Rating 6.86 (53th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– PNELincoln City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Preston North End | at home | Stat | league | away | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.3 #19 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 36.4 #24 |
| 12.9 #12 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.6 #15 |
| 3.1 #21 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 2.9 #23 |
| 5.6 #13 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.4 #21 |
| 10.9 #15 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 14.0 #2 |
| 1.9 #15 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.9 #4 |
| 14.7 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 18.7 #1 |
| 93.4 #13 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 81.3 #23 |
| 44.9 #11 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 42.9 #17 |
| 336.6 #21 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 272.4 #24 |
| 2.4 #5 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.7 #2 |
| 0.6 #21 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #17 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #19 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #23 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.3 #16 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #11 |
| -0.4 #21 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.7 #23 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #14 |
| 0.9 #21 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 #21 |
| 1.9 #2 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 #22 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 10.0 #6 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 11.4 #4 |
| – #1 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #13 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.7 #23 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #7 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.0 #11 |
| 7.3 #20 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.6 #13 |
| 5.0 #17 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.7 #10 |
| 5.6 #5 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Preston North End · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.99 (71th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 6.83 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Lincoln City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.05 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Rating 7.2 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Preston North End
- injury Theo Carroll midfielder · Ankle Injury · 30 missed
Lincoln City
- injury Josh Honohan defender · Unknown Injury · 46 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Deepdale, Preston
- Capacity
- 23,408
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 14,702
Teams
- Coaches
- Paul Heckingbottom · Chris Cohen
- Position
- 24 · 20
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Stephen Martin
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 18.8° (feels 18.9°)
- Wind
- 8.4
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Preston North End
LLLWL 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 7.0–6.55 · xPts 7.16
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.93–2.02
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.51–0.78
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Bristol City
1–3
xG 1.85–1.14
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
0–1
xG 0.96–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–3
xG 0.75–1.59
UK CHAMP
LLLLWL 1W 0D 5L · 3 pts (0.5 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 8.1–7.33 · xPts 8.76
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.93–2.02
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.51–0.78
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Bristol City
1–3
xG 1.85–1.14
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
0–1
xG 0.96–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–3
xG 0.75–1.59
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–2
xG 1.1–0.77
UK CHAMP
Lincoln City
LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 9.09–7.4 · xPts 8.2
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 2.88–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
LLWDD 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 9.09–7.4 · xPts 8.2
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 2.88–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
31.7%Preston North End P 40%27.0%Draw P 28%41.3%Lincoln City P 32%
Over / under 2.5
47.2%Over 2.5 P 52%52.8%Under 2.5 P 48%
Both teams to score
52.1%Yes47.9%No
Expected
- Preston North End goals
- 1.18 (0–3)
- Lincoln City goals
- 1.38 (0–3)
- Corners
- 10.81 (6–15)
- Cards
- 5.16 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 31.7% / 27.0% / 41.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
29.0%Preston North End25.8%Draw45.2%Lincoln City
Over / under 2.5
52.2%Over 2.547.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
54.8%Yes45.2%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.883 | 0.517 |
| btts | no | 0.736 | 0.543 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.638 | 0.445 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- L Preston North End 0–1 Lincoln City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Preston North End all · 7 | Preston North End at home · 4 | Lincoln City all · 7 | Lincoln City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 0.43 | – | 1.57 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 6 | – | 3 / 2 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 57% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 29% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.26 | – | 1.51 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.17 | – | 1.35 | – |
| xG difference | 0.08 | – | 0.16 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.40 | – | -0.66 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.42 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.99 | – | 0.08 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 57% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.50 | – | 2.25 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 23% | – | 19% | – |
| Minutes level | 34% | – | 61% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 43% | – | 20% | – |
| First goal (min) | 48 | – | 55 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | – | 38 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.71 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | – | 36% | – |
| Shots | 12.9 | – | 12.6 | – |
| On target | 3.1 | – | 3.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 7% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 5.6 | – | 4.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 37% | – | 46% | – |
| Goals from headers | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Pressure index | 8.3 | – | 9.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 40.3 | – | 37.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | – | 69% | – |
| Fouls | 10.3 | – | 13.6 | – |
| Cards | 2.43 | – | 2.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Preston North End
0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Preston North End · 7 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546
Game state
When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295
Situations
At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027
Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34
Lincoln City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217
Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14
Preston North End
Current: winless 2 · conceding 22
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-3-2 | 2 29% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 29% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 29% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.82 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.85 | 1.14 |
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| Metric | Preston North End all · 10 | Preston North End at home · 10 | Lincoln City all · 10 | Lincoln City away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 8 | 2 / 1 / 7 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 5 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% | 40% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 10% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.50 | 1.18 | 1.51 | 0.98 |
| xG against / match | 1.69 | 1.53 | 1.35 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.20 | -0.35 | 0.16 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.40 | -0.18 | -0.66 | 0.62 |
| xPts / match | 1.28 | 1.17 | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.68 | -0.47 | 0.08 | 1.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 20% | 50% | 75% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 12% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 67% | 67% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 17% | 24% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 27% | 37% | 49% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | 47% | 26% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 40 | 52 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 29 | 36 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 60% | 58% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 65% | 65% | 50% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.70 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 44% | 50% | 38% | 40% |
| Shots | 13.4 | 11.5 | 13.4 | 12.5 |
