Rating 7.23 (94th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (20% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 5
Momentum
– BRCWOL –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Birmingham City | at home | Stat | league | away | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 54.8 #6 |
| 12.9 #12 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 16.0 #3 |
| 4.1 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.3 #9 |
| 6.1 #5 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 12.7 #4 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.5 #7 |
| 2.1 #12 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.3 #20 |
| 14.7 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.3 #9 |
| 96.3 #9 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 93.0 #14 |
| 50.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.3 #15 |
| 337.4 #20 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 451.3 #10 |
| 2.1 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.3 #3 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #6 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #13 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #8 |
| 1.7 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #7 |
| -0.3 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.5 #2 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #18 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.3 #3 |
| 1.3 #15 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.7 #8 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #9 |
| 9.0 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.3 #20 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #16 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.8 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #9 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.8 #3 |
| 9.3 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.3 #5 |
| 5.4 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.8 #2 |
| 3.6 #18 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.7 #9 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #6 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Birmingham City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.15 · G+A 0 + 3 (30% of team goals) · 37% of minutes
Rating 6.88 (65th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Wolverhampton Wanderers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.73 (100th pct) · G+A 3 + 2 (36% of team goals) · 96% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (89th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 80% of minutes
Rating 7.29 (95th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 65% of minutes
Absences
Birmingham City
- injury Lee Buchanan defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 31 missed
- injury Max Bird midfielder · Calf Injury · 55 missed
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- injury Enso González attacker · Knee Injury · 24 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 5
Venue
- Stadium
- St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
- Capacity
- 29,409
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Davies · César Peixoto
- Position
- 11 · 9
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Adam Herczeg
Weather
- Conditions
- clear sky
- Temperature
- 22.2° (feels 22.0°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 58%
Where to watch · 21
Australia
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Canada
DAZN
England
Sky Sports+
Estonia
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Greece
Cosmote Sport 2
India
FanCode
Israel
Sport 2
Malta
GO TV Anywhere
Mexico
Disney+ Premium Mexico
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Portugal
Sport TV 2 · Sport TV Multiscreen
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines
Disney+ Caribbean
Scotland
Sky Sports+
US Virgin Islands
Disney+ Caribbean
Uzbekistan
Salom TV
Venezuela
inter
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Birmingham City
DDWD 1W 3D 0L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.82–4.95 · xPts 6.15
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.42–1.02
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
DDWD 1W 3D 0L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 5 GA 4 · xG 5.82–4.95 · xPts 6.15
- D
H
Southampton
1–1
xG 1.42–1.02
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
Wolverhampton Wanderers
DDWWL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 12 GA 9 · xG 9.13–5.62 · xPts 9.2
- L
A
West Ham United
2–4
xG 1.0–2.1
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
4–1
xG 2.44–0.7
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.59–0.75
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
2–2
xG 1.79–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Burnley
1–1
xG 2.31–1.28
UK PL
LDDDWWL 2W 3D 2L · 9 pts (1.29 ppg) · GF 13 GA 13 · xG 10.52–9.25 · xPts 10.5
- L
A
West Ham United
2–4
xG 1.0–2.1
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Stoke City
4–1
xG 2.44–0.7
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 1.59–0.75
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Blackburn Rovers
2–2
xG 1.79–0.79
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Burnley
1–1
xG 2.31–1.28
UK PL
- D
H
Fulham
1–1
xG 1.05–1.7
UK PL - L
A
Brighton & Hove Albion
0–3
xG 0.34–1.93
UK PL
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 23 matches since 2003
Goals 24–28 · 2.26 per match · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 35%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–15 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–9 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Birmingham City 2–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 0–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–2 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 1–3 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 2–3 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 7 | Birmingham City at home · 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 6 | Wolverhampton Wanderers away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 6 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 1.83 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 1 | – | 3 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 2.33 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.29 | – | 1.67 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 17% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 86% | – | 83% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 83% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | – | 1.75 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | – | 1.15 | – |
| xG difference | 0.45 | – | 0.60 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.30 | – | 0.58 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | – | 1.78 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | – | 0.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 14% | – | 67% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.20 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 80% | – | 67% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | 15% | – | 34% | – |
