Rating 7.3 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– WBAWatford –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| West Bromwich Albion | at home | Stat | league | away | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.6 #8 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 43.4 #21 |
| 10.3 #22 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.9 #19 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #15 |
| 4.6 #20 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 3.4 #23 |
| 9.9 #19 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| 2.6 #7 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| 18.0 #2 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.6 #6 |
| 89.0 #17 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 85.3 #19 |
| 45.1 #10 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 39.9 #20 |
| 514.7 #4 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 374.1 #16 |
| 2.3 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.6 #3 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.4 #22 |
| – #7 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.5 #12 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #18 |
| -0.0 #12 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #16 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.5 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.0 #20 | 0.8 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 #15 |
| – | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 8.9 #11 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #5 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.9 #3 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #20 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.9 #12 |
| 7.0 #22 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.7 #11 |
| 3.3 #24 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.1 #20 |
| 3.3 #20 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.1 #21 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
West Bromwich Albion · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.21 (92th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (30% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.22 (86th pct) · G+A 3 + 3 (60% of team goals) · 82% of minutes
Watford · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.95 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (37th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- The Hawthorns, West Bromwich
- Capacity
- 26,445
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,800
Teams
- Coaches
- James Morrison · Alessio Dionisi
- Position
- 6 · 15
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Michael Salisbury
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 20.3° (feels 19.9°)
- Wind
- 0.5
- Humidity
- 55%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
West Bromwich Albion
WWLD 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.8–6.16 · xPts 5.44
- D
H
Charlton Athletic
1–1
xG 0.82–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–3
xG 1.32–2.01
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 2.02–1.1
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
2–1
xG 1.64–2.55
UK CHAMP
WWLD 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 5.8–6.16 · xPts 5.44
- D
H
Charlton Athletic
1–1
xG 0.82–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–3
xG 1.32–2.01
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Burnley
3–1
xG 2.02–1.1
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Norwich City
2–1
xG 1.64–2.55
UK CHAMP
Watford
WDDL 1W 2D 1L · 5 pts (1.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 4.51–7.55 · xPts 3.85
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
WDDL 1W 2D 1L · 5 pts (1.25 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 4.51–7.55 · xPts 3.85
- L
A
Swansea City
0–2
xG 1.11–3.08
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 19 matches since 2007
Goals 30–22 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 58%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 15–14 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 8–5 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- W West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W West Bromwich Albion 3–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W West Bromwich Albion 2–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 2–1 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D West Bromwich Albion 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Watford 2–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 3–2 West Bromwich Albion UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D West Bromwich Albion 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 1–0 West Bromwich Albion neutral UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | West Bromwich Albion all · 7 | West Bromwich Albion at home · 4 | Watford all · 7 | Watford away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | 1.14 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 | – | 2 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | – | 1.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.39 | – | 1.17 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.34 | – | 1.78 | – |
| xG difference | 0.05 | – | -0.60 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.04 | – | -0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.43 | – | 1.01 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.57 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 57% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.33 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 67% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 31% | – | 17% | – |
| Minutes level | 61% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 8% | – | 39% | – |
| First goal (min) | 44 | – | 41 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | – | 28 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 71% | – | 22% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | – | 43% | – |
| Shots | 10.1 | – | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 4.0 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 14% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 73% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 4.6 | – | 3.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 25% | – | 22% | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.3 | – | 9.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 49.1 | – | 42.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 9.7 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 2.43 | – | 2.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
West Bromwich Albion
0–15'01
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'32
76–90'12
Watford
0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
West Bromwich Albion · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.38
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.147
Early press (0-15, level)+0.027
Late push (76+, level)-0.292
Game state
When ahead+0.085
When level+0.197
When behind-0.033
10 min after conceding-0.105
10 min after scoring+0.387
Situations
At home+0.274
Away-0.043
3 days rest or fewer+0.052
4+ days rest+0.175
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.003
v bottom-tier opponents+0.234
As favourite+0.224
As underdog-0.072
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.047
Conceded when ahead-0.165
Conceded late (76+)-0.257
Congested vs rested -0.11 · Ahead vs level -0.11 · Behind vs level -0.22
Watford · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16
West Bromwich Albion
Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 57% | 2.5 | 1.25 | 0.5 | 1.16 | 1.42 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 29% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.72 | 0.58 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | West Bromwich Albion all · 10 | West Bromwich Albion at home · 10 | Watford all · 10 | Watford away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 3 / 2 | 4 / 6 / 0 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 0.90 | 0.60 | 2.10 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.48 | 1.83 | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | 0.96 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| xG difference | 0.21 | 0.87 | -0.64 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.08 | -0.33 | -0.37 | -0.51 |
| xPts / match | 1.54 | 1.92 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | -0.12 | -0.19 | -0.48 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 60% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.00 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 100% | 14% | 12% |
| Leads held | 83% | 57% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 36% | 12% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 59% | 63% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 11% | 1% | 52% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 34 | 42 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 48 | 50 | 24 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 40% | 50% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 67% | 38% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | 55% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 11.0 | 13.8 | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| On target | 4.5 | 5.1 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 11% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 72% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 40% | 17% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 7% | 25% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 12.8 | 15.1 | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.3 | 58.6 | 38.3 | 39.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | 83% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.3 | 9.5 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 2.50 | 2.00 | 2.50 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
