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Championship · Matchweek 3

Momentum

BBRQPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
3

Venue

Stadium
Ewood Park, Blackburn
Capacity
31,367
Surface
grass
Attendance
12,905

Teams

Coaches
Tony Mowbray · Julien Stéphan
Position
9 · 8
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-4-2

Referee

Gavin Ward

Weather

Conditions
light rain
Temperature
17.2° (feels 17.2°)
Wind
0.9
Humidity
87%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Blackburn Rovers

LDW 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 4 GA 4 · xG 2.74–6.26 · xPts 2.09

  • W H Middlesbrough 2–1 xG 0.94–1.57 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wolverhampton Wanderers 2–2 xG 0.79–1.79 UK CHAMP
  • L H Leicester City 0–1 xG 1.01–2.9 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LWD 1W 1D 1L · 4 pts (1.33 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 4.81–4.58 · xPts 4.54

  • D H Bolton Wanderers 0–0 xG 2.16–0.12 UK CHAMP
  • W A Portsmouth 3–1 xG 1.93–1.78 UK CHAMP
  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.72–2.68 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 28 matches since 2006

Blackburn Rovers 165 draws7 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 44–26 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 50%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Blackburn Rovers 60 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 17–9 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 50% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Blackburn Rovers 20 draws3 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 7–6 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 0–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–1 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 2–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Blackburn Rovers 1–2 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–3 Blackburn Rovers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Blackburn Rovers 1–0 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBlackburn Rovers all · 7Blackburn Rovers at home · 4Queens Park Rangers all · 7Queens Park Rangers away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.141.71
W / D / L2 / 2 / 33 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match1.431.14
Goals against / match1.430.71
Clean sheets14%29%
Failed to score14%43%
Both teams scored86%57%
Over 2.586%43%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.991.55
xG against / match1.541.19
xG difference-0.540.36
Finishing vs xG0.43-0.41
xPts / match1.011.60
Points vs xPts0.130.11
Game state
Scored first43%29%
PPG when scoring first1.002.00
PPG when conceding first1.332.00
Came back from behind40%67%
Leads held40%75%
Minutes leading22%20%
Minutes level48%66%
Minutes trailing30%14%
First goal (min)4040
First goal conceded (min)2940
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half70%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half40%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.00
Late goals against0.140.00
Style
Possession52%49%
Shots12.114.9
On target4.05.0
Shot conversion12%8%
Shots inside box58%70%
Big chances created1.82.1
Corners5.76.3
xG from set plays16%19%
Goals from headers30%14%
Pressure index10.514.6
Dominant minutes43.955.1
Pass accuracy82%84%
Fouls10.69.1
Cards3.431.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Blackburn Rovers

0–15'02
16–30'22
31–45'12
46–60'62
61–75'01
76–90'11

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'01
16–30'01
31–45'51
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'00

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Blackburn Rovers · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.55

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)-0.197
Late push (76+, level)+0.512
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.353

Game state

When ahead-0.145
When level+0.067
When behind+0.155
10 min after conceding+0.236
10 min after scoring+0.556

Situations

At home+0.004
Away+0.103
3 days rest or fewer+0.282
4+ days rest-0.055

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.016
Evenly matched+0.125
As underdog-0.142

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.067
Conceded when ahead+0.045
Conceded late (76+)-0.057

Congested vs rested +0.32 · Ahead vs level -0.21 · Behind vs level +0.09

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Blackburn Rovers

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 3 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 71%1.01.21.41.011.45
3-4-2-11 14%0.01.02.00.781.51
5-4-11 14%3.03.01.01.142.0

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%1.751.00.751.541.18
4-2-3-13 43%1.671.330.671.561.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 5.0d before kick-off · 120 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.9 pts at 3.0d

2.52Home 38% ▼ -3.2 ptsopened 2.293.51Draw 28% · -0.4 ptsopened 3.412.85Away 34% ▲ +3.5 ptsopened 3.13
5d4d3d2d24h12h6h1hKO 25%30%35%40%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle2.52 ▼ -3.23.51 · -0.42.85 ▲ +3.51.0h
bet3652.62 ▼ -5.63.4 ▼ -1.82.55 ▲ +7.41.0h
Betfair2.5 ▼ -3.83.3 · +0.32.8 ▲ +3.51.0h
BetVictor2.5 ▼ -2.93.4 · -0.92.75 ▲ +3.81.0h
Coral2.62 ▼ -5.33.4 · -0.22.62 ▲ +5.41.0h
Ladbrokes2.6 ▼ -5.43.4 · -0.72.6 ▲ +6.01.0h
Unibet2.38 ▼ -2.43.25 · +0.62.95 ▲ +1.71.0h
WilliamHill2.45 ▼ -2.33.3 · -0.72.75 ▲ +3.01.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.62Home 36% P 38%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.55Away 37% P 34%

Double Chance

1.44Blackburn or Draw 33%1.33Blackburn or QPR 36%1.5Draw or QPR 32%

Draw No Bet

1.81 51%1.92 49%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.66 - 8 25%2.69 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 24%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

3.52.0Over 46% P 48%1.72Under 54% P 52%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home38%39%39%+0.4
Draw28%28%28%+0.1
Away34%34%33%-0.5

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Gavin Ward

Career
292 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.58 (3.43 yellow · 0.09 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.2
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 124 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.834.05-0.4031
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.99
Fouls per card5.55.4+0.00 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.160.17-0.2345
Time added7.27.2-0.0245
First card
39' on average
Card timing
13% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
44% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-15 24 10
2026-05-08 10 170 52'5
2026-05-02 · Queens Park Rangers 30 240 46'10
2026-04-18 50 230 70'11
2026-04-07 50 220 37'9
2026-03-21 50 280 32'8
2026-03-14 20 230 13'6
2026-03-10 30 190 33'12
2026-02-28 10 230 89'8
2026-02-21 30 110 50'9