Rating 7.18 (84th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 7
Momentum
– BBRMillwall –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Blackburn Rovers | at home | Stat | league | away | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.0 #10 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 45.4 #18 |
| 12.1 #17 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.6 #9 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.7 #18 |
| 5.9 #10 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.7 #18 |
| 11.3 #10 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 12.4 #5 |
| 2.1 #12 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 3.9 #1 |
| 11.1 #24 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.1 #10 |
| 91.9 #15 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 90.4 #16 |
| 44.7 #12 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.1 #16 |
| 459.4 #8 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 350.6 #18 |
| 3.0 #1 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #19 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #3 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #18 |
| 1.0 #23 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| 0.4 #5 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #13 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 #5 |
| 1.4 #12 | 1.5 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 7.1 #21 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.8 #17 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 7.1 #21 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.7 #3 |
| 5.1 #16 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.1 #7 |
| 5.0 #7 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 2.9 #22 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Blackburn Rovers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.11 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (68th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Millwall · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.02 (85th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (15% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.03 (79th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (88th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (31% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 7
Venue
- Stadium
- Ewood Park, Blackburn
- Capacity
- 31,367
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 12,330
Teams
- Coaches
- Tony Mowbray · Alex Neil
- Position
- 19 · 8
- Formation
- 5-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Joshua Smith
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 18.5° (feels 18.6°)
- Wind
- 2.7
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Blackburn Rovers
WLDLL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 5.04–6.96 · xPts 5.53
- L
H
Sheffield United
1–2
xG 1.83–0.53
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Preston North End
1–2
xG 0.78–1.51
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Lincoln City
0–0
xG 0.3–1.74
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 1.2–1.61
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1
xG 0.94–1.57
UK CHAMP
DWLDLL 1W 2D 3L · 5 pts (0.83 ppg) · GF 7 GA 9 · xG 5.83–8.75 · xPts 6.24
- L
H
Sheffield United
1–2
xG 1.83–0.53
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Preston North End
1–2
xG 0.78–1.51
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Lincoln City
0–0
xG 0.3–1.74
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 1.2–1.61
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1
xG 0.94–1.57
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 0.79–1.79
UK CHAMP
Millwall
WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 10.63–6.77 · xPts 8.66
- W
H
Bolton Wanderers
4–0
xG 2.22–0.99
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Wrexham
0–3
xG 0.24–1.06
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–5
xG 1.52–3.23
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP
WWLLW 3W 0D 2L · 9 pts (1.8 ppg) · GF 10 GA 8 · xG 10.63–6.77 · xPts 8.66
- W
H
Bolton Wanderers
4–0
xG 2.22–0.99
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Wrexham
0–3
xG 0.24–1.06
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–5
xG 1.52–3.23
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
33.7%Blackburn Rovers P 38%28.0%Draw P 29%38.3%Millwall P 33%
Over / under 2.5
43.7%Over 2.5 P 45%56.3%Under 2.5 P 55%
Both teams to score
49.5%Yes50.5%No
Expected
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- 1.16 (0–3)
- Millwall goals
- 1.26 (0–3)
- Corners
- 11.19 (7–16)
- Cards
- 4.44 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 33.7% / 28.0% / 38.3%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
26.2%Blackburn Rovers28.4%Draw45.3%Millwall
Over / under 2.5
41.6%Over 2.558.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
46.9%Yes53.1%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | home | 1.088 | 0.665 |
| ou_2_5 | over | 0.829 | 0.635 |
| btts | yes | 0.703 | 0.509 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 25 matches since 2012
Goals 40–23 · 2.52 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 20–10 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 11–4 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Blackburn Rovers 3–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 1–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Blackburn Rovers 4–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Millwall 1–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Blackburn Rovers 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 1–2 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 3–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Blackburn Rovers 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Blackburn Rovers 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers all · 7 | Blackburn Rovers at home · 4 | Millwall all · 7 | Millwall away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.14 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 | – | 3 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 43% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 86% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | – | 86% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 0.99 | – | 2.00 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.54 | – | 1.38 | – |
