Rating 7.28 (95th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (12% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– QPRCardiff City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Queens Park Rangers | at home | Stat | league | away | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.0 #15 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 65.1 #1 |
| 15.0 #7 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 17.3 #2 |
| 5.1 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 6.4 #1 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 8.1 #1 |
| 9.1 #21 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 10.3 #18 |
| 1.3 #21 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.0 #14 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.7 #20 |
| 83.1 #22 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 110.0 #1 |
| 51.0 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 68.0 #1 |
| 446.1 #11 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 528.4 #3 |
| 1.6 #15 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.9 #11 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #17 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #4 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #1 |
| 1.6 #10 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #3 |
| -0.5 #22 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -1.0 #24 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.1 #14 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.0 #17 |
| 0.7 #23 | 0.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 9.6 #8 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 6.4 #24 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #6 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 4.4 #7 |
| 10.6 #7 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 12.1 #2 |
| 6.1 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.4 #3 |
| 4.4 #10 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.1 #6 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #23 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Queens Park Rangers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.06 (87th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (12% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.84 (50th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (38% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Cardiff City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.92 (69th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.32 (99th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.19 (91th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 98% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- MATRADE Loftus Road, London
- Capacity
- 18,500
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 15,027
Teams
- Coaches
- Julien Stéphan · Brian Barry-Murphy
- Position
- 4 · 18
- Formation
- 4-4-2 · 4-1-4-1
Referee
Tim Robinson
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 19.4° (feels 19.7°)
- Wind
- 6.7
- Humidity
- 87%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Queens Park Rangers
WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 5.7–3.1 · xPts 5.83
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.61–1.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bolton Wanderers
0–0
xG 2.16–0.12
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
3–1
xG 1.93–1.78
UK CHAMP
WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 5.7–3.1 · xPts 5.83
- W
A
Blackburn Rovers
2–1
xG 1.61–1.2
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Bolton Wanderers
0–0
xG 2.16–0.12
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Portsmouth
3–1
xG 1.93–1.78
UK CHAMP
Cardiff City
DDD 0W 3D 0L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.26–4.91 · xPts 4.87
- D
H
Sheffield United
2–2
xG 2.55–1.4
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Derby County
2–2
xG 2.64–1.81
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.07–1.69
UK CHAMP
DDD 0W 3D 0L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 6.26–4.91 · xPts 4.87
- D
H
Sheffield United
2–2
xG 2.55–1.4
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Derby County
2–2
xG 2.64–1.81
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Wrexham
1–1
xG 1.07–1.69
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 31 matches since 2005
Goals 42–27 · 2.23 per match · BTTS 42% · over 2.5 48%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–6 · 1.9 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–4 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Queens Park Rangers 0–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 0–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Cardiff City 0–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Queens Park Rangers 3–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Cardiff City 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers all · 7 | Queens Park Rangers at home · 3 | Cardiff City all · 7 | Cardiff City away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.71 | – | 0.57 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 1 | – | 0 / 4 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.14 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.71 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 57% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.55 | – | 1.89 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.19 | – | 1.46 | – |
| xG difference | 0.36 | – | 0.43 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.41 | – | -0.89 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.60 | – | 1.62 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.11 | – | -1.05 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 29% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | – | 0.40 | – |
| Came back from behind | 67% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 0% | – |
| Minutes leading | 20% | – | 3% | – |
| Minutes level | 66% | – | 54% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | – | 43% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 50 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | – | 30 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 38% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 36% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | – | 65% | – |
| Shots | 14.9 | – | 17.9 | – |
| On target | 5.0 | – | 6.4 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 6% | – |
| Shots inside box | 70% | – | 70% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | – | 2.3 | – |
| Corners | 6.3 | – | 8.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 19% | – | 32% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | – | 17.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 55.1 | – | 59.4 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 84% | – | 85% | – |