West Bromwich Albion
0–15'01
16–30'30
31–45'33
46–60'21
61–75'42
76–90'22
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'25
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'22
West Bromwich Albion
Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 70% | 2.0 | 1.29 | 0.57 | 1.39 | 1.29 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.72 | 0.58 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 1.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | West Bromwich Albion all · 50 | West Bromwich Albion at home · 24 | Watford all · 49 | Watford away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 24 | 49 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.16 | 1.58 | 1.22 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 16 / 20 | 9 / 11 / 4 | 15 / 15 / 19 | 4 / 8 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.33 | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Goals against / match | 1.32 | 1.08 | 1.49 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 33% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 25% | 29% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 58% | 61% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 46% | 49% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.44 | 1.69 | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.18 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | 0.26 | 0.86 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.34 | -0.36 | -0.21 | -0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.55 | 1.94 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.39 | -0.35 | -0.17 | -0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 38% | 50% | 26% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.05 | 2.00 | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 1.25 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Came back from behind | 26% | 50% | 44% | 32% |
| Leads held | 61% | 60% | 65% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 30% | 16% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 54% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | 16% | 37% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 40 | 48 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 44 | 45 | 30 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 56% | 59% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 58% | 44% | 40% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.26 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 54% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.7 | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 63% | 60% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 40% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 23% | 19% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 13.1 | 16.3 | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.5 | 57.5 | 45.9 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 82% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.0 | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.92 | 1.50 | 2.16 | 2.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
West Bromwich Albion
0–15'47
16–30'89
31–45'1113
46–60'812
61–75'1110
76–90'1214
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1014
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
West Bromwich Albion · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.13) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1350
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0350
Late push (76+, level)-0.0722
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1119
Game state
When ahead+0.0522
When level+0.1850
When behind+0.1027
10 min after conceding-0.0536
10 min after scoring+0.5536
Situations
With ten men-0.053
At home+0.2024
Away+0.0626
3 days rest or fewer+0.3016
4+ days rest+0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0828
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1516
As favourite+0.1919
Evenly matched+0.1622
As underdog-0.059
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0150
Conceded when ahead-0.0922
Conceded late (76+)-0.1246
Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level -0.13 · Behind vs level -0.09
Watford · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0149
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0419
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0649
When behind-0.0134
10 min after conceding-0.2042
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0332
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0415
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1843
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.07
West Bromwich Albion
Current: unbeaten 4 · winless 1 · scoring 8 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 22 44% | 1.45 | 1.05 | 0.86 | 1.42 | 1.22 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 20 40% | 1.05 | 1.15 | 1.4 | 1.53 | 1.01 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 6% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.86 | 1.62 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 1.55 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.18 | 0.75 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 43% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 33% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.8d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.5 pts at 6.0h
1.85Home 52% · +0.5 ptsopened 1.813.73Draw 26% · +0.2 ptsopened 3.644.41Away 22% · -0.7 ptsopened 4.15
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.85 · +0.5 | 3.73 · +0.2 | 4.41 · -0.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +8.3 | 3.75 ▼ -3.4 | 4.5 ▼ -4.8 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.85 ▲ +4.9 | 3.6 · -0.9 | 4.2 ▼ -3.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▲ +6.3 | 3.7 ▼ -2.4 | 4.2 ▼ -3.9 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.8 ▲ +6.6 | 3.7 ▼ -2.2 | 4.5 ▼ -4.5 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.8 ▲ +5.8 | 3.6 ▼ -1.8 | 4.2 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.87 ▲ +3.1 | 3.45 · -0.9 | 4.0 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▲ +5.1 | 3.4 ▼ -1.9 | 4.0 ▼ -3.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no +2.4 pts at 20m · late move: no +2.4 pts inside the final hour
1.8Yes 51% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 1.831.9No 49% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 1.83
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +1.4 | 1.9 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.3 | 2.15 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.73 ▲ +1.6 | 1.95 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.78 · +0.1 | 1.92 · -0.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +1.9 | 2.0 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.7d before kick-off · 70 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
1.9Over 51% · +0.1 ptsopened 1.881.98Under 49% · -0.1 ptsopened 1.95
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.9 · +0.1 | 1.98 · -0.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +7.6 | 2.0 ▼ -7.6 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 2.0 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.82 ▲ +3.8 | 1.85 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.94 ▲ +1.1 | 1.79 ▼ -1.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.72Home 54% P 52%3.75Draw 25% P 26%4.5Away 21% P 22%
Double Chance
1.22West Brom or Draw 39%1.28West Brom or Watford 37%1.95Draw or Watford 24%
Draw No Bet
1.331 71%3.252 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 48%1.8Under 51% P 52%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 20–22.5% · 722 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 51% | 55% | +3.6 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | 26% | -1.4 |
| Away | 22% | 21% | 19% | -2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 51% · over 2.5 47%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Michael Salisbury
- Career
- 139 matches · 12 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.52 (3.35 yellow · 0.14 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 5.9 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.26
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.38 | 4.05 | -1.22 | 14 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 21.8 | +0.26 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 5.4 | +1.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.44 | 22 |
| Time added | 6.5 | 7.2 | -0.83 | 16 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 18% in first 30' · 24% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 35' | 5 |
| 2026-05-17 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 78' | 9 |
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 36' | 7 |
| 2026-04-22 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 25' | 8 |
| 2026-04-12 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 11' | 7 |
| 2026-04-03 | 3 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 18' | 10 |
| 2026-03-21 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 16' | 5 |
| 2026-02-01 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 31' | 7 |
| 2026-01-24 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 45' | 7 |
| 2026-01-07 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7' | 13 |