Momentum
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Birmingham City | at home | Stat | league | away | Southampton |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 #16 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 57.7 #4 |
| 12.9 #12 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 15.9 #4 |
| 4.1 #12 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 4.6 #9 |
| 6.1 #5 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 6.0 #7 |
| 12.7 #4 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 8.4 #24 |
| 2.1 #12 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.4 #8 |
| 14.7 #12 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 12.0 #23 |
| 96.3 #9 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 96.3 #9 |
| 50.9 #6 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 42.1 #18 |
| 337.4 #20 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 487.6 #6 |
| 2.1 #9 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #17 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 2.0 #1 |
| – #3 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #1 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #19 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #9 |
| 1.7 #8 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.8 #5 |
| -0.3 #19 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | 0.7 #1 |
| – #14 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #18 |
| 1.4 #9 | 1.7 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.0 | 2.6 #2 |
| 1.3 #15 | 1.7 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.1 #19 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 9.0 #10 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.6 #18 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #17 |
| 0.1 #4 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #2 |
| 6.8 #16 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 7.0 #2 |
| 3.3 #17 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.9 #2 |
| 9.3 #10 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.6 #4 |
| 5.4 #14 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.4 #3 |
| 3.6 #19 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.3 #11 |
| – #15 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Birmingham City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Southampton · 2026/2027 · Championship
Absences
Birmingham City
- injury Lee Buchanan defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 31 missed
- injury Max Bird midfielder · Calf Injury · 54 missed
Southampton
- injury Mads Roerslev defender · Knee Injury · 47 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 4
Venue
- Stadium
- St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
- Capacity
- 29,409
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 25,007
Teams
- Coaches
- Chris Davies · Tonda Eckert
- Position
- 8 · 18
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
Anthony Backhouse
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 15.7° (feels 15.4°)
- Wind
- 1.3
- Humidity
- 80%
Where to watch · 6
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
United States
Paramount+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 | Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 | West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 | Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 | Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 | Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 | Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 | Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 | Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 | Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 | Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 | Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 | Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 | Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 | Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Birmingham City
DDW 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 4.4–3.94 · xPts 4.49
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP - D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP - D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
DDW 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 4.4–3.94 · xPts 4.49
- W
A
Wrexham
2–1
xG 1.89–1.88
UK CHAMP - D
H
Bristol City
2–2
xG 1.68–1.64
UK CHAMP - D
A
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.83–0.42
UK CHAMP
Southampton
DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 10.22–6.76 · xPts 8.92
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP - W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP - L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP - W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1 aet
xG 2.4–0.92
UK CHAMP - D
A
Middlesbrough
0–0
xG 0.73–2.24
UK CHAMP
DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 10.22–6.76 · xPts 8.92
- W
H
Millwall
5–1
xG 3.23–1.52
UK CHAMP - W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP - L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP - W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1 aet
xG 2.4–0.92
UK CHAMP - D
A
Middlesbrough
0–0
xG 0.73–2.24
UK CHAMP
No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).
