KickoffDNA
0 live
Sign in
Championship · Matchweek 4

Momentum

BRCSouthampton
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
4

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass
Attendance
25,007

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Tonda Eckert
Position
8 · 18
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Anthony Backhouse

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.7° (feels 15.4°)
Wind
1.3
Humidity
80%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

DDW 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 3 · xG 4.4–3.94 · xPts 4.49

  • W A Wrexham 2–1 xG 1.89–1.88 UK CHAMP
  • D H Bristol City 2–2 xG 1.68–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.83–0.42 UK CHAMP

Southampton

DWLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 11 GA 5 · xG 10.22–6.76 · xPts 8.92

  • W H Millwall 5–1 xG 3.23–1.52 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 3–1 xG 2.31–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • L A Watford 1–2 xG 1.56–1.24 UK CHAMP
  • W H Middlesbrough 2–1 aet xG 2.4–0.92 UK CHAMP
  • D A Middlesbrough 0–0 xG 0.73–2.24 UK CHAMP

No predictions from model engine-only-1.1.0 (available: engine-only-1.0.0, engine-only-1.0.1).

All meetings · 17 matches since 2002

Birmingham City 65 draws6 Southampton

Goals 23–28 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 71% · over 2.5 59%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 33 draws4 Southampton

Goals 13–18 · 3.1 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 02 draws3 Southampton

Goals 7–12 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 1–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 3–4 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 3–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Southampton 4–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 1–0 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Southampton 1–2 Birmingham City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Southampton neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 7Birmingham City at home · 3Southampton all · 7Southampton away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.432.00
W / D / L2 / 4 / 14 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match1.432.57
Goals against / match1.291.14
Clean sheets14%0%
Failed to score14%0%
Both teams scored86%100%
Over 2.571%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.731.80
xG against / match1.271.67
xG difference0.450.13
Finishing vs xG-0.300.78
xPts / match1.671.48
Points vs xPts-0.240.52
Game state
Scored first14%71%
PPG when scoring first3.002.20
PPG when conceding first1.201.50
Came back from behind80%50%
Leads held100%67%
Minutes leading15%41%
Minutes level67%45%
Minutes trailing18%14%
First goal (min)4032
First goal conceded (min)3445
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%56%
Goals conceded in 2nd half22%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.86
Late goals against0.140.14
Style
Possession48%58%
Shots13.015.7
On target4.44.6
Shot conversion11%16%
Shots inside box72%72%
Big chances created3.12.7
Corners6.16.0
xG from set plays35%28%
Goals from headers50%11%
Pressure index12.214.6
Dominant minutes56.954.7
Pass accuracy70%87%
Fouls12.18.3
Cards2.001.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'11

Southampton

0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'50
46–60'22
61–75'21
76–90'61

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Southampton · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297

Situations

At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.59

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.431.431.291.731.27

Southampton

Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%2.02.571.141.81.67

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 3.1d before kick-off · 80 snapshots · last 10m before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.1 pts at 3.0d · late move: home -1.0 pts inside the final hour

2.69Home 36% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 2.513.63Draw 27% ▼ -1.8 ptsopened 3.312.6Away 37% ▲ +3.3 ptsopened 2.78
3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.69 ▼ -1.63.63 ▼ -1.82.6 ▲ +3.310m
bet3652.7 ▼ -5.53.4 · -0.52.45 ▲ +6.010m
Betfair2.55 ▼ -4.83.4 ▲ +1.62.63 ▲ +3.210m
BetVictor2.6 ▼ -3.83.5 · -0.22.55 ▲ +4.010m
Coral2.7 ▼ -3.73.4 · +0.52.6 ▲ +3.210m
Ladbrokes2.62 ▼ -3.53.4 · -0.22.5 ▲ +3.710m
Unibet2.48 · -0.73.45 · -0.72.65 ▲ +1.410m
WilliamHill2.5 ▼ -3.63.4 ▼ -1.12.5 ▲ +4.710m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.2h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 36%3.4Draw 27% P 27%2.45Away 38% P 37%

Double Chance

1.5Birmingham or Draw 32%1.3Birmingham or Southampton 37%1.5Draw or Southampton 32%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 56%2.1Under 45% P 44%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

4.52.0Over 46% P 46%1.72Under 54% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 35–37.5% · 584 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home36%36%35%-0.6
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away37%36%36%+0.4

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.556%56%56%-0.2

Anthony Backhouse

Career
81 matches · 14 seasons
Cards / match
4.02 (3.94 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
19.6 · 4.3 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.11
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 58 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.524.05+0.8580
Fouls / match21.721.8-0.19
Fouls per card4.85.4-1.13 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3341
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
33' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-23 30 211 26'6
2026-05-02 10 140 39'8
2026-04-21 70 260 11'6
2026-04-11 100 331 13'8
2026-04-03 20 180 13'7
2026-03-16 80 270 40'8
2026-03-11 · Birmingham City 40 180 24'
2026-02-28 10 300 39'5
2026-02-20 40 180 40'9
2026-02-11 60 110 49'8