Rating 6.77 (31th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (12% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– BurnleyBristol City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Burnley | at home | Stat | league | away | Bristol City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.4 #13 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 46.0 #17 |
| 14.3 #10 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.1 #11 |
| 3.9 #15 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.3 #10 |
| 5.0 #15 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.7 #12 |
| 10.9 #15 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.9 #6 |
| 1.6 #17 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| 12.6 #21 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.1 #22 |
| 84.6 #21 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 85.3 #19 |
| 41.6 #19 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 37.4 #23 |
| 461.7 #7 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 364.7 #17 |
| 2.0 #10 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #16 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.0 #9 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #4 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #18 |
| 1.3 #15 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #17 |
| -0.2 #14 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.2 #6 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.1 #14 | 1.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 #9 |
| 2.3 #1 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 #6 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 7.1 #21 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.4 #18 |
| – #3 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.6 #24 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #21 |
| 4.1 #10 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 2.9 #22 |
| 8.1 #16 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 10.1 #8 |
| 6.3 #5 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 7.0 #1 |
| 6.1 #3 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| – #23 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #7 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Burnley · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.77 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 57% of minutes
Rating 6.83 (44th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (25% of team goals) · 45% of minutes
Bristol City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.3 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 5 (50% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 6.93 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Rating 6.79 (34th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Burnley
- injury Josh Cullen midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 34 missed · until 2026-10-01
- injury Mike Tresor midfielder · Unknown Injury · 105 missed
Bristol City
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 80 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- Turf Moor, Burnley
- Capacity
- 22,546
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Nicky Hayen · Michael Skubala
- Position
- 24 · 7
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Gavin Ward
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 17.4° (feels 17.3°)
- Wind
- 5.9
- Humidity
- 80%
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2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Burnley
DDLLD 0W 3D 2L · 3 pts (0.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 11 · xG 7.4–9.22 · xPts 5.73
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 0.9–1.01
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–4
xG 1.13–2.33
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–3
xG 1.1–2.02
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
2–2
xG 2.99–1.55
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–1
xG 1.28–2.31
UK PL
DLDDLLD 0W 4D 3L · 4 pts (0.57 ppg) · GF 8 GA 14 · xG 9.36–12.07 · xPts 7.76
- D
H
Middlesbrough
1–1
xG 0.9–1.01
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Norwich City
1–4
xG 1.13–2.33
UK CHAMP
- L
A
West Bromwich Albion
1–3
xG 1.1–2.02
UK CHAMP
- D
H
West Ham United
2–2
xG 2.99–1.55
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wolverhampton Wanderers
1–1
xG 1.28–2.31
UK PL
- L
A
Arsenal
0–1
xG 0.39–1.4
UK PL - D
H
Aston Villa
2–2
xG 1.57–1.45
UK PL
Bristol City
LDWW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 4.1–8.18 · xPts 3.34
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 0.49–3.12
UK CHAMP
LDWW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 6 · xG 4.1–8.18 · xPts 3.34
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.14–1.85
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Portsmouth
2–1
xG 0.83–1.53
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Birmingham City
2–2
xG 1.64–1.68
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Millwall
0–2
xG 0.49–3.12
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 18 matches since 2007
Goals 32–19 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 61%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 22–9 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Burnley 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Burnley 1–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 0–1 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 1–2 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Burnley 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Burnley 2–0 Bristol City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- W Burnley 4–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 1–2 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Burnley 3–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 3–4 Burnley UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Burnley all · 7 | Burnley at home · 3 | Bristol City all · 7 | Bristol City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 0.43 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 0 / 3 / 4 | – | 3 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Goals against / match | 2.29 | – | 1.71 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 100% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.32 | – | 1.27 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.58 | – | 1.59 | – |
| xG difference | -0.26 | – | -0.32 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.18 | – | 0.16 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.17 | – | 1.26 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.74 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.33 | – | 2.33 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 0% | – | 75% | – |
| Minutes leading | 10% | – | 21% | – |
| Minutes level | 39% | – | 53% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 51% | – | 26% | – |