| On target | 3.9 | 2.9 | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 9% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 63% | 66% | 68% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 6.7 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 45% | 46% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 36% | 30% | 30% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | 9.2 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.6 | 48.1 | 41.0 | 41.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | 74% | 73% | 72% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 8.3 | 13.9 | 13.9 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.10 | 2.60 | 2.38 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Preston North End
0–15'35
16–30'32
31–45'00
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'37
Lincoln City
0–15'14
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'12
76–90'34
Preston North End
Current: winless 2 · conceding 22
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.41 | 1.84 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.85 | 1.14 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.74 | 3.04 |
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Preston North End all · 49 | Preston North End at home · 25 | Lincoln City all · 8 | Lincoln City away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 8 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 13 / 22 | 7 / 6 / 12 | 3 / 3 / 2 | 3 / 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.08 | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.45 | 1.44 | 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheets | 16% | 16% | 50% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 32% | 12% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 56% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 48% | 25% | 20% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.18 | 1.18 | 1.51 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.59 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.75 |
| xG difference | -0.41 | -0.20 | 0.16 | -0.84 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.06 | -0.10 | -0.66 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.15 | 1.25 | 1.50 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.03 | -0.17 | 0.08 | 1.36 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 37% | 28% | 62% | 100% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.06 | 2.43 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.53 | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 29% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| Leads held | 61% | 78% | 60% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 25% | 19% | 24% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 48% | 59% | 62% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 32% | 17% | 0% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 46 | 51 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | 41 | 51 | 76 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 51% | 63% | 57% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 61% | 57% | 100% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.37 | 0.44 | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 50% | 38% | 37% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 9.8 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.4 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 9% | 7% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 68% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 35% | 46% | 44% |
| Goals from headers | 24% | 22% | 50% | 50% |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | 10.5 | 15.5 | 16.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.3 | 47.1 | 44.3 | 40.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 74% | 69% | 67% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 9.3 | 14.6 | 15.4 |
| Cards | 2.04 | 2.08 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Preston North End
0–15'1114
16–30'108
31–45'611
46–60'1011
61–75'69
76–90'1218
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'22
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Preston North End · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0649
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1849
Late push (76+, level)-0.3219
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2922
Game state
When ahead-0.1223
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0931
10 min after conceding-0.2841
10 min after scoring+0.3534
Situations
At home-0.0925
Away-0.0224
3 days rest or fewer-0.0114
4+ days rest-0.0835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0918
As favourite+0.295
Evenly matched-0.0822
As underdog-0.1222
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1823
Conceded late (76+)+0.1246
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level -0.09
Lincoln City · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.098
Early press (0-15, level)+0.238
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.115
When level-0.048
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.287
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.135
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.086
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.105
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.118
Conceded when ahead-0.025
Conceded late (76+)+0.148
Congested vs rested -0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Preston North End
Current: winless 2 · conceding 22
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 20% | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 9 18% | 1.22 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| 5-3-2 | 8 16% | 0.25 | 0.63 | 1.75 | 0.96 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 14% | 1.71 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 10% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.23 | 1.86 |
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 38% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 25% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 25% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: draw +1.6 pts at 23.0h
2.39Home 40% · -0.2 ptsopened 2.323.51Draw 28% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 3.63.03Away 32% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 2.85
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.39 · -0.2 | 3.51 ▲ +1.4 | 3.03 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.37 · -0.9 | 3.4 · -0.0 | 2.87 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.45 ▼ -3.8 | 3.4 ▲ +1.1 | 2.8 ▲ +2.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 · -0.1 | 3.5 · -0.3 | 2.9 · +0.4 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.3 · -0.3 | 3.5 · +0.5 | 2.9 · -0.2 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.3 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 2.9 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.23 ▼ -1.8 | 3.45 · -0.1 | 3.0 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▼ -1.0 | 3.25 ▲ +1.1 | 2.88 · -0.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
1.66Yes 56% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.662.1No 44% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.65 · +0.0 | 2.2 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.62 · +0.0 | 2.15 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.63 · -0.1 | 2.14 · +0.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.65 · +0.0 | 2.15 · +0.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 95 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.2 pts at 7.0h
1.88Over 52% · +0.2 ptsopened 1.852.0Under 48% · -0.2 ptsopened 1.95
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.88 · +0.2 | 2.0 · -0.2 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.83 ▼ -1.6 | 1.91 ▲ +1.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.79 · -0.5 | 1.88 · +0.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.8 · -0.3 | 1.93 · +0.3 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.37Home 40% P 40%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.87Away 33% P 32%
Double Chance
1.36Preston or Draw 34%1.3Preston or Lincoln City 36%1.57Draw or Lincoln City 30%
Draw No Bet
1.611 58%2.22 42%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 58%2.1Under 44% P 42%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 40% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 32% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Stephen Martin
- Career
- 78 matches · 5 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.68 (4.58 yellow · 0.04 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.9 · 4.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 72 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.6 | 4.05 | +0.99 | 86 |
| Fouls / match | 23.0 | 21.8 | +1.06 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.59 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.11 | 0.17 | -0.94 | 12 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.2 | +0.56 | 67 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 43% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 8 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 19' | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 · Preston North End | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 10' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 8 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 29' | 8 |
| 2026-04-11 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 57' | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | 8 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 5' | 8 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-03-14 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 35' | 8 |
| 2026-03-10 | 7 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 7' | 6 |
| 2026-02-21 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 17' | 7 |
| 2026-02-14 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 36' | 15 |