Rating 7.32 (96th pct) · G+A 3 + 4 (39% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– SouthamptonMillwall –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
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Season context
| Southampton | at home | Stat | league | away | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57.7 #4 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 45.4 #18 |
| 15.9 #4 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.6 #9 |
| 4.6 #9 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.7 #17 |
| 6.0 #7 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.7 #18 |
| 8.4 #24 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 12.4 #5 |
| 2.4 #8 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 3.9 #1 |
| 12.0 #23 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.1 #9 |
| 96.3 #9 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 90.4 #16 |
| 42.1 #18 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.1 #16 |
| 487.6 #6 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 350.6 #18 |
| 1.4 #17 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #17 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 2.0 #1 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #1 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #19 |
| – #19 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #3 |
| – #9 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #18 |
| 1.8 #5 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| 0.7 #1 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #13 |
| – #18 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #14 |
| 2.6 #2 | 3.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 #5 |
| 1.1 #19 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 7.6 #18 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| – #17 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #8 |
| 0.3 #2 | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 7.0 #2 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 4.9 #2 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 11.6 #4 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.7 #3 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.1 #7 |
| 4.3 #11 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 2.9 #22 |
| – #1 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Southampton · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.44 (100th pct) · G+A 7 + 0 (39% of team goals) · 81% of minutes
Rating 7.39 (97th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (22% of team goals) · 85% of minutes
Millwall · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.02 (85th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (15% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.03 (79th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (88th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (31% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Absences
Southampton
- injury Mads Roerslev defender · Knee Injury · 46 missed
- suspension Yukinari Sugawara defender · Red Card Suspension · until 2026-08-31
Millwall
- injury Tristan Crama defender · Ankle Injury · 4 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton
- Capacity
- 32,384
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 29,167
Teams
- Coaches
- Tonda Eckert · Alex Neil
- Position
- 24 · 3
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Adam Herczeg
Weather
- Conditions
- overcast clouds
- Temperature
- 19.6° (feels 20.0°)
- Wind
- 9.8
- Humidity
- 89%
Where to watch · 6
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
United States
Paramount+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Southampton
WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 9.71–6.65 · xPts 8.77
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1 aet
xG 2.4–0.92
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Middlesbrough
0–0
xG 0.73–2.24
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 2.72–1.42
UK CHAMP
WDWLW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 9 GA 5 · xG 9.71–6.65 · xPts 8.77
- W
H
Stoke City
3–1
xG 2.31–0.83
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Watford
1–2
xG 1.56–1.24
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Middlesbrough
2–1 aet
xG 2.4–0.92
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Middlesbrough
0–0
xG 0.73–2.24
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Preston North End
3–1
xG 2.72–1.42
UK CHAMP
Millwall
WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 11.21–4.81 · xPts 10.13
- W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP - D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Oxford United
2–0
xG 2.78–0.92
UK CHAMP
WDLWW 3W 1D 1L · 10 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 2 · xG 11.21–4.81 · xPts 10.13
- W
H
Norwich City
3–0
xG 3.53–1.0
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Bristol City
2–0
xG 3.12–0.49
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Oxford United
2–0
xG 2.78–0.92
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 11 matches since 2005
Goals 20–12 · 2.91 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 46%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 18–12 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 9–6 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- W Southampton 5–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Southampton 0–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Millwall 3–2 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 0–1 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 2–3 Southampton UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Southampton 2–3 Millwall UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
- D Millwall 1–1 Southampton UK FA Cup · 4th Round
- W Southampton 1–0 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Southampton 2–0 Millwall neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Southampton all · 7 | Southampton at home · 4 | Millwall all · 7 | Millwall away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 2.00 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 1 | – | 3 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 2.57 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.14 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 0% | – | 43% | – |
| Failed to score | 0% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 100% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 86% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.80 | – | 2.00 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.67 | – | 1.38 | – |
| xG difference | 0.13 | – | 0.62 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.78 | – | -0.14 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.48 | – | 1.68 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.52 | – | -0.25 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 71% | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.20 | – | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.50 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 67% | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | 41% | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes level | 45% | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | – | 25% | – |
