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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

WOLStoke City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton
Capacity
32,050
Surface
grass
Attendance
30,334

Teams

Coaches
César Peixoto · Mark Robins
Position
5 · 21
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Tom Nield

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
15.4° (feels 15.3°)
Wind
3.7
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 19

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Wolverhampton Wanderers

LDDDW 1W 3D 1L · 6 pts (1.2 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 7.08–6.44 · xPts 7.35

  • W A Preston North End 3–1 xG 1.59–0.75 UK CHAMP
  • D H Blackburn Rovers 2–2 xG 1.79–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • D A Burnley 1–1 xG 2.31–1.28 UK PL
  • D H Fulham 1–1 xG 1.05–1.7 UK PL
  • L A Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 xG 0.34–1.93 UK PL

Stoke City

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 7 · xG 2.84–4.48 · xPts 3.11

  • L A Southampton 1–3 xG 0.83–2.31 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 0.89–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bristol City 0–2 xG 1.12–1.19 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 15 matches since 2005

Wolverhampton Wanderers 55 draws5 Stoke City

Goals 20–18 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Wolverhampton Wanderers 32 draws5 Stoke City

Goals 14–16 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Wolverhampton Wanderers 20 draws3 Stoke City

Goals 8–8 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Wolverhampton Wanderers 4–1 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 0–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Stoke City 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–2 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Stoke City 3–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–1 Stoke City UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • W Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–1 Stoke City UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Wolverhampton Wanderers 0–0 Stoke City neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 2–2 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–4 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricWolverhampton Wanderers all · 6Wolverhampton Wanderers at home · 2Stoke City all · 7Stoke City away · 4
Results
Matches67
Points per game1.831.43
W / D / L3 / 2 / 13 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match2.331.57
Goals against / match1.671.57
Clean sheets17%29%
Failed to score0%0%
Both teams scored83%71%
Over 2.583%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.751.04
xG against / match1.151.50
xG difference0.60-0.45
Finishing vs xG0.580.53
xPts / match1.781.13
Points vs xPts0.050.30
Game state
Scored first67%86%
PPG when scoring first2.001.67
PPG when conceding first1.500.00
Came back from behind67%0%
Leads held60%50%
Minutes leading34%42%
Minutes level45%40%
Minutes trailing22%18%
First goal (min)3019
First goal conceded (min)3540
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%9%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%64%
Late goals for (76'+)0.670.00
Late goals against0.170.57
Style
Possession55%44%
Shots15.511.9
On target4.34.0
Shot conversion15%13%
Shots inside box71%68%
Big chances created2.71.3
Corners6.04.0
xG from set plays33%20%
Goals from headers7%9%
Pressure index13.111.6
Dominant minutes53.847.0
Pass accuracy84%77%
Fouls11.215.7
Cards1.002.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0–15'21
16–30'32
31–45'23
46–60'12
61–75'21
76–90'41

Stoke City

0–15'41
16–30'43
31–45'20
46–60'11
61–75'02
76–90'04

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Wolverhampton Wanderers · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.173
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.262

Game state

When ahead+0.205
When level+0.206
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.446

Situations

At home-0.062
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.033
As favourite+0.214

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.02.41.61.741.22
4-3-31 17%1.02.02.01.790.79

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 43%0.01.03.00.811.91
3-5-22 29%2.02.50.51.551.64
3-4-2-11 14%3.02.01.01.530.43
3-4-31 14%3.01.00.00.251.03

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.0 pts at 3.7d

1.56Home 62% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 1.494.38Draw 22% · +0.7 ptsopened 4.455.9Away 16% · +1.0 ptsopened 6.17
4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%60%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.56 ▼ -1.74.38 · +0.75.9 · +1.030m
bet3651.57 ▼ -4.44.1 ▲ +1.95.5 ▲ +2.530m
Betfair1.53 ▼ -2.84.2 ▲ +1.46.0 ▲ +1.430m
BetVictor1.55 ▼ -2.94.2 · +0.65.75 ▲ +2.330m
Ladbrokes1.6 ▼ -4.74.2 ▲ +1.55.0 ▲ +3.230m
Unibet1.48 · -0.24.25 · +0.86.25 · -0.630m
WilliamHill1.55 ▼ -3.34.0 ▲ +1.65.5 ▲ +1.730m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.57Home 60% P 62%4.1Draw 23% P 22%5.5Away 17% P 16%

Double Chance

1.14Wolverhampton or Draw 41%1.22Wolverhampton or Stoke 39%2.37Draw or Stoke 20%

Draw No Bet

1.21 78%4.332 22%

Both Teams To Score

1.8Yes 51%1.9No 49%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 54%2.1Under 45% P 46%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.56 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.51.72Over 54% P 53%2.0Under 46% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 60–62.5% · away 15–17.5% · 649 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home62%61%62%+0.4
Draw22%23%23%+0.7
Away16%16%15%-1.1

In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 58%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,943 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.554%54%55%+0.8

Tom Nield

Career
79 matches · 11 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.86 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match
23.7 · 5.7 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.17
Cards to home side
44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 62 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.114.05+0.1057
Fouls / match23.321.8+1.25
Fouls per card5.85.4+0.29 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.140.17-0.4520
Time added7.67.2+0.4463
First card
37' on average
Card timing
16% in first 30' · 37% in last 15'
Cards to home side
43% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 40 240 24'6
2026-05-02 70 240 18'12
2026-04-25 30 200 2'13
2026-04-18 40 200 19'6
2026-04-03 20 271 29'10
2026-03-13 20 200 62'9
2026-03-10 50 241 36'5
2026-03-07 20 140 83'5
2026-02-28 40 190 79'6
2026-01-30 20 240 11'8