Rating 7.05 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– Lincoln CitySouthampton –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Lincoln City | at home | Stat | league | away | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.4 #24 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 57.7 #4 |
| 12.6 #15 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 15.9 #4 |
| 2.9 #23 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.6 #8 |
| 4.4 #21 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 14.0 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 8.4 #24 |
| 2.9 #4 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.4 #8 |
| 18.7 #1 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.0 #23 |
| 81.3 #23 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 96.3 #9 |
| 42.9 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 42.1 #18 |
| 272.4 #24 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 487.6 #6 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #1 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.5 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #5 |
| -0.7 #23 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.7 #1 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 0.9 #21 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 #2 |
| 0.9 #22 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 #19 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 11.4 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.6 #17 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #17 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #2 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.9 #2 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.6 #4 |
| 5.7 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.4 #3 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lincoln City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Rating 7.2 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Southampton · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.32 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 0 (39% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (22% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Absences
Lincoln City
- injury Josh Honohan defender · Unknown Injury · 44 missed
- injury Tendayi Darikwa #15 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 3 missed · until 2027-06-30
Southampton
- injury Mads Roerslev defender · Knee Injury · 48 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- LNER Stadium, Lincoln
- Capacity
- 10,780
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,758
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Cohen · Tonda Eckert
- Position
- 17 · 18
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Andrew Kitchen
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 19.6° (feels 19.1°)
- Wind
- 5.7
- Humidity
- 54%
Where to watch · 12
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay · V Sport 1 Finland
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
V Sport 1 Sweden · Viaplay Sweden
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Lincoln City
LLWD 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 6.22–6.61 · xPts 5.68
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
LLWD 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 6.22–6.61 · xPts 5.68
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
0–0
xG 1.74–0.3
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
Southampton
WLWWD 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 10.51–5.93 · xPts 9.51
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 1.02–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1 aet
xG 2.4–0.92
UK CHAMP
DWLWWD 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 12 GA 6 · xG 11.23–8.17 · xPts 10.0
- D
A
Birmingham City
1–1
xG 1.02–1.42
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1 aet
xG 2.4–0.92
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Middlesbrough
0–0
xG 0.73–2.24
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 1–1 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Lincoln City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 7 | Lincoln City at home · 3 | Southampton all · 7 | Southampton away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.57 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 2.57 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.86 | – | 1.14 | – |
| Clean sheets | 57% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.80 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.67 | – |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | 0.78 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.48 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.52 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 57% | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | – | 2.20 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 19% | – | 41% | – |
| Minutes level | 61% | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | – | 14% | – |
| First goal (min) | 55 | – | 32 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | – | 45 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | – | 56% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 36% | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | 12.6 | – | 15.7 | – |
| On target | 3.0 | – | 4.6 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.7 | – |
| Corners | 4.4 | – | 6.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | – | 14.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 37.1 | – | 54.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | 13.6 | – | 8.3 | – |
| Cards | 2.57 | – | 1.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21
Southampton
0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'50
46–60'22
61–75'21
76–90'61
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217
Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14
Southampton · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393
Game state
When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297
Situations
At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 2.0 | 2.57 | 1.14 | 1.8 | 1.67 |
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 10 | Lincoln City at home · 4 | Southampton all · 10 | Southampton away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | – | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | – | 2.30 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | – | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | – | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | – | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | – | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | – | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.84 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.62 | 1.91 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | 0.22 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.33 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | – | 67% | 50% |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 75% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 36% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 49% | – | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 14% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | – | 31 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | – | 42 | 54 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | – | 54% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 50% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | – | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | – | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | – | 55% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.4 | – | 15.4 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.2 | – | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 15% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 71% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 30% | – | 17% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 13.5 | – | 14.2 | 12.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.0 | – | 56.0 | 51.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | – | 85% | 82% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | – | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 2.60 | – | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'14
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'12
76–90'34
Southampton
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'60
46–60'33
61–75'21
