Rating 7.0 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (67% of team goals) · 89% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 3
Momentum
– Derby CountySwansea City –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Derby County | at home | Stat | league | away | Swansea City |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.3 #14 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 58.6 #3 |
| 11.6 #20 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 12.4 #16 |
| 3.3 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 5.1 #5 |
| 6.4 #3 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.7 #18 |
| 13.3 #3 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 9.0 #22 |
| 3.0 #3 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 2.4 #8 |
| 14.3 #16 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 17.7 #3 |
| 108.6 #2 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 105.3 #4 |
| 60.0 #3 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.6 #13 |
| 393.4 #14 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 532.7 #2 |
| 2.3 #6 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.9 #11 |
| 0.7 #17 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #19 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #19 |
| – #14 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #1 |
| – #18 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #9 |
| 1.1 #20 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.6 #9 |
| -0.2 #17 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.0 #11 |
| – #1 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #8 |
| 0.9 #21 | 0.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 #7 |
| 1.9 #2 | 2.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 0.7 #23 |
| 0.3 #1 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #11 |
| 7.9 #15 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 7.9 #15 |
| – #2 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #17 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.7 #22 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.9 #5 |
| 3.6 #16 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 3.7 #13 |
| 7.9 #18 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 7.6 #19 |
| 4.7 #19 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 3.6 #23 |
| 3.7 #17 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 4.9 #8 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #1 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Derby County · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.92 (61th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 72% of minutes
Rating 7.14 · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 43% of minutes
Swansea City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.02 (84th pct) · G+A 0 + 1 (9% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.96 (67th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 73% of minutes
Rating 6.99 (72th pct) · G+A 3 + 1 (36% of team goals) · 58% of minutes
Absences
Derby County
- injury Matt Clarke defender · Calf Injury · 3 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 3
Venue
- Stadium
- Pride Park Stadium, Derby
- Capacity
- 33,597
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 26,576
Teams
- Coaches
- John Eustace · Vítor Matos
- Position
- 16 · 10
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
David Webb
Weather
- Conditions
- light rain
- Temperature
- 15.6° (feels 15.6°)
- Wind
- 5.4
- Humidity
- 94%
Where to watch · 11
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Iceland
Viaplay Iceland
Netherlands
Viaplay Netherlands
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Derby County
LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.32–5.83 · xPts 3.93
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Sheffield United
1–2
xG 2.02–1.82
UK CHAMP
LLD 0W 1D 2L · 1 pts (0.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 5.32–5.83 · xPts 3.93
- D
H
Cardiff City
2–2
xG 1.81–2.64
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Charlton Athletic
1–2
xG 1.48–1.37
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Sheffield United
1–2
xG 2.02–1.82
UK CHAMP
Swansea City
WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 2.91–3.88 · xPts 3.45
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
2–1
xG 0.97–0.89
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Charlton Athletic
3–1
xG 1.27–1.17
UK CHAMP
WWD 2W 1D 0L · 7 pts (2.33 ppg) · GF 5 GA 2 · xG 2.91–3.88 · xPts 3.45
- D
H
Sheffield United
0–0
xG 0.67–1.82
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
2–1
xG 0.97–0.89
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Charlton Athletic
3–1
xG 1.27–1.17
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 19 matches since 2008
Goals 20–21 · 2.16 per match · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 47%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 5–7 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 60%
Recent meetings
