Rating 6.92 (69th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– Cardiff CityStoke City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Cardiff City | at home | Stat | league | away | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65.1 #1 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 44.3 #19 |
| 17.3 #2 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.1 #17 |
| 6.4 #1 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #15 |
| 8.1 #1 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.0 #22 |
| 10.3 #18 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 15.7 #1 |
| 2.0 #14 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.7 #6 |
| 12.7 #20 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 16.6 #4 |
| 110.0 #1 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 85.4 #18 |
| 68.0 #1 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 34.0 #24 |
| 528.4 #3 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 349.6 #19 |
| 1.9 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #6 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.9 #13 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #6 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #18 |
| 2.0 #3 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #22 |
| -1.0 #24 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.5 #3 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 #7 |
| 1.6 #9 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.2 | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.4 #24 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 11.7 #2 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.9 #6 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.4 #7 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| 12.1 #2 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.1 #16 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.3 #15 |
| 5.1 #6 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #23 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Cardiff City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.32 (99th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.19 (91th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Stoke City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (73th pct) · G+A 3 + 0 (27% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.0 (75th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (36% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Rating 6.95 (65th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
- Capacity
- 33,280
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 18,088
Teams
- Coaches
- Brian Barry-Murphy · Mark Robins
- Position
- 22 · 13
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-5-2
Referee
Samuel Allison
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 14.6° (feels 14.2°)
- Wind
- 8.8
- Humidity
- 78%
Where to watch · 10
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Cardiff City
DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 8.13–8.74 · xPts 6.44
- L
A
Portsmouth
0–2
xG 1.23–1.63
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 0.64–2.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
2–2
xG 2.55–1.4
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Derby County
2–2
xG 2.64–1.81
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.07–1.69
UK CHAMP
DDDLL 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 9 · xG 8.13–8.74 · xPts 6.44
- L
A
Portsmouth
0–2
xG 1.23–1.63
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 0.64–2.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
2–2
xG 2.55–1.4
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Derby County
2–2
xG 2.64–1.81
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.07–1.69
UK CHAMP
Stoke City
LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 4.83–7.3 · xPts 5.25
- W
H
Charlton Athletic
4–0
xG 2.16–0.55
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
1–0
xG 0.25–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–4
xG 0.7–2.44
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 0.83–2.31
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
1–2
xG 0.89–0.97
UK CHAMP
LLLWW 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 8 GA 9 · xG 4.83–7.3 · xPts 5.25
- W
H
Charlton Athletic
4–0
xG 2.16–0.55
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
1–0
xG 0.25–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–4
xG 0.7–2.44
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–3
xG 0.83–2.31
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Swansea City
1–2
xG 0.89–0.97
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 24 matches since 2005
Goals 29–29 · 2.42 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 16–15 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Cardiff City 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Cardiff City 0–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Stoke City 3–3 Cardiff City pens None–None UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- D Stoke City 2–2 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 2–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Stoke City 0–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Cardiff City 1–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Stoke City 2–2 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 2–1 Stoke City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Stoke City 3–3 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Cardiff City all · 7 | Cardiff City at home · 3 | Stoke City all · 7 | Stoke City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 0.57 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 3 | – | 3 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.89 | – | 1.04 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | – | 1.50 | – |
| xG difference | 0.43 | – | -0.45 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.89 | – | 0.53 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.62 | – | 1.13 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -1.05 | – | 0.30 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 86% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.40 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 3% | – | 42% | – |
| Minutes level | 54% | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 43% | – | 18% | – |
| First goal (min) | 50 | – | 19 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | – | 40 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | 9% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 36% | – | 64% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 65% | – | 44% | – |
| Shots | 17.9 | – | 11.9 | – |
| On target | 6.4 | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 6% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | – | 1.3 | – |
