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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

Cardiff CitySHU
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Capacity
33,280
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,036

Teams

Coaches
Brian Barry-Murphy · Chris Wilder
Position
13 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

John Busby

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
20.9° (feels 21.2°)
Wind
6.7
Humidity
81%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Cardiff City

DD 0W 2D 0L · 2 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 3 · xG 3.71–3.51 · xPts 2.82

  • D A Derby County 2–2 xG 2.64–1.81 UK CHAMP
  • D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.07–1.69 UK CHAMP

Sheffield United

WDD 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1 · xG 4.06–3.53 · xPts 4.36

  • D A Swansea City 0–0 xG 1.82–0.67 UK CHAMP
  • D H Birmingham City 0–0 xG 0.42–0.83 UK CHAMP
  • W A Derby County 2–1 xG 1.82–2.02 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 20 matches since 2005

Cardiff City 57 draws8 Sheffield United

Goals 21–28 · 2.45 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Cardiff City 22 draws6 Sheffield United

Goals 9–16 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 30%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Cardiff City 11 draws3 Sheffield United

Goals 4–10 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Cardiff City 2–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 2–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Sheffield United 0–1 Cardiff City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
  • L Cardiff City 0–2 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 4–1 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Cardiff City 0–1 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Sheffield United 1–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Cardiff City 2–3 Sheffield United neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Sheffield United 1–1 Cardiff City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Cardiff City 2–0 Sheffield United UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCardiff City all · 7Cardiff City at home · 3Sheffield United all · 7Sheffield United away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game0.571.29
W / D / L0 / 4 / 32 / 3 / 2
Goals for / match1.001.14
Goals against / match1.571.29
Clean sheets0%29%
Failed to score29%43%
Both teams scored71%57%
Over 2.543%57%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.891.12
xG against / match1.461.66
xG difference0.43-0.53
Finishing vs xG-0.890.02
xPts / match1.621.03
Points vs xPts-1.050.26
Game state
Scored first29%0%
PPG when scoring first1.00
PPG when conceding first0.401.40
Came back from behind50%60%
Leads held0%67%
Minutes leading3%12%
Minutes level54%75%
Minutes trailing43%13%
First goal (min)5016
First goal conceded (min)3024
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%25%
Goals conceded in 2nd half36%33%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.14
Late goals against0.140.14
Style
Possession65%40%
Shots17.98.3
On target6.43.1
Shot conversion6%14%
Shots inside box70%69%
Big chances created2.31.6
Corners8.13.1
xG from set plays32%33%
Goals from headers14%12%
Pressure index17.78.1
Dominant minutes59.434.1
Pass accuracy85%70%
Fouls9.610.0
Cards1.711.43

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Cardiff City

0–15'13
16–30'12
31–45'22
46–60'03
61–75'20
76–90'11

Sheffield United

0–15'33
16–30'11
31–45'22
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Cardiff City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.597
Late push (76+, level)+0.615
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When ahead+0.252
When level+0.567
When behind+0.186
10 min after conceding+0.187
10 min after scoring+0.695

Situations

At home+0.323
Away+0.434
3 days rest or fewer+0.452
4+ days rest+0.365

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.233
v bottom-tier opponents+0.504
Evenly matched+0.394
As underdog+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.107
Conceded when ahead-0.482
Conceded late (76+)-0.227

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.38

Sheffield United · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.49

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.017
Late push (76+, level)-0.365
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.392

Game state

When ahead-0.373
When level-0.117
When behind-0.355
10 min after conceding-0.495
10 min after scoring-0.104

Situations

At home-0.154
Away-0.223
3 days rest or fewer-0.202
4+ days rest-0.175

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.094
v bottom-tier opponents-0.303
As favourite-0.202
Evenly matched-0.204

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.347
Conceded when ahead+0.303
Conceded late (76+)+0.197

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.26 · Behind vs level -0.23

Cardiff City

Current: winless 16 · conceding 9

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-14 57%0.50.751.52.211.13
4-1-4-13 43%0.671.331.671.451.9

Sheffield United

Current: winless 1 · conceding 5

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%1.752.02.01.192.02
3-4-31 14%0.00.01.00.852.04
3-1-4-21 14%1.00.00.01.820.67
4-2-2-21 14%1.00.00.00.420.83

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away +2.0 pts at 3.6d

2.9Home 33% ▼ -3.7 ptsopened 2.573.7Draw 26% · -0.5 ptsopened 3.582.39Away 40% ▲ +4.2 ptsopened 2.63
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.9 ▼ -3.73.7 · -0.52.39 ▲ +4.21.0h
bet3652.8 ▼ -3.43.6 ▼ -1.92.3 ▲ +5.31.0h
Betfair2.8 ▼ -4.33.6 · -0.22.3 ▲ +4.41.0h
BetVictor2.8 ▼ -3.73.6 · +0.02.38 ▲ +3.71.0h
Coral2.87 ▼ -4.53.5 · +0.32.37 ▲ +4.21.0h
Ladbrokes2.8 ▼ -3.93.5 · +0.12.37 ▲ +3.91.0h
Unibet2.7 ▼ -2.73.45 · +0.42.4 ▲ +2.31.0h
WilliamHill2.75 ▼ -3.53.4 · -0.92.3 ▲ +4.41.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.8Home 33% P 33%3.6Draw 26% P 26%2.3Away 41% P 40%

Double Chance

1.57Cardiff or Draw 30%1.28Cardiff or Sheff Utd 37%1.4Draw or Sheff Utd 33%

Draw No Bet

2.11 44%1.662 56%

Both Teams To Score

1.53Yes 61%2.37No 39%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.66Over 57% P 57%2.2Under 43% P 43%

Total Corners

17.0Under 6 5%4.756 - 8 18%2.759 - 11 32%3.2512 - 14 27%5.0Over 14 18%

Number of Cards

3.51.61Over 58% P 60%2.2Under 42% P 40%
4.52.2Over 42% P 41%1.61Under 58% P 59%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 32.5–35% · away 40–42.5% · 197 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home33%33%29%-3.9
Draw26%26%30%+4.7
Away40%41%40%-0.8

In those fixtures: 3.2 goals a game · BTTS 66% · over 2.5 62%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 55–57.5% · 2,507 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.557%56%56%-0.2

John Busby

Career
130 matches · 13 seasons
Cards / match
3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
Fouls / match
20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.15
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.874.05-0.3335
Fouls / match20.921.8-0.89
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.15 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.4029
Time added7.87.2+0.6871
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
Cards to home side
45% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-22 20 240 20'9
2026-04-25 40 200 53'12
2026-04-18 · Sheffield United 60 200 26'10
2026-04-11 50 140 33'10
2026-04-03 20 210 21'8
2026-03-21 60 261 22'4
2026-03-07 60 300 19'6
2026-02-25 · Sheffield United 50 260 9'10
2026-02-21 30 170 76'13
2026-02-07 21 210 5'7