Rating 7.23 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 8
Momentum
– BRCMID –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Waiting for statistics…
Season context
| Birmingham City | at home | Stat | league | away | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 61.4 #2 |
| 12.9 #12 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 17.9 #1 |
| 4.1 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.3 #4 |
| 6.1 #5 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.1 #5 |
| 12.7 #4 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.9 #19 |
| 2.1 #12 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.9 #4 |
| 14.7 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.4 #6 |
| 96.3 #9 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 103.6 #5 |
| 50.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 62.6 #2 |
| 337.4 #20 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 551.1 #1 |
| 2.1 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.1 #21 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #3 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #14 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #9 |
| 1.7 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #4 |
| -0.3 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #6 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #18 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 #4 |
| 1.3 #15 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 #12 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 9.0 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.4 #19 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #17 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.8 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #3 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 6.7 #1 |
| 9.3 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.1 #6 |
| 5.4 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.9 #9 |
| 3.6 #19 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.7 #1 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Birmingham City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.15 · G+A 0 + 3 (30% of team goals) · 37% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Middlesbrough · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.23 (91th pct) · G+A 6 + 0 (43% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.43 (98th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.26 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 8
Venue
- Stadium
- St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
- Capacity
- 29,409
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Davies · Kim Hellberg
- Position
- 11 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
David Webb
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 19.7° (feels 19.6°)
- Wind
- 7.3
- Humidity
- 74%
Where to watch · 15
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+ · Talksport 2 Radio UK
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+ · Talksport 2 Radio UK
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
V Sport Xtra · Viaplay Sweden
United States
CBS Sports Golazo Network · Paramount+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Birmingham City
WDDLW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 8 GA 7 · xG 9.57–6.84 · xPts 8.61
- W
A
Derby County
2–1
xG 2.63–1.18
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–2
xG 1.94–1.13
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 1.69–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.42–1.02
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP
DDWDDLW 2W 4D 1L · 10 pts (1.43 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 12.08–8.9 · xPts 11.7
- W
A
Derby County
2–1
xG 2.63–1.18
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–2
xG 1.94–1.13
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 1.69–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.42–1.02
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
Middlesbrough
WDWWD 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 11 GA 7 · xG 8.92–6.76 · xPts 8.25
- D
H
Millwall
2–2
xG 1.73–1.37
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
4–3
xG 2.1–1.64
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–0
xG 2.07–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.01–0.9
UK CHAMP
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3–1
xG 2.01–1.32
UK CHAMP
LWLWDWWD 4W 2D 2L · 14 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 14 GA 11 · xG 14.14–9.8 · xPts 13.54
- D
H
Millwall
2–2
xG 1.73–1.37
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
4–3
xG 2.1–1.64
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–0
xG 2.07–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.01–0.9
UK CHAMP
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3–1
xG 2.01–1.32
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Blackburn Rovers
1–2
xG 1.57–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Lincoln City
2–1
xG 2.9–0.89
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Hull City
0–1
xG 0.75–1.22
UK CHAMP
full sample 8 meetings 2021–2026 · 2 on neutral ground
Last 8
Goals 5–13 · Birmingham City hosting: 0W 0D 4L · Middlesbrough hosting: 2W 0D 0L
At St. Andrew's Stadium: 4 meetings · Birmingham City 0 · draws 0 · Middlesbrough 4 · 2.75 goals per match · last away win Mar 2026
All-time since 2002: 36 meetings · Birmingham City 10 · draws 5 · Middlesbrough 21
- Birmingham City haven't beaten Middlesbrough since Oct 2021
- Middlesbrough have won the last 7 meetings
This fixture vs the league league = last 365 days
| Metric | Fixture | League | Δ | n |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals per match | 2.25 | 2.62 | -0.37 | 8 |
| Both teams score | 38% | 58% | -20% | 8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 52% | -14% | 8 |
| Corners | 10.6 | 10.4 | +0.2 | 8 |
| Cards | 3.9 | 4.1 | -0.2 | 8 |
2 with 4+ goals · 1.00 first-half goals per match · red card in 1
How these games go · 8 with event data
| Birmingham City | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored first | 1 of 8 | 7 of 8 |
| Scored first and won | 1 | 7 |
| Won from behind | 0 | 0 |
first goal on average in minute 36 · goal after the 75th minute in 2
When the goals come · all goals, 8 meetings
0-15'1
16-30'6
31-45'1
46-60'6
61-75'2
76-90'2
1 equaliser · 2 headers
Expected goals · last 2 with xG
Deserved on xG: Birmingham City 1 · level 1 · Middlesbrough 0 — actual wins in those games 0 / 3
Against the market · 8 with closing odds
Favourite won 7 (88%), drew 0, upset 1 · market favoured Birmingham City 0×, Middlesbrough 8× · avg favourite 46%, avg price of the actual result 43%
Fixture specialists
- 2 Matt Targett Middlesbrough · last Mar 2026
- 2 Matt Crooks Middlesbrough · last Jan 2023
- 2 Chuba Akpom Middlesbrough · in 2 games · last Jan 2023
- 1 Marvin Ducksch Birmingham City · last Mar 2026
- 1 David Strelec Middlesbrough · last Mar 2026
Last meeting · 2026-03-02 · UK CHAMP
Birmingham City 1-3 Middlesbrough · ref Thomas Kirk
- 13' Matt Targett assist Aidan Morris 0–1
- 26' Matt Targett assist Hayden Hackney 0–2
- 48' Marvin Ducksch assist Jay Stansfield 1–2
- 60' David Strelec assist Luke Ayling 1–3
xG 0.70 – 0.74 · corners 8 · cards 6
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · day before ·
Match result
38.4%Birmingham City P 35%26.5%Draw P 27%35.1%Middlesbrough P 39%
