Rating 6.84 (52th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (29% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– BOLCardiff City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Bolton Wanderers | at home | Stat | league | away | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.6 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 65.1 #1 |
| 12.7 #14 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 17.3 #2 |
| 4.7 #7 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| 5.9 #10 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 8.1 #1 |
| 10.7 #17 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.3 #18 |
| 1.6 #17 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #14 |
| 16.3 #5 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.7 #20 |
| 96.7 #7 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 110.0 #1 |
| 43.4 #14 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 68.0 #1 |
| 415.9 #12 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 528.4 #3 |
| 1.7 #14 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.9 #11 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 0.4 #22 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #17 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #1 |
| 1.2 #19 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #3 |
| -0.2 #15 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -1.0 #24 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.7 #6 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 9.9 #7 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 6.4 #24 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 2.6 #23 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| 8.7 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 12.1 #2 |
| 5.6 #12 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.4 #3 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.1 #6 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #23 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bolton Wanderers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.06 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.3 (98th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Cardiff City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.92 (69th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.32 (99th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.19 (91th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton
- Capacity
- 28,723
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 21,543
Teams
- Coaches
- Steven Schumacher · Brian Barry-Murphy
- Position
- 21 · 20
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Thomas Parsons
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 19.4° (feels 19.6°)
- Wind
- 5.5
- Humidity
- 86%
Where to watch · 10
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Bolton Wanderers
DLLLL 0W 1D 4L · 1 pts (0.2 ppg) · GF 4 GA 11 · xG 6.84–10.04 · xPts 5.11
- L
H
West Ham United
2–3
xG 1.73–2.46
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
0–4
xG 0.99–2.22
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.97–1.96
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Lincoln City
0–1
xG 2.03–1.25
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Queens Park Rangers
0–0
xG 0.12–2.16
UK CHAMP
WDLLLL 1W 1D 4L · 4 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 7.61–11.14 · xPts 6.19
- L
H
West Ham United
2–3
xG 1.73–2.46
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Millwall
0–4
xG 0.99–2.22
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.97–1.96
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Lincoln City
0–1
xG 2.03–1.25
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Queens Park Rangers
0–0
xG 0.12–2.16
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 0.77–1.1
UK CHAMP
Cardiff City
DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 9.8–8.0 · xPts 7.87
- D
H
Stoke City
1–1
xG 2.73–0.95
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Portsmouth
0–2
xG 1.23–1.63
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 0.64–2.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
2–2
xG 2.55–1.4
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Derby County
2–2
xG 2.64–1.81
UK CHAMP
DDDLLD 0W 4D 2L · 4 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 7 GA 10 · xG 10.87–9.69 · xPts 8.83
- D
H
Stoke City
1–1
xG 2.73–0.95
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Portsmouth
0–2
xG 1.23–1.63
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 0.64–2.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
2–2
xG 2.55–1.4
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Derby County
2–2
xG 2.64–1.81
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.07–1.69
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
39.7%Bolton Wanderers P 35%25.7%Draw P 26%34.6%Cardiff City P 39%
Over / under 2.5
53.0%Over 2.5 P 62%47.0%Under 2.5 P 38%
Both teams to score
56.9%Yes43.1%No
Expected
- Bolton Wanderers goals
- 1.46 (0–3)
- Cardiff City goals
- 1.34 (0–3)
- Corners
- 12.1 (7–17)
- Cards
- 3.49 (1–6)
Earlier: day before — 39.7% / 25.7% / 34.6%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
42.1%Bolton Wanderers24.1%Draw33.8%Cardiff City
Over / under 2.5
58.2%Over 2.541.8%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
60.3%Yes39.7%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 0.925 | 0.55 |
| btts | no | 0.842 | 0.648 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.756 | 0.562 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 10 matches since 2012
Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–10 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–7 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Cardiff City 2–0 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bolton Wanderers 2–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Cardiff City 2–1 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bolton Wanderers 2–3 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 0–3 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bolton Wanderers 3–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Cardiff City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- D Cardiff City 1–1 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Bolton Wanderers all · 7 | Bolton Wanderers at home · 4 | Cardiff City all · 7 | Cardiff City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 0.57 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 4 | – | 0 / 4 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.16 | – | 1.89 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | – | 1.46 | – |
| xG difference | -0.76 | – | 0.43 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | – | -0.89 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.94 | – | 1.62 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | – | -1.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.40 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 13% | – | 3% | – |
| Minutes level | 72% | – | 54% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | – | 43% | – |
| First goal (min) | 31 | – | 50 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 41 | – | 30 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 29% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 67% | – | 36% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.86 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | – | 65% | – |
| Shots | 12.7 | – | 17.9 | – |
| On target | 4.7 | – | 6.4 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 6% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Corners | 5.9 | – | 8.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 28% | – | 32% | – |
| Goals from headers | 33% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | – | 17.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 49.9 | – | 59.4 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 9.3 | – | 9.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.86 | – | 1.71 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'22
16–30'30
31–45'02
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'16
Cardiff City
0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bolton Wanderers · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.007
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When ahead+0.084
When level+0.017
When behind-0.134
10 min after conceding-0.205
10 min after scoring+0.164
Situations
At home-0.084
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.065
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.164
Conceded late (76+)-0.077
Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Cardiff City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.597
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When ahead+0.252
When level+0.567
When behind+0.186
10 min after conceding+0.187
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.323
Away+0.434
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.365
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.394
As underdog+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.227
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.38
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.71 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 57% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 43% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| Metric | Bolton Wanderers all · 10 | Bolton Wanderers at home · 8 | Cardiff City all · 10 | Cardiff City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 8 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.88 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 6 | 5 / 0 / 3 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 1 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 2.13 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.13 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 25% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 12% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 62% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 75% | 40% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.16 | 1.27 | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.79 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | -0.76 | -0.52 | 0.26 | -0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.02 | -0.86 | -0.39 |
