Rating 7.28 (95th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (12% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– QPRMID –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Queens Park Rangers | at home | Stat | league | away | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 61.4 #2 |
| 15.0 #7 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 17.9 #1 |
| 5.1 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.3 #4 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.1 #5 |
| 9.1 #21 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.9 #19 |
| 1.3 #21 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.9 #4 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.4 #7 |
| 83.1 #22 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 103.6 #5 |
| 51.0 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 62.6 #2 |
| 446.1 #11 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 551.1 #1 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.1 #21 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #3 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #4 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.6 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.9 #4 |
| -0.5 #22 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.1 #7 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 1.1 #14 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.0 #4 |
| 0.7 #23 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 #12 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 9.6 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.4 #18 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #17 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #3 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 6.7 #1 |
| 10.6 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.1 #6 |
| 6.1 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.9 #9 |
| 4.4 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 6.7 #1 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Queens Park Rangers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.06 (87th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (12% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.84 (50th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (38% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Middlesbrough · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.23 (91th pct) · G+A 6 + 0 (43% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.43 (98th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (21% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 7.26 (94th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (7% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Absences
Queens Park Rangers
- injury Justin Obikwu attacker · Shin Injury · 32 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- MATRADE Loftus Road, London
- Capacity
- 18,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 17,007
Teams
- Coaches
- Julien Stéphan · Kim Hellberg
- Position
- 2 · 5
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Andy Madley
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.6° (feels 23.0°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 41%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Queens Park Rangers
WDWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 7.91–3.74 · xPts 8.2
- W
H
Cardiff City
2–1
xG 2.2–0.64
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.61–1.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bolton Wanderers
0–0
xG 2.16–0.12
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
3–1
xG 1.93–1.78
UK CHAMP
WDWW 3W 1D 0L · 10 pts (2.5 ppg) · GF 7 GA 3 · xG 7.91–3.74 · xPts 8.2
- W
H
Cardiff City
2–1
xG 2.2–0.64
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.61–1.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bolton Wanderers
0–0
xG 2.16–0.12
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
3–1
xG 1.93–1.78
UK CHAMP
Middlesbrough
LWLWD 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 8.24–5.26 · xPts 8.54
- D
A
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.01–0.9
UK CHAMP
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3–1
xG 2.01–1.32
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Blackburn Rovers
1–2
xG 1.57–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Lincoln City
2–1
xG 2.9–0.89
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Hull City
0–1
xG 0.75–1.22
UK CHAMP
DLLWLWD 2W 2D 3L · 8 pts (1.14 ppg) · GF 8 GA 8 · xG 11.4–8.38 · xPts 11.42
- D
A
Burnley
1–1
xG 1.01–0.9
UK CHAMP
- W
H
West Bromwich Albion
3–1
xG 2.01–1.32
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Blackburn Rovers
1–2
xG 1.57–0.94
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Lincoln City
2–1
xG 2.9–0.89
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Hull City
0–1
xG 0.75–1.22
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–2 aet
xG 0.92–2.4
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Southampton
0–0
xG 2.24–0.73
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 27 matches since 2009
Goals 38–50 · 3.26 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 11–23 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–14 · 3.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%
Recent meetings
- L Queens Park Rangers 0–1 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Middlesbrough 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Middlesbrough 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Queens Park Rangers 1–4 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Queens Park Rangers 0–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Middlesbrough 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Middlesbrough 3–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Queens Park Rangers 3–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Queens Park Rangers 2–2 Middlesbrough UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers all · 7 | Queens Park Rangers at home · 3 | Middlesbrough all · 7 | Middlesbrough away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.71 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 1 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | – | 2.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.71 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 14% | – |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 57% | – | 86% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.55 | – | 1.91 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | – | 1.23 | – |
| xG difference | 0.36 | – | 0.69 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.41 | – | 0.09 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.60 | – | 1.79 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | – | 0.21 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 57% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.75 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | – | 2.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 67% | – | 75% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 20% | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes level | 66% | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | – | 22% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 31 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | – | 32 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | – | 57% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 60% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.43 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | – | 61% | – |
