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Championship · Matchweek 4

Momentum

PNEBristol City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
13,028

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · Michael Skubala
Position
23 · 12
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.9° (feels 15.7°)
Wind
2.8
Humidity
82%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 6 · xG 2.82–3.39 · xPts 3.68

  • L A Charlton Athletic 0–1 xG 0.96–1.03 UK CHAMP
  • L H Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 xG 0.75–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bolton Wanderers 1–2 xG 1.1–0.77 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

LDW 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 5 · xG 2.96–6.33 · xPts 2.41

  • W H Portsmouth 2–1 xG 0.83–1.53 UK CHAMP
  • D A Birmingham City 2–2 xG 1.64–1.68 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 0.49–3.12 UK CHAMP

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0).

All meetings · 31 matches since 2007

Preston North End 1013 draws8 Bristol City

Goals 42–42 · 2.71 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 24 draws4 Bristol City

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 70% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 12 draws2 Bristol City

Goals 6–8 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 2–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Bristol City 1–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 2–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 7Preston North End at home · 4Bristol City all · 7Bristol City away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game0.431.43
W / D / L1 / 0 / 63 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match0.861.43
Goals against / match1.861.71
Clean sheets0%0%
Failed to score29%29%
Both teams scored71%71%
Over 2.571%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.261.27
xG against / match1.171.59
xG difference0.08-0.32
Finishing vs xG-0.400.16
xPts / match1.421.26
Points vs xPts-0.990.17
Game state
Scored first29%43%
PPG when scoring first1.502.33
PPG when conceding first0.000.75
Came back from behind0%25%
Leads held50%75%
Minutes leading23%21%
Minutes level34%53%
Minutes trailing43%26%
First goal (min)4843
First goal conceded (min)4053
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%70%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.71
Late goals against0.710.57
Style
Possession44%46%
Shots12.913.7
On target3.14.3
Shot conversion7%10%
Shots inside box58%71%
Big chances created2.12.4
Corners5.65.7
xG from set plays37%41%
Goals from headers33%30%
Pressure index8.314.9
Dominant minutes40.351.3
Pass accuracy73%75%
Fouls10.311.6
Cards2.431.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25

Bristol City

0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'23
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Bristol City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.35) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.357
Early press (0-15, level)+0.347
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.114
When level+0.397
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.077
10 min after scoring+0.565

Situations

At home+0.033
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.372
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.153
As favourite+0.022
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.127
Conceded when ahead-0.294
Conceded late (76+)-0.387

Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.28 · Behind vs level +0.13

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-22 29%0.00.51.51.451.52
4-2-3-12 29%0.01.02.50.931.18
4-4-22 29%1.51.01.01.10.82
3-4-2-11 14%0.01.03.01.851.14

Bristol City

Current: winless 2 · conceding 7

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.431.431.711.271.59

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.3 pts at 3.0d

3.0Home 32% ▼ -6.3 ptsopened 2.453.49Draw 28% ▼ -1.4 ptsopened 3.242.42Away 40% ▲ +7.7 ptsopened 2.92
3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.0 ▼ -6.33.49 ▼ -1.42.42 ▲ +7.75m
bet3652.75 ▼ -1.33.5 · -1.02.45 ▲ +2.25m
Betfair2.9 ▼ -3.83.3 ▲ +1.62.4 ▲ +2.25m
BetVictor2.9 ▼ -3.43.4 · -0.42.38 ▲ +3.85m
Coral2.8 ▼ -4.13.4 · -0.02.45 ▲ +4.15m
Ladbrokes2.8 ▼ -3.63.4 · -0.52.45 ▲ +4.05m
Unibet2.75 ▼ -3.83.25 · -0.12.5 ▲ +3.95m
WilliamHill2.9 ▼ -3.63.25 · +0.12.38 ▲ +3.55m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.75Home 34% P 32%3.5Draw 27% P 28%2.45Away 39% P 40%

Double Chance

1.57Preston or Draw 30%1.3Preston or Bristol City 36%1.4Draw or Bristol City 34%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 60%2.2Under 42% P 40%
4.52.1Over 44% P 43%1.66Under 56% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 30–32.5% · away 37.5–40% · 556 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home32%31%31%-0.2
Draw28%30%31%+1.5
Away40%39%38%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 52% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.551%51%51%-0.1

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career
36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match
4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match5.384.05+2.4198
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.67
Fouls per card4.55.4-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3435
Time added7.57.2+0.3357
First card
34' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side
42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 60 220 9'11
2026-05-02 30 260 25'3
2026-04-18 · Bristol City 20 200 54'10
2026-04-03 100 350 23'9
2026-03-07 81 190 23'9
2026-02-25 15 9
2026-02-17 · Bristol City 50 240 40'8
2026-02-07 91 200 34'10
2026-01-17 80 290 45'12
2026-01-01 40 210 59'8