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Championship · Matchweek 7

Momentum

CHAPortsmouth
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
7

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
18,836

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · John Mousinho
Position
5 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Andrew Kitchen

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
23.1° (feels 23.1°)
Wind
5.7
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

WWDLD 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 3.59–8.21 · xPts 4.35

  • D H Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.8–0.81 UK CHAMP
  • L A Stoke City 0–4 xG 0.55–2.16 UK CHAMP
  • D A West Bromwich Albion 1–1 xG 0.49–0.82 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 1–0 xG 1.03–0.96 UK CHAMP
  • W A West Ham United 2–1 xG 0.71–3.45 UK CHAMP

Portsmouth

LWLLW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.33–7.22 · xPts 7.12

  • W H Cardiff City 2–0 xG 1.63–1.23 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 0–2 xG 1.02–0.9 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 1–2 xG 1.53–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Lincoln City 3–1 xG 1.38–2.34 UK CHAMP
  • L H Queens Park Rangers 1–3 xG 1.78–1.93 UK CHAMP

KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·

Match result

40.8%Charlton Athletic P 35%27.5%Draw P 30%31.7%Portsmouth P 35%

Over / under 2.5

45.1%Over 2.5 P 44%54.9%Under 2.5 P 56%

Both teams to score

50.5%Yes49.5%No

Expected

Charlton Athletic goals
1.33 (0–3)
Portsmouth goals
1.14 (0–3)
Corners
10.58 (6–15)
Cards
4.06 (2–7)

Earlier: day before — 40.8% / 27.5% / 31.7%

Provider model (SportMonks)

Match result

40.1%Charlton Athletic27.8%Draw32.1%Portsmouth

Over / under 2.5

46.9%Over 2.553.1%Under 2.5

Both teams to score

51.7%Yes48.3%No

Scored

MarketObservedLog lossBrier
1x2draw1.2910.793
bttsno0.7030.51
ou_2_5under0.5990.407

Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.

All meetings · 11 matches since 2003

Charlton Athletic 52 draws4 Portsmouth

Goals 14–15 · 2.64 per match · BTTS 73% · over 2.5 64%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 42 draws4 Portsmouth

Goals 12–14 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 11 draws3 Portsmouth

Goals 3–6 · 1.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–3 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 0–1 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 1–2 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Portsmouth 4–2 Charlton Athletic UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 1–1 Portsmouth UK PL · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 7Charlton Athletic at home · 4Portsmouth all · 6Portsmouth away · 3
Results
Matches76
Points per game1.711.17
W / D / L3 / 3 / 12 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match0.861.17
Goals against / match1.001.33
Clean sheets43%33%
Failed to score43%33%
Both teams scored43%50%
Over 2.543%50%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.851.31
xG against / match1.461.36
xG difference-0.62-0.05
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.15
xPts / match1.051.35
Points vs xPts0.67-0.18
Game state
Scored first29%50%
PPG when scoring first3.002.00
PPG when conceding first1.330.00
Came back from behind67%0%
Leads held100%67%
Minutes leading20%30%
Minutes level60%36%
Minutes trailing20%34%
First goal (min)4836
First goal conceded (min)4328
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half83%43%
Goals conceded in 2nd half29%25%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.17
Late goals against0.000.00
Style
Possession38%54%
Shots10.314.7
On target2.64.2
Shot conversion8%8%
Shots inside box58%57%
Big chances created0.61.3
Corners4.96.7
xG from set plays40%43%
Goals from headers17%14%
Pressure index8.811.5
Dominant minutes40.150.8
Pass accuracy76%76%
Fouls10.79.3
Cards1.710.50

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'11
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'10

Portsmouth

0–15'20
16–30'11
31–45'15
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'10

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.710.861.00.851.46

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.171.171.331.311.36

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.8d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.3 pts at 9.0h

2.73Home 35% ▲ +3.1 ptsopened 2.923.26Draw 30% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.172.78Away 35% ▼ -3.1 ptsopened 2.49
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.73 ▲ +3.13.26 · -0.12.78 ▼ -3.110m
bet3652.62 · -0.93.1 · +0.72.75 · +0.210m
Betfair2.63 · -0.83.1 ▲ +1.22.8 · -0.310m
BetVictor2.63 ▼ -1.03.25 · -0.72.63 ▲ +1.710m
Coral2.7 ▼ -1.23.25 · -0.32.7 ▲ +1.510m
Ladbrokes2.62 · -0.83.2 · -0.42.62 ▲ +1.210m
Unibet2.55 ▼ -1.43.15 · -0.42.75 ▲ +1.810m
WilliamHill2.62 ▼ -1.73.0 · +0.02.62 ▲ +1.710m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 35%3.1Draw 30% P 30%2.75Away 34% P 35%

Double Chance

1.44Charlton or Draw 33%1.36Charlton or Portsmouth 35%1.44Draw or Portsmouth 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 49%1.72Under 54% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-1.6
Draw30%30%32%+2.1
Away35%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Andrew Kitchen

Career
95 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.18
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.334.05-1.318
Fouls / match22.821.8+0.84
Fouls per card7.05.4+2.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0155
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
43' on average
Card timing
11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-09-05 30 220 43'5
2026-09-01 40 250 47'4
2026-08-22 · Charlton Athletic 50 251 47'8
2026-08-17 20 220 33'8
2026-05-24 40 211 41'13
2026-04-25 30 231 16'9
2026-04-21 · Portsmouth 10 140 35'8
2026-04-11 30 220 53'10
2026-04-06 · Charlton Athletic 40 240 33'7
2026-03-14 11 150 59'10