Rating 7.3 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 5 (50% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– Bristol CityLincoln City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Bristol City | at home | Stat | league | away | Lincoln City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.0 #17 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 36.4 #24 |
| 14.1 #11 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.6 #15 |
| 4.3 #10 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 2.9 #23 |
| 5.7 #12 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.4 #21 |
| 11.9 #6 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 14.0 #2 |
| 1.0 #23 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.9 #4 |
| 12.1 #22 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 18.7 #1 |
| 85.3 #19 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 81.3 #23 |
| 37.4 #23 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 42.9 #17 |
| 364.7 #17 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 272.4 #24 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.7 #2 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #17 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #19 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #1 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.2 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.5 #11 |
| 0.2 #6 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.7 #23 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #9 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 #21 |
| 1.7 #6 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.9 #22 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 7.4 #18 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 11.4 #4 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #13 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.7 #21 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #7 |
| 2.9 #22 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.0 #11 |
| 10.1 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.6 #13 |
| 7.0 #1 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.7 #10 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bristol City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.93 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.79 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Lincoln City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.05 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Rating 7.2 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Bristol City
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 82 missed
Lincoln City
- injury Josh Honohan defender · Unknown Injury · 47 missed
- injury Mason Melia attacker · Muscle Injury · 3 missed
- injury Tendayi Darikwa #15 key player defender · Knee Injury · 6 missed · until 2027-06-30
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
- Capacity
- 27,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 18,666
Teams
- Coaches
- Michael Skubala · Chris Cohen
- Position
- 11 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Tim Robinson
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 15.8° (feels 15.5°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 80%
Where to watch · 10
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Bristol City
DWWWL 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 10 GA 9 · xG 7.0–7.34 · xPts 6.7
- L
A
Southampton
1–4
xG 2.43–1.95
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Burnley
2–1
xG 0.95–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
LDWWWL 3W 1D 2L · 10 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 10 GA 11 · xG 7.49–10.46 · xPts 6.88
- L
A
Southampton
1–4
xG 2.43–1.95
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Burnley
2–1
xG 0.95–0.34
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 0.49–3.12
UK CHAMP
Lincoln City
LWDDW 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 9.07–5.19 · xPts 9.29
- W
A
Preston North End
1–0
xG 0.87–0.69
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 2.88–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
LLWDDW 2W 2D 2L · 8 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 9.96–8.09 · xPts 9.68
- W
A
Preston North End
1–0
xG 0.87–0.69
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 2.88–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
KickoffDNA model engine-only-1.1.0 · lineups confirmed ·
Match result
36.5%Bristol City P 50%27.6%Draw P 27%36.0%Lincoln City P 23%
Over / under 2.5
45.4%Over 2.5 P 47%54.6%Under 2.5 P 53%
Both teams to score
51.0%Yes49.0%No
Expected
- Bristol City goals
- 1.25 (0–3)
- Lincoln City goals
- 1.24 (0–3)
- Corners
- 12.61 (8–18)
- Cards
- 4.5 (2–7)
Earlier: day before — 36.5% / 27.6% / 36.0%
Provider model (SportMonks)
Match result
39.8%Bristol City25.8%Draw34.3%Lincoln City
Over / under 2.5
54.4%Over 2.545.6%Under 2.5
Both teams to score
57.2%Yes42.8%No
Scored
| Market | Observed | Log loss | Brier |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1x2 | away | 1.023 | 0.619 |
| btts | no | 0.714 | 0.521 |
| ou_2_5 | under | 0.606 | 0.413 |
Model probabilities are independent of the market; bookmaker figures are shown only as a benchmark.
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 0–1 · 1.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- L Bristol City 0–1 Lincoln City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Bristol City all · 7 | Bristol City at home · 3 | Lincoln City all · 7 | Lincoln City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 1.57 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 3 | – | 3 / 2 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.71 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 57% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 29% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.27 | – | 1.51 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.59 | – | 1.35 | – |
| xG difference | -0.32 | – | 0.16 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.16 | – | -0.66 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.26 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.17 | – | 0.08 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 57% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | – | 2.25 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 33% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 21% | – | 19% | – |
| Minutes level | 53% | – | 61% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 20% | – |
| First goal (min) | 43 | – | 55 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 53 | – | 38 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 70% | – | 67% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.71 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | – | 36% | – |
| Shots | 13.7 | – | 12.6 | – |
| On target | 4.3 | – | 3.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | – | 7% | – |
| Shots inside box | 71% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 5.7 | – | 4.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 41% | – | 46% | – |
| Goals from headers | 30% | – | 50% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.9 | – | 9.4 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.3 | – | 37.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | – | 69% | – |
| Fouls | 11.6 | – | 13.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.71 | – | 2.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565
Situations
At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Lincoln City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217
Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.27 | 1.59 |
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City at home · 10 | Lincoln City all · 10 | Lincoln City away · 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 5 / 1 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.20 | 1.75 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 40% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 10% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 40% | 40% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.21 | 0.90 | 1.51 | 0.98 |
| xG against / match | 1.64 | 1.67 | 1.35 | 1.54 |
