Rating 7.02 (85th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (15% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– MillwallBOL –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Millwall | at home | Stat | league | away | Bolton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 52.6 #8 |
| 14.6 #9 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.7 #14 |
| 3.7 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.7 #7 |
| 4.7 #18 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.9 #10 |
| 12.4 #5 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.7 #17 |
| 3.9 #1 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.6 #17 |
| 15.1 #10 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 16.3 #5 |
| 90.4 #16 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 96.7 #7 |
| 43.1 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.4 #14 |
| 350.6 #18 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 415.9 #12 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.7 #14 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.4 #22 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #19 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #6 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #18 |
| 2.0 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #19 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #15 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #1 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.7 | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.9 #2 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.3 | 1.7 #6 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 8.0 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.9 #7 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #3 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 2.6 #23 |
| 11.7 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.7 #11 |
| 6.1 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.6 #12 |
| 2.9 #22 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Millwall · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.03 (79th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (88th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (31% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Bolton Wanderers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.84 (52th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (29% of team goals) · 87% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 99% of minutes
Rating 7.3 (98th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Absences
Millwall
- injury Tristan Crama defender · Ankle Injury · 6 missed
Bolton Wanderers
- injury Luca Stephenson defender · Strain In The Thigh And Gluteal Muscles · 3 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- The Den, London
- Capacity
- 20,146
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 19,012
Teams
- Coaches
- Alex Neil · Steven Schumacher
- Position
- 7 · 21
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Will Finnie
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 23.9° (feels 23.5°)
- Wind
- 3.1
- Humidity
- 41%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Millwall
LWWLL 2W 0D 3L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 9.44–7.71 · xPts 7.33
- L
H
Wrexham
0–3
xG 0.24–1.06
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–5
xG 1.52–3.23
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
DLWWLL 2W 1D 3L · 7 pts (1.17 ppg) · GF 6 GA 10 · xG 10.2–8.17 · xPts 8.9
- L
H
Wrexham
0–3
xG 0.24–1.06
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Southampton
1–5
xG 1.52–3.23
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
Bolton Wanderers
WDLL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 4.9–6.47 · xPts 4.53
- L
A
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.97–1.96
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Lincoln City
0–1
xG 2.03–1.25
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Queens Park Rangers
0–0
xG 0.12–2.16
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 0.77–1.1
UK CHAMP
WDLL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 4.9–6.47 · xPts 4.53
- L
A
Sheffield United
2–3
xG 1.97–1.96
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Lincoln City
0–1
xG 2.03–1.25
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Queens Park Rangers
0–0
xG 0.12–2.16
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Preston North End
2–1
xG 0.77–1.1
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 12 matches since 2012
Goals 14–15 · 2.42 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–12 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 30%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–4 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- W Millwall 4–0 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bolton Wanderers 2–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Millwall 1–1 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bolton Wanderers 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Millwall 1–1 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bolton Wanderers 2–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Millwall 0–1 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Millwall 1–1 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bolton Wanderers 3–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Bolton Wanderers 1–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Millwall all · 7 | Millwall at home · 3 | Bolton Wanderers all · 7 | Bolton Wanderers away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 1.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 3 | – | 2 / 1 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.86 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 1.71 | – |
| Clean sheets | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 43% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | – | 57% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.00 | – | 1.16 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | – | 1.93 | – |
| xG difference | 0.62 | – | -0.76 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | – | -0.16 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.68 | – | 0.94 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.25 | – | 0.06 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 37% | – | 13% | – |
| Minutes level | 38% | – | 72% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | – | 15% | – |
| First goal (min) | 29 | – | 31 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | – | 41 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | – | 29% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | – | 67% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | – | 53% | – |
| Shots | 14.1 | – | 12.7 | – |
| On target | 3.7 | – | 4.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 80% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | – | 1.4 | – |
| Corners | 4.4 | – | 5.9 | – |
| xG from set plays | 24% | – | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | 17% | – | 33% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | – | 10.9 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | – | 49.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 11.1 | – | 9.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.57 | – | 1.86 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'22
16–30'30
31–45'02
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'16
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Millwall · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217
Game state
When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546
Situations
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035
Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14
Bolton Wanderers · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.23
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.007
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When ahead+0.084
When level+0.017
When behind-0.134
10 min after conceding-0.205
10 min after scoring+0.164
Situations
At home-0.084
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.065
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.164
Conceded late (76+)-0.077
Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 43% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.71 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Millwall all · 10 | Millwall at home · 10 | Bolton Wanderers all · 10 | Bolton Wanderers away · 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.00 | 0.33 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 3 / 1 / 6 | 0 / 2 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.70 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.90 | 2.17 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 60% | 20% | 33% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 40% | 67% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 70% | 67% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.86 | 1.65 | 1.16 | 1.03 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.12 | 1.93 | 2.11 |
| xG difference | 0.56 | 0.54 | -0.76 | -1.09 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.36 | 0.05 | -0.16 | -0.36 |