| xG difference | -0.54 | – | 0.62 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.43 | – | -0.14 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | – | 1.68 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | – | -0.25 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 40% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 40% | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | 22% | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes level | 48% | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | – | 25% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 29 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | – | 36 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 69% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 52% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 12.1 | – | 14.1 | – |
| On target | 4.0 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 12% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 58% | – | 80% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | – | 2.9 | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | – | 4.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 16% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 30% | – | 17% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.5 | – | 11.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 43.9 | – | 48.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | 75% | – |
| Fouls | 10.6 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 3.43 | – | 1.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Blackburn Rovers
0–15'02
16–30'22
31–45'12
46–60'62
61–75'01
76–90'11
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353
Game state
When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556
Situations
At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057
Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09
Millwall · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217
Game state
When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546
Situations
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035
Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14
Blackburn Rovers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 71% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.01 | 1.45 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 2.0 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.51 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 43% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers all · 10 | Blackburn Rovers at home · 10 | Millwall all · 10 | Millwall away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 4 / 4 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 5 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% | 30% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.42 | 1.30 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | -0.64 | -0.22 | 0.56 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.40 | -0.20 | -0.36 | -0.36 |
| xPts / match | 0.98 | 1.25 | 1.66 | 1.41 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.22 | -0.25 | -0.26 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.40 | 0.80 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 33% | 0% | 60% |
| Leads held | 43% | 33% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 15% | 32% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 51% | 65% | 48% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 22% | 20% | 20% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 44 | 30 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 52 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 70% | 53% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | 54% | 73% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 43% | 51% | 47% |
| Shots | 11.2 | 11.9 | 14.5 | 15.0 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.0 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 66% | 74% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 4.6 | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 15% | 14% | 26% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 30% | 14% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 10.1 | 9.9 | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.2 | 40.3 | 52.8 | 44.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 76% | 77% | 74% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.1 | 10.7 | 12.7 |
| Cards | 3.30 | 2.50 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Blackburn Rovers
0–15'12
16–30'22
31–45'32
46–60'73
61–75'01
76–90'13
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'42
46–60'44
61–75'04
76–90'43
Blackburn Rovers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.01 | 1.45 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.87 | 1.45 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 2.12 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 2.0 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.33 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Blackburn Rovers all · 49 | Blackburn Rovers at home · 25 | Millwall all · 51 | Millwall away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 51 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.12 | 1.08 | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 13 / 16 / 20 | 6 / 9 / 10 | 25 / 12 / 14 | 10 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 0.96 | 1.00 | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals against / match | 1.24 | 1.16 | 1.22 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 20% | 41% | 31% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 24% | 18% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 64% | 49% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 40% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.14 | 1.26 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.12 | 1.40 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | -0.18 | 0.14 | 0.19 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | -0.26 | -0.14 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.27 | 1.47 | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.15 | -0.39 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | 44% | 55% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.62 | 1.27 | 2.46 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.68 | 0.92 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 41% | 36% | 42% |
| Leads held | 52% | 46% | 81% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 16% | 29% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 57% | 60% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 24% | 25% | 19% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 49 | 42 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 48 | 40 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 49% | 60% | 60% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 48% | 63% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 49% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 11.6 | 12.2 | 12.8 | 12.5 |