| Corners | 8.1 | – | 4.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 32% | – | 20% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 9% | – |
| Pressure index | 17.7 | – | 11.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 59.4 | – | 47.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 77% | – |
| Fouls | 9.6 | – | 15.7 | – |
| Cards | 1.71 | – | 2.71 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Cardiff City
0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11
Stoke City
0–15'41
16–30'43
31–45'20
46–60'11
61–75'02
76–90'04
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Cardiff City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.597
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When ahead+0.252
When level+0.567
When behind+0.186
10 min after conceding+0.187
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.323
Away+0.434
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.365
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.394
As underdog+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.227
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.38
Stoke City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453
Game state
When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807
Situations
At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 57% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 43% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
Stoke City
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.81 | 1.91 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.53 | 0.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 1.03 |
| Metric | Cardiff City all · 10 | Cardiff City at home · 10 | Stoke City all · 10 | Stoke City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.90 | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 5 / 5 | 1 / 6 / 3 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 1 / 1 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.10 | 1.90 | 2.20 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% | 10% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 70% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 30% | 70% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.86 | 1.48 | 1.12 | 0.95 |
| xG against / match | 1.60 | 1.04 | 1.51 | 1.96 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.44 | -0.39 | -1.01 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.86 | -0.58 | 0.18 | -0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.53 | 1.69 | 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.98 | -0.79 | -0.15 | -0.46 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 20% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.29 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 38% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 0% | 20% | 50% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 2% | 12% | 30% | 13% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 61% | 36% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 27% | 34% | 42% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | 47 | 27 | 24 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 41 | 32 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | 56% | 23% | 14% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 31% | 46% | 63% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 62% | 55% | 46% | 45% |
| Shots | 16.2 | 15.5 | 12.4 | 10.6 |
| On target | 5.6 | 4.6 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | 6% | 10% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 64% | 64% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Corners | 7.9 | 6.8 | 6.2 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 24% | 30% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 11% | 33% | 17% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 14.2 | 11.8 | 12.3 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.8 | 53.8 | 50.0 | 42.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 79% | 77% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.2 | 11.2 | 14.0 | 11.7 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 1.10 | 2.20 | 3.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Cardiff City
0–15'14
16–30'14
31–45'23
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'21
Stoke City
0–15'42
16–30'44
31–45'21
46–60'32
61–75'04
76–90'06
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.5 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Stoke City
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 0.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 0.89 | 1.72 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.53 | 0.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 1.03 |
| Metric | Cardiff City all · 8 | Cardiff City at home · 3 | Stoke City all · 50 | Stoke City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | – | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | – | 1.12 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 4 / 4 | – | 15 / 11 / 24 | 5 / 5 / 15 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | – | 1.10 | 0.68 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | – | 1.32 | 1.44 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 28% | 24% |
| Failed to score | 38% | – | 32% | 48% |
| Both teams scored | 62% | – | 48% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | – | 46% | 32% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.89 | – | 1.23 | 1.00 |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | – | 1.47 | 1.70 |
| xG difference | 0.43 | – | -0.24 | -0.69 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.89 | – | -0.13 | -0.32 |
| xPts / match | 1.62 | – | 1.25 | 0.99 |
| Points vs xPts | -1.05 | – | -0.13 | -0.19 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 25% | – | 50% | 36% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 1.96 | 1.89 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.33 | – | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| Came back from behind | 43% | – | 17% | 6% |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 60% | 56% |
| Minutes leading | 3% | – | 24% | 14% |
| Minutes level | 52% | – | 50% | 52% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | – | 25% | 34% |
| First goal (min) | 50 | – | 35 | 39 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 31 | – | 43 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | 42% | 47% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 33% | – | 64% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.13 | – | 0.12 | 0.04 |
| Late goals against | 0.13 | – | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 67% | – | 50% | 51% |
| Shots | 15.6 | – | 11.3 | 10.2 |
| On target | 5.6 | – | 3.7 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 6% | – | 10% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 65% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | – | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Corners | 7.6 | – | 5.7 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | – | 28% | 19% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 11% | 12% |