| xPts / match | 1.66 | 1.68 | 0.94 | 0.74 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | 0.11 | 0.06 | -0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 50% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 2.25 | 1.80 | 0.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Leads held | 67% | 75% | 50% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 46% | 15% | 2% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 42% | 66% | 74% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 12% | 20% | 25% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 34 | 36 | 28 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 58 | 42 | 27 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 40% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 73% | 89% | 74% | 77% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.90 | 1.17 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 50% | 52% | 48% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 12.2 | 11.9 | 9.2 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.6 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 14% | 8% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 68% | 75% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.3 | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 31% | 28% | 10% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 18% | 33% | 50% |
| Pressure index | 14.3 | 15.3 | 10.0 | 6.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.8 | 55.1 | 48.4 | 32.8 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 74% | 79% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 9.5 | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'42
46–60'44
61–75'04
76–90'43
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'23
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'12
61–75'23
76–90'19
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.33 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 80% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | – | – |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Millwall all · 51 | Millwall at home · 25 | Bolton Wanderers all · 9 | Bolton Wanderers away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 25 | 9 | – |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 1.92 | 1.11 | – |
| W / D / L | 25 / 12 / 14 | 15 / 3 / 7 | 3 / 1 / 5 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.45 | 1.60 | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.89 | – |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 52% | 22% | – |
| Failed to score | 18% | 16% | 44% | – |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 36% | 44% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 56% | 67% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.59 | 1.68 | 1.16 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.16 | 1.93 | – |
| xG difference | 0.19 | 0.53 | -0.76 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.08 | -0.16 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.63 | 0.94 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.06 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 64% | 44% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.63 | 2.25 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.63 | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 30% | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 81% | 88% | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 38% | 16% | – |
| Minutes level | 52% | 47% | 63% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 15% | 22% | – |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 36 | 33 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | 40 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 55% | 33% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 76% | 71% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.11 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.89 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 49% | 52% | – |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.1 | 12.3 | – |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.8 | 4.9 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.4 | – |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.0 | 5.8 | – |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 34% | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 18% | 33% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 14.6 | 10.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 44.4 | 49.8 | 48.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | 72% | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 10.6 | 8.4 | – |
| Cards | 1.78 | 1.28 | 1.56 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Millwall
0–15'87
16–30'108
31–45'128
46–60'1313
61–75'119
76–90'2017
Bolton Wanderers
0–15'23
16–30'30
31–45'12
46–60'01
61–75'23
76–90'18
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Millwall · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1051
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0851
Late push (76+, level)-0.2618
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4011
Game state
When ahead+0.2131
When level+0.1451
When behind-0.2222
10 min after conceding-0.1830
10 min after scoring+0.4341
Situations
With ten men-0.043
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.1325
Away+0.0726
3 days rest or fewer+0.0817
4+ days rest+0.1134
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0226
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0919
As favourite+0.3716
Evenly matched-0.0422
As underdog-0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1151
Conceded when ahead-0.0331
Conceded late (76+)-0.0945
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.36
Bolton Wanderers · 9 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.029
Early press (0-15, level)-0.169
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.235
Game state
When ahead+0.065
When level+0.029
When behind-0.025
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.275
Situations
At home-0.055
Away+0.104
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.027
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As favourite+0.102
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.119
Conceded when ahead-0.245
Conceded late (76+)-0.099
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level -0.04
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 82% | 1.74 | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.23 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.34 |
Bolton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 89% | 0.88 | 0.88 | 2.0 | 1.16 | 1.93 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 11% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.8d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -7.1 pts at 2.7d
1.98Home 49% ▼ -7.5 ptsopened 1.663.57Draw 27% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 3.974.02Away 24% ▲ +3.9 ptsopened 4.65
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 ▼ -7.5 | 3.57 ▲ +3.5 | 4.02 ▲ +3.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -11.1 | 3.5 ▲ +2.0 | 3.75 ▲ +9.1 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▼ -12.1 | 3.3 ▲ +5.2 | 4.2 ▲ +6.9 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.95 ▼ -11.4 | 3.6 ▲ +2.1 | 3.75 ▲ +9.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 ▼ -11.8 | 3.4 ▲ +3.5 | 3.8 ▲ +8.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.81 ▼ -9.5 | 3.45 ▲ +3.1 | 4.3 ▲ +6.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.91 ▼ -10.5 | 3.3 ▲ +2.5 | 3.8 ▲ +8.0 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +3.8 pts at 2.7d
1.72Yes 54% ▲ +7.5 ptsopened 2.02.0No 46% ▼ -7.5 ptsopened 1.72
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +7.5 | 2.0 ▼ -7.5 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.8 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▲ +7.7 | 2.0 ▼ -7.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.95 ▲ +1.7 | 1.77 ▼ -1.7 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 ▲ +6.0 | 2.0 ▼ -6.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.7d before kick-off · 70 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: under -2.8 pts at 9.0h
1.9Over 51% ▲ +4.9 ptsopened 2.071.99Under 49% ▼ -4.9 ptsopened 1.78
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.9 ▲ +4.9 | 1.99 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▲ +5.3 | 2.0 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.0 · +0.1 | 1.8 · -0.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.81 ▲ +3.0 | 1.86 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.12 ▼ -2.9 | 1.67 ▲ +2.9 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 48% P 49%3.5Draw 27% P 27%3.75Away 25% P 24%
Double Chance
1.25Millwall or Draw 38%1.3Millwall or Bolton 36%1.8Draw or Bolton 26%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.8Over 53% P 51%2.0Under 47% P 49%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 44%1.8Under 51% P 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 49% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 29% | +1.7 |
| Away | 24% | 24% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Will Finnie
- Career
- 41 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.0 | 4.05 | -0.10 | 49 |
| Fouls / match | 20.8 | 21.8 | -0.99 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 5.4 | -0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.34 | 35 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.2 | +0.91 | 78 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 32' | 6 |
| 2026-08-15 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 14 |
| 2026-05-02 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 10 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 34' | 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 55' | 11 |
| 2026-01-17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 79' | 9 |
| 2026-01-11 | 7 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 31' | 12 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 27' | 6 |