| Fouls | 9.1 | – | 9.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.57 | – | 1.71 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Queens Park Rangers
0–15'01
16–30'01
31–45'51
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'00
Cardiff City
0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093
Game state
When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.325
10 min after scoring+0.394
Situations
At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397
Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59
Cardiff City · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.597
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234
Game state
When ahead+0.252
When level+0.567
When behind+0.186
10 min after conceding+0.187
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.323
Away+0.434
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.365
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.394
As underdog+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.227
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.38
Queens Park Rangers
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.54 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.56 | 1.2 |
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 57% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 43% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers all · 10 | Queens Park Rangers at home · 10 | Cardiff City all · 10 | Cardiff City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 0 / 5 / 5 | 1 / 3 / 6 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 0.90 | 0.90 |
| Goals against / match | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 50% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 40% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.60 | 1.71 | 1.86 | 1.39 |
| xG against / match | 1.45 | 1.55 | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| xG difference | 0.14 | 0.17 | 0.26 | -0.11 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.50 | -0.41 | -0.86 | -0.39 |
| xPts / match | 1.49 | 1.57 | 1.53 | 1.31 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.29 | -0.47 | -0.98 | -0.64 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 20% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.33 | 2.25 | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.20 | 0.00 | 0.29 | 0.14 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | 0% | 38% | 14% |
| Leads held | 60% | 75% | 0% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 17% | 26% | 2% | 5% |
| Minutes level | 53% | 40% | 53% | 56% |
| Minutes trailing | 30% | 34% | 45% | 39% |
| First goal (min) | 44 | 34 | 51 | 41 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 29 | 35 | 29 | 34 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 54% | 56% | 67% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | 53% | 31% | 41% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 45% | 62% | 54% |
| Shots | 15.3 | 14.4 | 16.2 | 12.6 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.6 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | 9% | 6% | 7% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 69% | 70% | 66% |
| Big chances created | 2.3 | 2.7 | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 5.4 | 7.9 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 16% | 20% | 36% | 35% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 15% | 11% | 22% |
| Pressure index | 13.2 | 12.5 | 14.2 | 9.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.2 | 52.3 | 52.8 | 38.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 78% | 85% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.3 | 10.6 | 10.2 | 10.1 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.60 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Queens Park Rangers
0–15'14
16–30'02
31–45'51
46–60'31
61–75'11
76–90'14
Cardiff City
0–15'14
16–30'14
31–45'23
46–60'13
61–75'21
76–90'21
Queens Park Rangers
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.57 | 1.61 | 1.56 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 30% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.56 | 1.2 |
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.5 | 0.83 | 1.67 | 2.06 | 1.44 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 30% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
| Metric | Queens Park Rangers all · 49 | Queens Park Rangers at home · 24 | Cardiff City all · 8 | Cardiff City away · 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 24 | 8 | 5 |
| Points per game | 1.29 | 1.38 | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 17 / 12 / 20 | 10 / 3 / 11 | 0 / 4 / 4 | 0 / 1 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.58 | 0.88 | 0.60 |
| Goals against / match | 1.39 | 1.54 | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 21% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 25% | 38% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 59% | 67% | 62% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 75% | 38% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.36 | 1.72 | 1.89 | 1.71 |
| xG against / match | 1.32 | 1.20 | 1.46 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 0.04 | 0.51 | 0.43 | 0.17 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.11 | -0.13 | -0.89 | -0.96 |
| xPts / match | 1.42 | 1.74 | 1.62 | 1.48 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.36 | -1.05 | -1.23 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | 42% | 25% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.40 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.78 | 0.55 | 0.33 | 0.00 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 15% | 43% | 0% |
| Leads held | 85% | 83% | 0% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 28% | 3% | 4% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 44% | 52% | 60% |
| Minutes trailing | 31% | 28% | 45% | 37% |
| First goal (min) | 45 | 42 | 50 | 46 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | 43 | 31 | 44 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | 55% | 43% | 33% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 48% | 65% | 33% | 50% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.13 | 0.00 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.46 | 0.13 | 0.20 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 46% | 67% | 66% |
| Shots | 13.0 | 14.8 | 15.6 | 11.8 |
| On target | 4.2 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.0 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 6% | 5% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 70% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.9 | 7.6 | 6.4 |
| xG from set plays | 28% | 27% | 32% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 16% | 14% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 16.0 | 16.7 | 14.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.7 | 55.0 | 58.6 | 54.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 76% | 85% | 84% |
