Rating 7.08 (88th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– WrexhamBurnley –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Wrexham | at home | Stat | league | away | Burnley |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 49.4 #13 |
| 11.1 #21 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.3 #10 |
| 3.3 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #15 |
| 5.1 #14 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.0 #15 |
| 11.4 #8 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.9 #15 |
| 1.3 #21 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.6 #21 |
| 96.7 #7 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 84.6 #21 |
| 46.3 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 41.6 #19 |
| 459.4 #8 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 461.7 #7 |
| 1.1 #21 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.0 #10 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.9 #13 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #4 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #15 |
| -0.4 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #14 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.1 #14 |
| 1.6 #9 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.3 #1 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 9.3 #9 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.1 #21 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #3 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.6 #24 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.1 #10 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.1 #16 |
| 4.9 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.3 #5 |
| 2.6 #23 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.1 #3 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #23 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Wrexham · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (75th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (43% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (83th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (29% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Burnley · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.77 (31th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 6.77 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Rating 6.83 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Absences
Burnley
- injury Josh Cullen midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 36 missed · until 2026-10-01
- injury Mike Tresor midfielder · Unknown Injury · 106 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
- Capacity
- 10,771
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,494
Teams
- Coaches
- Phil Parkinson · Nicky Hayen
- Position
- 11 · 24
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Tim Robinson
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 13.8° (feels 13.3°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 81%
Where to watch · 7
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
United States
Paramount+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Wrexham
DDLWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 7.4–4.62 · xPts 8.91
- D
A
Swansea City
0–0
xG 0.94–0.87
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Millwall
3–0
xG 1.06–0.24
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.88–1.89
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Watford
1–1
xG 1.83–0.55
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
DDLWD 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 7.4–4.62 · xPts 8.91
- D
A
Swansea City
0–0
xG 0.94–0.87
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Millwall
3–0
xG 1.06–0.24
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.88–1.89
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Watford
1–1
xG 1.83–0.55
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
Burnley
DLLDL 0W 2D 3L · 2 pts (0.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 12 · xG 6.46–7.86 · xPts 5.69
- L
H
Bristol City
1–2
xG 0.34–0.95
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 0.9–1.01
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–4
xG 1.13–2.33
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–3
xG 1.1–2.02
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
2–2
xG 2.99–1.55
UK CHAMP
LDDLLDL 0W 3D 4L · 3 pts (0.43 ppg) · GF 7 GA 14 · xG 8.13–11.57 · xPts 7.06
- L
H
Bristol City
1–2
xG 0.34–0.95
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 0.9–1.01
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–4
xG 1.13–2.33
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–3
xG 1.1–2.02
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
2–2
xG 2.99–1.55
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–1
xG 1.28–2.31
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.39–1.4
UK PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Wrexham 1–1 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Wrexham all · 7 | Wrexham at home · 3 | Burnley all · 7 | Burnley away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 0.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 2 | – | 0 / 3 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.14 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | – | 2.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 57% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | – | 1.32 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | – | 1.58 | – |
| xG difference | 0.13 | – | -0.26 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | – | -0.18 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | – | 1.17 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.52 | – | -0.74 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 0.33 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 10% | – |
| Minutes level | 50% | – | 39% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 51% | – |
| First goal (min) | 32 | – | 45 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 29 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 62% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 14.4 | – |
| On target | 3.4 | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 77% | – | 57% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Corners | 5.1 | – | 5.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 30% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | – | 9.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | – | 43.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 83% | – |
| Fouls | 11.3 | – | 10.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.14 | – | 2.29 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'12
16–30'22
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'03
Burnley
0–15'14
16–30'23
31–45'01
46–60'32
61–75'04
76–90'22
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135
Situations
At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04
Burnley · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224
Game state
When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 86% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.33 | 1.17 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 10 | Wrexham at home · 10 | Burnley all · 10 | Burnley away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 0 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.10 | 0.80 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 10% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 90% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.25 | 0.96 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.62 | 1.87 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | -0.04 | -0.37 | -0.91 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | 0.07 | -0.15 | -0.16 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.36 | 1.10 | 0.79 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | -0.16 | -0.60 | -0.59 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.25 | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 43% | 44% | 11% |
| Leads held | 50% | 60% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 24% | 11% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 46% | 43% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 30% | 46% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 41 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 25 | 29 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | 33% | 64% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 45% | 60% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 49% | 47% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 12.6 | 13.7 | 10.8 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 12% | 8% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 68% | 54% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.3 | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 20% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 36% | 0% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 11.2 | 9.1 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 45.4 | 42.2 | 41.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 82% | 83% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 10.6 | 11.8 | 11.0 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.30 | 2.20 | 2.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'13
