Rating 7.05 (82th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (17% of team goals) · 97% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 4
Momentum
– Lincoln CityBBR –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Lincoln City | at home | Stat | league | away | Blackburn Rovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.4 #24 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 52.0 #10 |
| 12.6 #15 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.1 #17 |
| 2.9 #23 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.0 #13 |
| 4.4 #21 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 5.9 #10 |
| 14.0 #2 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.3 #10 |
| 2.9 #4 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.1 #12 |
| 18.7 #1 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 11.1 #24 |
| 81.3 #23 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 91.9 #15 |
| 42.9 #17 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 44.7 #12 |
| 272.4 #24 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 459.4 #8 |
| 2.7 #2 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 3.0 #1 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #3 |
| – #1 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #14 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.5 #11 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| -0.7 #23 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.4 #5 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #14 |
| 0.9 #21 | 0.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.4 #9 |
| 0.9 #22 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.4 #12 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 11.4 #4 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.1 #21 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | – |
| 6.9 #7 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #17 |
| 4.0 #11 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.0 #18 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.1 #21 |
| 5.7 #10 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 5.1 #16 |
| 4.0 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 5.0 #7 |
| – #7 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Lincoln City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.99 (73th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Rating 7.2 (96th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Blackburn Rovers · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.18 (84th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (40% of team goals) · 70% of minutes
Rating 7.11 (92th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (68th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (10% of team goals) · 88% of minutes
Absences
Lincoln City
- injury Daniele Galloppa coach · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 38 missed
- injury Tendayi Darikwa #15 key player defender · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 2 missed · until 2027-06-30
Blackburn Rovers
- injury Augustus Kargbo attacker · Hamstring Injury · 46 missed
- injury Hayden Carter #16 key player defender · Knee Surgery · 95 missed
- injury Scott Wharton defender · Achilles tendon problems · 44 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- LNER Stadium, Lincoln
- Capacity
- 10,780
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,267
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Cohen · Tony Mowbray
- Position
- 17 · 10
- Formation
- 3-4-3 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Will Finnie
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 18.3° (feels 17.9°)
- Wind
- 3.6
- Humidity
- 68%
Where to watch · 5
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Lincoln City
LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 4.47–6.31 · xPts 3.26
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 5 · xG 4.47–6.31 · xPts 3.26
- W
A
Bolton Wanderers
1–0
xG 1.25–2.03
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Portsmouth
1–3
xG 2.34–1.38
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–2
xG 0.89–2.9
UK CHAMP
Blackburn Rovers
DWL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 2.92–4.97 · xPts 2.74
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 1.2–1.61
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1
xG 0.94–1.57
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 0.79–1.79
UK CHAMP
DWL 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 2.92–4.97 · xPts 2.74
- L
H
Queens Park Rangers
1–2
xG 1.2–1.61
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1
xG 0.94–1.57
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Wolverhampton Wanderers
2–2
xG 0.79–1.79
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0).
All meetings · 1 match since 2026
Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 10 · 1 match
Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Last 5 · 1 match
Goals 0–0 · 0.0 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 0%
Recent meetings
- D Lincoln City 0–0 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 7 | Lincoln City at home · 3 | Blackburn Rovers all · 7 | Blackburn Rovers away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.57 | – | 1.14 | – |
| W / D / L | 3 / 2 / 2 | – | 2 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Goals against / match | 0.86 | – | 1.43 | – |
| Clean sheets | 57% | – | 14% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 86% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | – | 86% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 0.99 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.54 | – |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | -0.54 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | 0.43 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.01 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 57% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.25 | – | 1.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 1.33 | – |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 40% | – |
| Leads held | 75% | – | 40% | – |
| Minutes leading | 19% | – | 22% | – |
| Minutes level | 61% | – | 48% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 20% | – | 30% | – |
| First goal (min) | 55 | – | 40 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 38 | – | 29 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 67% | – | 70% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 40% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.29 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 36% | – | 52% | – |
| Shots | 12.6 | – | 12.1 | – |
