Rating 7.19 (90th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– PortsmouthDerby County –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Portsmouth | at home | Stat | league | away | Derby County |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.8 #7 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 49.3 #14 |
| 14.8 #8 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.6 #20 |
| 4.2 #11 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.3 #19 |
| 6.7 #2 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.4 #3 |
| 11.0 #13 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 13.3 #3 |
| 2.2 #11 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 3.0 #3 |
| 14.7 #14 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 14.3 #16 |
| 105.7 #3 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 108.6 #2 |
| 51.0 #4 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 60.0 #3 |
| 390.7 #15 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 393.4 #14 |
| 0.5 #24 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.3 #6 |
| 0.7 #20 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.7 #17 |
| – #18 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #19 |
| – #5 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #17 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #18 |
| 1.4 #13 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.1 #20 |
| -0.3 #18 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #17 |
| – #6 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #1 |
| 1.2 #13 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.9 #21 |
| 1.3 #14 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.2 #9 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 6.5 #23 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.9 #15 |
| – #6 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #2 |
| 0.2 #3 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.8 #10 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #21 |
| 4.5 #6 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.6 #16 |
| 8.5 #15 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.9 #18 |
| 6.2 #6 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.7 #19 |
| 6.3 #2 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.7 #17 |
| – #14 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #20 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Portsmouth · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.01 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.87 (55th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (14% of team goals) · 95% of minutes
Derby County · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (67% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Rating 6.92 (60th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.14 · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
Absences
Derby County
- injury Carlton Morris #3 key player attacker · Calf Muscle Tear · 2 missed
- injury Matt Clarke defender · Calf Injury · 4 missed
- injury Patrick Agyemang attacker · Achilles tendon rupture · 14 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- Fratton Park, Portsmouth
- Capacity
- 20,688
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 20,282
Teams
- Coaches
- John Mousinho · John Eustace
- Position
- 16 · 21
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Samuel Allison
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 17.5° (feels 17.4°)
- Wind
- 4.6
- Humidity
- 82%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Portsmouth
LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.69–5.1 · xPts 4.03
- L
A
Bristol City
1–2
xG 1.53–0.83
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Lincoln City
3–1
xG 1.38–2.34
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–3
xG 1.78–1.93
UK CHAMP
LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.69–5.1 · xPts 4.03
- L
A
Bristol City
1–2
xG 1.53–0.83
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Lincoln City
3–1
xG 1.38–2.34
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–3
xG 1.78–1.93
UK CHAMP
Derby County
LDL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.11–6.97 · xPts 2.75
- L
H
Swansea City
0–3
xG 0.82–2.96
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
LDL 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 3 GA 7 · xG 4.11–6.97 · xPts 2.75
- L
H
Swansea City
0–3
xG 0.82–2.96
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0).
All meetings · 11 matches since 2007
Goals 11–21 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 64% · over 2.5 54%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 9–19 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 3–10 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Portsmouth 0–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Portsmouth 0–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 1–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Portsmouth 2–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 4–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Portsmouth 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 3–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Portsmouth 1–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 2–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Portsmouth 3–1 Derby County UK PL · Regular Season
| Metric | Portsmouth all · 6 | Portsmouth at home · 3 | Derby County all · 7 | Derby County away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 6 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.17 | – | 0.57 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 3 | – | 1 / 1 / 5 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.17 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.33 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 33% | – | 14% | – |
| Failed to score | 33% | – | 43% | – |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | – | 1.10 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.36 | – | 2.16 | – |
| xG difference | -0.05 | – | -1.06 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.15 | – | -0.24 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.35 | – | 0.93 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.18 | – | -0.35 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | – | 0.25 | – |
