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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

BOLLincoln City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
University of Bolton Stadium, Bolton
Capacity
28,723
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,581

Teams

Coaches
Steven Schumacher · Chris Cohen
Position
11 · 21
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 3-4-3

Referee

Ben Speedie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
16.7° (feels 16.8°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
90%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Bolton Wanderers

WD 1W 1D 0L · 4 pts (2.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 1 · xG 0.89–3.26 · xPts 1.25

  • D A Queens Park Rangers 0–0 xG 0.12–2.16 UK CHAMP
  • W H Preston North End 2–1 xG 0.77–1.1 UK CHAMP

Lincoln City

LL 0W 0D 2L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 5 · xG 3.22–4.28 · xPts 2.35

  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 2.34–1.38 UK CHAMP
  • L A Middlesbrough 1–2 xG 0.89–2.9 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 2 matches since 2010

Bolton Wanderers 10 draws1 Lincoln City

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 2 matches

Bolton Wanderers 10 draws1 Lincoln City

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 2 matches

Bolton Wanderers 10 draws1 Lincoln City

Goals 4–1 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 0% · over 2.5 50%

Recent meetings

  • L Bolton Wanderers 0–1 Lincoln City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bolton Wanderers 4–0 Lincoln City UK FA Cup · 3rd Round
MetricBolton Wanderers all · 7Bolton Wanderers at home · 4Lincoln City all · 7Lincoln City away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.001.57
W / D / L2 / 1 / 43 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match1.000.86
Goals against / match1.710.86
Clean sheets29%57%
Failed to score43%14%
Both teams scored43%43%
Over 2.557%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.161.51
xG against / match1.931.35
xG difference-0.760.16
Finishing vs xG-0.16-0.66
xPts / match0.941.50
Points vs xPts0.060.08
Game state
Scored first43%57%
PPG when scoring first2.002.25
PPG when conceding first0.000.50
Came back from behind0%33%
Leads held50%75%
Minutes leading13%19%
Minutes level72%61%
Minutes trailing15%20%
First goal (min)3155
First goal conceded (min)4138
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half29%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half67%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.29
Late goals against0.860.14
Style
Possession53%36%
Shots12.712.6
On target4.73.0
Shot conversion8%7%
Shots inside box68%68%
Big chances created1.41.7
Corners5.94.4
xG from set plays28%46%
Goals from headers33%50%
Pressure index10.99.4
Dominant minutes49.937.1
Pass accuracy79%69%
Fouls9.313.6
Cards1.862.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Bolton Wanderers

0–15'22
16–30'30
31–45'02
46–60'00
61–75'12
76–90'16

Lincoln City

0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Bolton Wanderers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.00) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.23

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.007
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.124
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When ahead+0.084
When level+0.017
When behind-0.134
10 min after conceding-0.205
10 min after scoring+0.164

Situations

At home-0.084
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.132
4+ days rest-0.065

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.064
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
Evenly matched-0.103
As underdog+0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.164
Conceded late (76+)-0.077

Congested vs rested +0.19 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.14

Lincoln City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603

Game state

When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346

Situations

At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14

Bolton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.01.01.711.161.93

Lincoln City

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 43%2.331.00.331.460.96
3-4-32 29%2.00.50.01.51.17
4-2-3-11 14%0.01.03.02.341.38
5-3-21 14%0.01.02.00.892.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.3 pts at 2.9d

2.51Home 39% · -0.3 ptsopened 2.453.34Draw 29% · +0.4 ptsopened 3.332.98Away 32% · -0.1 ptsopened 2.92
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.51 · -0.33.34 · +0.42.98 · -0.11.0h
bet3652.45 ▼ -1.53.2 · +0.72.87 · +0.81.0h
Betfair2.5 ▼ -1.63.25 ▲ +2.32.88 · -0.71.0h
BetVictor2.45 · +0.33.3 · +0.42.88 · -0.61.0h
Ladbrokes2.4 · +0.83.3 · +0.92.9 ▼ -1.71.0h
Unibet2.48 · +0.03.2 · +0.02.8 · +0.01.0h
WilliamHill2.45 · -0.03.1 · +0.92.88 · -0.91.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.45Home 38% P 39%3.2Draw 29% P 29%2.87Away 33% P 32%

Double Chance

1.4Bolton or Draw 33%1.33Bolton or Lincoln City 35%1.5Draw or Lincoln City 31%

Draw No Bet

1.721 54%2.02 46%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 46%1.8Under 53% P 54%

Total Corners

8.0Under 6 11%2.876 - 8 30%2.629 - 11 33%4.7512 - 14 18%11.0Over 14 8%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 44%1.72Under 54% P 56%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 30–32.5% · 800 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home39%39%39%-0.2
Draw29%30%31%+1.5
Away32%31%30%-1.3

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 44%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 45–47.5% · 2,885 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.546%46%45%-1.2

Ben Speedie

Career
30 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.03
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.04.05-1.910
Fouls / match20.121.8-1.56
Fouls per card7.35.4+2.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.080.17-1.338
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
45' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
33% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-15 30 230 60'11
2026-04-03 50 160 15'11
2026-03-11 40 240 50'10
2026-02-13 10 150 83'6
2026-01-24 19 6
2026-01-09 40 210 25'15
2025-12-05 40 170 53'7
2025-09-27 20 230 75'8
2025-09-13 10 150 82'9
2025-08-30 21 161 44'4