2 Argentina
Australia
Bein Sports 3 · beIN SPORTS CONNECT
Austria
Sky Sport MIX
Bahrain
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Bangladesh
FanCode
Bolivia
Disney+ Premium Chile
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Arena Cloud · Moja TV
Brazil
Disney+ Premium Brazil · NSports
Canada
DAZN · fuboTV Canada
Chile
Disney+ Premium Chile
Colombia
Disney+ Premium Sur
Costa Rica
Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 2
Croatia
Arena Sport 4 · MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic
Nova Sport 6 · Oneplay
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
Ecuador
Disney+ Premium Sur
Egypt
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
El Salvador
Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 2
England
NOW · SKY GO Extra · Sky Go UK · Sky Sports Football · Sky Sports+ · Sky Ultra HD
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Germany
Sky Sport MIX
Greece
Cosmote Sport 3 · MagentaSport 3
Guatemala
Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 2
Honduras
Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 2
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
India
FanCode
Iran
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5
Iraq
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Israel
Sport 4
Japan
DAZN Japan
Jordan
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Kuwait
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Lebanon
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Libya
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Mexico
Disney+ Premium Mexico · ESPN 2
Montenegro
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 1 Serbia
Morocco
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Netherlands
Viaplay Netherlands
New Zealand
beIN Sports Connect New Zealand
Nicaragua
Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 2
North Macedonia
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 1 Serbia · MaxTV Go
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
V Sport 2 · Viaplay Norway
Oman
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Pakistan
FanCode
Palestine
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Panama
Disney+ Premium Norte · ESPN 2
Paraguay
Disney+ Premium Argentina
Peru
Disney+ Premium Chile
Portugal
Sport TV 3 · Sport TV Multiscreen
Qatar
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Republic of Ireland
NOW TV · SKY GO Extra · Sky Go UK · Sky Sports Football · Sky Sports+ · Sky Ultra HD
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Disney+ Caribbean
Saudi Arabia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Serbia
Arena Cloud · Arena Sport 1 Serbia
Singapore
111 Mio Sports 1
Slovakia
Nova Sport 6 · Voyo
Slovenia
Arena Sport 3
Sweden
V Sport Xtra · Viaplay Sweden
Switzerland
Sky Sport MIX
Syria
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Tunisia
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
Turkey
S Sport
United Arab Emirates
beIN SPORTS CONNECT · beIN Sports English 2 · beIN Sports HD 5 · TOD
United States
CBS Sports Golazo Network · Paramount+
Uruguay
Disney+ Premium Argentina
US Virgin Islands
Disney+ Caribbean
Venezuela
Disney+ Premium Sur
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Bristol City
WWWLL 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 6.75–6.31 · xPts 7.27
- L
H
Lincoln City
0–1
xG 1.39–0.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–4
xG 2.43–1.95
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Burnley
2–1
xG 0.95–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
LDWWWLL 3W 1D 3L · 10 pts (1.43 ppg) · GF 10 GA 12 · xG 8.88–11.11 · xPts 8.81
- L
H
Lincoln City
0–1
xG 1.39–0.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–4
xG 2.43–1.95
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Burnley
2–1
xG 0.95–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 0.49–3.12
UK CHAMP
Watford
DLLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 4 GA 7 · xG 6.44–9.04 · xPts 5.43
- L
H
Stoke City
1–2
xG 0.43–1.53
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 2.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.26–1.43
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
WDDLLWL 2W 2D 3L · 8 pts (1.14 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 8.22–12.44 · xPts 7.1
- L
H
Stoke City
1–2
xG 0.43–1.53
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 2.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.26–1.43
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
full sample 9 meetings 2022–2026 · 8 in this competition · 1 elsewhere
Last 9
Goals 14–10 · Bristol City hosting: 2W 2D 1L · Watford hosting: 2W 1D 1L
At Ashton Gate Stadium: 5 meetings · Bristol City 2 · draws 2 · Watford 1 · 2.8 goals per match · last away win Feb 2026
All-time since 2007: 26 meetings · Bristol City 7 · draws 10 · Watford 9
- Both teams have scored in the last 4 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.67 | 2.62 | +0.05 | 9 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 58% | +9% | 9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 52% | -8% | 9 |
| Corners | 9.2 | 10.4 | -1.2 | 9 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 4.1 | -1.2 | 9 |
1 goalless · 2 with 4+ goals · 1.44 first-half goals per match
How these games go · 9 with event data
| Bristol City | Watford | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 3 of 9 | 5 of 9 |
| Scored first and won | 3 | 3 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 18 · a side came back in 2 · goal after the 75th minute in 4 · penalty scored in 1
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
0-15'5
16-30'5
31-45'3
46-60'4
61-75'3
76-90'4
3 equalisers · 1 penalty · 2 own goals · 3 headers
Expected goals · last 5 with xG