| Came back from behind | 0% | – | 17% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 33% | – |
| Minutes leading | 30% | – | 18% | – |
| Minutes level | 36% | – | 34% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 34% | – | 48% | – |
| First goal (min) | 36 | – | 26 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | – | 24 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 43% | – | 33% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | – | 46% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.17 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.00 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 54% | – | 50% | – |
| Shots | 14.7 | – | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 4.2 | – | 3.3 | – |
| Shot conversion | 8% | – | 7% | – |
| Shots inside box | 57% | – | 67% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.3 | – | 1.6 | – |
| Corners | 6.7 | – | 6.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 43% | – | 21% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.5 | – | 11.7 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 50.8 | – | 47.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | – | 78% | – |
| Fouls | 9.3 | – | 13.0 | – |
| Cards | 0.50 | – | 2.29 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Portsmouth
0–15'20
16–30'11
31–45'15
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'10
Derby County
0–15'02
16–30'32
31–45'13
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'04
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Portsmouth · 6 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.403
Game state
When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.024
Situations
At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286
Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.20
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
Portsmouth
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 100% | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.33 | 1.31 | 1.36 |
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.83 | 1.04 | 2.29 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
| Metric | Portsmouth all · 10 | Portsmouth at home · 10 | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.10 | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 2 / 5 | 2 / 1 / 7 | 3 / 0 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.30 | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 40% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 30% | 80% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.17 | 1.39 | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| xG against / match | 1.52 | 1.08 | 2.12 | 1.79 |
| xG difference | -0.34 | 0.31 | -0.93 | -0.54 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.13 | -0.39 | -0.09 | 0.05 |
| xPts / match | 1.18 | 1.59 | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.22 | -0.49 | -0.26 | -0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 60% | 40% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.17 | 1.83 | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| Came back from behind | 0% | 17% | 22% | 12% |
| Leads held | 67% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 26% | 22% | 19% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 45% | 45% | 36% | 40% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 33% | 45% | 35% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 33 | 27 | 27 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 27 | 32 | 28 | 30 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 40% | 46% | 38% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 47% | 33% | 53% | 63% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 53% | 49% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.5 | 15.5 | 12.2 | 10.9 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 6% | 9% | 12% |
| Shots inside box | 56% | 66% | 70% | 81% |
| Big chances created | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.7 | 6.1 | 3.3 |
| xG from set plays | 36% | 44% | 35% | 32% |
| Goals from headers | 8% | 30% | 9% | 15% |
| Pressure index | 10.1 | 15.4 | 11.3 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.5 | 57.8 | 47.4 | 38.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | 74% | 76% | 71% |
| Fouls | 10.9 | 10.5 | 12.9 | 13.2 |
| Cards | 1.00 | 1.30 | 2.60 | 2.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Portsmouth
0–15'31
16–30'12
31–45'25
46–60'14
61–75'41
76–90'22
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
Portsmouth
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.52 |
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
| Metric | Portsmouth all · 48 | Portsmouth at home · 25 | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County away · 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 48 | 25 | 49 | 23 |
| Points per game | 1.13 | 1.20 | 1.39 | 1.39 |
| W / D / L | 14 / 12 / 22 | 8 / 6 / 11 | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 2 / 11 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.08 | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Goals against / match | 1.52 | 1.20 | 1.31 | 1.39 |
| Clean sheets | 19% | 24% | 24% | 22% |
| Failed to score | 29% | 32% | 14% | 17% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 48% | 61% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 40% | 55% | 65% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.18 | 1.42 | 1.24 | 1.20 |
| xG against / match | 1.29 | 1.18 | 1.38 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | -0.11 | 0.24 | -0.14 | -0.33 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.07 | -0.34 | 0.10 | 0.33 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.54 | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.21 | -0.34 | 0.06 | 0.16 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 48% | 52% | 55% | 56% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | 1.92 | 2.07 | 2.15 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 21% | 27% | 28% | 15% |
| Leads held | 58% | 57% | 69% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 22% | 30% | 36% |
| Minutes level | 48% | 48% | 42% | 38% |
| Minutes trailing | 32% | 29% | 27% | 26% |
