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Championship · Matchweek 7

Momentum

WBAQPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
Capacity
26,445
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,547

Teams

Coaches
James Morrison · Julien Stéphan
Position
2 · 4
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.2° (feels 20.3°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
77%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

West Bromwich Albion

WLDWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.36–6.24 · xPts 6.94

  • W A Derby County 1–0 xG 0.77–1.37 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 1–0 xG 1.43–1.26 UK CHAMP
  • D H Charlton Athletic 1–1 xG 0.82–0.49 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–3 xG 1.32–2.01 UK CHAMP
  • W H Burnley 3–1 xG 2.02–1.1 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

DWWLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 8.32–4.83 · xPts 9.13

  • D A Charlton Athletic 0–0 xG 0.81–0.8 UK CHAMP
  • L H Middlesbrough 0–1 xG 1.53–2.07 UK CHAMP
  • W H Cardiff City 2–1 xG 2.2–0.64 UK CHAMP
  • W A Blackburn Rovers 2–1 xG 1.61–1.2 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bolton Wanderers 0–0 xG 2.16–0.12 UK CHAMP

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

45.1%West Bromwich Albion P 44%26.9%Draw P 29%28.0%Queens Park Rangers P 27%

Over / under 2.5

46.1%Over 2.5 P 50%53.9%Under 2.5 P 50%

Both teams to score

50.6%Yes49.4%No

Expected

West Bromwich Albion goals
1.44 (0–3)
Queens Park Rangers goals
1.08 (0–2)
Corners
9.25 (5–13)
Cards
4.04 (2–7)

Earlier: day before — 45.1% / 26.9% / 28.0%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

45.7%West Bromwich Albion27.7%Draw26.6%Queens Park Rangers

Over / under 2.5

45.9%Over 2.554.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

49.8%Yes50.2%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.3150.817
ou_2_5under0.6180.425
bttsyes0.6820.488

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 29 matches since 2006

West Bromwich Albion 158 draws6 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 57–40 · 3.34 per match · BTTS 72% · over 2.5 62%

Last 10 · 10 matches

West Bromwich Albion 53 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 15–11 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

West Bromwich Albion 31 draws1 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Queens Park Rangers 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 1–0 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWest Bromwich Albion all · 7West Bromwich Albion at home · 4Queens Park Rangers all · 7Queens Park Rangers away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game2.001.71
W / D / L4 / 2 / 13 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match1.431.14
Goals against / match1.000.71
Clean sheets29%29%
Failed to score0%43%
Both teams scored71%57%
Over 2.543%43%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.391.55
xG against / match1.341.19
xG difference0.050.36
Finishing vs xG0.04-0.41
xPts / match1.431.60
Points vs xPts0.570.11
Game state
Scored first57%29%
PPG when scoring first2.502.00
PPG when conceding first1.332.00
Came back from behind67%67%
Leads held80%75%
Minutes leading31%20%
Minutes level61%66%
Minutes trailing8%14%
First goal (min)4440
First goal conceded (min)5140
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half60%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half71%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.00
Late goals against0.290.00
Style
Possession53%49%
Shots10.114.9
On target4.05.0
Shot conversion14%8%
Shots inside box68%70%
Big chances created1.42.1
Corners4.66.3
xG from set plays25%19%
Goals from headers11%14%
Pressure index12.314.6
Dominant minutes49.155.1
Pass accuracy85%84%
Fouls9.79.1
Cards2.431.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

West Bromwich Albion

0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'32
76–90'12

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'01
16–30'01
31–45'51
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'00

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292

Game state

When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387

Situations

At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257

Congested vs rested -0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.22

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

West Bromwich Albion

Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%2.51.250.51.161.42
4-4-1-12 29%1.52.02.01.671.55
4-2-3-11 14%1.01.01.01.720.58

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%1.751.00.751.541.18
4-2-3-13 43%1.671.330.671.561.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.6d before kick-off · 70 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -4.7 pts at 4.5h · late move: home +1.5 pts inside the final hour

2.2Home 44% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 2.093.36Draw 29% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 3.563.54Away 27% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 3.3
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.2 ▼ -1.13.36 ▲ +2.33.54 ▼ -1.210m
bet3652.2 ▼ -5.83.25 ▲ +2.53.25 ▲ +3.310m
Betfair2.2 ▼ -6.33.3 ▲ +3.63.4 ▲ +2.710m
BetVictor2.15 ▼ -3.83.3 ▲ +2.33.4 ▲ +1.510m
Coral2.2 ▼ -5.73.4 ▲ +2.23.25 ▲ +3.510m
Ladbrokes2.15 ▼ -4.73.4 ▲ +2.13.25 ▲ +2.710m
Unibet1.96 ▼ -3.53.5 ▲ +1.03.6 ▲ +2.510m
WilliamHill2.15 ▼ -5.53.1 ▲ +3.33.3 ▲ +2.210m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 42% P 44%3.25Draw 29% P 29%3.25Away 29% P 27%

Double Chance

1.28West Brom or Draw 37%1.3West Brom or QPR 37%1.8Draw or QPR 26%

Draw No Bet

1.571 59%2.252 41%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 50%2.0Under 47% P 50%

Total Corners

9.0Under 6 10%3.16 - 8 29%2.629 - 11 34%4.512 - 14 20%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 56%2.0Under 46% P 44%
4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home44%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.550%51%51%-0.1

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4098
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.66
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added7.57.2+0.3259
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-01 20 170 9'5
2026-08-22 60 220 9'11
2026-05-02 30 260 25'3
2026-04-18 20 200 54'10
2026-04-03 · Queens Park Rangers 100 350 23'9
2026-03-07 81 190 23'9
2026-02-25 15 9
2026-02-17 50 240 40'8
2026-02-07 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 80 290 45'12