| xG difference | -0.44 | -0.77 | 0.16 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.29 | 0.10 | -0.66 | 0.62 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 0.95 | 1.50 | 1.07 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.22 | 0.05 | 0.08 | 1.33 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 40% | 50% | 75% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | 2.25 | 2.00 | 2.17 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.17 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 14% | 40% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 75% | 67% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 29% | 24% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 38% | 49% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 32% | 26% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 23 | 52 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | 42 | 36 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | 50% | 58% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 60% | 50% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.38 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 51% | 38% | 40% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 10.9 | 13.4 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.3 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 9% | 9% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 67% | 54% | 68% | 61% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 4.9 |
| xG from set plays | 43% | 28% | 46% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 20% | 30% | 17% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 10.0 | 13.5 | 14.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.5 | 45.9 | 41.0 | 41.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 80% | 73% | 72% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 9.3 | 13.9 | 13.9 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 2.20 | 2.60 | 2.38 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'31
16–30'02
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'74
Lincoln City
0–15'14
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'12
76–90'34
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City at home · 25 | Lincoln City all · 8 | Lincoln City away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 8 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.28 | 1.32 | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 10 / 22 | 10 / 3 / 12 | 3 / 3 / 2 | 3 / 1 / 1 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.44 | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Goals against / match | 1.38 | 1.36 | 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 28% | 50% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 34% | 32% | 12% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 48% | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 48% | 25% | 20% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.13 | 1.51 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.48 | 1.48 | 1.35 | 1.75 |
| xG difference | -0.29 | -0.34 | 0.16 | -0.84 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | 0.31 | -0.66 | 0.09 |
| xPts / match | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.50 | 0.89 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.08 | 1.36 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 48% | 62% | 100% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.37 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Leads held | 78% | 77% | 60% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 34% | 24% | 38% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 36% | 59% | 62% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 30% | 17% | 0% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 27 | 51 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 40 | 51 | 76 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 55% | 56% | 57% | 60% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 57% | 100% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 51% | 38% | 37% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 11.9 | 12.6 | 9.8 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.0 | 3.4 | 3.2 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 7% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 60% | 68% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 4.8 | 4.6 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 27% | 46% | 44% |
| Goals from headers | 27% | 28% | 50% | 50% |
| Pressure index | 13.4 | 15.7 | 15.5 | 16.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.6 | 48.4 | 44.3 | 40.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 69% | 67% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.1 | 14.6 | 15.4 |
| Cards | 1.96 | 1.88 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1110
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'22
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0550
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1223
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5232
Situations
At home+0.0925
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1417
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2516
As favourite+0.3316
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0650
Conceded when ahead+0.1723
Conceded late (76+)+0.0546
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Lincoln City · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.098
Early press (0-15, level)+0.238
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.115
When level-0.048
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.287
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.135
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.086
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.105
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.118
Conceded when ahead-0.025
Conceded late (76+)+0.148
Congested vs rested -0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.46 | 1.9 |
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 38% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 25% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 25% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.1 pts at 3.0d
1.95Home 50% ▲ +3.9 ptsopened 2.083.54Draw 27% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.554.19Away 23% ▼ -4.4 ptsopened 3.46
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.95 ▲ +3.9 | 3.54 · +0.5 | 4.19 ▼ -4.4 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.85 ▲ +5.9 | 3.5 · -0.2 | 4.1 ▼ -5.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▲ +1.6 | 3.4 ▲ +1.9 | 4.2 ▼ -3.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.91 ▲ +4.5 | 3.5 · -0.1 | 4.0 ▼ -4.3 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.91 ▲ +4.7 | 3.5 · +0.1 | 4.0 ▼ -4.9 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 ▲ +2.8 | 3.5 · +0.3 | 4.0 ▼ -3.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.04 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 ▲ +2.6 | 3.25 · +0.7 | 3.9 ▼ -3.2 | 5m |
Unibet (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 125 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.62Yes 57% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.622.16No 43% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.16
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.62 · +0.0 | 2.16 · +0.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.83 ▼ -3.8 | 1.83 ▲ +3.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -2.2 | 2.0 ▲ +2.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▼ -4.6 | 1.9 ▲ +4.6 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.83 ▼ -4.0 | 1.91 ▲ +4.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 79 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +2.8 pts at 12.8h
2.09Over 47% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 1.861.82Under 53% ▲ +4.9 ptsopened 1.97
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.09 ▼ -4.9 | 1.82 ▲ +4.9 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▼ -2.6 | 1.8 ▲ +2.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▼ -2.4 | 1.8 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.94 ▼ -3.9 | 1.74 ▲ +3.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.76 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.85Home 51% P 50%3.5Draw 27% P 27%4.1Away 23% P 23%
Double Chance
1.22Bristol City or Draw 39%1.28Bristol City or Lincoln City 37%1.9Draw or Lincoln City 25%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 51%1.9Under 49% P 49%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 50% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 29% | +1.7 |
| Away | 23% | 24% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Tim Robinson
- Career
- 329 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.65 | 4.05 | +1.08 | 92 |
| Fouls / match | 22.6 | 21.8 | +0.71 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.4 | -1.01 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.19 | 0.17 | +0.13 | 63 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 7.2 | -0.60 | 24 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 14' | 10 |
| 2026-09-02 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 47' | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 31' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 57' | 12 |
| 2026-03-14 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 23' | 11 |
| 2026-03-03 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 64' | 13 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 75' | 4 |
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 56' | 7 |