| First goal (min) | 46 | 38 | 37 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 40 | 43 | 39 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | 52% | 47% | 43% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 53% | 56% | 66% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.12 | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | 53% | 46% | 42% |
| Shots | 12.6 | 15.6 | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| On target | 3.9 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 7% | 12% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 65% | 67% | 71% | 77% |
| Big chances created | 1.5 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| xG from set plays | 42% | 40% | 35% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 15% | 22% | 29% | 26% |
| Pressure index | 11.9 | 14.6 | 10.9 | 9.6 |
| Dominant minutes | 49.7 | 55.1 | 42.5 | 38.5 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 74% | 74% | 71% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.9 | 12.4 | 13.0 |
| Cards | 1.67 | 1.52 | 2.49 | 2.78 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Portsmouth
0–15'88
16–30'613
31–45'813
46–60'816
61–75'1010
76–90'1313
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Portsmouth · 48 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.08) · stands out: as favourite +0.57
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0848
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0048
Late push (76+, level)-0.2218
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.1921
Game state
When ahead+0.2024
When level+0.0848
When behind+0.0128
10 min after conceding-0.2239
10 min after scoring+0.3832
Situations
With ten men+0.092
At home+0.1125
Away+0.0523
3 days rest or fewer-0.0613
4+ days rest+0.1335
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0625
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0217
As favourite+0.576
Evenly matched+0.0722
As underdog-0.0620
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0248
Conceded when ahead-0.1124
Conceded late (76+)-0.1842
Congested vs rested -0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.06
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Portsmouth
Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 45 94% | 1.18 | 1.13 | 1.44 | 1.19 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.46 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 0.34 | 1.67 |
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +4.2 pts at 11.8h · late move: home -1.4 pts inside the final hour
2.03Home 48% ▲ +7.3 ptsopened 2.343.5Draw 28% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 3.273.9Away 25% ▼ -6.1 ptsopened 3.06
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.03 ▲ +7.3 | 3.5 ▼ -1.2 | 3.9 ▼ -6.1 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 ▲ +8.6 | 3.3 · -0.8 | 3.6 ▼ -7.8 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▲ +10.0 | 3.4 · -0.8 | 4.0 ▼ -9.2 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.0 ▲ +8.9 | 3.3 · +0.3 | 3.9 ▼ -9.2 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.0 ▲ +6.1 | 3.4 · -0.9 | 3.75 ▼ -5.3 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.0 ▲ +5.4 | 3.4 · -0.7 | 3.7 ▼ -4.8 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.93 ▲ +3.6 | 3.45 ▼ -1.2 | 3.8 ▼ -2.4 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.0 ▲ +11.6 | 3.3 ▼ -1.4 | 3.75 ▼ -10.2 | 5m |
BetVictor (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.75Yes 53% · -0.9 ptsopened 1.731.95No 47% · +0.9 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.75 · -0.9 | 1.95 · +0.9 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.75 ▲ +1.3 | 2.05 ▼ -1.3 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.81 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 1.75 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.9d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.7 pts at 2.8d
2.05Over 47% ▲ +1.2 ptsopened 2.071.85Under 53% ▼ -1.2 ptsopened 1.78
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.05 ▲ +1.2 | 1.85 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.8 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.95 · +0.6 | 1.8 · -0.6 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.91 · +0.7 | 1.77 · -0.7 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.0 ▲ +1.2 | 1.76 ▼ -1.2 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.0Home 46% P 48%3.3Draw 28% P 28%3.6Away 26% P 25%
Double Chance
1.25Portsmouth or Draw 38%1.33Portsmouth or Derby 36%1.8Draw or Derby 26%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.0Over 47% P 47%1.8Under 53% P 53%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%6.5Over 14 13%
Number of Cards
3.51.61Over 58% P 57%2.2Under 42% P 43%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 29% | +1.7 |
| Away | 25% | 24% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
Samuel Allison
- Career
- 80 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.88 (3.8 yellow · 0.03 red)
- Fouls / match
- 22.2 · 5.4 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.15
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 64 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.83 | 4.05 | -0.40 | 29 |
| Fouls / match | 22.1 | 21.8 | +0.25 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.9 | 5.4 | +0.47 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.11 | 0.17 | -0.97 | 10 |
| Time added | 7.3 | 7.2 | +0.10 | 53 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 5 |
| 2026-04-26 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 29' | 6 |
| 2026-04-18 · Derby County | 6 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 26' | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | 2 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 10' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 | 3 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 24' | 7 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 56' | 2 |
| 2026-02-28 · Portsmouth | 3 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 60' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 10' | 8 |
| 2026-02-10 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 53' | 6 |
| 2026-01-17 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 38' | 7 |