Rating 7.0 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (67% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– Derby CountyWBA –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Derby County | at home | Stat | league | away | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 52.6 #8 |
| 11.6 #20 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 10.3 #22 |
| 3.3 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.6 #20 |
| 13.3 #3 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.9 #19 |
| 3.0 #3 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.6 #7 |
| 14.3 #16 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 18.0 #2 |
| 108.6 #2 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 89.0 #17 |
| 60.0 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 45.1 #10 |
| 393.4 #14 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 514.7 #4 |
| 2.3 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #6 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #6 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.1 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #12 |
| -0.2 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #12 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 0.9 #21 | 0.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 #9 |
| 1.9 #2 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 #20 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | – |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.9 #11 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #17 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.7 #21 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #3 |
| 3.6 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| 7.9 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.0 #22 |
| 4.7 #19 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 3.3 #24 |
| 3.7 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.3 #20 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Derby County · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.92 (60th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.14 · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
West Bromwich Albion · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.3 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.21 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (30% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.22 (86th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (60% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Absences
Derby County
- injury Carlton Morris #3 key player attacker · Calf Muscle Tear · 4 missed
- injury Craig Forsyth #20 key player defender · Knee Injury · 2 missed
- injury Lewis Travis #14 key player midfielder · Leg Injury · 3 missed
- injury Matt Clarke defender · Calf Injury · 6 missed
- injury Patrick Agyemang attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 16 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Capacity
- 33,597
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 27,323
Teams
- Coaches
- John Eustace · James Morrison
- Position
- 21 · 6
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2
Referee
James Bell
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 14.0° (feels 13.5°)
- Wind
- 1.5
- Humidity
- 76%
Where to watch · 12
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Derby County
LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.16–11.73 · xPts 4.05
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 0.15–3.74
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
2–0
xG 0.9–1.02
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
0–3
xG 0.82–2.96
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
LDLWL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 5.16–11.73 · xPts 4.05
- L
A
West Ham United
0–3
xG 0.15–3.74
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
2–0
xG 0.9–1.02
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
0–3
xG 0.82–2.96
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
West Bromwich Albion
WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.23–7.42 · xPts 6.93
- W
H
Watford
1–0
xG 1.43–1.26
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Charlton Athletic
1–1
xG 0.82–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–3
xG 1.32–2.01
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 2.02–1.1
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
2–1
xG 1.64–2.55
UK CHAMP
WWLDW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 7.23–7.42 · xPts 6.93
- W
H
Watford
1–0
xG 1.43–1.26
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Charlton Athletic
1–1
xG 0.82–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–3
xG 1.32–2.01
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 2.02–1.1
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
2–1
xG 1.64–2.55
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
35.1%Derby County P 26%27.4%Draw P 28%37.5%West Bromwich Albion P 46%
Over / under 2.5
46.2%Over 2.5 P 47%53.8%Under 2.5 P 53%
Both teams to score
51.6%Yes48.4%No
Expected
- Derby County goals
- 1.24 (0–3)
- West Bromwich Albion goals
- 1.29 (0–3)
- Corners
- 9.92 (6–14)
- Cards
- 4.76 (2–8)
Earlier: day before — 35.1% / 27.4% / 37.5%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
38.1%Derby County27.0%Draw34.8%West Bromwich Albion
Over / under 2.5
48.6%Over 2.551.4%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
52.5%Yes47.5%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 0.981 | 0.589 |
| btts | no | 0.726 | 0.533 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.62 | 0.427 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 17 matches since 2006
Goals 24–17 · 2.41 per match · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 47%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–8 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Derby County 0–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W West Bromwich Albion 0–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W West Bromwich Albion 1–3 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 1–0 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D West Bromwich Albion 0–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L West Bromwich Albion 2–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 1–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 3–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Derby County all · 7 | Derby County at home · 4 | West Bromwich Albion all · 7 | West Bromwich Albion away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 0.57 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.10 | – | 1.39 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.16 | – | 1.34 | – |
| xG difference | -1.06 | – | 0.05 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | 0.04 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.93 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 57% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 2.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 17% | – | 67% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 80% | – |
| Minutes leading | 18% | – | 31% | – |
| Minutes level | 34% | – | 61% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 8% | – |
| First goal (min) | 26 | – | 44 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 24 | – | 51 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | – | 60% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | – | 71% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | 53% | – |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 10.1 | – |
| On target | 3.3 | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 14% | – |
| Shots inside box | 67% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | – | 1.4 | – |
| Corners | 6.4 | – | 4.6 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 25% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.7 | – | 12.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.9 | – | 49.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 13.0 | – | 9.7 | – |
| Cards | 2.29 | – | 2.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'02
16–30'32
31–45'13
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'04
West Bromwich Albion
0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'32
76–90'12
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Game state
When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387
Situations
At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.83 | 1.04 | 2.29 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
West Bromwich Albion
Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 57% | 2.5 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 29% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.72 | 0.58 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County at home · 10 | West Bromwich Albion all · 10 | West Bromwich Albion away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.60 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 5 / 3 / 2 | 4 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.68 | 1.48 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.27 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.93 | 0.30 | 0.21 | -0.20 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | -0.38 | -0.08 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.63 | 1.54 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.03 | 0.26 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 2.60 | 3.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 33% | 50% | 20% |