| Minutes level | 67% | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | – | 22% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 30 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 35 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 22% | – | 40% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.67 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.17 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | – | 55% | – |
| Shots | 13.0 | – | 15.5 | – |
| On target | 4.4 | – | 4.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 15% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 71% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | – | 2.7 | – |
| Corners | 6.1 | – | 6.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 35% | – | 33% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 7% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | – | 13.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 56.9 | – | 53.8 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 70% | – | 84% | – |
| Fouls | 12.1 | – | 11.2 | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'11
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–15'21
16–30'32
31–45'23
46–60'12
61–75'21
76–90'41
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552
Game state
When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296
Situations
At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53
Wolverhampton Wanderers · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.173
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.262
Game state
When ahead+0.205
When level+0.206
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.446
Situations
At home-0.062
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.033
As favourite+0.214
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.176
Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 83% | 2.0 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 1.74 | 1.22 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 17% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.79 | 0.79 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 10 | Birmingham City at home · 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 5 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 3 / 5 / 2 | 2 / 3 / 5 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 10% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.82 | 1.70 | 1.67 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.27 | 1.77 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.40 | -0.42 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | -0.30 | 0.03 | -0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.63 | 1.18 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.03 | -0.06 | -0.23 | -0.28 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.60 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.17 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.17 |
| Came back from behind | 83% | 60% | 60% | 17% |
| Leads held | 100% | 80% | 43% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 34% | 27% | 16% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 50% | 46% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 16% | 27% | 36% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 29 | 30 | 32 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 39 | 32 | 41 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | 36% | 47% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 33% | 38% | 48% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 54% | 48% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 14.6 | 14.5 | 12.4 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 12% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 67% | 69% | 73% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 5.3 | 4.8 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 26% | 40% | 40% |
| Goals from headers | 40% | 15% | 12% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 13.2 | 12.2 | 10.7 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 61.2 | 48.7 | 44.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 75% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.6 | 12.0 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.10 | 2.00 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'32
16–30'42
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'12
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–15'33
16–30'43
31–45'24
46–60'23
61–75'21
76–90'42
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.82 | 1.38 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.83 | 2.17 | 1.5 | 1.63 | 1.3 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 0.67 | 1.67 | 1.71 | 1.36 |
| 4-3-3 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.79 | 0.79 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 50 | Birmingham City at home · 25 | Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 43 | Wolverhampton Wanderers away · 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 43 | 22 |
| Points per game | 1.42 | 1.76 | 0.86 | 0.73 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 17 / 15 | 11 / 11 / 3 | 8 / 13 / 22 | 3 / 7 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.34 | 1.72 | 1.09 | 0.77 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.08 | 1.70 | 1.77 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 24% | 14% | 14% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 8% | 37% | 46% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 72% | 54% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 52% | 51% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.02 | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.20 | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| xG difference | 0.32 | 0.82 | -0.40 | -0.66 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.30 | -0.04 | -0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.55 | 1.87 | 1.17 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.11 | -0.31 | -0.30 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 64% | 33% | 27% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.38 | 1.93 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.63 | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 67% | 24% | 20% |
| Leads held | 75% | 69% | 53% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 36% | 16% | 11% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 51% | 50% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 13% | 34% | 38% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 32 | 43 | 47 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 41 | 40 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 44% | 53% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 44% | 52% | 51% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.30 | 0.18 |
