Rating 7.32 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– SouthamptonBristol City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Southampton | at home | Stat | league | away | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 46.0 #17 |
| 15.9 #4 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.1 #11 |
| 4.6 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.3 #10 |
| 6.0 #7 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.7 #12 |
| 8.4 #24 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.9 #6 |
| 2.4 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| 12.0 #23 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.1 #22 |
| 96.3 #9 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 85.3 #19 |
| 42.1 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 37.4 #23 |
| 487.6 #6 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 364.7 #17 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #18 |
| 1.8 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| 0.7 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.2 #6 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 2.6 #2 | 3.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 #9 |
| 1.1 #19 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 #6 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 7.6 #17 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.4 #18 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 0.3 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #21 |
| 4.9 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 2.9 #22 |
| 11.6 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 10.1 #8 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 4.3 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Southampton · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 0 (39% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (22% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Bristol City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.3 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 5 (50% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 6.93 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.79 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Southampton
- injury Mads Roerslev defender · Knee Injury · 50 missed
Bristol City
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 81 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
- Capacity
- 32,384
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 30,132
Teams
- Coaches
- Tonda Eckert · Michael Skubala
- Position
- 13 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Samuel Allison
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 20.7° (feels 20.7°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 73%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Southampton
WWDDW 3W 2D 0L · 11 pts (2.2 ppg) · GF 13 GA 5 · xG 9.06–7.99 · xPts 7.62
- W
H
Swansea City
3–1
xG 1.72–1.34
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Lincoln City
1–1
xG 0.79–2.88
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 1.02–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
LWWDDW 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 14 GA 7 · xG 10.63–9.22 · xPts 9.22
- W
H
Swansea City
3–1
xG 1.72–1.34
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Lincoln City
1–1
xG 0.79–2.88
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 1.02–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP
Bristol City
LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 5.05–8.52 · xPts 5.21
- W
A
Burnley
2–1
xG 0.95–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 0.49–3.12
UK CHAMP
LDWWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 7 · xG 5.05–8.52 · xPts 5.21
- W
A
Burnley
2–1
xG 0.95–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 0.49–3.12
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
59.1%Southampton P 57%21.3%Draw P 22%19.6%Bristol City P 21%
Over / under 2.5
61.5%Over 2.5 P 60%38.5%Under 2.5 P 40%
Both teams to score
58.8%Yes41.2%No
Expected
- Southampton goals
- 2.07 (0–4)
- Bristol City goals
- 1.11 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.57 (7–16)
- Cards
- 3.96 (1–7)
Earlier: day before — 59.1% / 21.3% / 19.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
49.1%Southampton27.4%Draw23.5%Bristol City
Over / under 2.5
48.5%Over 2.551.5%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
51.4%Yes48.6%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.525 | 0.251 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.486 | 0.296 |
| btts | yes | 0.531 | 0.34 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 11 matches since 2007
Goals 12–17 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 46%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–15 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–9 · 3.6 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Southampton 4–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Southampton 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 3–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Southampton 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 2–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 0–1 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Southampton 2–0 Bristol City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Southampton all · 7 | Southampton at home · 4 | Bristol City all · 7 | Bristol City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 | – | 3 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.57 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.14 | – | 1.71 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 100% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | – | 1.27 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | – | 1.59 | – |
| xG difference | 0.13 | – | -0.32 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.78 | – | 0.16 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | – | 1.26 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.52 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | – | 2.33 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 41% | – | 21% | – |
| Minutes level | 45% | – | 53% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | – | 26% | – |
| First goal (min) | 32 | – | 43 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | – | 53 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | – | 70% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 75% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.86 | – | 0.71 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 15.7 | – | 13.7 | – |
| On target | 4.6 | – | 4.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 10% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | – | 2.4 | – |
| Corners | 6.0 | – | 5.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 28% | – | 41% | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | – | 30% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | – | 14.9 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 54.7 | – | 51.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | – | 75% | – |
| Fouls | 8.3 | – | 11.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.43 | – | 1.71 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Southampton
0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'50
46–60'22
61–75'21
76–90'61
Bristol City
0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Southampton · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393
Game state
When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297
Situations
At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565
Situations
At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 2.0 | 2.57 | 1.14 | 1.8 | 1.67 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.27 | 1.59 |
| Metric | Southampton all · 10 | Southampton at home · 10 | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 90% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 100% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.84 | 2.06 | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.37 | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.69 | -0.44 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.46 | 0.74 | 0.29 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | 1.79 | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.58 | 0.81 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.20 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 20% | 40% |
| Leads held | 75% | 89% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 37% | 28% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 51% | 44% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 13% | 27% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 33 | 38 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 36 | 45 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 59% | 67% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 54% | 62% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 54% | 47% | 47% |