All meetings · 17 matches since 2002
Goals 23–28 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 59%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 13–18 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–12 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- D Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Birmingham City 3–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Birmingham City 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 4–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 1–0 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Southampton 1–2 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Birmingham City 2–1 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 7 | Birmingham City at home · 3 | Southampton all · 7 | Southampton away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.43 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 2 / 4 / 1 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.43 | – | 2.57 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.29 | – | 1.14 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 14% | – | 0% | – |
| Both teams scored | 86% | – | 100% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.73 | – | 1.80 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.27 | – | 1.67 | – |
| xG difference | 0.45 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.30 | – | 0.78 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | – | 1.48 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.24 | – | 0.52 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 14% | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | – | 2.20 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.20 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 80% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 100% | – | 67% | – |
| Minutes leading | 15% | – | 41% | – |
| Minutes level | 67% | – | 45% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 18% | – | 14% | – |
| First goal (min) | 40 | – | 32 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 45 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 50% | – | 56% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 22% | – | 50% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.14 | – | 0.86 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | 13.0 | – | 15.7 | – |
| On target | 4.4 | – | 4.6 | – |
| Shot conversion | 11% | – | 16% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 72% | – |
| Big chances created | 3.1 | – | 2.7 | – |
| Corners | 6.1 | – | 6.0 | – |
| xG from set plays | 35% | – | 28% | – |
| Goals from headers | 50% | – | 11% | – |
| Pressure index | 12.2 | – | 14.6 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 56.9 | – | 54.7 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 70% | – | 87% | – |
| Fouls | 12.1 | – | 8.3 | – |
| Cards | 2.00 | – | 1.43 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
Southampton
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53
Southampton · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 1.43 | 1.43 | 1.29 | 1.73 | 1.27 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 2.0 | 2.57 | 1.14 | 1.8 | 1.67 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 10 | Birmingham City at home · 10 | Southampton all · 10 | Southampton away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.60 | 2.10 | 1.60 |
| W / D / L | 4 / 5 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 4 / 4 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.50 | 1.40 | 2.30 | 1.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 70% | 90% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 50% | 70% | 60% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.82 | 1.70 | 1.84 | 1.40 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.62 | 1.91 |
| xG difference | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.22 | -0.51 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | -0.30 | 0.46 | 0.30 |
| xPts / match | 1.67 | 1.66 | 1.52 | 1.11 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.03 | -0.06 | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| PPG when scoring first | 3.00 | 2.60 | 2.33 | 1.83 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.17 | 0.60 | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Came back from behind | 83% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Leads held | 100% | 80% | 75% | 57% |
| Minutes leading | 29% | 34% | 36% | 28% |
| Minutes level | 58% | 50% | 50% | 54% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 16% | 14% | 18% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 29 | 31 | 49 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 35 | 39 | 42 | 54 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | 36% | 54% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 25% | 33% | 50% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Late goals against | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 54% | 55% | 52% |
| Shots | 13.3 | 14.6 | 15.4 | 12.6 |
| On target | 4.7 | 5.7 | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Shot conversion | 11% | 10% | 15% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 72% | 67% | 71% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| xG from set plays | 32% | 26% | 31% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 40% | 15% | 17% | 29% |
| Pressure index | 12.4 | 13.2 | 14.2 | 12.3 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.2 | 61.2 | 56.0 | 51.9 |
| Pass accuracy | 69% | 75% | 85% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.6 | 9.1 | 9.5 |
| Cards | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.70 | 1.80 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
Southampton
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.7 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.82 | 1.38 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.78 | 1.7 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.92 |
| Metric | Birmingham City all · 50 | Birmingham City at home · 25 | Southampton all · 55 | Southampton away · 28 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 50 | 25 | 55 | 28 |
| Points per game | 1.42 | 1.76 | 1.89 | 1.54 |
| W / D / L | 18 / 17 / 15 | 11 / 11 / 3 | 30 / 14 / 11 | 12 / 7 / 9 |
| Goals for / match | 1.34 | 1.72 | 1.91 | 1.75 |
| Goals against / match | 1.26 | 1.08 | 1.18 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 24% | 22% | 11% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 8% | 9% | 7% |
