Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Millwall | at home | Stat | league | away | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 #18 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 50.3 #12 |
| 14.6 #9 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.1 #21 |
| 3.7 #18 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.3 #19 |
| 4.7 #18 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.1 #14 |
| 12.4 #5 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.4 #8 |
| 3.9 #1 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.3 #21 |
| 15.1 #10 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.1 #17 |
| 90.4 #16 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 96.7 #7 |
| 43.1 #16 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 46.3 #9 |
| 350.6 #18 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 459.4 #8 |
| 1.4 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.1 #21 |
| 0.1 #1 | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | – |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.9 #13 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #15 |
| – #3 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #6 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #1 |
| 2.0 #2 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.4 #14 |
| -0.2 #13 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.4 #20 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.9 #5 | 2.3 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.9 #2 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 #9 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 8.0 #13 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 9.3 #9 |
| – #7 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #13 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.8 #11 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #13 |
| 4.7 #4 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| 11.7 #3 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.6 #13 |
| 6.1 #7 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.9 #18 |
| 2.9 #22 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 2.6 #23 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #20 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Millwall · 2026/2027 · Championship
Wrexham · 2026/2027 · Championship
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- The Den, London
- Capacity
- 20,146
- Surface
- grass
Teams
- Coaches
- Alex Neil · Phil Parkinson
- Position
- 9 · 22
- Formation
- 3-1-4-2 · 3-4-2-1
Referee
Oliver Langford
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 19.4° (feels 19.6°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 86%
Where to watch · 14
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay · V Sport Premium
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland · Vodafone Sport
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
V Sport Premium · Viaplay Sweden
United States
Paramount+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 | Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 | Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 | Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 | Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 | Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 | Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 | Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 | Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Millwall
DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 9.96–7.12 · xPts 8.3
- L
A
Southampton
1–5
xG 1.52–3.23
UK CHAMP - W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP - W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP - L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP - D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
DLWWL 2W 1D 2L · 7 pts (1.4 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 9.96–7.12 · xPts 8.3
- L
A
Southampton
1–5
xG 1.52–3.23
UK CHAMP - W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP - W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP - L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP - D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
Wrexham
DDL 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 5.4–3.51 · xPts 5.45
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.88–1.89
UK CHAMP - D
H
Watford
1–1
xG 1.83–0.55
UK CHAMP - D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
DDL 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 5.4–3.51 · xPts 5.45
- L
H
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.88–1.89
UK CHAMP - D
H
Watford
1–1
xG 1.83–0.55
UK CHAMP - D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 2–5 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 2–5 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 2–5 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 33%
Recent meetings
- L Millwall 0–3 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Wrexham 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Millwall 0–2 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Millwall all · 7 | Millwall at home · 3 | Wrexham all · 7 | Wrexham away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 1.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 3 | – | 1 / 4 / 2 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.86 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Clean sheets | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 57% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 2.00 | – | 1.37 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | – | 1.24 | – |
| xG difference | 0.62 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | – | -0.37 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.68 | – | 1.52 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.25 | – | -0.52 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | – | 29% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 37% | – | 24% | – |
| Minutes level | 38% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 25% | – | 26% | – |
| First goal (min) | 29 | – | 32 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | – | 34 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | – | 57% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 69% | – | 54% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.57 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.29 | – | 0.43 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | – | 51% | – |
| Shots | 14.1 | – | 11.3 | – |
| On target | 3.7 | – | 3.4 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 9% | – |
| Shots inside box | 80% | – | 77% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.9 | – | 2.0 | – |
| Corners | 4.4 | – | 5.1 | – |
| xG from set plays | 24% | – | 30% | – |
| Goals from headers | 17% | – | 14% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | – | 10.9 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 48.1 | – | 47.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | – | 81% | – |
| Fouls | 11.1 | – | 11.3 | – |
| Cards | 1.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Millwall
Wrexham
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Millwall · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14
Wrexham · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 43% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 86% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Millwall all · 10 | Millwall at home · 10 | Wrexham all · 10 | Wrexham away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 6 / 0 / 4 | 2 / 5 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.70 | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 60% | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 20% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% | 50% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.86 | 1.65 | 1.42 | 1.03 |
| xG against / match | 1.30 | 1.12 | 1.39 | 1.55 |
| xG difference | 0.56 | 0.54 | 0.03 | -0.52 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.36 | 0.05 | -0.32 | 0.07 |