| Pressure index | 16.7 | – | 13.0 | 10.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 58.6 | – | 51.1 | 48.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 78% | 78% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | – | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| Cards | 1.50 | – | 2.28 | 2.36 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Cardiff City
0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'23
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11
Stoke City
0–15'118
16–30'98
31–45'128
46–60'1215
61–75'57
76–90'620
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Cardiff City · 8 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.338
Early press (0-15, level)+0.428
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.105
Game state
When ahead+0.252
When level+0.478
When behind+0.187
10 min after conceding+0.128
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.323
Away+0.345
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.296
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.305
As underdog+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.138
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.278
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.29
Stoke City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: as favourite +0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1250
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2850
Late push (76+, level)-0.1518
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0425
Game state
When ahead+0.2025
When level+0.1450
When behind+0.0329
10 min after conceding-0.2935
10 min after scoring+0.3734
Situations
With ten men+0.075
At home+0.0525
Away+0.2025
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1535
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0528
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2016
As favourite+0.4710
Evenly matched+0.0120
As underdog+0.0820
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0550
Conceded when ahead-0.0325
Conceded late (76+)+0.0145
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.06 · Behind vs level -0.11
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 50% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 38% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Stoke City
Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 40 80% | 1.05 | 1.0 | 1.33 | 1.21 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 8% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 1.7 | 1.71 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 1.29 | 2.17 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 1.55 | 1.64 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.25 | 1.03 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.3d before kick-off · 62 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.3 pts at 10.8h
2.11Home 46% · +0.9 ptsopened 2.13.68Draw 26% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.633.46Away 28% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 3.23
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.11 · +0.9 | 3.68 · +0.3 | 3.46 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.05 ▲ +1.2 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 3.25 ▼ -1.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.05 ▲ +2.9 | 3.6 · +0.9 | 3.4 ▼ -3.9 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.05 ▲ +2.6 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 3.4 ▼ -2.7 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.05 ▲ +2.4 | 3.7 · +0.1 | 3.4 ▼ -2.5 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.05 ▲ +2.3 | 3.7 · -0.6 | 3.3 ▼ -1.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.0 ▲ +4.1 | 3.65 · -0.8 | 3.35 ▼ -3.3 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 ▲ +2.9 | 3.5 · -0.9 | 3.3 ▼ -2.0 | 5m |
Unibet (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.52Yes 61% · +0.8 ptsopened 1.542.38No 39% · -0.8 ptsopened 2.33
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.52 · +0.8 | 2.38 · -0.8 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.53 · +0.0 | 2.37 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▼ -2.7 | 2.38 ▲ +2.7 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.47 ▲ +2.4 | 2.45 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 · +0.0 | 2.3 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.3d before kick-off · 62 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.1 pts at 15.8h
1.65Over 59% ▼ -1.0 ptsopened 1.582.34Under 41% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 2.34
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.65 ▼ -1.0 | 2.34 ▲ +1.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +1.8 | 2.3 ▼ -1.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.6 ▼ -3.1 | 2.25 ▲ +3.1 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.59 ▲ +2.1 | 2.17 ▼ -2.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.6 ▲ +1.6 | 2.25 ▼ -1.6 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.05Home 45% P 46%3.6Draw 26% P 26%3.25Away 29% P 28%
Double Chance
1.33Cardiff or Draw 36%1.28Cardiff or Stoke 37%1.72Draw or Stoke 27%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.61Over 59% P 59%2.3Under 41% P 41%
Total Corners
17.0Under 6 5%4.756 - 8 18%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 18%
Number of Cards
3.51.83Over 50% P 53%1.83Under 50% P 47%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 27.5–30% · 305 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 50% | +4.6 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 23% | -2.4 |
| Away | 28% | 28% | 26% | -2.2 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 59% | 60% | +0.8 |
Samuel Allison
- Career
- 80 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.15
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.83 | 4.05 | -0.40 | 29 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 21.8 | +0.25 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.4 | +0.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.11 | 0.17 | -0.97 | 10 |
| Time added | 7.3 | 7.2 | +0.10 | 53 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 51' | 7 |
| 2026-08-22 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 5 |
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-18 | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 26' | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 10' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 24' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 56' | 2 |
| 2026-02-28 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 60' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 10' | 8 |
| 2026-02-10 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 53' | 6 |