| xPts / match | 0.94 | 1.08 | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.42 | -0.98 | -0.64 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 75% | 20% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.80 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 38% | 14% |
| Leads held | 50% | 71% | 0% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 15% | 36% | 2% | 5% |
| Minutes level | 66% | 54% | 53% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 10% | 45% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 32 | 51 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 48 | 29 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 40% | 41% | 56% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 74% | 56% | 31% | 41% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.90 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 52% | 62% | 54% |
| Shots | 11.9 | 15.0 | 16.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.6 | 7.3 | 5.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 14% | 6% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 61% | 70% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 7.0 | 7.9 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 38% | 36% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 7% | 11% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 10.0 | 12.9 | 14.2 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.4 | 60.1 | 52.8 | 38.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 64% | 85% | 78% |
| Fouls | 8.7 | 8.6 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.38 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'23
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'23
76–90'19
Cardiff City
0–15'14
16–30'14
31–45'23
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'21
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.5 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Bolton Wanderers all · 9 | Bolton Wanderers at home · 5 | Cardiff City all · 8 | Cardiff City away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 9 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 1.80 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 5 | 3 / 0 / 2 | 0 / 4 / 4 | 0 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | 1.40 | 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.89 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 44% | 20% | 38% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 44% | 60% | 62% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 60% | 38% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.16 | 1.27 | 1.89 | 1.71 |
| xG against / match | 1.93 | 1.79 | 1.46 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | -0.76 | -0.52 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.16 | -0.02 | -0.89 | -0.96 |
| xPts / match | 0.94 | 1.08 | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.42 | -1.05 | -1.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 44% | 60% | 25% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 43% | 0% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 27% | 3% | 4% |
| Minutes level | 63% | 63% | 52% | 60% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 9% | 45% | 37% |
| First goal (min) | 33 | 41 | 50 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 57 | 31 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | 29% | 43% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | 67% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.89 | 0.40 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | 53% | 67% | 66% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 14.2 | 15.6 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.9 | 6.0 | 5.6 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 10% | 6% | 5% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 61% | 70% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.4 | 7.6 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 38% | 32% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 33% | 25% | 14% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 10.7 | 12.0 | 16.7 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.9 | 60.8 | 58.6 | 54.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | 80% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 8.4 | 8.2 | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 1.56 | 1.40 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'23
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'01
61–75'23
76–90'18
Cardiff City
0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'23
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bolton Wanderers · 9 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.029
Early press (0-15, level)-0.169
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.235
Game state
When ahead+0.065
When level+0.029
When behind-0.025
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.275
Situations
At home-0.055
Away+0.104
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.027
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As favourite+0.102
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.119
Conceded when ahead-0.245
Conceded late (76+)-0.099
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.04
Cardiff City · 8 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.338
Early press (0-15, level)+0.428
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.105
Game state
When ahead+0.252
When level+0.478
When behind+0.187
10 min after conceding+0.128
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.323
Away+0.345
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.296
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.305
As underdog+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.138
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.278
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.29
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 89% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 11% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 50% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 38% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.6d before kick-off · 93 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.4 pts at 5.5h · late move: away +2.1 pts inside the final hour
2.77Home 35% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 2.423.76Draw 26% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.722.46Away 39% ▲ +4.4 ptsopened 2.73
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.77 ▼ -4.5 | 3.76 · +0.1 | 2.46 ▲ +4.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.7 · -0.1 | 3.5 · -0.1 | 2.5 · +0.2 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.75 ▼ -1.3 | 3.7 · +0.6 | 2.38 · +0.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.7 · -0.2 | 3.75 · -1.0 | 2.38 ▲ +1.2 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.5 · -0.5 | 3.75 · -0.1 | 2.6 · +0.6 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.5 ▲ +1.8 | 3.75 ▼ -1.0 | 2.5 · -0.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.5 ▲ +3.1 | 3.5 · -0.2 | 2.55 ▼ -2.9 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.62 · -0.3 | 3.5 · -0.0 | 2.38 · +0.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.0 pts at 5.5h
1.44Yes 65% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 1.532.62No 35% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 2.37
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.44 ▲ +3.8 | 2.62 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.44 ▲ +2.3 | 2.7 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.4 ▲ +4.5 | 2.7 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.53 · -0.2 | 2.33 · +0.2 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.44 ▲ +4.6 | 2.6 ▼ -4.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.6d before kick-off · 92 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.5 pts at 19.5h
1.56Over 62% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.62.55Under 38% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 2.36
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.56 ▲ +2.4 | 2.55 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +5.0 | 2.5 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +2.2 | 2.5 ▼ -2.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +5.0 | 2.36 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.66 · -0.4 | 2.15 · +0.4 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.7Home 35% P 35%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.5Away 38% P 39%
Double Chance
1.5Bolton or Draw 32%1.28Bolton or Cardiff 37%1.5Draw or Cardiff 32%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.44Yes 65%2.62No 35%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 62%2.5Under 38% P 38%
Total Corners
17.0Under 6 5%4.336 - 8 20%2.759 - 11 32%3.412 - 14 26%5.5Over 14 16%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 46%1.8Under 51% P 54%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 35% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 39% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 60–62.5% · 2,027 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 61% | 63% | +1.5 |
Thomas Parsons
- Career
- 10 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.0 (3.9 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 26.5 · 4.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.5
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 3 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 6.0 cards, 27.0 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 8 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 25' | 8 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 15' | 7 |
| 2026-01-10 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 23' | 7 |
| 2025-11-02 | 4 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 41' | 15 |