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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

CHAPNE
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
17,256

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · Paul Heckingbottom
Position
5 · 20
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Tom Reeves

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
19.8° (feels 20.1°)
Wind
8.8
Humidity
85%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

LWW 2W 0D 1L · 6 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 5 · xG 3.25–6.2 · xPts 2.8

  • W A West Ham United 2–1 xG 0.71–3.45 UK CHAMP
  • W H Derby County 2–1 xG 1.37–1.48 UK CHAMP
  • L A Swansea City 1–3 xG 1.17–1.27 UK CHAMP

Preston North End

LLL 0W 0D 3L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 8 · xG 3.27–5.08 · xPts 3.09

  • L H Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 xG 0.75–1.59 UK CHAMP
  • L A Bolton Wanderers 1–2 xG 1.1–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–3 xG 1.42–2.72 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 12 matches since 2007

Charlton Athletic 21 draws9 Preston North End

Goals 9–18 · 2.25 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 58%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 11 draws8 Preston North End

Goals 6–16 · 2.2 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 10 draws4 Preston North End

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • W Charlton Athletic 1–0 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Charlton Athletic 0–0 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 7Charlton Athletic at home · 4Preston North End all · 7Preston North End away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.710.43
W / D / L3 / 3 / 11 / 0 / 6
Goals for / match0.860.86
Goals against / match1.001.86
Clean sheets43%0%
Failed to score43%29%
Both teams scored43%71%
Over 2.543%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.851.26
xG against / match1.461.17
xG difference-0.620.08
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.40
xPts / match1.051.42
Points vs xPts0.67-0.99
Game state
Scored first29%29%
PPG when scoring first3.001.50
PPG when conceding first1.330.00
Came back from behind67%0%
Leads held100%50%
Minutes leading20%23%
Minutes level60%34%
Minutes trailing20%43%
First goal (min)4848
First goal conceded (min)4340
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half83%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half29%69%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.29
Late goals against0.000.71
Style
Possession38%44%
Shots10.312.9
On target2.63.1
Shot conversion8%7%
Shots inside box58%58%
Big chances created0.62.1
Corners4.95.6
xG from set plays40%37%
Goals from headers17%33%
Pressure index8.88.3
Dominant minutes40.140.3
Pass accuracy76%73%
Fouls10.710.3
Cards1.712.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'11
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'10

Preston North End

0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.710.861.00.851.46

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
5-3-22 29%0.00.51.51.451.52
4-4-22 29%1.51.01.01.10.82
4-2-3-12 29%0.01.02.50.931.18
3-4-2-11 14%0.01.03.01.851.14

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home +2.2 pts at 2.6d

2.14Home 45% ▲ +1.7 ptsopened 2.193.38Draw 29% · -0.1 ptsopened 3.323.69Away 26% ▼ -1.6 ptsopened 3.42
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%45%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.14 ▲ +1.73.38 · -0.13.69 ▼ -1.61.0h
bet3652.05 ▲ +3.33.3 · -0.13.75 ▼ -3.11.0h
Betfair2.1 ▲ +2.53.3 · +0.33.7 ▼ -2.81.0h
BetVictor2.1 ▲ +2.53.3 · -0.63.6 ▼ -1.91.0h
Coral2.1 ▲ +2.93.3 · -0.53.6 ▼ -2.41.0h
Ladbrokes2.05 ▲ +3.23.3 · -0.43.6 ▼ -2.81.0h
Unibet2.15 · -0.53.25 · +0.13.35 · +0.51.0h
WilliamHill2.1 ▲ +1.83.1 · -0.13.5 ▼ -1.71.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 45%3.3Draw 29% P 29%3.75Away 25% P 26%

Double Chance

1.25Charlton or Draw 38%1.33Charlton or Preston 35%1.72Draw or Preston 27%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.1Over 45% P 44%1.72Under 55% P 56%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.26 - 8 28%2.69 - 11 34%4.3312 - 14 20%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 51%1.83Under 50% P 49%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 853 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home45%46%44%-1.8
Draw29%28%30%+1.8
Away26%26%26%+0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 42.5–45% · 2,473 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.544%44%43%-1.2

Tom Reeves

Career
26 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.04 (3.0 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
18.8 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
56%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 10 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.94.05-0.2841
Fouls / match21.221.8-0.61
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.17 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.20.17+0.3069
Time added8.17.2+1.0286
First card
36' on average
Card timing
20% in first 30' · 42% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 50 200 24'10
2026-04-21 50 261 19'15
2026-03-14 40 261 50'7
2026-02-24 10 170 30'6
2026-02-14 60 150 14'8
2026-01-10 20 170 60'5
2025-12-09 50 150 13'8
2025-12-07 30 200 30'8
2025-11-29 40 170 64'6
2025-11-25 10 180 89'8