| Both teams scored | 64% | 72% | 74% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 52% | 66% | 68% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.58 | 2.02 | 1.63 | 1.52 |
| xG against / match | 1.26 | 1.20 | 1.41 | 1.65 |
| xG difference | 0.32 | 0.82 | 0.22 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | -0.30 | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.55 | 1.87 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.13 | -0.11 | 0.39 | 0.24 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 46% | 64% | 62% | 61% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.43 | 2.38 | 2.29 | 1.82 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.52 | 0.63 | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| Came back from behind | 44% | 67% | 50% | 36% |
| Leads held | 75% | 69% | 73% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 27% | 36% | 36% | 30% |
| Minutes level | 46% | 51% | 50% | 51% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 13% | 15% | 19% |
| First goal (min) | 38 | 32 | 39 | 45 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 36 | 41 | 46 | 50 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 48% | 44% | 53% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 38% | 44% | 63% | 67% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.44 | 0.46 |
| Late goals against | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 53% | 54% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 13.8 | 17.2 | 13.9 | 12.8 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.8 | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 10% | 14% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 65% | 68% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.5 | 3.0 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 6.0 | 7.1 | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| xG from set plays | 34% | 36% | 29% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 26% | 24% | 19% | 19% |
| Pressure index | 14.0 | 17.6 | 16.6 | 14.9 |
| Dominant minutes | 53.0 | 62.5 | 56.9 | 53.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 76% | 83% | 82% |
| Fouls | 11.6 | 11.2 | 10.1 | 10.7 |
| Cards | 2.12 | 2.16 | 1.75 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Birmingham City
Southampton
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Birmingham City · 50 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: with ten men +0.57
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.10 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.07
Southampton · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: against ten men +0.80
Tempo
Game state
Situations
Opposition
Conceded
Congested vs rested -0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.21
Birmingham City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 48 96% | 1.42 | 1.38 | 1.29 | 1.62 | 1.25 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.83 | 1.5 |
| 3-4-3 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.25 | 1.91 |
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 54% | 2.2 | 2.17 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 24% | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 7% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.69 | 0.9 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 2 4% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.56 | 0.86 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.1 pts at 3.0d · late move: home -1.0 pts inside the final hour
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.69 ▼ -1.6 | 3.63 ▼ -1.8 | 2.6 ▲ +3.3 | 10m |
| bet365 | 2.7 ▼ -5.5 | 3.4 · -0.5 | 2.45 ▲ +6.0 | 10m |
| Betfair | 2.55 ▼ -4.8 | 3.4 ▲ +1.6 | 2.63 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 2.6 ▼ -3.8 | 3.5 · -0.2 | 2.55 ▲ +4.0 | 10m |
| Coral | 2.7 ▼ -3.7 | 3.4 · +0.5 | 2.6 ▲ +3.2 | 10m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.62 ▼ -3.5 | 3.4 · -0.2 | 2.5 ▲ +3.7 | 10m |
| Unibet | 2.48 · -0.7 | 3.45 · -0.7 | 2.65 ▲ +1.4 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 2.5 ▼ -3.6 | 3.4 ▼ -1.1 | 2.5 ▲ +4.7 | 10m |
BetVictor (Pinnacle absent) · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 81 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: yes +1.2 pts at 3.0h
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetVictor | 1.53 ▲ +3.0 | 2.3 ▼ -3.0 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.53 ▲ +4.9 | 2.37 ▼ -4.9 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.53 ▲ +5.3 | 2.45 ▼ -5.3 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.61 · +0.3 | 2.18 · -0.3 | 10m |
| WilliamHill | 1.55 ▲ +3.2 | 2.3 ▼ -3.2 | 10m |
Pinnacle · opened 3.0d before kick-off · 77 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.4 pts at 3.0h
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74 ▲ +4.7 | 2.19 ▼ -4.7 | 10m |
| bet365 | 1.72 ▲ +2.3 | 2.1 ▼ -2.3 | 10m |
| Betfair | 1.73 ▲ +1.6 | 2.05 ▼ -1.6 | 10m |
| BetVictor | 1.67 ▲ +3.4 | 2.03 ▼ -3.4 | 10m |
| Unibet | 1.76 · +0.7 | 1.97 · -0.7 | 10m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
Double Chance
Draw No Bet
Both Teams To Score
Goals Over/Under
Total Corners
Number of Cards
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 36% | 36% | 35% | -0.6 |
| Draw | 27% | 28% | 28% | +0.2 |
| Away | 37% | 36% | 36% | +0.4 |
In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Anthony Backhouse
- Career
- 81 matches · 14 seasons
- Cards / match
- 4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.11
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 4.52 | 4.05 | +0.85 | 80 |
| Fouls / match | 21.7 | 21.8 | -0.19 | |
| Fouls per card | 4.8 | 5.4 | -1.13 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.33 | 41 |
| Time added | 8.0 | 7.2 | +0.91 | 78 |
- First card
- 33' on average
- Card timing
- 14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 26' | 6 |
| 2026-05-02 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 39' | 8 |
| 2026-04-21 | 7 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 11' | 6 |
| 2026-04-11 | 10 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 13' | 8 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 13' | 7 |
| 2026-03-16 | 8 | 0 | 27 | 0 | 40' | 8 |
| 2026-03-11 · Birmingham City | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 24' | – |
| 2026-02-28 | 1 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 39' | 5 |
| 2026-02-20 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 40' | 9 |
| 2026-02-11 | 6 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 49' | 8 |

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