Over / under 2.5
49.7%Over 2.5 P 57%50.3%Under 2.5 P 43%
Both teams to score
54.4%Yes45.6%No
Expected
- Birmingham City goals
- 1.37 (0–3)
- Middlesbrough goals
- 1.3 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.09 (7–16)
- Cards
- 4.04 (2–7)
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
36.6%Birmingham City27.4%Draw36.0%Middlesbrough
Over / under 2.5
44.2%Over 2.555.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
47.9%Yes52.1%No
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 36 matches since 2002
Goals 40–55 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 7–17 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Middlesbrough 2–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 1–3 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Middlesbrough 1–0 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Middlesbrough 0–2 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Middlesbrough 0–1 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 7 | Birmingham City at home · 3 | Middlesbrough all · 7 | Middlesbrough away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 1 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 2.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.29 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 14% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 86% | – | 86% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | – | 1.91 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | – | 1.23 | – |
| xG difference | 0.45 | – | 0.69 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.30 | – | 0.09 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | – | 1.79 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | – | 0.21 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 14% | – | 57% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.75 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.20 | – | 2.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 80% | – | 75% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 15% | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes level | 67% | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | – | 22% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 31 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 32 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 57% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 22% | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.43 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | – | 61% | – |
| Shots | 13.0 | – | 17.9 | – |
| On target | 4.4 | – | 5.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 62% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Corners | 6.1 | – | 6.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 35% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | – | 17.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 56.9 | – | 63.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 70% | – | 88% | – |
| Fouls | 12.1 | – | 9.6 | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | 1.14 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'11
Middlesbrough
0–15'33
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'23
61–75'33
76–90'30
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552
Game state
When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296
Situations
At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53
Middlesbrough · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294
Game state
When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697
Situations
At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417
Congested vs rested +0.61 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
Middlesbrough
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.95 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0.89 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.07 | 1.53 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 0.9 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 10 | Birmingham City at home · 10 | Middlesbrough all · 10 | Middlesbrough away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 5 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 2 / 5 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.82 | 1.70 | 1.73 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | -0.30 | -0.23 | -0.61 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.03 | -0.06 | -0.14 | -0.54 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 50% | 50% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.17 | 0.60 | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 83% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 100% | 80% | 57% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 34% | 30% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 50% | 55% | 59% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 16% | 15% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 29 | 28 | 15 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 39 | 41 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | 36% | 53% | 36% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 33% | 58% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 54% | 60% | 59% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 14.6 | 17.8 | 16.3 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.7 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 8% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 67% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 26% | 25% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 40% | 15% | 13% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 13.2 | 17.9 | 14.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 61.2 | 61.7 | 60.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 75% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.6 | 9.5 | 8.8 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'32
16–30'42
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'12
Middlesbrough
0–15'43
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'23
61–75'33
76–90'31
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.82 | 1.38 |
Middlesbrough
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.49 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.95 | 1.44 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 0.9 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 50 | Birmingham City at home · 25 | Middlesbrough all · 52 | Middlesbrough away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 52 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 17 / 15 | 11 / 11 / 3 | 22 / 16 / 14 | 9 / 8 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.34 | 1.72 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.08 | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 24% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 8% | 25% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 72% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 52% | 56% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.02 | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.20 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| xG difference | 0.32 | 0.82 | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.30 | -0.13 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.55 | 1.87 | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.11 | -0.11 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 64% | 52% | 58% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.38 | 2.19 | 1.87 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 67% | 46% | 40% |