16–30'43
31–45'22
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'05
Burnley
0–15'25
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'53
61–75'04
76–90'22
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.44 | 1.11 | 2.11 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 51 | Wrexham at home · 26 | Burnley all · 43 | Burnley away · 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 43 | 21 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.62 | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 18 / 13 | 11 / 9 / 6 | 4 / 13 / 26 | 2 / 4 / 15 |
| Goals for / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.54 | 2.02 | 2.43 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 23% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 4% | 28% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 73% | 70% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% | 56% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.55 | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 1.92 | 2.09 |
| xG difference | -0.16 | 0.23 | -0.86 | -1.24 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| xPts / match | 1.28 | 1.53 | 0.88 | 0.64 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | 0.08 | -0.30 | -0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 58% | 28% | 29% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.08 | 2.13 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 57% | 30% | 21% |
| Leads held | 62% | 61% | 29% | 29% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 11% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 44% | 42% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 24% | 45% | 50% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 37 | 45 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 36 | 32 | 33 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 49% | 52% | 50% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 49% | 55% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.28 | 0.33 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.0 | 10.8 | 9.2 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.8 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 62% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.6 | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 29% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 35% | 13% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 10.5 | 13.1 | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.3 | 50.4 | 35.2 | 32.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.6 | 10.6 | 10.8 |
| Cards | 1.51 | 1.35 | 1.95 | 2.24 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'910
16–30'1310
31–45'1312
46–60'159
61–75'89
76–90'1621
Burnley
0–15'517
16–30'88
31–45'1019
46–60'811
61–75'513
76–90'1219
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0251
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0151
Late push (76+, level)-0.1725
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0115
Game state
When ahead+0.0432
When level-0.0451
When behind-0.0825
10 min after conceding-0.2237
10 min after scoring+0.3643
Situations
Against ten men+0.482
At home+0.0126
Away-0.0525
3 days rest or fewer+0.0417
4+ days rest-0.0534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
v mid-tier opponents-0.0924
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0819
As favourite+0.0011
Evenly matched+0.0223
As underdog-0.1017
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1551
Conceded when ahead+0.1132
Conceded late (76+)-0.0849
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.04
Burnley · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943
Late push (76+, level)-0.4719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227
Game state
When ahead-0.2414
When level-0.2943
When behind-0.2037
10 min after conceding-0.2839
10 min after scoring+0.0731
Situations
With ten men-0.362
At home-0.2322
Away-0.2721
3 days rest or fewer-0.218
4+ days rest-0.2635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3425
v mid-tier opponents-0.0712
As favourite-0.023
Evenly matched-0.075
As underdog-0.2935
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4443
Conceded when ahead+0.8114
Conceded late (76+)+0.3940
Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 61% | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 12% | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 4 8% | 2.25 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.15 | 1.02 |
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 44% | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 19% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 5-4-1 | 7 16% | 0.14 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 0.61 | 1.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 2.26 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.3d before kick-off · 62 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +3.7 pts at 11.8h
2.06Home 47% ▼ -1.8 ptsopened 1.933.62Draw 27% · +0.8 ptsopened 3.633.66Away 26% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 3.71
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.06 ▼ -1.8 | 3.62 · +0.8 | 3.66 ▲ +1.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.1 ▼ -3.3 | 3.3 ▲ +1.7 | 3.5 ▲ +1.5 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.0 ▲ +3.4 | 3.5 ▲ +1.5 | 3.7 ▼ -4.9 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.0 ▲ +3.4 | 3.5 · -0.0 | 3.6 ▼ -3.4 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.1 · -1.0 | 3.4 · +0.9 | 3.5 · +0.1 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.1 · -1.0 | 3.3 ▲ +1.7 | 3.5 · -0.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.02 ▲ +4.1 | 3.45 · +0.6 | 3.45 ▼ -4.7 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 ▲ +3.3 | 3.4 · -0.8 | 3.4 ▼ -2.5 | 5m |
Unibet (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes -2.5 pts at 34.8h
1.7Yes 55% ▼ -6.5 ptsopened 1.522.04No 45% ▲ +6.5 ptsopened 2.38
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.7 ▼ -6.5 | 2.04 ▲ +6.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▼ -2.1 | 2.0 ▲ +2.1 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▼ -4.2 | 2.05 ▲ +4.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▼ -3.0 | 2.0 ▲ +3.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▼ -2.4 | 2.0 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.3d before kick-off · 61 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.5 pts at 2.8h
1.99Over 49% ▼ -6.0 ptsopened 1.741.9Under 51% ▲ +6.0 ptsopened 2.11
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99 ▼ -6.0 | 1.9 ▲ +6.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -3.9 | 1.87 ▲ +3.9 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.86 ▼ -2.5 | 1.81 ▲ +2.5 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.84 ▼ -6.8 | 1.88 ▲ +6.8 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.1Home 45% P 47%3.3Draw 28% P 27%3.5Away 27% P 26%
Double Chance
1.28Wrexham or Draw 37%1.3Wrexham or Burnley 37%1.8Draw or Burnley 26%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 47% | 46% | 44% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 30% | +1.8 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 26% | +0.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Tim Robinson
- Career
- 329 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.65 | 4.05 | +1.08 | 92 |
| Fouls / match | 22.6 | 21.8 | +0.71 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.4 | -1.01 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.19 | 0.17 | +0.13 | 63 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 7.2 | -0.60 | 24 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 31' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 57' | 12 |
| 2026-03-14 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 23' | 11 |
| 2026-03-03 · Burnley | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 64' | 13 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 75' | 4 |
| 2026-02-07 · Wrexham | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 56' | 7 |
| 2026-02-01 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 35' | 14 |