| Leads held | 40% | 71% | 83% | 100% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 31% | 30% | 26% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 59% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 26% | 11% | 27% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 32 | 46 | 51 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 29 | 48 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 46% | 57% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 33% | 56% | 58% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 54% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 10.5 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 13% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 64% | 68% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 31% | 27% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 23% | 15% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 11.3 | 14.4 | 12.8 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.4 | 57.3 | 52.3 | 49.6 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 78% | 84% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
West Bromwich Albion
0–15'01
16–30'30
31–45'33
46–60'21
61–75'42
76–90'22
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
West Bromwich Albion
Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 70% | 2.0 | 1.29 | 0.57 | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.72 | 0.58 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County at home · 26 | West Bromwich Albion all · 50 | West Bromwich Albion away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 26 | 50 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.16 | 0.77 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 6 / 10 | 14 / 16 / 20 | 5 / 5 / 16 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.10 | 0.88 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.32 | 1.54 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 27% | 28% | 23% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 28% | 31% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 62% | 56% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% | 50% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.44 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.18 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | -0.14 | 0.03 | 0.26 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | -0.09 | -0.34 | -0.32 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.55 | 1.19 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | -0.03 | -0.39 | -0.42 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 54% | 38% | 27% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.05 | 2.14 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.18 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 38% | 26% | 16% |
| Leads held | 69% | 67% | 61% | 62% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 26% | 22% | 15% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 53% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 28% | 25% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 46 | 52 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 35 | 44 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 52% | 57% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 55% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.26 | 0.35 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 51% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 12.2 | 12.7 | 10.9 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 67% | 65% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 39% | 36% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 32% | 23% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.0 | 13.1 | 10.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.5 | 46.1 | 51.5 | 45.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 77% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11.8 | 10.3 | 10.5 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.23 | 1.92 | 2.31 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
West Bromwich Albion
0–15'47
16–30'89
31–45'1113
46–60'812
61–75'1110
76–90'1214
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
West Bromwich Albion · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.13) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1350
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0350
Late push (76+, level)-0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1119
Game state
When ahead+0.0522
When level+0.1850
When behind+0.1027
10 min after conceding-0.0536
10 min after scoring+0.5536
Situations
With ten men-0.053
At home+0.2024
Away+0.0626
3 days rest or fewer+0.3016
4+ days rest+0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0828
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1516
As favourite+0.1919
Evenly matched+0.1622
As underdog-0.059
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0150
Conceded when ahead-0.0922
Conceded late (76+)-0.1246
Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level -0.09
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.68 | 2.51 |
West Bromwich Albion
Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 22 44% | 1.45 | 1.05 | 0.86 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 40% | 1.05 | 1.15 | 1.4 | 1.53 | 1.01 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.86 | 1.62 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.18 | 0.75 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.2d before kick-off · 106 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +4.1 pts at 11.8h
3.7Home 26% ▼ -8.4 ptsopened 2.733.46Draw 28% · +0.7 ptsopened 3.472.1Away 46% ▲ +7.7 ptsopened 2.46
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.7 ▼ -8.4 | 3.46 · +0.7 | 2.1 ▲ +7.7 | 5m |
| bet365 | 3.4 ▼ -6.0 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 2.15 ▲ +6.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 3.6 ▼ -8.5 | 3.3 ▲ +1.8 | 2.1 ▲ +6.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 3.6 ▼ -7.9 | 3.4 · -0.6 | 2.05 ▲ +8.5 | 5m |
| Coral | 3.4 ▼ -5.0 | 3.4 · +0.2 | 2.15 ▲ +4.8 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.3 ▼ -4.4 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 2.15 ▲ +3.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 3.2 ▼ -13.2 | 3.3 · -0.5 | 2.12 ▲ +13.7 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 3.5 ▼ -7.9 | 3.2 · +0.8 | 2.05 ▲ +7.2 | 5m |
Unibet (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +4.6 pts at 2.4d
1.75Yes 53% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.751.97No 47% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.97
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.97 · +0.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -2.4 | 1.9 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▼ -1.5 | 2.1 ▲ +1.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.78 ▼ -3.1 | 1.93 ▲ +3.1 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▼ -2.0 | 1.95 ▲ +2.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 105 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.4 pts at 15.8h
2.08Over 47% ▼ -2.3 ptsopened 1.951.83Under 53% ▲ +2.3 ptsopened 1.88
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.08 ▼ -2.3 | 1.83 ▲ +2.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▼ -2.4 | 1.8 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.93 ▼ -2.0 | 1.75 ▲ +2.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.98 · -0.8 | 1.75 · +0.8 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
3.4Home 28% P 26%3.25Draw 29% P 28%2.15Away 44% P 46%
Double Chance
1.7Derby or Draw 28%1.33Derby or West Brom 35%1.28Draw or West Brom 37%
Draw No Bet
2.621 35%1.442 65%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 47%1.83Under 50% P 53%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 26% | 26% | 26% | -0.3 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 46% | 46% | 46% | +0.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
James Bell
- Career
- 75 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.95 (3.81 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.6 · 5.2 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 47%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 67 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.96 | 4.05 | -0.17 | 47 |
| Fouls / match | 20.4 | 21.8 | -1.36 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.2 | 5.4 | -0.48 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.20 | 49 |
| Time added | 7.7 | 7.2 | +0.56 | 67 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 49' | 8 |
| 2026-02-06 | 3 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 4' | 11 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 67' | 6 |
| 2026-01-01 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 22' | 8 |
| 2025-12-26 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2025-12-13 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 25' | 9 |
| 2025-12-09 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 80' | 7 |
| 2025-11-25 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 37' | 7 |
| 2025-11-05 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 38' | 9 |
| 2025-11-01 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 7' | 6 |