| Fouls | 10.8 | 10.5 | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| Cards | 1.98 | 2.04 | 1.50 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Queens Park Rangers
0–15'612
16–30'79
31–45'1314
46–60'914
61–75'116
76–90'1512
Cardiff City
0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'23
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Queens Park Rangers · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.07) · stands out: as favourite +0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0749
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.0919
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.1217
Game state
When ahead+0.4020
When level+0.0749
When behind-0.1329
10 min after conceding-0.2736
10 min after scoring+0.5732
Situations
At home+0.1724
Away-0.0125
3 days rest or fewer+0.0216
4+ days rest+0.1033
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0424
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1018
As favourite+0.607
Evenly matched+0.1026
As underdog-0.2316
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0249
Conceded when ahead-0.2620
Conceded late (76+)-0.2244
Congested vs rested -0.08 · Ahead vs level +0.33 · Behind vs level -0.20
Cardiff City · 8 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.338
Early press (0-15, level)+0.428
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.105
Game state
When ahead+0.252
When level+0.478
When behind+0.187
10 min after conceding+0.128
10 min after scoring+0.695
Situations
At home+0.323
Away+0.345
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.296
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.305
As underdog+0.242
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.138
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.278
Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.29
Queens Park Rangers
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 28 57% | 1.18 | 1.32 | 1.57 | 1.3 | 1.42 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 21 43% | 1.43 | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.43 | 1.17 |
Cardiff City
Current: winless 16 · conceding 9
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 50% | 0.5 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 2.21 | 1.13 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 3 38% | 0.67 | 1.33 | 1.67 | 1.45 | 1.9 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | – | – |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.0d before kick-off · 103 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: draw -2.8 pts at 4.0d
1.84Home 52% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 1.914.15Draw 23% ▼ -3.7 ptsopened 3.483.97Away 24% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.92
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84 ▲ +3.3 | 4.15 ▼ -3.7 | 3.97 · +0.4 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▼ -1.0 | 3.8 ▼ -1.3 | 3.4 ▲ +2.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.83 ▲ +1.7 | 3.9 ▼ -2.2 | 4.0 · +0.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▲ +3.1 | 4.0 ▼ -2.7 | 3.9 · -0.4 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.91 · +0.5 | 3.9 ▼ -2.3 | 3.5 ▲ +1.8 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.91 · -0.1 | 3.9 ▼ -2.0 | 3.5 ▲ +2.1 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.78 ▲ +6.1 | 3.95 ▼ -3.2 | 3.9 ▼ -2.9 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▲ +2.1 | 3.9 ▼ -3.1 | 3.8 · +1.0 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no -3.0 pts at 10.8h · late move: no -1.7 pts inside the final hour
1.5Yes 62% ▲ +11.1 ptsopened 1.82.5No 38% ▼ -11.1 ptsopened 1.9
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.5 ▲ +11.1 | 2.5 ▼ -11.1 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.47 ▲ +7.0 | 2.63 ▼ -7.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.45 ▲ +9.2 | 2.5 ▼ -9.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.5 ▲ +6.1 | 2.4 ▼ -6.1 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.53 ▲ +6.8 | 2.4 ▼ -6.8 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under -3.0 pts at 11.8h
1.53Over 63% ▲ +10.1 ptsopened 1.812.61Under 37% ▼ -10.1 ptsopened 2.04
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53 ▲ +10.1 | 2.61 ▼ -10.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +14.7 | 2.5 ▼ -14.7 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.5 ▲ +10.3 | 2.55 ▼ -10.3 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.5 ▲ +10.2 | 2.36 ▼ -10.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.52 ▲ +10.0 | 2.4 ▼ -10.0 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.0Home 47% P 52%3.8Draw 25% P 23%3.4Away 28% P 24%
Double Chance
1.22QPR or Draw 39%1.25QPR or Cardiff 38%2.0Draw or Cardiff 24%
Draw No Bet
1.331 71%3.252 29%
Both Teams To Score
1.5Yes 62%2.5No 38%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.53Over 62% P 63%2.5Under 38% P 37%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 33%3.512 - 14 25%6.0Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
3.51.72Over 54% P 60%2.0Under 46% P 40%
4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 52% | 51% | 53% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | 23% | -2.6 |
| Away | 24% | 23% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 62.5–65% · 1,570 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 64% | 63% | -0.4 |
Tim Robinson
- Career
- 329 matches · 16 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.97 (3.82 yellow · 0.08 red)
- Fouls / match
- 23.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 44%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 80 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.65 | 4.05 | +1.08 | 92 |
| Fouls / match | 22.6 | 21.8 | +0.71 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.9 | 5.4 | -1.01 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.19 | 0.17 | +0.13 | 63 |
| Time added | 6.7 | 7.2 | -0.60 | 24 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 12% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 44% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 31' | 5 |
| 2026-04-18 | 3 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 57' | 12 |
| 2026-03-14 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 1 | 23' | 11 |
| 2026-03-03 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 64' | 13 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 45' | 11 |
| 2026-02-15 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 69' | 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 75' | 4 |
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 56' | 7 |
| 2026-02-01 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 35' | 14 |
| 2026-01-17 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 18' | 4 |