| First goal (min) | 32 | – | 29 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 45 | – | 36 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 56% | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | – | 69% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.86 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.14 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 58% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 15.7 | – | 14.1 | – |
| On target | 4.6 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 16% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 72% | – | 80% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.7 | – | 2.9 | – |
| Corners | 6.0 | – | 4.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 28% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 11% | – | 17% | – |
| Pressure index | 14.6 | – | 11.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 54.7 | – | 48.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 87% | – | 75% | – |
| Fouls | 8.3 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 1.43 | – | 1.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Southampton
0–15'22
16–30'12
31–45'50
46–60'22
61–75'21
76–90'61
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Southampton · 7 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.18) · stands out: late push (76+, level) +0.39
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.267
Late push (76+, level)+0.393
Game state
When ahead+0.196
When level+0.037
When behind+0.622
10 min after conceding-0.187
10 min after scoring+0.297
Situations
At home+0.034
Away+0.363
3 days rest or fewer+0.252
4+ days rest+0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.234
v bottom-tier opponents+0.123
As favourite+0.206
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead+0.166
Conceded late (76+)-0.446
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.16 · Behind vs level +0.60
Millwall · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217
Game state
When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546
Situations
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035
Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 7 100% | 2.0 | 2.57 | 1.14 | 1.8 | 1.67 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 43% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Southampton all · 10 | Southampton at home · 10 | Millwall all · 10 | Millwall away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 2.10 | 2.60 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 1 | 8 / 2 / 0 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 5 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 2.30 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.00 | 1.10 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 90% | 90% | 30% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 100% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.84 | 2.06 | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.62 | 1.37 | 1.30 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.69 | 0.56 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.46 | 0.74 | -0.36 | -0.36 |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | 1.79 | 1.66 | 1.41 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.58 | 0.81 | -0.26 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 60% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 3.00 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 2.00 | 2.20 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Came back from behind | 67% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Leads held | 75% | 89% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 37% | 32% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 51% | 48% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 14% | 13% | 20% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 31 | 33 | 30 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 42 | 36 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 59% | 53% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 54% | 73% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.80 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 54% | 51% | 47% |
| Shots | 15.4 | 15.1 | 14.5 | 15.0 |
| On target | 4.4 | 5.3 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 15% | 18% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 72% | 74% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.6 | 3.2 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 5.9 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 28% | 26% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 17% | 14% | 14% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 14.2 | 14.2 | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.0 | 56.9 | 52.8 | 44.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 85% | 84% | 77% | 74% |
| Fouls | 9.1 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 12.7 |
| Cards | 1.70 | 1.60 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Southampton
0–15'33
16–30'12
31–45'60
46–60'33
61–75'21
76–90'71
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'42
46–60'44
61–75'04
76–90'43
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 2.0 | 2.33 | 1.0 | 1.78 | 1.7 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0.92 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.33 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Southampton all · 55 | Southampton at home · 27 | Millwall all · 51 | Millwall away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 55 | 27 | 51 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.89 | 2.26 | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 30 / 14 / 11 | 18 / 7 / 2 | 25 / 12 / 14 | 10 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.91 | 2.07 | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals against / match | 1.18 | 0.85 | 1.22 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 33% | 41% | 31% |
| Failed to score | 9% | 11% | 18% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 74% | 63% | 49% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 63% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.63 | 1.74 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| xG against / match | 1.41 | 1.16 | 1.40 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | 0.22 | 0.57 | 0.19 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.28 | 0.34 | -0.14 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.50 | 1.72 | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.39 | 0.54 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 62% | 63% | 55% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.29 | 2.76 | 2.46 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 1.28 | 1.50 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 75% | 36% | 42% |
| Leads held | 73% | 86% | 81% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 36% | 42% | 29% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 50% | 48% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 15% | 10% | 19% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 39 | 32 | 42 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 46 | 42 | 40 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 48% | 60% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 63% | 56% | 63% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 55% | 55% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 13.9 | 15.1 | 12.8 | 12.5 |
