Rating 6.95 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 6
Momentum
– WatfordPNE –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Watford | at home | Stat | league | away | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.4 #21 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 44.3 #19 |
| 11.9 #19 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.9 #12 |
| 3.9 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.1 #21 |
| 3.4 #23 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.6 #13 |
| 11.0 #13 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.9 #15 |
| 1.0 #23 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.9 #15 |
| 15.6 #6 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.7 #12 |
| 85.3 #19 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 93.4 #13 |
| 39.9 #20 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 44.9 #11 |
| 374.1 #16 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 336.6 #21 |
| 2.6 #3 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.4 #5 |
| 0.4 #22 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.6 #21 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #23 |
| 1.2 #18 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.3 #16 |
| -0.2 #16 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.4 #21 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.9 #21 |
| 1.3 #15 | 1.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 10.7 #5 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.0 #6 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #1 |
| 6.7 #20 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #23 |
| 3.9 #12 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 8.7 #11 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.3 #20 |
| 4.1 #20 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.0 #17 |
| 3.1 #21 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.6 #5 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #20 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Watford · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (37th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Preston North End · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.86 (53th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (71th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Rating 6.83 (44th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Absences
Preston North End
- injury Theo Carroll midfielder · Ankle Injury · 29 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 6
Venue
- Stadium
- Vicarage Road, Watford
- Capacity
- 22,200
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 14,987
Teams
- Coaches
- Alessio Dionisi · Paul Heckingbottom
- Position
- 18 · 23
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 5-3-2
Referee
Farai Hallam
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 13.9° (feels 13.3°)
- Wind
- 5.1
- Humidity
- 75%
Where to watch · 6
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Watford
WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.77–8.98 · xPts 5.1
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.26–1.43
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.77–8.98 · xPts 5.1
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
0–1
xG 1.26–1.43
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
Preston North End
LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.17–5.31 · xPts 7.42
- W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.51–0.78
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Bristol City
1–3
xG 1.85–1.14
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
0–1
xG 0.96–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–3
xG 0.75–1.59
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–2
xG 1.1–0.77
UK CHAMP
LLLLW 1W 0D 4L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 5 GA 10 · xG 6.17–5.31 · xPts 7.42
- W
H
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.51–0.78
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Bristol City
1–3
xG 1.85–1.14
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
0–1
xG 0.96–1.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–3
xG 0.75–1.59
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–2
xG 1.1–0.77
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 21 matches since 2005
Goals 26–24 · 2.38 per match · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 48%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–10 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–9 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W Watford 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Preston North End 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Watford 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Preston North End 3–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Watford 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Preston North End 1–5 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Watford 0–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Preston North End 0–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Preston North End 0–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Watford all · 7 | Watford at home · 4 | Preston North End all · 7 | Preston North End away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.14 | – | 0.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 | – | 1 / 0 / 6 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.29 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.17 | – | 1.26 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.78 | – | 1.17 | – |
| xG difference | -0.60 | – | 0.08 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.17 | – | -0.40 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.01 | – | 1.42 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | – | -0.99 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | – | 1.50 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 17% | – | 23% | – |
| Minutes level | 44% | – | 34% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 39% | – | 43% | – |
| First goal (min) | 41 | – | 48 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | – | 40 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | 50% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 22% | – | 69% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | 0.71 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | – | 44% | – |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 12.9 | – |
| On target | 3.7 | – | 3.1 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 7% | – |
| Shots inside box | 73% | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.1 | – |
| Corners | 3.4 | – | 5.6 | – |
| xG from set plays | 22% | – | 37% | – |
| Goals from headers | 29% | – | 33% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.3 | – | 8.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 42.6 | – | 40.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 79% | – | 73% | – |
| Fouls | 11.1 | – | 10.3 | – |
| Cards | 2.57 | – | 2.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20
Preston North End
0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Watford · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16
Preston North End · 7 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546
Game state
When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295
Situations
At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027
Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
Preston North End
Current: winless 2 · conceding 22
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 29% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 29% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 29% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.82 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.85 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Watford all · 10 | Watford at home · 10 | Preston North End all · 10 | Preston North End away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 6 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 0 / 8 | 2 / 2 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 2.10 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% | 80% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.17 | 1.32 | 1.50 | 1.54 |
| xG against / match | 1.82 | 1.42 | 1.69 | 2.17 |
| xG difference | -0.64 | -0.09 | -0.20 | -0.63 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | -0.32 | -0.40 | -0.44 |
| xPts / match | 0.99 | 1.33 | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.19 | -0.13 | -0.68 | -0.37 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.67 | 2.33 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.57 |
| Came back from behind | 14% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
| Leads held | 50% | 75% | 67% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 12% | 19% | 26% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 49% | 27% | 26% |
| Minutes trailing | 52% | 32% | 48% | 43% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 47 | 41 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 24 | 39 | 38 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | 50% | 46% | 27% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 60% | 65% | 44% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 43% | 47% | 44% | 41% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.1 | 13.4 | 12.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.9 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 67% | 63% | 72% |
| Big chances created | 1.9 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 3.0 | 5.2 | 5.7 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 17% | 25% | 37% | 39% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 10% | 36% | 46% |