- L Derby County 0–3 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Swansea City 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Swansea City 1–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Derby County 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Swansea City 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Derby County 0–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Swansea City 2–1 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Derby County 2–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Swansea City 2–3 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Derby County all · 7 | Derby County at home · 4 | Swansea City all · 7 | Swansea City away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 0.57 | – | 2.00 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 1 / 5 | – | 4 / 2 / 1 | – |
| Goals for / match | 0.86 | – | 1.57 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.86 | – | 0.71 | – |
| Clean sheets | 14% | – | 57% | – |
| Failed to score | 43% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | – | 57% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.10 | – | 1.62 | – |
| xG against / match | 2.16 | – | 1.22 | – |
| xG difference | -1.06 | – | 0.40 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.24 | – | -0.05 | – |
| xPts / match | 0.93 | – | 1.56 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | – | 0.44 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 1.00 | – | 3.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.25 | – | 1.50 | – |
| Came back from behind | 17% | – | 50% | – |
| Leads held | 33% | – | 100% | – |
| Minutes leading | 18% | – | 43% | – |
| Minutes level | 34% | – | 42% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 48% | – | 15% | – |
| First goal (min) | 26 | – | 19 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 24 | – | 26 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 33% | – | 36% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 46% | – | 40% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.57 | – | 0.14 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | – | 58% | – |
| Shots | 11.7 | – | 12.4 | – |
| On target | 3.3 | – | 5.1 | – |
| Shot conversion | 7% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 67% | – | 61% | – |
| Big chances created | 1.6 | – | 2.8 | – |
| Corners | 6.4 | – | 4.7 | – |
| xG from set plays | 21% | – | 34% | – |
| Goals from headers | 0% | – | 0% | – |
| Pressure index | 11.7 | – | 12.1 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.9 | – | 51.0 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | – | 82% | – |
| Fouls | 13.0 | – | 9.1 | – |
| Cards | 2.29 | – | 1.86 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'02
16–30'32
31–45'13
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'04
Swansea City
0–15'32
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'20
76–90'11
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.287
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315
Game state
When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254
Situations
At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.183
As underdog-0.153
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207
Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20
Swansea City · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222
Game state
When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355
Situations
At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237
Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.67 | 0.83 | 1.83 | 1.04 | 2.29 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 29% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.67 | 1.82 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 10 | Derby County at home · 10 | Swansea City all · 10 | Swansea City away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 1.60 | 2.10 | 1.70 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 7 | 5 / 1 / 4 | 6 / 3 / 1 | 5 / 2 / 3 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.70 | 1.50 |
| Goals against / match | 1.90 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 1.50 |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 60% | 60% | 70% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.19 | 1.68 | 1.63 | 1.35 |
| xG against / match | 2.12 | 1.38 | 1.34 | 1.32 |
| xG difference | -0.93 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.03 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.09 | -0.38 | 0.07 | 0.15 |
| xPts / match | 0.95 | 1.63 | 1.51 | 1.34 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.26 | -0.03 | 0.59 | 0.36 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 40% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| PPG when scoring first | 0.75 | 2.00 | 2.67 | 2.60 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.67 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.80 |
| Came back from behind | 22% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Leads held | 40% | 71% | 86% | 83% |
| Minutes leading | 19% | 31% | 45% | 37% |
| Minutes level | 36% | 43% | 45% | 32% |
| Minutes trailing | 45% | 26% | 10% | 31% |
| First goal (min) | 27 | 32 | 28 | 29 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 29 | 55 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 46% | 46% | 53% | 53% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 53% | 33% | 62% | 53% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.10 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 53% | 58% | 52% |
| Shots | 12.2 | 15.0 | 13.2 | 10.9 |