| Shots | 15.4 | 15.1 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.3 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 15% | 18% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 28% | 43% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 14% | 27% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 14.2 | 14.2 | 12.6 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.0 | 56.9 | 46.5 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.5 | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Southampton
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'60
46–60'33
61–75'21
76–90'71
Bristol City
0–15'31
16–30'02
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'74
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.78 | 1.7 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.92 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Southampton all · 55 | Southampton at home · 27 | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 27 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.26 | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 14 / 11 | 18 / 7 / 2 | 18 / 10 / 22 | 8 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.91 | 2.07 | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Goals against / match | 1.18 | 0.85 | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 33% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 11% | 34% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 74% | 63% | 48% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 63% | 48% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 1.74 | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.16 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.57 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.28 | 0.34 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | 1.72 | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.39 | 0.54 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 63% | 38% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.76 | 2.37 | 2.43 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.28 | 1.50 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 75% | 27% | 33% |
| Leads held | 73% | 86% | 78% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 42% | 27% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 48% | 43% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 32 | 34 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 42 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 48% | 55% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 56% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 15.1 | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.2 | 5.1 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 20% | 27% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 16.6 | 18.4 | 13.4 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.9 | 60.5 | 45.6 | 42.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.6 | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.75 | 1.52 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Southampton
0–15'156
16–30'189
31–45'159
46–60'1914
61–75'1412
76–90'2215
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1110
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Southampton · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: against ten men +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2355
Late push (76+, level)+0.3925
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3711
Game state
When ahead+0.1140
When level+0.2755
When behind+0.4822
10 min after conceding+0.0342
10 min after scoring+0.3849
Situations
Against ten men+0.803
At home+0.1727
Away+0.3228
3 days rest or fewer+0.2420
4+ days rest+0.2435
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.423
v mid-tier opponents+0.3028
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1916
As favourite+0.3231
Evenly matched+0.2819
As underdog-0.295
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0055
Conceded when ahead-0.0440
Conceded late (76+)-0.1949
Congested vs rested -0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.21
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0550
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1223
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5232
Situations
At home+0.0925
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1417
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2516
As favourite+0.3316
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0650
Conceded when ahead+0.1723
Conceded late (76+)+0.0546
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 54% | 2.2 | 2.17 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 24% | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 7% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.69 | 0.9 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.39 | 2.18 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.96 | 2.9 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.1 pts at 30m
1.7Home 57% · +0.2 ptsopened 1.664.29Draw 22% · -0.3 ptsopened 4.114.62Away 21% · +0.1 ptsopened 4.51
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.7 · +0.2 | 4.29 · -0.3 | 4.62 · +0.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▼ -1.1 | 4.0 · -0.2 | 4.75 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▼ -3.8 | 4.0 ▲ +2.0 | 4.6 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▼ -2.0 | 4.1 · +0.6 | 4.6 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.67 ▼ -2.0 | 4.2 ▲ +1.1 | 4.6 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.67 ▼ -2.2 | 4.2 · +0.8 | 4.5 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.67 ▼ -4.2 | 4.0 ▲ +1.2 | 4.5 ▲ +3.0 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▼ -2.0 | 4.0 · +0.2 | 4.4 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.2 pts at 3.5d · late move: yes +1.2 pts inside the final hour
1.57Yes 59% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 1.612.25No 41% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.2
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +1.2 | 2.25 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▼ -1.4 | 2.45 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.55 · +0.3 | 2.25 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.58 ▲ +1.8 | 2.23 ▼ -1.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 · +0.0 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 50m · late move: under -1.2 pts inside the final hour
1.6Over 60% · +0.8 ptsopened 1.62.43Under 40% · -0.8 ptsopened 2.35
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.6 · +0.8 | 2.43 · -0.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▼ -1.3 | 2.3 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 · -0.2 | 2.3 · +0.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.56 · -0.6 | 2.23 · +0.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.58 · -0.2 | 2.28 · +0.2 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.66Home 57% P 57%4.0Draw 24% P 22%4.75Away 20% P 21%
Double Chance
1.18Southampton or Draw 40%1.22Southampton or Bristol City 38%2.1Draw or Bristol City 22%
Draw No Bet
1.281 73%3.52 27%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 60%2.3Under 41% P 40%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 59%2.0Under 46% P 41%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 55–57.5% · away 20–22.5% · 298 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 57% | 56% | 60% | +4.1 |
| Draw | 22% | 23% | 21% | -1.7 |
| Away | 21% | 21% | 18% | -2.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 59%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Samuel Allison
- Career
- 80 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.15
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.83 | 4.05 | -0.40 | 29 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 21.8 | +0.25 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.4 | +0.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.11 | 0.17 | -0.97 | 10 |
| Time added | 7.3 | 7.2 | +0.10 | 53 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 27' | 5 |
| 2026-09-01 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 51' | 7 |
| 2026-08-22 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 5 |
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-18 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 26' | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 10' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 24' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 56' | 2 |
| 2026-02-28 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 60' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 10' | 8 |