76–90'71
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.78 | 1.7 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.92 |
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 8 | Lincoln City at home · 3 | Southampton all · 55 | Southampton away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | – | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 1.89 | 1.54 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 2 | – | 30 / 14 / 11 | 12 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | – | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| Goals against / match | 0.88 | – | 1.18 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 22% | 11% |
| Failed to score | 12% | – | 9% | 7% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 74% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | – | 66% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.63 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | 0.22 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | – | 62% | 61% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.29 | 1.82 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 50% | 36% |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 73% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 36% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 59% | – | 50% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | – | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | 39 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | – | 46 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 53% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 63% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.25 | – | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | – | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | – | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 12.6 | – | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 3.4 | – | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 4.6 | – | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 19% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | – | 16.6 | 14.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.3 | – | 56.9 | 53.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | – | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 14.6 | – | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 3.00 | – | 1.75 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'22
Southampton
0–15'156
16–30'189
31–45'159
46–60'1914
61–75'1412
76–90'2215
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln City · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.098
Early press (0-15, level)+0.238
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.115
When level-0.048
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.287
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.135
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.086
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.105
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.118
Conceded when ahead-0.025
Conceded late (76+)+0.148
Congested vs rested -0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Southampton · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: against ten men +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2355
Late push (76+, level)+0.3925
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3711
Game state
When ahead+0.1140
When level+0.2755
When behind+0.4822
10 min after conceding+0.0342
10 min after scoring+0.3849
Situations
Against ten men+0.803
At home+0.1727
Away+0.3228
3 days rest or fewer+0.2420
4+ days rest+0.2435
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.423
v mid-tier opponents+0.3028
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1916
As favourite+0.3231
Evenly matched+0.2819
As underdog-0.295
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0055
Conceded when ahead-0.0440
Conceded late (76+)-0.1949
Congested vs rested -0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.21
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 38% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 25% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 25% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 54% | 2.2 | 2.17 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 24% | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 7% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.69 | 0.9 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.56 | 0.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.6d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.3 pts at 3.3d
4.07Home 24% ▼ -3.4 ptsopened 3.464.13Draw 23% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.951.83Away 53% ▲ +3.7 ptsopened 1.91
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 4.07 ▼ -3.4 | 4.13 · -0.3 | 1.83 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 4.1 ▲ +1.1 | 3.8 · -0.8 | 1.8 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 4.2 · +0.7 | 3.9 · -0.6 | 1.75 · -0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 4.2 · +0.4 | 3.9 ▼ -1.5 | 1.75 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| Coral | 4.0 ▲ +1.7 | 3.8 · -0.5 | 1.83 ▼ -1.2 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 4.0 ▲ +1.5 | 3.8 · -1.0 | 1.8 · -0.6 | 10m |
| Unibet | 4.0 ▲ +1.4 | 3.75 · -0.6 | 1.8 · -0.8 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 3.8 ▲ +2.2 | 3.75 ▼ -1.9 | 1.8 · -0.3 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +4.0 pts at 3.3d
1.61Yes 58% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.722.2No 42% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +4.0 | 2.2 ▼ -4.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 · +0.3 | 2.15 · -0.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.6 ▲ +2.8 | 2.2 ▼ -2.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.62 ▲ +2.1 | 2.16 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.62 ▲ +2.4 | 2.15 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.6d before kick-off · 92 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off
1.69Over 57% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 1.712.26Under 43% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 2.16
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.69 ▲ +1.4 | 2.26 ▼ -1.4 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +4.4 | 2.2 ▼ -4.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.64 ▲ +3.0 | 2.09 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.68 ▲ +2.1 | 2.07 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
4.1Home 23% P 24%3.8Draw 25% P 23%1.8Away 52% P 53%
Double Chance
1.95Lincoln City or Draw 24%1.25Lincoln City or Southampton 38%1.22Draw or Southampton 38%
Draw No Bet
3.251 29%1.332 71%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 22.5–25% · away 52.5–55% · 125 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 24% | 23% | 21% | -2.5 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 20% | -3.2 |
| Away | 53% | 54% | 59% | +5.7 |
In those fixtures: 3.1 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 62%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Andrew Kitchen
- Career
- 95 matches · 8 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.09 (3.01 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.4 · 7.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.18
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 78 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.33 | 4.05 | -1.31 | 8 |
| Fouls / match | 22.8 | 21.8 | +0.84 | |
| Fouls per card | 7.0 | 5.4 | +2.15 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.18 | 0.17 | +0.01 | 55 |
| Time added | 7.5 | 7.2 | +0.33 | 57 |
- First card
- 43' on average
- Card timing
- 11% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 47' | 4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 5 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 47' | 8 |
| 2026-08-17 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 33' | 8 |
| 2026-05-24 | 4 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 41' | 13 |
| 2026-04-25 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 16' | 9 |
| 2026-04-21 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 35' | 8 |
| 2026-04-11 · Southampton | 3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 53' | 10 |
| 2026-04-06 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 33' | 7 |
| 2026-03-14 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 59' | 10 |
| 2026-03-06 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 22' | 9 |