Rating 7.02 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– Swansea CityBurnley –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Swansea City | at home | Stat | league | away | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.6 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 49.4 #13 |
| 12.4 #16 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.3 #10 |
| 5.1 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #15 |
| 4.7 #18 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.0 #15 |
| 9.0 #22 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.9 #15 |
| 2.4 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 17.7 #3 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.6 #21 |
| 105.3 #4 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 84.6 #21 |
| 43.6 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 41.6 #19 |
| 532.7 #2 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 461.7 #7 |
| 1.9 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #10 |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.9 #13 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #4 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #15 |
| -0.0 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #14 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 1.6 #7 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 #14 |
| 0.7 #23 | 0.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.3 #1 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.1 #21 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #24 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.1 #10 |
| 7.6 #19 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.1 #16 |
| 3.6 #23 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.3 #5 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.1 #3 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #23 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Swansea City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.96 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (70th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Burnley · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.77 (31th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 6.77 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Rating 6.83 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Absences
Burnley
- injury Josh Cullen midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 36 missed · until 2026-10-01
- injury Mike Tresor midfielder · Unknown Injury · 107 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
- Capacity
- 20,827
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,390
Teams
- Coaches
- Vítor Matos · Nicky Hayen
- Position
- 4 · 23
- Formation
- 4-3-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
James Bell
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 17.7° (feels 18.0°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 94%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Swansea City
DWWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 3 · xG 8.92–6.42 · xPts 7.97
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 1.34–1.72
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
0–0
xG 0.87–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
2–0
xG 3.08–1.11
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Derby County
3–0
xG 2.96–0.82
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
WDWWDL 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 9.89–7.31 · xPts 9.38
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 1.34–1.72
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
0–0
xG 0.87–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Watford
2–0
xG 3.08–1.11
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Derby County
3–0
xG 2.96–0.82
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
2–1
xG 0.97–0.89
UK CHAMP
Burnley
LLDLD 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 5 GA 11 · xG 5.04–8.07 · xPts 4.8
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.57–1.76
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Bristol City
1–2
xG 0.34–0.95
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 0.9–1.01
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–4
xG 1.13–2.33
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–3
xG 1.1–2.02
UK CHAMP
LDDLLDLD 0W 4D 4L · 4 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 8 GA 15 · xG 9.7–13.33 · xPts 8.33
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.57–1.76
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Bristol City
1–2
xG 0.34–0.95
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 0.9–1.01
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–4
xG 1.13–2.33
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–3
xG 1.1–2.02
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
2–2
xG 2.99–1.55
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–1
xG 1.28–2.31
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.39–1.4
UK PL
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
48.3%Swansea City P 45%26.3%Draw P 28%25.4%Burnley P 27%
Over / under 2.5
46.5%Over 2.5 P 50%53.5%Under 2.5 P 50%
Both teams to score
50.2%Yes49.8%No
Expected
- Swansea City goals
- 1.51 (0–3)
- Burnley goals
- 1.02 (0–2)
- Corners
- 8.74 (5–13)
- Cards
- 4.37 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 48.3% / 26.3% / 25.4%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
48.0%Swansea City27.0%Draw24.9%Burnley
Over / under 2.5
44.1%Over 2.555.9%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
48.0%Yes52.0%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.728 | 0.401 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.765 | 0.572 |
| btts | yes | 0.689 | 0.496 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 15 matches since 2008
Goals 16–17 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 33% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 10–14 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Swansea City 3–1 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Swansea City 0–2 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Burnley 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Swansea City 1–2 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Burnley 4–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Swansea City 1–0 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- L Burnley 2–0 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Swansea City 3–2 Burnley UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–1 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
- W Burnley 0–1 Swansea City UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Swansea City all · 7 | Swansea City at home · 4 | Burnley all · 7 | Burnley away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | 0.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 | – | 0 / 3 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.71 | – | 2.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 57% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | – | 1.32 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.22 | – | 1.58 | – |
| xG difference | 0.40 | – | -0.26 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.05 | – | -0.18 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.56 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.44 | – | -0.74 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 0.33 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 43% | – | 10% | – |
| Minutes level | 42% | – | 39% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | – | 51% | – |
| First goal (min) | 19 | – | 45 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | – | 29 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | – | 62% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | 12.4 | – | 14.4 | – |
| On target | 5.1 | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 61% | – | 57% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 34% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | – | 9.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | – | 43.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | 83% | – |
| Fouls | 9.1 | – | 10.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.86 | – | 2.29 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swansea City
0–15'32
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'20
76–90'11
Burnley
0–15'14
16–30'23
31–45'01
46–60'32
61–75'04
76–90'22
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Swansea City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222
Game state
When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355
Situations
At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01
Burnley · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224
Game state
When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 29% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 1.82 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.33 | 1.17 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
| Metric | Swansea City all · 10 | Swansea City at home · 10 | Burnley all · 10 | Burnley away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 1.60 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 0 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.40 | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 1.57 | 1.25 | 0.96 |
| xG against / match | 1.34 | 1.70 | 1.62 | 1.87 |