| On target | 3.0 | – | 4.0 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 12% | – |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 58% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 1.8 | – |
| Corners | 4.4 | – | 5.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 16% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 30% | – |
| Pressure index | 9.4 | – | 10.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 37.1 | – | 43.9 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 13.6 | – | 10.6 | – |
| Cards | 2.57 | – | 3.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21
Blackburn Rovers
0–15'02
16–30'22
31–45'12
46–60'62
61–75'01
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217
Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14
Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353
Game state
When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556
Situations
At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057
Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 43% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 29% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Blackburn Rovers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 71% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.01 | 1.45 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.78 | 1.51 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 2.0 |
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 10 | Lincoln City at home · 4 | Blackburn Rovers all · 10 | Blackburn Rovers away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | – | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 3 / 3 | – | 3 / 3 / 4 | 3 / 3 / 4 |
| Goals for / match | 1.20 | – | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | – | 1.30 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 40% | – | 10% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | – | 20% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | – | 80% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | – | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.64 | 1.56 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | -0.64 | -0.65 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 0.98 | 0.94 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 50% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.40 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.00 | – | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 40% | – | 33% | 33% |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 43% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 27% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 49% | – | 51% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 22% | 28% |
| First goal (min) | 52 | – | 38 | 44 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | – | 44 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 58% | – | 57% | 46% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 54% | 57% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.30 | – | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | – | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | – | 48% | 50% |
| Shots | 13.4 | – | 11.2 | 11.4 |
| On target | 4.2 | – | 3.8 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 12% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 62% | 67% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.7 | – | 5.6 | 5.8 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 15% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 30% | – | 29% | 27% |
| Pressure index | 13.5 | – | 10.1 | 8.0 |
| Dominant minutes | 41.0 | – | 42.2 | 39.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 73% | – | 80% | 78% |
| Fouls | 13.9 | – | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.60 | – | 3.30 | 2.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'14
16–30'21
31–45'21
46–60'30
61–75'12
76–90'34
Blackburn Rovers
0–15'12
16–30'22
31–45'32
46–60'73
61–75'01
76–90'13
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 30% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 5-3-2 | 2 20% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 20% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 4.0 | 3.0 | – | – |
Blackburn Rovers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 5 50% | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.01 | 1.45 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 20% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.87 | 1.45 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 2.12 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.14 | 2.0 |
| Metric | Lincoln City all · 8 | Lincoln City at home · 3 | Blackburn Rovers all · 49 | Blackburn Rovers away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | – | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | – | 1.12 | 1.17 |
| W / D / L | 3 / 3 / 2 | – | 13 / 16 / 20 | 7 / 7 / 10 |
| Goals for / match | 0.88 | – | 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Goals against / match | 0.88 | – | 1.24 | 1.33 |
| Clean sheets | 50% | – | 24% | 29% |
| Failed to score | 12% | – | 33% | 42% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | – | 55% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | – | 45% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.51 | – | 1.14 | 1.02 |
| xG against / match | 1.35 | – | 1.32 | 1.53 |
| xG difference | 0.16 | – | -0.18 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.66 | – | -0.18 | -0.10 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | – | 1.27 | 1.06 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | – | -0.15 | 0.11 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | – | 43% | 42% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.62 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.68 | 0.40 |
| Came back from behind | 33% | – | 31% | 17% |
| Leads held | 60% | – | 52% | 58% |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 19% | 23% |
| Minutes level | 59% | – | 57% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 17% | – | 24% | 24% |
| First goal (min) | 51 | – | 44 | 37 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 51 | – | 46 | 43 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 49% | 36% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 57% | – | 56% | 62% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.25 | – | 0.22 | 0.08 |
| Late goals against | 0.25 | – | 0.33 | 0.38 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 38% | – | 48% | 48% |
| Shots | 12.6 | – | 11.6 | 11.0 |
| On target | 3.4 | – | 3.2 | 3.0 |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | – | 65% | 63% |
