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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

WrexhamBRC
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
Capacity
10,771
Surface
grass
Attendance
10,536

Teams

Coaches
Phil Parkinson · Chris Davies
Position
14 · 13
Formation
3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Robert Jones

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
15.9° (feels 15.9°)
Wind
3.0
Humidity
91%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wrexham

DDD 0W 3D 0L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 5.56–3.98 · xPts 5.29

  • D H Watford 1–1 xG 1.83–0.55 UK CHAMP
  • D A Cardiff City 1–1 xG 1.69–1.07 UK CHAMP
  • D H Middlesbrough 2–2 xG 2.04–2.36 UK CHAMP

Birmingham City

DDD 0W 3D 0L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 4.13–3.03 · xPts 4.92

  • D H Bristol City 2–2 xG 1.68–1.64 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.83–0.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.63–0.97 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 3 matches since 2025

Wrexham 01 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 2–5 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 10 · 3 matches

Wrexham 01 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 2–5 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Last 5 · 3 matches

Wrexham 01 draws2 Birmingham City

Goals 2–5 · 2.33 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 33%

Recent meetings

  • L Wrexham 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 2–0 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Wrexham 1–1 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWrexham all · 7Wrexham at home · 3Birmingham City all · 7Birmingham City away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.001.43
W / D / L1 / 4 / 22 / 4 / 1
Goals for / match1.001.43
Goals against / match1.571.29
Clean sheets29%14%
Failed to score29%14%
Both teams scored57%86%
Over 2.543%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.371.73
xG against / match1.241.27
xG difference0.130.45
Finishing vs xG-0.37-0.30
xPts / match1.521.67
Points vs xPts-0.52-0.24
Game state
Scored first29%14%
PPG when scoring first2.003.00
PPG when conceding first0.501.20
Came back from behind50%80%
Leads held50%100%
Minutes leading24%15%
Minutes level50%67%
Minutes trailing26%18%
First goal (min)3240
First goal conceded (min)3434
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half54%22%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.14
Late goals against0.430.14
Style
Possession51%48%
Shots11.313.0
On target3.44.4
Shot conversion9%11%
Shots inside box77%72%
Big chances created2.03.1
Corners5.16.1
xG from set plays30%35%
Goals from headers14%50%
Pressure index10.912.2
Dominant minutes47.656.9
Pass accuracy81%70%
Fouls11.312.1
Cards1.142.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wrexham

0–15'12
16–30'22
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'03

Birmingham City

0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wrexham · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044

Game state

When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135

Situations

At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Wrexham

Current: winless 3 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-16 86%1.01.01.671.321.27
5-4-11 14%1.01.01.01.691.07

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.431.431.291.731.27

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.9 pts at 11.0h

2.24Home 43% ▲ +4.6 ptsopened 2.473.29Draw 29% · +0.1 ptsopened 3.253.52Away 27% ▼ -4.6 ptsopened 2.97
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.24 ▲ +4.63.29 · +0.13.52 ▼ -4.61.0h
bet3652.2 ▲ +4.73.2 · +0.93.4 ▼ -5.61.0h
Betfair2.2 ▲ +3.63.2 ▲ +2.03.4 ▼ -5.61.0h
BetVictor2.2 ▲ +4.53.25 · +0.53.4 ▼ -4.91.0h
Coral2.2 ▲ +4.53.25 · +0.53.4 ▼ -5.01.0h
Ladbrokes2.2 ▲ +4.33.2 · +0.93.4 ▼ -5.21.0h
Unibet2.28 ▲ +2.13.2 · +0.53.1 ▼ -2.61.0h
WilliamHill2.2 ▲ +3.63.1 · +0.13.3 ▼ -3.81.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.2Home 43% P 43%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.4Away 28% P 27%

Double Chance

1.33Wrexham or Draw 35%1.3Wrexham or Birmingham 36%1.66Draw or Birmingham 28%

Draw No Bet

1.531 61%2.372 39%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 43%1.66Under 57% P 57%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 43%1.72Under 54% P 57%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 42.5–45% · away 25–27.5% · 725 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home43%44%44%-0.2
Draw29%30%28%-1.4
Away27%26%28%+1.6

In those fixtures: 2.5 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 45%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,474 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.543%44%43%-1.2

Robert Jones

Career
222 matches · 15 seasons
Cards / match
3.84 (3.75 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
23.9 · 5.9 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.27
Cards to home side
47%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 22 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.184.05+0.2359
Fouls / match22.621.8+0.70
Fouls per card5.75.4+0.16 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.180.17+0.0657
Time added6.07.2-1.414
First card
23' on average
Card timing
28% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
53% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 30 290 18'5
2026-05-24 40 190 64'13
2026-05-03 20 211 6'8
2026-04-25 · Birmingham City 40 181 14'8
2026-04-12 60 290 28'16
2026-04-06 50 180 23'4
2026-02-10 80 222 8'9
2026-02-01 60 270 11'13
2026-01-17 60 230 17'6
2025-12-30 30 120 28'10