| Pressure index | 8.7 | 9.3 | 9.3 | 9.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 38.3 | 44.8 | 41.6 | 38.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 71% | 68% |
| Fouls | 11.9 | 12.4 | 10.3 | 12.2 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.40 | 2.50 | 2.10 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'25
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'22
Preston North End
0–15'35
16–30'32
31–45'00
46–60'23
61–75'03
76–90'37
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 1.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
Preston North End
Current: winless 2 · conceding 22
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 40% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.75 | 1.41 | 1.84 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.45 | 1.52 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | 0.93 | 1.18 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.74 | 3.04 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 1.85 | 1.14 |
| Metric | Watford all · 49 | Watford at home · 24 | Preston North End all · 49 | Preston North End away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.22 | 1.67 | 1.12 | 1.17 |
| W / D / L | 15 / 15 / 19 | 11 / 7 / 6 | 14 / 13 / 22 | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | 1.33 | 1.12 | 1.17 |
| Goals against / match | 1.49 | 1.17 | 1.45 | 1.46 |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 21% | 16% | 17% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 25% | 29% | 25% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 58% | 59% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 46% | 51% | 54% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.35 | 1.52 | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| xG against / match | 1.33 | 1.18 | 1.59 | 1.81 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | 0.34 | -0.41 | -0.63 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.21 | -0.19 | -0.06 | -0.01 |
| xPts / match | 1.40 | 1.56 | 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.17 | 0.11 | -0.03 | 0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 26% | 33% | 37% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.23 | 2.50 | 2.06 | 1.82 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.85 | 1.27 | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 60% | 29% | 23% |
| Leads held | 65% | 85% | 61% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 16% | 26% | 25% | 32% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 48% | 44% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 37% | 26% | 30% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 48 | 43 | 39 | 33 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 30 | 36 | 41 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 50% | 51% | 39% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 44% | 50% | 54% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| Late goals against | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 46% | 43% |
| Shots | 13.6 | 15.5 | 11.4 | 10.8 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.4 | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 60% | 60% | 66% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.3 | 4.6 | 3.6 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 24% | 34% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 16% | 24% | 25% |
| Pressure index | 11.0 | 12.5 | 9.3 | 8.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.9 | 51.0 | 42.3 | 37.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 81% | 73% | 72% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 11.0 | 10.3 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 2.16 | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1014
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Preston North End
0–15'1114
16–30'108
31–45'611
46–60'1011
61–75'69
76–90'1218
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Watford · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0149
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0419
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0649
When behind-0.0134
10 min after conceding-0.2042
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0332
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0415
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1843
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.07
Preston North End · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0649
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1849
Late push (76+, level)-0.3219
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2922
Game state
When ahead-0.1223
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0931
10 min after conceding-0.2841
10 min after scoring+0.3534
Situations
At home-0.0925
Away-0.0224
3 days rest or fewer-0.0114
4+ days rest-0.0835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1025
v bottom-tier opponents-0.0918
As favourite+0.295
Evenly matched-0.0822
As underdog-0.1222
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1823
Conceded late (76+)+0.1246
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level -0.09
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 43% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 33% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
Preston North End
Current: winless 2 · conceding 22
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-5-2 | 10 20% | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.28 | 1.43 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 9 18% | 1.22 | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| 5-3-2 | 8 16% | 0.25 | 0.63 | 1.75 | 0.96 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-2 | 7 14% | 1.71 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.66 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 5 10% | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.23 | 1.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.7 pts at 2.4d
2.1Home 46% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 2.193.51Draw 28% · -0.4 ptsopened 3.413.67Away 26% ▼ -2.2 ptsopened 3.34
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.1 ▲ +2.6 | 3.51 · -0.4 | 3.67 ▼ -2.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.2 ▼ -2.9 | 3.25 ▲ +1.3 | 3.3 ▲ +1.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.1 · +0.4 | 3.4 ▲ +1.0 | 3.5 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.1 ▲ +1.5 | 3.5 · -0.7 | 3.4 · -0.8 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.25 ▼ -3.2 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 3.2 ▲ +2.4 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.25 ▼ -3.8 | 3.3 ▲ +1.0 | 3.2 ▲ +2.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.04 · -0.6 | 3.35 · +0.7 | 3.5 · -0.1 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.1 · +0.0 | 3.25 · +0.4 | 3.3 · -0.4 | 5m |
Unibet (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.74Yes 53% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.741.98No 47% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.98
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.74 · +0.0 | 1.98 · +0.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.72 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▼ -1.5 | 2.1 ▲ +1.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.92Over 51% · +0.6 ptsopened 1.921.97Under 49% · -0.6 ptsopened 1.92
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.92 · +0.6 | 1.97 · -0.6 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · -0.4 | 1.87 · +0.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.83 · +0.3 | 1.84 · -0.3 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.93 · -0.4 | 1.83 · +0.4 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.2Home 43% P 46%3.25Draw 29% P 28%3.3Away 28% P 26%
Double Chance
1.3Watford or Draw 36%1.3Watford or Preston 36%1.7Draw or Preston 28%
Draw No Bet
1.51 62%2.52 38%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 56%1.9Under 49% P 44%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 46% | 46% | 44% | -1.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 30% | +1.8 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 26% | +0.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Farai Hallam
- Career
- 52 matches · 4 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.58 (3.52 yellow · 0.0 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.9 · 6.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 36%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 36 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.0 | 4.05 | -0.10 | 49 |
| Fouls / match | 23.0 | 21.8 | +1.03 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.1 | 5.4 | +0.76 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.11 | 0.17 | -0.94 | 12 |
| Time added | 7.1 | 7.2 | -0.13 | 43 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 36% (league 45%)
- VAR events / match
- 1.0
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 77' | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 36' | 6 |
| 2026-08-14 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 34' | 5 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 74' | 10 |
| 2026-05-09 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 55' | 5 |
| 2026-04-24 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 50' | 12 |
| 2026-04-22 | 6 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 15' | 6 |
| 2026-04-14 | 4 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 35' | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 2' | 8 |
| 2026-04-04 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 33' | 3 |