| On target | 3.2 | 3.4 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 66% | 71% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 5.8 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 24% | 27% | 32% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 30% | 28% | 17% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 10.6 | 11.6 | 11.8 | 9.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.9 | 47.5 | 44.4 | 39.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 74% | 71% | 70% |
| Fouls | 10.4 | 9.5 | 12.2 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 2.41 | 2.20 | 1.78 | 2.27 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Blackburn Rovers
0–15'55
16–30'79
31–45'1213
46–60'811
61–75'47
76–90'1116
Millwall
0–15'87
16–30'108
31–45'128
46–60'1313
61–75'119
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Blackburn Rovers · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0349
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1549
Late push (76+, level)-0.1223
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2926
Game state
When ahead-0.0225
When level+0.0249
When behind-0.1529
10 min after conceding-0.1436
10 min after scoring+0.4033
Situations
Against ten men-0.173
At home-0.1025
Away+0.0424
3 days rest or fewer+0.0516
4+ days rest-0.0733
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1129
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0314
As favourite+0.299
Evenly matched-0.1124
As underdog-0.0916
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead-0.0625
Conceded late (76+)-0.0649
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.17
Millwall · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1051
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0851
Late push (76+, level)-0.2618
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4011
Game state
When ahead+0.2131
When level+0.1451
When behind-0.2222
10 min after conceding-0.1830
10 min after scoring+0.4341
Situations
With ten men-0.043
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.1325
Away+0.0726
3 days rest or fewer+0.0817
4+ days rest+0.1134
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0226
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0919
As favourite+0.3716
Evenly matched-0.0422
As underdog-0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1151
Conceded when ahead-0.0331
Conceded late (76+)-0.0945
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.36
Blackburn Rovers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-1-2 | 18 37% | 1.06 | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 26% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.36 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 26% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.38 | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 2.12 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 2.0 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 82% | 1.74 | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.23 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.34 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.07 | 3.62 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.8d before kick-off · 96 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -3.0 pts at 9.0h · late move: away -2.8 pts inside the final hour
2.57Home 38% ▲ +4.3 ptsopened 2.833.28Draw 29% ▲ +1.9 ptsopened 3.422.94Away 33% ▼ -6.1 ptsopened 2.42
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.57 ▲ +4.3 | 3.28 ▲ +1.9 | 2.94 ▼ -6.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.55 ▲ +4.8 | 3.1 ▲ +2.0 | 2.9 ▼ -6.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.55 ▲ +4.4 | 3.25 ▲ +1.4 | 2.8 ▼ -5.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.5 ▲ +5.9 | 3.3 · +0.3 | 2.8 ▼ -6.2 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.6 ▲ +3.5 | 3.3 · +0.9 | 2.7 ▼ -4.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.6 ▲ +3.1 | 3.3 · +0.6 | 2.62 ▼ -3.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.95 · +0.5 | 3.3 · -0.0 | 2.33 · -0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.45 ▲ +4.6 | 3.1 · +0.9 | 2.8 ▼ -5.5 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.1 pts at 3.5d
1.66Yes 56% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.722.1No 44% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +2.1 | 2.1 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -3.7 | 2.0 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.75 · -0.9 | 1.95 · +0.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.7 · +0.8 | 2.04 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · -0.6 | 1.95 · +0.6 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under +3.4 pts at 10m · late move: over -3.7 pts inside the final hour
2.15Over 45% ▼ -7.3 ptsopened 1.831.76Under 55% ▲ +7.3 ptsopened 2.01
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.15 ▼ -7.3 | 1.76 ▲ +7.3 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.05 ▼ -4.6 | 1.73 ▲ +4.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.94 · -0.5 | 1.74 · +0.5 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.9 · +0.7 | 1.82 · -0.7 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.55Home 37% P 38%3.1Draw 30% P 29%2.9Away 33% P 33%
Double Chance
1.44Blackburn or Draw 33%1.36Blackburn or Millwall 35%1.44Draw or Millwall 33%
Draw No Bet
1.831 50%1.832 50%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 45%1.9Under 50% P 55%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 571 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38% | 39% | 39% | +0.5 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 28% | -0.0 |
| Away | 33% | 34% | 33% | -0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Joshua Smith
- Career
- 156 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.09 (3.95 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.1 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 122 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.3 | 4.05 | +0.45 | 63 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 21.8 | +0.21 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.3 | 5.4 | -0.42 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.2 | 0.17 | +0.26 | 67 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 7.2 | -0.37 | 35 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 38' | 6 |
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 10' | 7 |
| 2026-08-16 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 33' | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 35' | 9 |
| 2026-04-21 · Millwall | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 5' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 9 |
| 2026-04-14 · Blackburn Rovers | 2 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 5' | 6 |
| 2026-04-06 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 17' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 | 7 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 12' | 9 |
| 2026-03-14 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 36' | 11 |