| First goal (min) | 45 | – | 43 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | – | 53 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 62% | – | 70% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 75% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.71 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 14.4 | – | 13.7 | – |
| On target | 4.0 | – | 4.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 10% | – |
| Shots inside box | 57% | – | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | – | 2.4 | – |
| Corners | 5.0 | – | 5.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 24% | – | 41% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 30% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.5 | – | 14.9 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 43.6 | – | 51.3 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | – | 75% | – |
| Fouls | 10.6 | – | 11.6 | – |
| Cards | 2.29 | – | 1.71 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Burnley
0–15'14
16–30'23
31–45'01
46–60'32
61–75'04
76–90'22
Bristol City
0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Burnley · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.06) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.067
Early press (0-15, level)-0.227
Late push (76+, level)-0.404
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.224
Game state
When ahead+0.123
When level-0.117
When behind-0.066
10 min after conceding-0.167
10 min after scoring+0.197
Situations
At home-0.213
Away+0.064
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.075
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.045
Evenly matched-0.173
As underdog+0.103
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.167
Conceded when ahead+0.533
Conceded late (76+)+0.326
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level +0.23 · Behind vs level +0.05
Bristol City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565
Situations
At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.33 | 1.17 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 1.68 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.71 | 1.27 | 1.59 |
| Metric | Burnley all · 10 | Burnley at home · 10 | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.40 | 1.30 |
| W / D / L | 0 / 5 / 5 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 4 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Goals against / match | 2.00 | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 70% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 70% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.25 | 1.42 | 1.21 | 1.34 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.83 | 1.64 | 1.60 |
| xG difference | -0.37 | -0.40 | -0.44 | -0.26 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | -0.32 | 0.29 | 0.06 |
| xPts / match | 1.10 | 1.15 | 1.18 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.60 | -0.65 | 0.22 | 0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 30% | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.50 | 0.33 | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 44% | 20% | 40% |
| Leads held | 0% | 0% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 10% | 28% | 18% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 51% | 44% | 53% |
| Minutes trailing | 46% | 39% | 27% | 29% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 45 | 38 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 30 | 45 | 37 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 73% | 67% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 45% | 47% | 62% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.7 | 13.6 | 12.7 | 12.2 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.0 | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Shot conversion | 8% | 8% | 12% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 54% | 64% | 67% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.1 | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.3 | 5.0 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 20% | 30% | 43% | 41% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 9% | 27% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 9.1 | 9.3 | 12.6 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.2 | 42.9 | 46.5 | 42.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 80% | 77% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.8 | 11.5 | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 2.20 | 1.80 | 1.70 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Burnley
0–15'25
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'53
61–75'04
76–90'22
Bristol City
0–15'31
16–30'02
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'22
76–90'74
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.44 | 1.11 | 2.11 | 1.29 | 1.69 |
| 4-3-2-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.01 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.21 | 1.64 |
| Metric | Burnley all · 43 | Burnley at home · 22 | Bristol City all · 50 | Bristol City away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 43 | 22 | 50 | 25 |
| Points per game | 0.58 | 0.68 | 1.28 | 1.24 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 13 / 26 | 2 / 9 / 11 | 18 / 10 / 22 | 8 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 1.12 | 1.18 | 1.24 | 1.04 |
| Goals against / match | 2.02 | 1.64 | 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 7% | 14% | 24% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 28% | 36% | 34% | 36% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 59% | 48% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 46% | 48% | 48% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.06 | 1.27 | 1.20 | 1.26 |
| xG against / match | 1.92 | 1.76 | 1.48 | 1.49 |
| xG difference | -0.86 | -0.49 | -0.29 | -0.23 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.05 | -0.09 | 0.04 | -0.22 |
| xPts / match | 0.88 | 1.11 | 1.22 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.30 | -0.43 | 0.06 | 0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 28% | 27% | 38% | 28% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | 1.33 | 2.37 | 2.43 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.57 | 0.73 |
| Came back from behind | 30% | 39% | 27% | 33% |
| Leads held | 29% | 29% | 78% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 11% | 15% | 27% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 44% | 45% | 43% | 50% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 33 | 34 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 32 | 30 | 37 | 35 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 52% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 49% | 42% | 50% | 47% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.28 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| Late goals against | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | 47% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 10.8 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 12.6 |