| Late goals against | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 54% | 45% | 44% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 17.2 | 10.9 | 10.6 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.8 | 3.5 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 64% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.0 | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.1 | 3.8 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 38% | 37% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 24% | 13% | 24% |
| Pressure index | 14.0 | 17.6 | 9.6 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.0 | 62.5 | 38.3 | 34.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 79% | 78% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.2 | 12.4 | 12.7 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.16 | 1.95 | 2.23 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
0–15'1110
16–30'1212
31–45'1217
46–60'99
61–75'117
76–90'128
Wolverhampton Wanderers
0–15'78
16–30'512
31–45'1015
46–60'78
61–75'515
76–90'1315
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1550
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1450
Late push (76+, level)+0.2020
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.4817
Game state
When ahead+0.0424
When level+0.2150
When behind+0.1427
10 min after conceding-0.0940
10 min after scoring+0.5340
Situations
With ten men+0.573
Against ten men-0.004
At home+0.1825
Away+0.1225
3 days rest or fewer+0.0715
4+ days rest+0.1835
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0628
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2016
As favourite+0.2524
Evenly matched-0.0419
As underdog+0.297
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0050
Conceded when ahead+0.0624
Conceded late (76+)-0.2044
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.07
Wolverhampton Wanderers · 43 matches
Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.1543
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1743
Late push (76+, level)-0.3519
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2721
Game state
When ahead+0.1615
When level-0.2043
When behind-0.2229
10 min after conceding-0.3437
10 min after scoring+0.2827
Situations
With ten men-0.223
Against ten men-0.062
At home-0.2021
Away-0.1122
3 days rest or fewer-0.096
4+ days rest-0.1637
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.2825
v mid-tier opponents-0.048
v bottom-tier opponents+0.025
As favourite+0.287
Evenly matched-0.077
As underdog-0.2729
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.4043
Conceded when ahead-0.0215
Conceded late (76+)+0.2138
Congested vs rested +0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.35 · Behind vs level -0.02
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 96% | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.91 |
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 12 28% | 0.58 | 0.92 | 1.92 | 1.17 | 1.7 |
| 3-5-2 | 10 23% | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.23 | 1.13 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 16% | 1.57 | 2.0 | 1.71 | 1.56 | 1.52 |
| 4-3-3 | 5 12% | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1.33 | 1.03 |
| 5-3-2 | 3 7% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.67 | 0.57 | 2.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.6d before kick-off · 117 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: away -3.0 pts at 3.0h
2.95Home 33% ▲ +1.8 ptsopened 3.043.4Draw 28% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 3.132.5Away 39% · -0.1 ptsopened 2.43
Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.95 ▲ +1.8 | 3.4 ▼ -1.7 | 2.5 · -0.1 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.8 · +0.9 | 3.4 ▼ -1.6 | 2.37 · +0.7 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.88 · +0.3 | 3.4 · -0.6 | 2.4 · +0.3 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.88 ▲ +1.1 | 3.4 · -0.8 | 2.4 · -0.3 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.8 · +0.7 | 3.4 ▼ -1.4 | 2.4 · +0.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.8 · -0.0 | 3.25 · -0.5 | 2.45 · +0.5 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.8 · +0.4 | 3.1 · -0.5 | 2.4 · +0.1 | 10m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 126 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.4 pts at 2.0h
1.72Yes 54% ▲ +2.4 ptsopened 1.82.0No 46% ▼ -2.4 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +2.4 | 2.0 ▼ -2.4 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.87 ▼ -2.2 | 1.9 ▲ +2.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▲ +3.3 | 2.05 ▼ -3.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.76 · -0.3 | 1.96 · +0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 ▲ +2.1 | 2.0 ▼ -2.1 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 4.3d before kick-off · 109 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.7 pts at 5.0h
1.99Over 49% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 2.121.9Under 51% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.74
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99 ▲ +3.8 | 1.9 ▼ -3.8 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▲ +5.0 | 1.9 ▼ -5.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.1 ▼ -2.1 | 1.73 ▲ +2.1 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.87 ▲ +3.4 | 1.8 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.74 · +0.0 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.8Home 33% P 33%3.4Draw 27% P 28%2.37Away 39% P 39%
Double Chance
1.53Birmingham or Draw 31%1.33Birmingham or Wolverhampton 35%1.4Draw or Wolverhampton 34%
Draw No Bet
2.01 46%1.722 54%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 54%2.1Under 44% P 46%
4.52.2Over 42% P 35%1.61Under 58% P 65%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 37.5–40% · 491 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 33% | 34% | 31% | -2.8 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | -0.1 |
| Away | 39% | 39% | 42% | +3.0 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 59% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Adam Herczeg
- Career
- 41 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.91 | 4.05 | -0.26 | 45 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 21.8 | +0.38 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.4 | +0.22 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.44 | 22 |
| Time added | 7.9 | 7.2 | +0.79 | 74 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4' | 8 |
| 2026-08-15 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2026-04-25 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 74' | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 · Birmingham City | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 38' | 10 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 81' | 10 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 57' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 2' | 7 |
| 2026-02-10 · Birmingham City | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 16' | 7 |