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Championship · Matchweek 4

Momentum

SHUBOL
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Bramall Lane, Sheffield
Capacity
32,702
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,714

Teams

Coaches
Chris Wilder · Steven Schumacher
Position
14 · 11
Formation
4-4-2 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tony Harrington

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
17.1° (feels 16.8°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
73%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Sheffield United

DDD 0W 3D 0L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 2 · xG 3.65–4.05 · xPts 3.86

  • D A Cardiff City 2–2 xG 1.4–2.55 UK CHAMP
  • D A Swansea City 0–0 xG 1.82–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 0–0 xG 0.42–0.83 UK CHAMP

Bolton Wanderers

WDL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 2 GA 2 · xG 2.93–4.51 · xPts 3.13

  • L H Lincoln City 0–1 xG 2.03–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.12–2.16 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 0.77–1.1 UK CHAMP

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0).

All meetings · 10 matches since 2006

Sheffield United 51 draws4 Bolton Wanderers

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Sheffield United 51 draws4 Bolton Wanderers

Goals 14–11 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 30% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Sheffield United 40 draws1 Bolton Wanderers

Goals 9–3 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 20% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • W Sheffield United 3–2 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 2–0 Bolton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bolton Wanderers 0–3 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 0–1 Bolton Wanderers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bolton Wanderers 3–2 Sheffield United neutral UK FA Cup · 2nd Round
  • L Bolton Wanderers 2–0 Sheffield United UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Sheffield United UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Bolton Wanderers 1–0 Sheffield United UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 2–2 Bolton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
MetricSheffield United all · 7Sheffield United at home · 4Bolton Wanderers all · 7Bolton Wanderers away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.291.00
W / D / L2 / 3 / 22 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match1.141.00
Goals against / match1.291.71
Clean sheets29%29%
Failed to score43%43%
Both teams scored57%43%
Over 2.557%57%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.121.16
xG against / match1.661.93
xG difference-0.53-0.76
Finishing vs xG0.02-0.16
xPts / match1.030.94
Points vs xPts0.260.06
Game state
Scored first0%43%
PPG when scoring first2.00
PPG when conceding first1.400.00
Came back from behind60%0%
Leads held67%50%
Minutes leading12%13%
Minutes level75%72%
Minutes trailing13%15%
First goal (min)1631
First goal conceded (min)2441
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half25%29%
Goals conceded in 2nd half33%67%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.14
Late goals against0.140.86
Style
Possession40%53%
Shots8.312.7
On target3.14.7
Shot conversion14%8%
Shots inside box69%68%
Big chances created1.61.4
Corners3.15.9
xG from set plays33%28%
Goals from headers12%33%
Pressure index8.110.9
Dominant minutes34.149.9
Pass accuracy70%79%
Fouls10.09.3
Cards1.431.86

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Sheffield United

0–15'33
16–30'11
31–45'22
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'11

Bolton Wanderers

0–15'22
16–30'30
31–45'02
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'16

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Bolton Wanderers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.23

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.007
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When ahead+0.084
When level+0.017
When behind-0.134
10 min after conceding-0.205
10 min after scoring+0.164

Situations

At home-0.084
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.164
Conceded late (76+)-0.077

Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%1.752.02.01.192.02
4-2-2-21 14%1.00.00.00.420.83
3-4-31 14%0.00.01.00.852.04
3-1-4-21 14%1.00.00.01.820.67

Bolton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.01.01.711.161.93

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home -2.4 pts at 6.8h

1.62Home 59% ▲ +1.5 ptsopened 1.614.12Draw 23% · -0.0 ptsopened 3.995.62Away 17% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 5.03
3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.62 ▲ +1.54.12 · -0.05.62 ▼ -1.45m
bet3651.7 ▼ -4.73.75 ▲ +1.54.75 ▲ +3.15m
Betfair1.6 ▼ -4.74.0 ▲ +2.05.5 ▲ +2.85m
BetVictor1.57 · -0.34.1 · -0.15.5 · +0.45m
Ladbrokes1.57 ▲ +4.64.33 ▼ -3.05.0 ▼ -1.65m
Unibet1.64 · +0.83.9 · -0.34.9 · -0.65m
WilliamHill1.62 ▼ -4.03.9 · +0.85.0 ▲ +3.25m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.7Home 55% P 59%3.75Draw 25% P 23%4.75Away 20% P 17%

Double Chance

1.14Sheff Utd or Draw 42%1.25Sheff Utd or Bolton 38%2.3Draw or Bolton 21%

Draw No Bet

1.251 75%3.752 25%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 58%2.0Under 46% P 42%
4.52.2Over 42% P 40%1.61Under 58% P 60%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 57.5–60% · away 15–17.5% · 555 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home59%59%57%-1.5
Draw23%25%28%+3.8
Away17%16%14%-2.2

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 49%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%54%+0.8

Tony Harrington

Career
272 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.38 (3.26 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
22.7 · 6.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
48%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 38 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.894.05-0.3039
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.86
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.27 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.240.17+0.8288
Time added6.77.2-0.6024
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 32% in last 15'
Cards to home side
50% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-30 40 180 30'6
2026-08-22 40 321 34'9
2026-01-18 30 280 23'7
2026-01-11 30 251 45'6
2026-01-06 30 241 61'8
2026-01-01 50 170 19'10
2025-12-28 10 160 61'8
2025-12-03 10 160 65'9
2025-11-24 21 210 13'8
2025-10-25 20 290 3'7