| Shots | 14.9 | – | 17.9 | – |
| On target | 5.0 | – | 5.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 11% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 62% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Corners | 6.3 | – | 6.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 19% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | – | 17.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 55.1 | – | 63.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | – | 88% | – |
| Fouls | 9.1 | – | 9.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Queens Park Rangers
0–15'01
16–30'01
31–45'51
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'00
Middlesbrough
0–15'33
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'23
61–75'33
76–90'30
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093
Game state
When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394
Situations
At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397
Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59
Middlesbrough · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294
Game state
When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697
Situations
At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417
Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77
Queens Park Rangers
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.54 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.56 | 1.2 |
Middlesbrough
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.95 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0.89 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 0.9 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.07 | 1.53 |
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers all · 10 | Queens Park Rangers at home · 10 | Middlesbrough all · 10 | Middlesbrough away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.10 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 4 / 3 / 3 | 2 / 5 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.71 | 1.73 | 2.01 |
| xG against / match | 1.45 | 1.55 | 1.29 | 1.48 |
| xG difference | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.44 | 0.53 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.50 | -0.41 | -0.23 | -0.61 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.57 | 1.64 | 1.64 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.14 | -0.54 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 50% | 80% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 2.25 | 1.40 | 1.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.20 | 0.00 | 1.75 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 57% | 25% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 26% | 30% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 40% | 55% | 59% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 34% | 15% | 8% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 34 | 28 | 15 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 35 | 41 | 45 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 54% | 53% | 36% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 53% | 58% | 46% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 45% | 60% | 59% |
| Shots | 15.3 | 14.4 | 17.8 | 16.3 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 9% | 8% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 5.4 | 6.2 | 5.7 |
| xG from set plays | 16% | 20% | 25% | 22% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 15% | 13% | 7% |
| Pressure index | 13.2 | 12.5 | 17.9 | 14.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.2 | 52.3 | 61.7 | 60.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 78% | 86% | 85% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.6 | 9.5 | 8.8 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.20 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Queens Park Rangers
0–15'14
16–30'02
31–45'51
46–60'31
61–75'11
76–90'14
Middlesbrough
0–15'43
16–30'20
31–45'12
46–60'23
61–75'33
76–90'31
Queens Park Rangers
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.56 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.56 | 1.2 |
Middlesbrough
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 4 40% | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.49 | 1.47 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.95 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 | 0.89 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.57 | 0.94 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.01 | 0.9 |
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers all · 49 | Queens Park Rangers at home · 24 | Middlesbrough all · 52 | Middlesbrough away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 52 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.38 | 1.58 | 1.35 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 20 | 10 / 3 / 11 | 22 / 16 / 14 | 9 / 8 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.58 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.54 | 1.15 | 1.35 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 21% | 23% | 15% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 25% | 25% | 23% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 67% | 62% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 75% | 56% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.36 | 1.72 | 1.65 | 1.55 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.13 | 1.21 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.34 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.11 | -0.13 | -0.13 | -0.17 |
| xPts / match | 1.42 | 1.74 | 1.69 | 1.56 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.36 | -0.11 | -0.22 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 42% | 52% | 58% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.40 | 2.19 | 1.87 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.78 | 0.55 | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 15% | 46% | 40% |
| Leads held | 85% | 83% | 71% | 56% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 28% | 32% | 33% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 44% | 48% | 46% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 28% | 20% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 42 | 34 | 30 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 43 | 44 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 55% | 48% | 39% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 65% | 58% | 59% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.46 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 46% | 60% | 58% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 14.8 | 16.7 | 15.4 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 9% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 64% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.9 | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 27% | 24% | 16% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 16% | 13% | 11% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 16.0 | 20.1 | 18.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.7 | 55.0 | 63.2 | 62.7 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 76% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 10.5 | 9.2 | 9.1 |