| xG difference | 0.29 | -0.13 | -0.37 | -0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | -0.17 | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.51 | 1.29 | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.31 | -0.60 | -0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.40 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 44% | 11% |
| Leads held | 86% | 67% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 31% | 11% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 55% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 10% | 14% | 46% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 40 | 41 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 55 | 44 | 29 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 50% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 45% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 13.5 | 13.7 | 10.8 |
| On target | 5.7 | 4.1 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 10% | 8% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 65% | 54% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 40% | 20% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 15% | 0% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 12.7 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.6 | 50.4 | 42.2 | 41.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 8.3 | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swansea City
0–15'42
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'30
76–90'44
Burnley
0–15'25
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'53
61–75'04
76–90'22
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.44 | 1.11 | 2.11 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
| Metric | Swansea City all · 49 | Swansea City at home · 25 | Burnley all · 43 | Burnley away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 43 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.45 | 1.72 | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 11 / 18 | 12 / 7 / 6 | 4 / 13 / 26 | 2 / 4 / 15 |
| Goals for / match | 1.31 | 1.48 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.27 | 1.08 | 2.02 | 2.43 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 36% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 16% | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% | 70% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 52% | 56% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.06 | -0.86 | -1.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.31 | 1.39 | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | 0.33 | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 60% | 28% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.39 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 40% | 30% | 21% |
| Leads held | 74% | 71% | 29% | 29% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 30% | 11% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 51% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 19% | 45% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 43 | 45 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 32 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 58% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 50% | 49% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 56% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.0 | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 62% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 38% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 12% | 13% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 13.0 | 15.4 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | 56.5 | 35.2 | 32.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.0 | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.92 | 1.88 | 1.95 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swansea City
0–15'98
16–30'106
31–45'715
46–60'1012
61–75'126
76–90'1514
Burnley
0–15'517
16–30'88
31–45'1019
46–60'811
61–75'513
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Swansea City · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1849
Late push (76+, level)-0.1119
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0718
Game state
When ahead+0.1527
When level+0.0849
When behind+0.1625
10 min after conceding-0.0535
10 min after scoring+0.3338
Situations
Against ten men-0.332
At home+0.1525
Away+0.0824
3 days rest or fewer+0.1016
4+ days rest+0.1333
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0125
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2119
As favourite+0.2814
Evenly matched+0.2617
As underdog-0.1518
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0149
Conceded when ahead-0.1027
Conceded late (76+)-0.0547
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.08
Burnley · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943
Late push (76+, level)-0.4719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227
Game state
When ahead-0.2414
When level-0.2943
When behind-0.2037
10 min after conceding-0.2839
10 min after scoring+0.0731
Situations
With ten men-0.362
At home-0.2322
Away-0.2721
3 days rest or fewer-0.218
4+ days rest-0.2635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3425
v mid-tier opponents-0.0712
As favourite-0.023
Evenly matched-0.075
As underdog-0.2935
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4443
Conceded when ahead+0.8114
Conceded late (76+)+0.3940
Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 37% | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 14 29% | 1.93 | 1.5 | 0.79 | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 22% | 1.55 | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.88 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.81 | 1.43 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 44% | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 19% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 5-4-1 | 7 16% | 0.14 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 0.61 | 1.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 1.19 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.8 pts at 7.0h
2.14Home 45% ▲ +4.3 ptsopened 2.33.5Draw 28% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.413.6Away 27% ▼ -4.4 ptsopened 3.01
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14 ▲ +4.3 | 3.5 · +0.1 | 3.6 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.05 ▲ +3.5 | 3.5 · -0.8 | 3.4 ▼ -2.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.05 ▲ +1.5 | 3.4 ▲ +1.7 | 3.5 ▼ -3.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.1 ▲ +2.5 | 3.5 · +0.1 | 3.4 ▼ -2.7 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.1 ▲ +1.1 | 3.5 ▲ +1.5 | 3.4 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 ▲ +2.5 | 3.5 · +1.0 | 3.4 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.1 · +0.4 | 3.5 · -0.4 | 3.25 · -0.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.05 ▲ +2.1 | 3.3 ▲ +1.6 | 3.4 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes -2.1 pts at 24.0h
1.72Yes 54% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 1.662.0No 46% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 ▼ -2.1 | 2.0 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +2.3 | 2.2 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▼ -1.9 | 2.05 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.64 · -0.4 | 2.12 · +0.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.2 pts at 24.0h
1.93Over 50% · -0.8 ptsopened 1.871.96Under 50% · +0.8 ptsopened 1.96
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.93 · -0.8 | 1.96 · +0.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.83 · +0.7 | 1.91 · -0.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.82 ▼ -1.8 | 1.85 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.78 · +0.1 | 1.97 · -0.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.05Home 46% P 45%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.4Away 28% P 27%
Double Chance
1.28Swansea or Draw 37%1.28Swansea or Burnley 37%1.8Draw or Burnley 26%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
7.0Under 6 12%2.756 - 8 31%2.629 - 11 33%5.012 - 14 17%13.0Over 14 7%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
4.52.1Over 44% P 39%1.66Under 56% P 61%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 45% | 46% | 44% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 30% | +1.8 |
| Away | 27% | 26% | 26% | +0.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
James Bell
- Career
- 75 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.96 | 4.05 | -0.17 | 47 |
| Fouls / match | 20.4 | 21.8 | -1.36 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.48 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.20 | 49 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.2 | +0.56 | 67 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 10' | 9 |
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 49' | 8 |
| 2026-02-06 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4' | 11 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 67' | 6 |
| 2026-01-01 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2025-12-26 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2025-12-13 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 25' | 9 |
| 2025-12-09 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 80' | 7 |
| 2025-11-25 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 37' | 7 |
| 2025-11-05 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 38' | 9 |