Rating 7.02 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– Swansea CityWatford –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Swansea City | at home | Stat | league | away | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58.6 #3 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 46.0 #17 |
| 12.4 #16 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.6 #19 |
| 5.1 #5 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| 4.7 #18 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 3.6 #23 |
| 9.0 #22 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.8 #6 |
| 2.4 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 0.9 #24 |
| 17.7 #3 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.8 #11 |
| 105.3 #4 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 84.6 #19 |
| 43.6 #13 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 38.8 #22 |
| 532.7 #2 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 389.0 #16 |
| 1.9 #11 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.9 #2 |
| 1.1 #5 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.4 #24 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #13 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #19 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #16 |
| 1.6 #9 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #19 |
| -0.0 #11 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #16 |
| – #8 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #6 |
| 1.6 #7 | 1.2 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 #20 |
| 0.7 #23 | 0.2 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.2 #18 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.2 #8 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.0 #5 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #6 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.9 #5 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #21 |
| 3.7 #13 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.0 #11 |
| 7.6 #19 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.0 #17 |
| 3.6 #23 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.0 #20 |
| 4.9 #8 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.6 #18 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #19 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Swansea City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.96 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Watford · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.96 (66th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Rating 6.86 (53th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.94 (72th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea
- Capacity
- 20,827
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 16,195
Teams
- Coaches
- Vítor Matos · Alessio Dionisi
- Position
- 3 · 9
- Formation
- 4-1-4-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Edward Duckworth
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 16.8° (feels 16.8°)
- Wind
- 1.3
- Humidity
- 85%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Swansea City
WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1 · xG 4.61–3.53 · xPts 4.56
- W
A
Derby County
3–0
xG 2.96–0.82
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
2–1
xG 0.97–0.89
UK CHAMP
WDW 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 1 · xG 4.61–3.53 · xPts 4.56
- W
A
Derby County
3–0
xG 2.96–0.82
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
2–1
xG 0.97–0.89
UK CHAMP
Watford
WDD 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 3.4–4.47 · xPts 3.41
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
WDD 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 3.4–4.47 · xPts 3.41
- D
H
West Ham United
1–1
xG 1.61–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wrexham
1–1
xG 0.55–1.83
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0).
All meetings · 23 matches since 2008
Goals 28–20 · 2.09 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 30%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–7 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 20%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 6–2 · 1.6 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- W Swansea City 2–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 0–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Swansea City 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 1–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Swansea City 1–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Watford 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Swansea City 0–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Swansea City 4–0 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Watford 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 2–0 Swansea City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Swansea City all · 7 | Swansea City at home · 4 | Watford all · 8 | Watford away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 8 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 | – | 2 / 2 / 4 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.57 | – | 0.88 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.71 | – | 1.25 | – |
| Clean sheets | 57% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 38% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 62% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | – | 38% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.62 | – | 1.10 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.22 | – | 1.75 | – |
| xG difference | 0.40 | – | -0.66 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.05 | – | -0.22 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.56 | – | 0.97 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.44 | – | 0.03 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 38% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 0.60 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 20% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 43% | – | 15% | – |
| Minutes level | 42% | – | 43% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | – | 42% | – |
| First goal (min) | 19 | – | 41 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 26 | – | 29 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 40% | – | 20% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.25 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 12.4 | – | 11.5 | – |
| On target | 5.1 | – | 3.5 | – |