| Cards | 1.98 | 2.04 | 1.46 | 1.88 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Queens Park Rangers
0–15'612
16–30'79
31–45'1314
46–60'914
61–75'116
76–90'1512
Middlesbrough
0–15'1210
16–30'139
31–45'166
46–60'1310
61–75'1411
76–90'1113
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Queens Park Rangers · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0749
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.0919
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1217
Game state
When ahead+0.4020
When level+0.0749
When behind-0.1329
10 min after conceding-0.2736
10 min after scoring+0.5732
Situations
At home+0.1724
Away-0.0125
3 days rest or fewer+0.0216
4+ days rest+0.1033
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0424
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1018
As favourite+0.607
Evenly matched+0.1026
As underdog-0.2316
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0249
Conceded when ahead-0.2620
Conceded late (76+)-0.2244
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.20
Middlesbrough · 52 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.50) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.93
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.5052
Early press (0-15, level)+0.5852
Late push (76+, level)+0.2625
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4615
Game state
When ahead+0.3831
When level+0.4452
When behind+0.8125
10 min after conceding+0.2039
10 min after scoring+0.9338
Situations
Against ten men-0.292
At home+0.4126
Away+0.5926
3 days rest or fewer+0.6117
4+ days rest+0.4535
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.4228
v bottom-tier opponents+0.6617
As favourite+0.5528
Evenly matched+0.4522
As underdog+0.322
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.1852
Conceded when ahead-0.1331
Conceded late (76+)-0.1946
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level -0.06 · Behind vs level +0.36
Queens Park Rangers
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 28 57% | 1.18 | 1.32 | 1.57 | 1.3 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 43% | 1.43 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.43 | 1.17 |
Middlesbrough
Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 14 27% | 2.43 | 2.21 | 1.0 | 1.63 | 1.2 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 11 21% | 1.0 | 0.91 | 1.09 | 1.68 | 1.29 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 10 19% | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.95 | 1.19 |
| 4-4-2 | 6 12% | 2.0 | 2.17 | 1.67 | 1.2 | 1.05 |
| 4-3-3 | 4 8% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.25 | 1.19 | 0.79 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.8d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
3.17Home 30% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 3.213.75Draw 26% · -0.7 ptsopened 3.552.21Away 44% · -0.4 ptsopened 2.13
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.17 ▲ +1.2 | 3.75 · -0.7 | 2.21 · -0.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.9 ▲ +5.3 | 3.5 ▼ -1.1 | 2.3 ▼ -4.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 3.1 ▲ +1.9 | 3.5 · +0.1 | 2.2 ▼ -1.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 3.1 ▲ +2.9 | 3.6 ▼ -1.4 | 2.2 ▼ -1.5 | 10m |
| Coral | 3.1 ▲ +3.6 | 3.5 · -0.7 | 2.25 ▼ -2.9 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 3.1 ▲ +2.7 | 3.5 · -0.8 | 2.2 ▼ -2.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 3.25 · +0.5 | 3.55 ▼ -1.1 | 2.07 · +0.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 3.0 ▲ +3.2 | 3.4 ▼ -1.6 | 2.15 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.1 pts at 3.8d
1.57Yes 59% ▲ +5.1 ptsopened 1.722.25No 41% ▼ -5.1 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 ▲ +5.1 | 2.25 ▼ -5.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +3.5 | 2.2 ▼ -3.5 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.53 ▲ +6.0 | 2.3 ▼ -6.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.6 ▲ +3.7 | 2.2 ▼ -3.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 ▲ +4.0 | 2.2 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.7d before kick-off · 70 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.3 pts at 8.0h
1.72Over 56% ▲ +2.6 ptsopened 1.782.21Under 44% ▼ -2.6 ptsopened 2.06
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 ▲ +2.6 | 2.21 ▼ -2.6 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +7.0 | 2.2 ▼ -7.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▲ +3.9 | 2.05 ▼ -3.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.66 ▲ +5.9 | 2.05 ▼ -5.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.73 ▲ +4.8 | 2.05 ▼ -4.8 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.9Home 32% P 30%3.5Draw 27% P 26%2.3Away 41% P 44%
Double Chance
1.66QPR or Draw 28%1.28QPR or Middlesbrough 37%1.36Draw or Middlesbrough 35%
Draw No Bet
2.251 41%1.572 59%
Both Teams To Score
1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 45%1.72Under 54% P 55%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 42.5–45% · 201 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 30% | 31% | 31% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 26% | +0.2 |
| Away | 44% | 43% | 43% | -0.1 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 65% · over 2.5 64%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Andy Madley
- Career
- 313 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.42 (3.29 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.7 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 17 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.53 | 4.05 | +0.87 | 82 |
| Fouls / match | 23.2 | 21.8 | +1.19 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.1 | 5.4 | -0.64 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.17 | -0.03 | 53 |
| Time added | 6.9 | 7.2 | -0.37 | 35 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 9% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 54% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2026-08-13 | 6 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 16' | 2 |
| 2026-07-14 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 17' | 2 |
| 2026-05-24 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 82' | 13 |
| 2026-05-12 · Middlesbrough | 8 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 13' | 11 |
| 2026-05-09 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 0 | 41' | 9 |
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 19' | 11 |
| 2026-04-22 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 37' | 15 |
| 2026-04-22 | – | – | 22 | – | – | 6 |
| 2026-04-12 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 68' | 7 |