Deserved on xG: Bristol City 1 · level 4 · Watford 0 — actual wins in those games 2 / 2
Against the market · 9 with closing odds
Favourite won 4 (44%), drew 3, upset 2 · market favoured Bristol City 4×, Watford 5× · avg favourite 45%, avg price of the actual result 36%
Fixture specialists
- 3 Scott Twine Bristol City · in 3 games · last Feb 2026
- 3 Emil Riis Bristol City · last Jan 2026
- 1 Jeremy Ngakia Watford · last Feb 2026
- 1 Luca Kjerrumgaard Watford · last Feb 2026
- 1 Rob Atkinson Bristol City · last Jan 2026
Last meeting · 2026-02-27 · UK CHAMP
Bristol City 1-2 Watford · ref Lewis Smith
- 7' Luca Kjerrumgaard assist Edo Kayembe 0–1
- 36' Scott Twine assist Adam Randell 1–1
- 77' Jeremy Ngakia assist Edo Kayembe 1–2
xG 0.95 – 1.37 · corners 6 · cards 5
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
48.6%Bristol City P 55%25.2%Draw P 24%26.2%Watford P 21%
Over / under 2.5
51.5%Over 2.5 P 54%48.5%Under 2.5 P 46%
Both teams to score
54.2%Yes45.8%No
Expected
- Bristol City goals
- 1.61 (0–3)
- Watford goals
- 1.12 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.6 (6–15)
- Cards
- 4.42 (2–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
46.0%Bristol City25.6%Draw28.4%Watford
Over / under 2.5
53.6%Over 2.546.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.1%Yes42.9%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 26 matches since 2007
Goals 33–39 · 2.77 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 14–16 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Bristol City 1–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 5–1 Watford UK FA Cup · Round 3
- D Watford 1–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Bristol City 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 1–4 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Bristol City 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 6–0 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Bristol City all · 7 | Bristol City at home · 3 | Watford all · 7 | Watford away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 1.14 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 3 | – | 2 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | – | 1.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.27 | – | 1.17 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.59 | – | 1.78 | – |
| xG difference | -0.32 | – | -0.60 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | – | -0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.26 | – | 1.01 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.17 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 21% | – | 17% | – |
| Minutes level | 53% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 39% | – |
| First goal (min) | 43 | – | 41 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 53 | – | 28 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | 22% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.71 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | – | 43% | – |
| Shots | 13.7 | – | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 4.3 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 71% | – | 73% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | – | 3.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 41% | – | 22% | – |
| Goals from headers | 30% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.9 | – | 9.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.3 | – | 42.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 11.6 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 1.71 | – | 2.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54
Watford
0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565
Situations
At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Watford · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.27 | 1.59 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City at home · 10 | Watford all · 10 | Watford away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.50 | 2.10 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.21 | 0.90 | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.77 | -0.64 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.29 | 0.10 | -0.37 | -0.51 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 0.95 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.22 | 0.05 | -0.19 | -0.48 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 14% | 14% | 12% |
| Leads held | 67% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 29% | 12% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 38% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 32% | 52% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 23 | 42 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 42 | 24 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 50% | 50% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 38% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 51% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 10.9 | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.3 | 3.5 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 54% | 72% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 28% | 17% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 10.0 | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.5 | 45.9 | 38.3 | 39.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 9.3 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | 2.50 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'31
16–30'02
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'74
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'25
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'22