| On target | 3.4 | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 65% | 62% | 64% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 4.3 | 5.1 | 5.4 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 30% | 29% | 31% |
| Goals from headers | 13% | 8% | 27% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 7.9 | 9.8 | 13.4 | 11.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 35.2 | 38.2 | 45.6 | 42.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 10.9 |
| Cards | 1.95 | 1.68 | 1.96 | 2.04 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Burnley
0–15'517
16–30'88
31–45'1019
46–60'811
61–75'513
76–90'1219
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1110
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Burnley · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.25) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.47
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.2543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.2943
Late push (76+, level)-0.4719
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.3227
Game state
When ahead-0.2414
When level-0.2943
When behind-0.2037
10 min after conceding-0.2839
10 min after scoring+0.0731
Situations
With ten men-0.362
At home-0.2322
Away-0.2721
3 days rest or fewer-0.218
4+ days rest-0.2635
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.3425
v mid-tier opponents-0.0712
As favourite-0.023
Evenly matched-0.075
As underdog-0.2935
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4443
Conceded when ahead+0.8114
Conceded late (76+)+0.3940
Congested vs rested +0.05 · Ahead vs level +0.05 · Behind vs level +0.09
Bristol City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.52
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1450
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0550
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1223
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5232
Situations
At home+0.0925
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1417
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2516
As favourite+0.3316
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0650
Conceded when ahead+0.1723
Conceded late (76+)+0.0546
Congested vs rested +0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.10 · Behind vs level -0.17
Burnley
Current: winless 20 · scoring 8 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 19 44% | 0.74 | 1.37 | 2.05 | 1.38 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 19% | 0.88 | 1.5 | 2.13 | 0.67 | 2.29 |
| 5-4-1 | 7 16% | 0.14 | 0.57 | 2.29 | 0.61 | 1.89 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.33 | 1.22 | 2.02 |
| 4-4-2 | 2 5% | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.63 | 1.19 |
Bristol City
Current: winless 2 · conceding 7
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 44% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 15 30% | 1.27 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.11 | 1.55 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.96 | 2.9 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.8d before kick-off · 72 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.4 pts at 22.0h
2.02Home 48% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.813.75Draw 26% ▲ +1.0 ptsopened 3.783.68Away 26% ▲ +2.8 ptsopened 3.99
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.02 ▼ -3.8 | 3.75 ▲ +1.0 | 3.68 ▲ +2.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -2.4 | 3.5 ▲ +1.1 | 3.75 ▲ +1.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.91 ▼ -2.9 | 3.6 ▲ +1.1 | 3.9 ▲ +1.8 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.95 ▼ -3.8 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 3.7 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| Coral | 1.95 ▼ -2.3 | 3.6 · +0.2 | 3.7 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 ▼ -2.6 | 3.5 · +0.7 | 3.7 ▲ +1.9 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.81 · -0.1 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 4.2 · +0.1 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 ▼ -5.5 | 3.4 · +1.0 | 3.5 ▲ +4.5 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.4 pts at 2.2d
1.72Yes 54% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.82.0No 46% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +2.4 | 2.0 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +2.3 | 2.15 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +2.4 | 2.05 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.7 · +0.4 | 2.04 · -0.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.67 ▲ +3.0 | 2.1 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.7d before kick-off · 70 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over -1.2 pts at 13.0h
1.9Over 51% · -0.7 ptsopened 1.851.99Under 49% · +0.7 ptsopened 1.99
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.9 · -0.7 | 1.99 · +0.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -1.1 | 1.9 ▲ +1.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 · +0.8 | 1.87 · -0.8 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.81 · -0.1 | 1.95 · +0.1 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 48% P 48%3.5Draw 27% P 26%3.75Away 25% P 26%
Double Chance
1.25Burnley or Draw 37%1.28Burnley or Bristol City 37%1.8Draw or Bristol City 26%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%9.0Over 14 10%
Number of Cards
2.51.57Over 59% P 63%2.25Under 41% P 37%
3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 48% | 47% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 25% | -0.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
Gavin Ward
- Career
- 292 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.2
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.83 | 4.05 | -0.40 | 29 |
| Fouls / match | 20.8 | 21.8 | -1.02 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | +0.00 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.24 | 45 |
| Time added | 7.2 | 7.2 | -0.02 | 47 |
- First card
- 39' on average
- Card timing
- 13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 5 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 30' | 5 |
| 2026-08-15 | – | – | 24 | – | – | 10 |
| 2026-05-08 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 52' | 5 |
| 2026-05-02 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 46' | 10 |
| 2026-04-18 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 70' | 11 |
| 2026-04-07 | 5 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 37' | 9 |
| 2026-03-21 | 5 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 32' | 8 |
| 2026-03-14 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 13' | 6 |
| 2026-03-10 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 33' | 12 |
| 2026-02-28 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 89' | 8 |