| Big chances created | 1.7 | – | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 4.6 | – | 5.5 | 5.3 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | – | 24% | 20% |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 30% | 32% |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | – | 10.6 | 9.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 44.3 | – | 44.9 | 42.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | – | 74% | 75% |
| Fouls | 14.6 | – | 10.4 | 11.3 |
| Cards | 3.00 | – | 2.41 | 2.63 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Lincoln City
0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'22
Blackburn Rovers
0–15'55
16–30'79
31–45'1213
46–60'811
61–75'47
76–90'1116
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Lincoln City · 8 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.098
Early press (0-15, level)+0.238
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603
Game state
When ahead-0.115
When level-0.048
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.287
Situations
At home-0.033
Away-0.135
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.086
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.105
As underdog-0.063
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.118
Conceded when ahead-0.025
Conceded late (76+)+0.148
Congested vs rested -0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14
Blackburn Rovers · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.03) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.40
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0349
Early press (0-15, level)-0.1549
Late push (76+, level)-0.1223
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2926
Game state
When ahead-0.0225
When level+0.0249
When behind-0.1529
10 min after conceding-0.1436
10 min after scoring+0.4033
Situations
Against ten men-0.173
At home-0.1025
Away+0.0424
3 days rest or fewer+0.0516
4+ days rest-0.0733
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1129
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0314
As favourite+0.299
Evenly matched-0.1124
As underdog-0.0916
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead-0.0625
Conceded late (76+)-0.0649
Congested vs rested +0.12 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level -0.17
Lincoln City
Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 3 38% | 2.33 | 1.0 | 0.33 | 1.46 | 0.96 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 25% | 2.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.17 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 2 25% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.34 | 1.38 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 12% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.89 | 2.9 |
Blackburn Rovers
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-1-2 | 18 37% | 1.06 | 0.89 | 1.22 | 1.29 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 26% | 1.08 | 0.85 | 1.15 | 1.13 | 1.36 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 13 26% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.38 | 0.97 | 1.35 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.06 | 2.12 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.78 | 2.71 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.5 pts at 3.0d
2.38Home 41% ▲ +1.4 ptsopened 2.43.43Draw 28% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.363.11Away 31% ▼ -1.5 ptsopened 2.89
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.38 ▲ +1.4 | 3.43 · +0.1 | 3.11 ▼ -1.5 | 5m |
| bet365 | 2.4 · +0.4 | 3.4 · +0.9 | 2.9 ▼ -1.3 | 5m |
| Betfair | 2.3 ▲ +4.7 | 3.4 · +0.8 | 3.0 ▼ -5.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 ▲ +5.0 | 3.4 · -0.5 | 3.0 ▼ -4.5 | 5m |
| Coral | 2.37 ▼ -1.2 | 3.4 · +0.0 | 2.9 ▲ +1.1 | 5m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.37 ▼ -1.5 | 3.3 · +0.6 | 2.9 · +0.9 | 5m |
| Unibet | 2.25 · -0.1 | 3.3 · +0.7 | 3.05 · -0.6 | 5m |
| WilliamHill | 2.3 ▲ +4.5 | 3.25 · +0.3 | 3.0 ▼ -4.9 | 5m |
WilliamHill (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.73Yes 54% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.732.05No 46% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.05
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| WilliamHill | 1.73 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.72 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.67 ▲ +1.5 | 2.15 ▼ -1.5 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.67 · +0.9 | 2.08 · -0.9 | 5m |
Pinnacle · opened 2.9d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 5m before kick-off
1.96Over 50% · -0.4 ptsopened 1.921.93Under 50% · +0.4 ptsopened 1.92
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.96 · -0.4 | 1.93 · +0.4 | 5m |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 5m |
| Betfair | 1.87 · +0.4 | 1.87 · -0.4 | 5m |
| BetVictor | 1.85 · -0.3 | 1.82 · +0.3 | 5m |
| Unibet | 1.88 · +0.8 | 1.87 · -0.8 | 5m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.1h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.4Home 39% P 41%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.9Away 33% P 31%
Double Chance
1.36Lincoln City or Draw 34%1.3Lincoln City or Blackburn 36%1.57Draw or Blackburn 30%
Draw No Bet
1.661 56%2.12 44%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 50%1.9Under 50% P 50%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 24%2.629 - 11 33%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 12%
Number of Cards
3.51.9Over 49% P 50%1.8Under 51% P 50%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 31% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Will Finnie
- Career
- 41 matches · 10 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.29
- Cards to home side
- 42%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.0 | 4.05 | -0.10 | 49 |
| Fouls / match | 20.8 | 21.8 | -0.99 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.4 | 5.4 | -0.24 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.34 | 35 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.2 | +0.91 | 78 |
- First card
- 36' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 40% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 32' | 6 |
| 2026-08-15 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 25' | 14 |
| 2026-05-02 | – | – | 19 | – | – | 10 |
| 2026-03-21 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 34' | 4 |
| 2026-02-21 | 6 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 44' | 8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 55' | 11 |
| 2026-01-17 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 79' | 9 |
| 2026-01-11 · Blackburn Rovers | 7 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 31' | 12 |
| 2026-01-01 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 27' | 6 |
| 2025-12-26 | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 16' | 9 |