| On target | 4.0 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 4.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 9% | 13% | 14% |
| Shots inside box | 70% | 64% | 58% | 55% |
| Big chances created | 1.8 | 3.0 | 2.4 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 6.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 31% | 36% | 34% |
| Goals from headers | 9% | 23% | 0% | 0% |
| Pressure index | 11.3 | 14.4 | 12.6 | 9.2 |
| Dominant minutes | 47.4 | 57.3 | 51.6 | 44.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 78% | 82% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.9 | 12.2 | 8.5 | 9.9 |
| Cards | 2.60 | 2.40 | 1.90 | 1.70 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'13
16–30'42
31–45'14
46–60'22
61–75'14
76–90'24
Swansea City
0–15'42
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'21
61–75'30
76–90'44
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 9 90% | 0.78 | 1.11 | 1.89 | 1.16 | 2.21 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 4 40% | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.0 | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 4 40% | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.75 | 1.41 | 1.68 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 2 20% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 2.03 | 1.0 |
| Metric | Derby County all · 49 | Derby County at home · 26 | Swansea City all · 49 | Swansea City away · 24 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 49 | 26 | 49 | 24 |
| Points per game | 1.39 | 1.38 | 1.45 | 1.17 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 8 / 21 | 10 / 6 / 10 | 20 / 11 / 18 | 8 / 4 / 12 |
| Goals for / match | 1.35 | 1.19 | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Goals against / match | 1.31 | 1.23 | 1.27 | 1.46 |
| Clean sheets | 24% | 27% | 29% | 21% |
| Failed to score | 14% | 12% | 22% | 29% |
| Both teams scored | 61% | 62% | 55% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% | 55% | 58% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.28 | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.38 | 1.25 | 1.40 | 1.42 |
| xG difference | -0.14 | 0.03 | -0.07 | -0.21 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.10 | -0.09 | -0.02 | -0.08 |
| xPts / match | 1.33 | 1.41 | 1.31 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.13 | -0.07 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 55% | 54% | 47% | 33% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.07 | 2.00 | 2.39 | 2.38 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.55 | 0.67 | 0.57 | 0.53 |
| Came back from behind | 28% | 38% | 31% | 25% |
| Leads held | 69% | 67% | 74% | 80% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 26% | 27% | 24% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 46% | 47% | 44% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 28% | 26% | 32% |
| First goal (min) | 37 | 43 | 42 | 40 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 35 | 38 | 38 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 47% | 52% | 59% | 59% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 56% | 47% | 52% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.25 |
| Late goals against | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 48% | 55% | 54% |
| Shots | 11.4 | 12.2 | 12.7 | 11.4 |
| On target | 3.6 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 4.2 |
| Shot conversion | 12% | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 67% | 58% | 57% |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 6.0 | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| xG from set plays | 35% | 39% | 37% | 36% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 32% | 10% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 12.0 | 13.0 | 10.4 |
| Dominant minutes | 42.5 | 46.1 | 51.0 | 45.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 74% | 77% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 11.8 | 9.6 | 10.2 |
| Cards | 2.49 | 2.23 | 1.92 | 1.96 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Derby County
0–15'712
16–30'126
31–45'1610
46–60'117
61–75'1014
76–90'1015
Swansea City
0–15'98
16–30'106
31–45'715
46–60'1012
61–75'126
76–90'1514
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Derby County · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0449
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249
Late push (76+, level)-0.2616
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524
Game state
When ahead-0.0629
When level+0.0049
When behind-0.0929
10 min after conceding-0.1737
10 min after scoring+0.2742
Situations
With ten men-0.223
At home-0.0626
Away-0.0223
3 days rest or fewer-0.0115
4+ days rest-0.0634
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.1926
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915
As favourite+0.2610
Evenly matched-0.0820
As underdog-0.1619
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.2349
Conceded when ahead+0.1529
Conceded late (76+)+0.1447
Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09
Swansea City · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.33
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.1849
Late push (76+, level)-0.1119
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0618
Game state
When ahead+0.1527