| Leads held | 75% | 69% | 71% | 56% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 36% | 32% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 51% | 48% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 13% | 20% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 32 | 34 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 41 | 44 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 44% | 48% | 39% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 44% | 58% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Late goals against | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 54% | 60% | 58% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 17.2 | 16.7 | 15.4 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.8 | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 64% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.1 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 24% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 24% | 13% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 14.0 | 17.6 | 20.1 | 18.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.0 | 62.5 | 63.2 | 62.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.2 | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.16 | 1.46 | 1.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'1110
16–30'1212
31–45'1217
46–60'99
61–75'117
76–90'128
Middlesbrough
0–15'1210
16–30'139
31–45'166
46–60'1310
61–75'1411
76–90'1113
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1550
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1450
Late push (76+, level)+0.2020
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4817
Game state
When ahead+0.0424
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.1427
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.5340
Situations
With ten men+0.573
Against ten men-0.004
At home+0.1825
Away+0.1225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0628
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2016
As favourite+0.2524
Evenly matched-0.0419
As underdog+0.297
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0050
Conceded when ahead+0.0624
Conceded late (76+)-0.2044
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.07
Middlesbrough · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.50) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5052
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5852
Late push (76+, level)+0.2625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4715
Game state
When ahead+0.3831
When level+0.4452
When behind+0.8125
10 min after conceding+0.2039
10 min after scoring+0.9338
Situations
Against ten men-0.292
At home+0.4126
Away+0.5926
3 days rest or fewer+0.6117
4+ days rest+0.4535
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.4228
v bottom-tier opponents+0.6617
As favourite+0.5528
Evenly matched+0.4522
As underdog+0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1852
Conceded when ahead-0.1331
Conceded late (76+)-0.1946
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level +0.37
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 96% | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.91 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
Middlesbrough
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 27% | 2.43 | 2.21 | 1.0 | 1.63 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 21% | 1.0 | 0.91 | 1.09 | 1.68 | 1.29 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 10 19% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.95 | 1.19 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 12% | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.67 | 1.2 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.25 | 1.19 | 0.79 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 88 snapshots · last 2.0h before kick-off
2.77Home 35% ▲ +2.9 ptsopened 2.943.65Draw 27% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.542.51Away 39% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 2.28
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.77 ▲ +2.9 | 3.65 · -0.1 | 2.51 ▼ -2.8 | 2.0h |
| bet365 | 2.7 ▲ +2.7 | 3.6 ▼ -1.0 | 2.45 ▼ -1.7 | 2.0h |
| Betfair | 2.7 ▲ +2.5 | 3.6 · -0.5 | 2.45 ▼ -2.1 | 2.0h |
| BetVictor | 2.7 ▲ +3.1 | 3.6 · -0.8 | 2.45 ▼ -2.3 | 2.0h |
| Coral | 2.7 ▲ +1.5 | 3.6 · -0.4 | 2.4 ▼ -1.1 | 2.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 2.7 ▲ +1.6 | 3.6 · -0.4 | 2.4 ▼ -1.2 | 2.0h |
| Unibet | 2.85 · +0.6 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 2.32 · -0.7 | 2.0h |
| WilliamHill | 2.7 ▲ +1.1 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 2.4 ▼ -1.8 | 2.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 119 snapshots · last 2.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.9 pts at 2.8d
1.53Yes 61% ▲ +3.0 ptsopened 1.612.37No 39% ▼ -3.0 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +3.0 | 2.37 ▼ -3.0 | 2.0h |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +2.6 | 2.45 ▼ -2.6 | 2.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +4.5 | 2.4 ▼ -4.5 | 2.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.53 ▲ +4.0 | 2.4 ▼ -4.0 | 2.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 88 snapshots · last 2.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.2 pts at 3.7d
1.68Over 57% · -0.9 ptsopened 1.622.27Under 43% · +0.9 ptsopened 2.27
Over Under consensus of 4 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.68 · -0.9 | 2.27 · +0.9 | 2.0h |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +4.4 | 2.2 ▼ -4.4 | 2.0h |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +2.3 | 2.2 ▼ -2.3 | 2.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.63 ▲ +4.0 | 2.1 ▼ -4.0 | 2.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 2.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.6Draw 26% P 27%2.45Away 39% P 39%
Double Chance
1.53Birmingham or Draw 31%1.28Birmingham or Middlesbrough 37%1.44Draw or Middlesbrough 33%
Draw No Bet
1.91 49%1.82 51%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 59%2.25Under 41% P 41%
3.52.0Over 46% P 38%1.72Under 54% P 62%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 39% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
David Webb
- Career
- 296 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.26 | 4.05 | -1.43 | 6 |
| Fouls / match | 20.4 | 21.8 | -1.29 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 5.4 | +1.45 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.22 | 47 |
| Time added | 7.6 | 7.2 | +0.44 | 63 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 1 | 7' | 7 |
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 69' | 7 |
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 60' | 10 |
| 2026-04-22 · Middlesbrough | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 30' | 8 |
| 2026-04-12 · Birmingham City | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 25' | 9 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 53' | 5 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 27' | 6 |
| 2026-03-07 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2026-02-24 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 56' | 6 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23' | 5 |