| xPts / match | 1.66 | 1.68 | 1.45 | 1.09 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | 0.11 | -0.35 | 0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 80% | 30% | 30% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 2.25 | 2.33 | 2.33 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.67 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | 75% | 50% | 75% |
| Minutes leading | 32% | 46% | 22% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 42% | 55% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | 12% | 23% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 30 | 34 | 32 | 35 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 58 | 28 | 40 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 36% | 64% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 73% | 89% | 50% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| Late goals against | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 50% | 50% | 48% |
| Shots | 14.5 | 12.2 | 12.3 | 10.2 |
| On target | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.8 | 2.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 14% | 9% | 11% |
| Shots inside box | 74% | 75% | 71% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.3 | 5.1 | 4.7 |
| xG from set plays | 26% | 31% | 27% | 33% |
| Goals from headers | 14% | 18% | 20% | 18% |
| Pressure index | 14.3 | 15.3 | 10.9 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 52.8 | 55.1 | 46.3 | 44.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 77% | 74% | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 9.5 | 12.4 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.40 | 1.00 | 1.30 | 1.30 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Millwall
Wrexham
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.33 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
| Metric | Millwall all · 51 | Millwall at home · 25 | Wrexham all · 51 | Wrexham away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 25 | 51 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.71 | 1.92 | 1.53 | 1.44 |
| W / D / L | 25 / 12 / 14 | 15 / 3 / 7 | 20 / 18 / 13 | 9 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.45 | 1.60 | 1.45 | 1.16 |
| Goals against / match | 1.22 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.32 |
| Clean sheets | 41% | 52% | 28% | 32% |
| Failed to score | 18% | 16% | 16% | 28% |
| Both teams scored | 49% | 36% | 63% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 56% | 47% | 44% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.59 | 1.68 | 1.24 | 0.91 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.16 | 1.40 | 1.48 |
| xG difference | 0.19 | 0.53 | -0.16 | -0.56 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.14 | -0.08 | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| xPts / match | 1.47 | 1.63 | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 64% | 51% | 44% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.46 | 2.63 | 2.08 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.74 | 0.63 | 0.95 | 1.00 |
| Came back from behind | 36% | 30% | 50% | 42% |
| Leads held | 81% | 88% | 62% | 64% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 38% | 30% | 31% |
| Minutes level | 52% | 47% | 47% | 48% |
| Minutes trailing | 19% | 15% | 23% | 21% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 36 | 36 | 34 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 42 | 39 | 42 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 60% | 55% | 53% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 76% | 55% | 61% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.33 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 47% | 49% | 48% | 46% |
| Shots | 12.8 | 13.1 | 11.5 | 8.9 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 2.8 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 66% | 65% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.5 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 34% | 31% | 23% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 18% | 25% | 10% |
| Pressure index | 11.8 | 14.6 | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.4 | 49.8 | 43.3 | 35.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 71% | 72% | 78% | 77% |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 10.6 | 10.0 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.78 | 1.28 | 1.51 | 1.68 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Millwall
Wrexham
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Millwall · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.36
Wrexham · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.04
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 82% | 1.74 | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.23 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.88 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.34 |
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 61% | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 12% | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 4 8% | 2.25 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2.12 | 2.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +1.8 pts at 2.1d
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.38 ▼ -4.4 | 3.44 · +0.3 | 3.1 ▲ +4.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.3 ▼ -7.9 | 3.1 ▲ +3.1 | 3.3 ▲ +4.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.25 ▼ -6.9 | 3.4 ▲ +1.9 | 3.2 ▲ +5.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 ▼ -3.7 | 3.4 · -0.0 | 3.0 ▲ +3.7 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.25 ▼ -2.2 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 3.2 ▲ +1.6 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.25 ▼ -2.8 | 3.3 · +0.1 | 3.1 ▲ +2.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.17 · -1.0 | 3.35 · -0.4 | 3.2 ▲ +1.3 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▼ -8.0 | 3.25 ▲ +1.4 | 3.0 ▲ +6.6 | 5m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 4.1d before kick-off · 104 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.1 pts at 27.8h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.1 · +0.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.7 ▲ +1.4 | 2.0 ▼ -1.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.71 · -0.1 | 2.02 · +0.1 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.0 | 1.95 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.7d before kick-off · 94 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.99 · +0.7 | 1.9 · -0.7 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▼ -2.6 | 1.8 ▲ +2.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.87 · +0.0 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.88 · +0.4 | 1.79 · -0.4 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.91 · +0.1 | 1.81 · -0.1 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Oliver Langford
- Career
- 352 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.36 (3.22 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.8 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.23
- Cards to home side
- 43%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 118 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.8 | 4.05 | -0.46 | 26 |
| Fouls / match | 20.8 | 21.8 | -0.97 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.4 | +0.02 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.35 | 33 |
| Time added | 7.5 | 7.2 | +0.33 | 57 |
- First card
- 35' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 41% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 36' | 8 |
| 2026-05-02 · Wrexham | – | – | 16 | – | – | 8 |
| 2026-04-18 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 18' | 8 |
| 2026-04-03 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 12' | 5 |
| 2026-03-21 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 24' | 5 |
| 2026-03-07 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 33' | 6 |
| 2026-02-24 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 16' | 8 |
| 2026-02-21 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 39' | 6 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 81' | 12 |
| 2026-01-24 · Wrexham | 5 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 12' | 6 |

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