When level+0.0749
When behind+0.1625
10 min after conceding-0.0535
10 min after scoring+0.3338
Situations
Against ten men-0.332
At home+0.1525
Away+0.0824
3 days rest or fewer+0.1016
4+ days rest+0.1333
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.0125
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2119
As favourite+0.2714
Evenly matched+0.2617
As underdog-0.1518
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0149
Conceded when ahead-0.1027
Conceded late (76+)-0.0547
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.08 · Behind vs level +0.08
Derby County
Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 30 61% | 1.43 | 1.33 | 1.27 | 1.39 | 1.46 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 8 16% | 1.88 | 1.63 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 1.14 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 0.93 | 1.54 |
| 4-4-2 | 3 6% | 0.33 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 0.96 | 1.0 |
| 5-3-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.48 | 1.37 |
Swansea City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 18 37% | 1.22 | 1.17 | 1.5 | 1.22 | 1.43 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 14 29% | 1.93 | 1.5 | 0.79 | 1.53 | 1.35 |
| 4-3-3 | 11 22% | 1.55 | 1.36 | 1.09 | 1.32 | 1.28 |
| 3-4-2-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 0.88 |
| 4-5-1 | 1 2% | 1.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.28 | 3.13 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off
2.36Home 41% · -0.3 ptsopened 2.313.36Draw 29% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.363.2Away 30% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.14
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.36 · -0.3 | 3.36 · +0.4 | 3.2 · -0.1 | 30m |
| bet365 | 2.3 ▼ -1.5 | 3.2 · +0.3 | 3.1 ▲ +1.2 | 30m |
| Betfair | 2.3 · -0.7 | 3.25 · +0.6 | 3.1 · +0.1 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 2.3 · -0.9 | 3.3 · +0.2 | 3.1 · +0.7 | 30m |
| Coral | 2.3 · -0.5 | 3.4 · +0.3 | 3.1 · +0.3 | 30m |
| Ladbrokes | 2.3 · -0.9 | 3.3 · +0.9 | 3.1 · +0.0 | 30m |
| Unibet | 2.32 · -0.6 | 3.1 ▲ +1.0 | 3.15 · -0.4 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 2.25 · +0.0 | 3.25 · +0.0 | 3.0 · +0.0 | 30m |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off · biggest step: yes -4.5 pts at 4.7d
1.83Yes 50% ▼ -5.9 ptsopened 1.661.83No 50% ▲ +5.9 ptsopened 2.1
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.83 ▼ -5.9 | 1.83 ▲ +5.9 | 30m |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▲ +2.2 | 2.0 ▼ -2.2 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 1.8 ▼ -1.4 | 1.9 ▲ +1.4 | 30m |
| Unibet | 1.74 · +0.8 | 1.98 · -0.8 | 30m |
| WilliamHill | 1.8 ▼ -1.9 | 1.91 ▲ +1.9 | 30m |
Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off
2.14Over 45% · -0.2 ptsopened 2.11.77Under 55% · +0.2 ptsopened 1.75
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.14 · -0.2 | 1.77 · +0.2 | 30m |
| bet365 | 2.1 ▼ -5.0 | 1.72 ▲ +5.0 | 30m |
| Betfair | 2.1 · +0.0 | 1.73 · +0.0 | 30m |
| BetVictor | 2.0 ▼ -1.2 | 1.69 ▲ +1.2 | 30m |
| Unibet | 2.0 · +0.4 | 1.73 · -0.4 | 30m |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.3Home 41% P 41%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.1Away 30% P 30%
Double Chance
1.36Derby or Draw 35%1.33Derby or Swansea 36%1.61Draw or Swansea 29%
Draw No Bet
1.611 58%2.22 42%
Both Teams To Score
1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%
Goals Over/Under
2.52.1Over 45% P 45%1.72Under 55% P 55%
Total Corners
13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%
Number of Cards
3.52.0Over 46% P 42%1.72Under 54% P 58%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 41% | 41% | 41% | -0.1 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | 26% | -1.9 |
| Away | 30% | 31% | 33% | +2.1 |
In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 46% | 45% | -1.2 |
David Webb
- Career
- 296 matches · 18 seasons
- Cards / match
- 2.96 (2.84 yellow · 0.09 red)
- Fouls / match
- 18.7 · 5.3 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.19
- Cards to home side
- 49%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 136 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.26 | 4.05 | -1.43 | 6 |
| Fouls / match | 20.4 | 21.8 | -1.29 | |
| Fouls per card | 6.5 | 5.4 | +1.45 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.22 | 47 |
| Time added | 7.6 | 7.2 | +0.44 | 63 |
- First card
- 38' on average
- Card timing
- 16% in first 30' · 34% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 47% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 60' | 10 |
| 2026-04-22 | 4 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 30' | 8 |
| 2026-04-12 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 25' | 9 |
| 2026-04-06 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 53' | 5 |
| 2026-03-11 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 27' | 6 |
| 2026-03-07 | 6 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 31' | 9 |
| 2026-02-24 · Swansea City | 4 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 56' | 6 |
| 2026-02-21 · Derby County | 4 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 23' | 5 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 22' | 10 |
| 2026-01-31 | – | – | 20 | – | – | 8 |