| Shot conversion | 13% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 61% | – | 68% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | – | 1.6 | – |
| Corners | 4.7 | – | 3.6 | – |
| xG from set plays | 34% | – | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.1 | – | 8.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | – | 41.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | – | 80% | – |
| Fouls | 9.1 | – | 11.6 | – |
| Cards | 1.86 | – | 2.88 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swansea City
0–15'32
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'20
76–90'11
Watford
0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Swansea City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222
Game state
When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355
Situations
At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01
Watford · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.128
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.198
When behind-0.055
10 min after conceding-0.218
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away-0.014
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.186
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.203
As underdog-0.126
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.308
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)+0.068
Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.14
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 29% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 1.82 |
Watford
Current: winless 2 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 75% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 12% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.55 | 1.59 |
| Metric | Swansea City all · 10 | Swansea City at home · 10 | Watford all · 10 | Watford away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 1.60 | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 0 / 2 / 8 |
| Goals for / match | 1.70 | 1.40 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| Goals against / match | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.90 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 50% | 50% | 40% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 1.57 | 1.15 | 1.13 |
| xG against / match | 1.34 | 1.70 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| xG difference | 0.29 | -0.13 | -0.64 | -0.87 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | -0.17 | -0.35 | -0.63 |
| xPts / match | 1.51 | 1.29 | 0.99 | 0.87 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.59 | 0.31 | -0.19 | -0.67 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 30% | 10% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.67 | 2.40 | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | 0.67 | 0.43 | 0.11 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 50% | 14% | 11% |
| Leads held | 86% | 67% | 50% | 0% |
| Minutes leading | 45% | 31% | 12% | 1% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 55% | 37% | 35% |
| Minutes trailing | 10% | 14% | 51% | 65% |
| First goal (min) | 28 | 40 | 42 | 64 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 55 | 44 | 26 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 50% | 50% | 80% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 62% | 50% | 37% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | 58% | 45% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.2 | 13.5 | 11.7 | 11.2 |
| On target | 5.7 | 4.1 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 65% | 69% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 5.3 | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 40% | 18% | 18% |
| Goals from headers | 0% | 15% | 25% | 20% |
| Pressure index | 12.6 | 12.7 | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.6 | 50.4 | 39.8 | 39.4 |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 82% | 81% | 80% |
| Fouls | 8.5 | 8.3 | 11.9 | 12.0 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 2.70 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swansea City
0–15'42
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'30
76–90'44
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'24
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'22
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
Watford
Current: winless 2 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.55 | 1.59 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| Metric | Swansea City all · 49 | Swansea City at home · 25 | Watford all · 50 | Watford away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 25 | 50 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.45 | 1.72 | 1.20 | 0.77 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 11 / 18 | 12 / 7 / 6 | 15 / 15 / 20 | 4 / 8 / 14 |
| Goals for / match | 1.31 | 1.48 | 1.12 | 0.92 |
| Goals against / match | 1.27 | 1.08 | 1.48 | 1.77 |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 36% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 16% | 30% | 35% |
| Both teams scored | 55% | 56% | 60% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 52% | 48% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.33 | 1.45 | 1.34 | 1.17 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.39 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | -0.07 | 0.06 | 0.00 | -0.30 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.02 | 0.03 | -0.22 | -0.24 |
| xPts / match | 1.31 | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.22 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.13 | 0.33 | -0.18 | -0.45 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 47% | 60% | 26% | 19% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.39 | 2.40 | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.63 | 0.83 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 31% | 40% | 43% | 30% |
| Leads held | 74% | 71% | 65% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 30% | 16% | 7% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 51% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | 19% | 37% | 48% |
| First goal (min) | 42 | 43 | 48 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | 39 | 30 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 59% | 58% | 59% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 52% | 50% | 43% | 39% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 56% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 12.7 | 14.0 | 13.5 | 11.7 |