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 1.83 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City at home · 25 | Watford all · 49 | Watford away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 49 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.28 | 1.32 | 1.22 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 22 | 10 / 3 / 12 | 15 / 15 / 19 | 4 / 8 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.36 | 1.49 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 28% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 32% | 29% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 40% | 61% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 48% | 49% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.13 | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.34 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | 0.31 | -0.21 | -0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.12 | -0.17 | -0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 48% | 26% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.33 | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 20% | 44% | 32% |
| Leads held | 78% | 77% | 65% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 34% | 16% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 36% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 30% | 37% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 27 | 48 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 40 | 30 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 59% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 44% | 40% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 11.9 | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 27% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 28% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 13.4 | 15.7 | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.6 | 48.4 | 45.9 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.96 | 1.88 | 2.16 | 2.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1110
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1014
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0550
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1223
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5232
Situations
At home+0.0925
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1417
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2516
As favourite+0.3316
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0650
Conceded when ahead+0.1723
Conceded late (76+)+0.0546
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Watford · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0149
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0419
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0649
When behind-0.0134
10 min after conceding-0.2042
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0332
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0415
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1843
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.07
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.35 | 1.13 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 43% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 33% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 67 snapshots · last 5.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.0 pts at 10.0h
1.76Home 55% ▲ +5.4 ptsopened 1.93.96Draw 24% ▼ -1.9 ptsopened 3.584.62Away 21% ▼ -3.5 ptsopened 3.85
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.76 ▲ +5.4 | 3.96 ▼ -1.9 | 4.62 ▼ -3.5 | 5.0h |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +5.8 | 3.9 ▼ -3.2 | 4.33 ▼ -2.7 | 5.0h |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▲ +7.1 | 3.8 ▼ -2.0 | 4.5 ▼ -5.1 | 5.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.73 ▲ +7.2 | 3.9 ▼ -2.7 | 4.5 ▼ -4.5 | 5.0h |
| Coral | 1.75 ▲ +5.0 | 3.9 ▼ -1.8 | 4.4 ▼ -3.2 | 5.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.73 ▲ +5.1 | 3.9 ▼ -2.0 | 4.33 ▼ -3.0 | 5.0h |
| Unibet | 1.79 ▲ +3.1 | 3.65 ▼ -1.1 | 4.2 ▼ -2.0 | 5.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +5.3 | 3.6 ▼ -1.6 | 4.33 ▼ -3.7 | 5.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 116 snapshots · last 5.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.1 pts at 13.0h
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.722.1No 44% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +2.1 | 2.1 ▼ -2.1 | 5.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.7 | 2.15 ▼ -2.7 | 5.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +1.9 | 2.1 ▼ -1.9 | 5.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 5.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 2.9d before kick-off · 66 snapshots · last 5.0h before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.7 pts at 13.0h
1.79Over 54% ▲ +2.7 ptsopened 1.852.11Under 46% ▼ -2.7 ptsopened 1.96
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79 ▲ +2.7 | 2.11 ▼ -2.7 | 5.0h |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +5.0 | 2.1 ▼ -5.0 | 5.0h |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▲ +3.3 | 2.1 ▼ -3.3 | 5.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.69 ▲ +3.8 | 2.0 ▼ -3.8 | 5.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 5.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 54% P 55%3.9Draw 24% P 24%4.33Away 22% P 21%
Double Chance
1.18Bristol City or Draw 40%1.25Bristol City or Watford 38%2.1Draw or Watford 22%
Draw No Bet
1.31 72%3.42 28%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.412 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 52%2.0Under 46% P 48%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 664 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 55% | 54% | 56% | +2.6 |
| Draw | 24% | 25% | 27% | +1.4 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 17% | -4.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 54%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% | 54% | +0.8 |