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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

WatfordWHU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Vicarage Road, Watford
Capacity
22,200
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,976

Teams

Coaches
Alessio Dionisi · Nuno Espírito Santo
Position
10 · 16
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-1-1

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
moderate rain
Temperature
18.7° (feels 19.0°)
Wind
6.2
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 6

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Watford

LWD 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 3 GA 6 · xG 3.39–4.8 · xPts 3.18

  • D A Wrexham 1–1 xG 0.55–1.83 UK CHAMP
  • W H Southampton 2–1 xG 1.24–1.56 UK CHAMP
  • L H Coventry City 0–4 xG 1.61–1.41 UK CHAMP

West Ham United

LLWDL 1W 1D 3L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 10.18–8.54 · xPts 7.59

  • L H Charlton Athletic 1–2 xG 3.45–0.71 UK CHAMP
  • D A Burnley 2–2 xG 1.55–2.99 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leeds United 3–0 xG 2.84–1.77 UK PL
  • L A Newcastle United 1–3 xG 1.42–1.59 UK PL
  • L H Arsenal 0–1 xG 0.92–1.47 UK PL

All meetings · 18 matches since 2006

Watford 64 draws8 West Ham United

Goals 21–30 · 2.83 per match · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 39%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Watford 22 draws6 West Ham United

Goals 10–19 · 2.9 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Watford 01 draws4 West Ham United

Goals 4–12 · 3.2 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • D Watford 1–1 West Ham United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L West Ham United 1–0 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–4 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Ham United 3–1 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–3 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • L Watford 1–4 West Ham United UK PL · Regular Season
  • W West Ham United 0–2 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • L West Ham United 2–0 Watford UK PL · Regular Season
  • W Watford 2–0 West Ham United neutral UK PL · Regular Season
  • D Watford 1–1 West Ham United neutral UK PL · Regular Season
MetricWatford all · 8Watford at home · 4West Ham United all · 7West Ham United away · 3
Results
Matches87
Points per game1.002.00
W / D / L2 / 2 / 44 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match0.882.86
Goals against / match1.251.29
Clean sheets0%29%
Failed to score38%0%
Both teams scored62%71%
Over 2.538%86%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.102.41
xG against / match1.751.23
xG difference-0.661.18
Finishing vs xG-0.220.44
xPts / match0.971.97
Points vs xPts0.030.03
Game state
Scored first38%71%
PPG when scoring first1.672.60
PPG when conceding first0.600.50
Came back from behind20%67%
Leads held50%80%
Minutes leading15%48%
Minutes level43%37%
Minutes trailing42%15%
First goal (min)4127
First goal conceded (min)2934
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%55%
Goals conceded in 2nd half20%44%
Late goals for (76'+)0.250.71
Late goals against0.000.29
Style
Possession46%56%
Shots11.515.9
On target3.55.9
Shot conversion8%18%
Shots inside box68%78%
Big chances created1.64.5
Corners3.66.0
xG from set plays21%34%
Goals from headers29%15%
Pressure index8.715.0
Dominant minutes41.653.4
Pass accuracy80%86%
Fouls11.68.3
Cards2.881.71

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Watford

0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'03
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20

West Ham United

0–15'31
16–30'23
31–45'41
46–60'21
61–75'41
76–90'52

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Watford · 8 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.12) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.128
Early press (0-15, level)-0.178
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.264

Game state

When ahead-0.144
When level-0.198
When behind-0.055
10 min after conceding-0.218
10 min after scoring-0.015

Situations

At home-0.234
Away-0.014
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.186

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.203
As underdog-0.126

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.308
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)+0.068

Congested vs rested +0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level +0.14

West Ham United · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.23) · stands out: when behind +0.64

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.237
Early press (0-15, level)-0.037
Late push (76+, level)-0.273

Game state

When ahead+0.235
When level+0.077
When behind+0.643
10 min after conceding-0.085
10 min after scoring+0.527

Situations

At home+0.454
Away-0.013
3 days rest or fewer+0.083
4+ days rest+0.324

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.142
v bottom-tier opponents+0.265
As favourite+0.306

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.197
Conceded when ahead-0.205
Conceded late (76+)-0.336

Congested vs rested -0.24 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.57

Watford

Current: winless 2 · conceding 15

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 75%0.830.831.331.031.75
4-1-4-11 12%3.02.01.02.021.93
3-4-1-21 12%0.00.01.00.551.59

West Ham United

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 4 · scoring 9 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%2.53.751.02.481.14
4-4-1-13 43%1.331.671.672.331.35

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +3.6 pts at 6.0h

4.82Home 20% ▼ -4.1 ptsopened 3.944.12Draw 23% ▼ -1.1 ptsopened 3.881.7Away 57% ▲ +5.3 ptsopened 1.85
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle4.82 ▼ -4.14.12 ▼ -1.11.7 ▲ +5.31.0h
bet3654.75 ▼ -4.64.2 ▼ -3.01.61 ▲ +7.61.0h
Betfair4.6 ▼ -4.63.9 · +0.01.7 ▲ +4.61.0h
BetVictor4.6 ▼ -3.94.1 ▼ -1.71.67 ▲ +5.61.0h
Coral4.5 ▼ -4.63.9 ▼ -1.41.73 ▲ +6.01.0h
Ladbrokes4.5 ▼ -4.63.9 ▼ -2.21.7 ▲ +6.81.0h
Unibet4.1 ▼ -1.83.8 · -0.71.76 ▲ +2.51.0h
WilliamHill4.4 ▼ -4.53.8 ▼ -1.91.7 ▲ +6.41.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

4.75Home 20% P 20%4.2Draw 22% P 23%1.61Away 58% P 57%

Double Chance

2.2Watford or Draw 21%1.22Watford or West Ham 39%1.18Draw or West Ham 40%

Draw No Bet

3.51 27%1.282 73%

Both Teams To Score

1.57Yes 59%2.25No 41%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.57Over 60% P 60%2.37Under 40% P 40%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

4.52.2Over 42% P 42%1.61Under 58% P 58%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 17.5–20% · away 55–57.5% · 338 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home20%19%20%+0.6
Draw23%25%22%-3.1
Away57%56%59%+2.5

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 48% · over 2.5 53%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 57.5–60% · 2,409 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.560%59%60%+0.8

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1394
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.38
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0451
Time added8.37.2+1.2592
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-15 20 240 36'13
2026-04-25 10 270 82'5
2026-04-11 81 190 31'8
2025-11-05 60 170 11'5
2025-10-25 31 200 19'13
2025-10-18 · Watford 10 130 54'8
2025-10-03 20 120 83'8
2025-09-27 50 190 30'7
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8