| On target | 5.1 | 5.4 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 14% | 14% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 68% | 66% | 71% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 6.2 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 29% | 28% | 32% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 19% | 20% | 17% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 16.6 | 18.4 | 11.8 | 9.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 56.9 | 60.5 | 44.4 | 39.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 83% | 85% | 71% | 70% |
| Fouls | 10.1 | 9.6 | 12.2 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 1.75 | 1.52 | 1.78 | 2.27 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Southampton
0–15'156
16–30'189
31–45'159
46–60'1914
61–75'1412
76–90'2215
Millwall
0–15'87
16–30'108
31–45'128
46–60'1313
61–75'119
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Southampton · 55 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.24) · stands out: against ten men +0.80
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.2455
Early press (0-15, level)+0.2355
Late push (76+, level)+0.3925
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.3711
Game state
When ahead+0.1140
When level+0.2755
When behind+0.4822
10 min after conceding+0.0342
10 min after scoring+0.3849
Situations
Against ten men+0.803
At home+0.1727
Away+0.3228
3 days rest or fewer+0.2420
4+ days rest+0.2435
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.423
v mid-tier opponents+0.3028
v bottom-tier opponents+0.1916
As favourite+0.3231
Evenly matched+0.2819
As underdog-0.295
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.0055
Conceded when ahead-0.0440
Conceded late (76+)-0.1949
Congested vs rested -0.00 · Ahead vs level -0.16 · Behind vs level +0.21
Millwall · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1051
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0751
Late push (76+, level)-0.2618
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4011
Game state
When ahead+0.2131
When level+0.1451
When behind-0.2222
10 min after conceding-0.1830
10 min after scoring+0.4341
Situations
With ten men-0.043
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.1325
Away+0.0726
3 days rest or fewer+0.0817
4+ days rest+0.1134
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0226
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0919
As favourite+0.3716
Evenly matched-0.0422
As underdog-0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1151
Conceded when ahead-0.0331
Conceded late (76+)-0.0945
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.36
Southampton
Current: unbeaten 6 · wins 2 · scoring 8 · conceding 8
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 54% | 2.2 | 2.17 | 1.03 | 1.57 | 1.4 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 13 24% | 1.15 | 1.69 | 1.69 | 1.84 | 1.43 |
| 3-4-3 | 4 7% | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.07 | 1.7 |
| 5-4-1 | 3 6% | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.69 | 0.9 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 4% | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.39 | 2.18 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 82% | 1.74 | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.23 |
| 4-3-1-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.07 | 3.62 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.88 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +1.8 pts at 6.0h
2.0Home 48% ▼ -2.8 ptsopened 1.863.8Draw 25% · -0.4 ptsopened 3.683.67Away 26% ▲ +3.2 ptsopened 4.1
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.0 ▼ -2.8 | 3.8 · -0.4 | 3.67 ▲ +3.2 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.95 ▼ -1.9 | 3.7 · -0.8 | 3.5 ▲ +2.7 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.95 ▼ -2.5 | 3.6 ▲ +1.1 | 3.7 ▲ +1.4 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.95 ▼ -1.9 | 3.7 · -0.8 | 3.6 ▲ +2.6 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 1.95 ▼ -1.3 | 3.75 ▼ -1.9 | 3.5 ▲ +3.2 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 · -1.0 | 3.75 ▼ -1.8 | 3.5 ▲ +2.8 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.87 ▲ +1.1 | 3.65 ▼ -1.1 | 3.8 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 ▼ -1.9 | 3.5 · -0.4 | 3.6 ▲ +2.3 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: yes +2.1 pts at 2.5d
1.61Yes 58% ▲ +4.0 ptsopened 1.722.2No 42% ▼ -4.0 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 ▲ +4.0 | 2.2 ▼ -4.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.57 ▲ +3.1 | 2.38 ▼ -3.1 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.57 ▲ +3.8 | 2.25 ▼ -3.8 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.63 ▲ +1.4 | 2.15 ▼ -1.4 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.6 ▲ +3.8 | 2.25 ▼ -3.8 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +2.7 pts at 4.0h
1.72Over 56% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 1.822.21Under 44% ▼ -3.5 ptsopened 2.03
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.72 ▲ +3.5 | 2.21 ▼ -3.5 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.66 ▲ +7.0 | 2.2 ▼ -7.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.65 ▲ +4.5 | 2.2 ▼ -4.5 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.65 ▲ +3.5 | 2.07 ▼ -3.5 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.72 ▲ +2.5 | 2.06 ▼ -2.5 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.95Home 48% P 48%3.7Draw 25% P 25%3.5Away 27% P 26%
Double Chance
1.28Southampton or Draw 37%1.25Southampton or Millwall 38%1.83Draw or Millwall 26%
Draw No Bet
1.441 65%2.622 35%
Both Teams To Score
1.61Yes 58%2.2No 42%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.66Over 57% P 56%2.2Under 43% P 44%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.1Under 44% P 43%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 25–27.5% · 375 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 48% | 48% | 47% | -1.0 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | 27% | +1.9 |
| Away | 26% | 26% | 25% | -0.9 |
In those fixtures: 3.0 goals a game · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 57%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,508 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 56% | 56% | -0.2 |
Adam Herczeg
- Career
- 41 matches · 6 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.66 (3.54 yellow · 0.1 red)
- Fouls / match
- 21.8 · 5.8 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.12
- Cards to home side
- 48%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 34 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.91 | 4.05 | -0.26 | 43 |
| Fouls / match | 22.3 | 21.8 | +0.38 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.7 | 5.4 | +0.22 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.42 | 22 |
| Time added | 7.9 | 7.2 | +0.78 | 74 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 48% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | 5 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 13' | 5 |
| 2026-04-25 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 74' | 7 |
| 2026-04-18 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 47' | 7 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 38' | 10 |
| 2026-03-17 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 81' | 10 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 39' | 7 |
| 2026-02-28 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 57' | 8 |
| 2026-02-24 | 4 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 2' | 7 |
| 2026-02-10 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 16' | 7 |
| 2026-02-07 | 4 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 71' | 8 |