| On target | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 3.4 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 11% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 58% | 60% | 60% | 59% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.1 | 2.2 | 2.0 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 37% | 38% | 26% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 10% | 12% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 13.0 | 15.4 | 10.8 | 9.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 51.0 | 56.5 | 45.7 | 40.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 9.6 | 9.0 | 10.8 | 10.6 |
| Cards | 1.92 | 1.88 | 2.22 | 2.38 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Swansea City
0–15'98
16–30'106
31–45'715
46–60'1012
61–75'126
76–90'1514
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1015
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Swansea City · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1849
Late push (76+, level)-0.1119
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0618
Game state
When ahead+0.1527
When level+0.0749
When behind+0.1625
10 min after conceding-0.0535
10 min after scoring+0.3338
Situations
Against ten men-0.332
At home+0.1525
Away+0.0824
3 days rest or fewer+0.1016
4+ days rest+0.1333
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0125
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2119
As favourite+0.2714
Evenly matched+0.2617
As underdog-0.1518
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0149
Conceded when ahead-0.1027
Conceded late (76+)-0.0547
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.08
Watford · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0150
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0050
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0620
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0550
When behind-0.0235
10 min after conceding-0.2143
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0626
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0216
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0216
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1150
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1644
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.07
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 37% | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 14 29% | 1.93 | 1.5 | 0.79 | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 22% | 1.55 | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.88 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.61 | 1.68 |
Watford
Current: winless 2 · conceding 15
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 42% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 32% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.75 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.39 | 1.3 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.7 pts at 4.8h
1.89Home 51% ▲ +2.2 ptsopened 1.923.7Draw 26% · +0.3 ptsopened 3.644.23Away 23% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 3.71
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.89 ▲ +2.2 | 3.7 · +0.3 | 4.23 ▼ -2.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.85 ▲ +3.0 | 3.6 · -0.5 | 4.0 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.85 ▲ +3.4 | 3.6 ▼ -1.1 | 4.2 ▼ -2.3 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 ▲ +6.3 | 3.6 · -0.7 | 4.1 ▼ -5.6 | 5m |
| Coral | 1.85 ▲ +2.7 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 4.2 ▼ -2.7 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 1.85 ▲ +2.8 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 4.2 ▼ -2.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.82 · -0.3 | 3.6 · +0.3 | 4.1 · -0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.85 ▲ +5.7 | 3.4 · -0.2 | 4.0 ▼ -5.5 | 5m |
BetVictor (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: no +1.9 pts at 2.9d
1.75Yes 53% ▼ -3.3 ptsopened 1.651.95No 47% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.75 ▼ -3.3 | 1.95 ▲ +3.3 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.8 ▼ -4.5 | 1.9 ▲ +4.5 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▼ -2.2 | 2.0 ▲ +2.2 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.74 · -0.5 | 1.98 · +0.5 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.73 ▼ -2.1 | 2.0 ▲ +2.1 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.9d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: under +1.0 pts at 25m · late move: under +1.0 pts inside the final hour
1.98Over 49% ▼ -2.1 ptsopened 1.881.9Under 51% ▲ +2.1 ptsopened 1.96
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.98 ▼ -2.1 | 1.9 ▲ +2.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.9 ▼ -2.6 | 1.9 ▲ +2.6 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · -0.4 | 1.87 · +0.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.86 ▼ -2.3 | 1.81 ▲ +2.3 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.83 · -0.3 | 1.92 · +0.3 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.85Home 51% P 51%3.6Draw 26% P 26%4.0Away 23% P 23%
Double Chance
1.22Swansea or Draw 39%1.28Swansea or Watford 37%1.95Draw or Watford 24%
Draw No Bet
1.361 69%3.02 31%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
4.51.83Over 50% P 48%1.83Under 50% P 52%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 50–52.5% · away 22.5–25% · 500 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 51% | 51% | 53% | +2.3 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | -2.6 |
| Away | 23% | 23% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.9 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 55%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Edward Duckworth
- Career
- 16 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.19 (4.0 yellow · 0.06 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.3 · 3.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 8 matches)
Fewer than 10 matches with card data in this league — averages only: 5.25 cards, 20.2 fouls per match.
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 45' | 5 |
| 2026-04-11 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 27' | 7 |
| 2026-02-14 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 36' | 9 |
| 2026-01-11 | – | – | 17 | – | – | 9 |
| 2025-12-06 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 25' | 7 |
| 2025-11-08 · Swansea City | 8 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 24' | 6 |
| 2025-11-05 | 4 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 17' | 8 |
| 2025-10-04 | 6 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 29' | 7 |