Rating 7.08 (88th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 2
Momentum
– WrexhamWatford –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
Waiting for pressure data…
Events
- No events yet.
Stats
Loading statistics…
Season context
| Wrexham | at home | Stat | league | away | Watford |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.3 #12 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 43.4 #21 |
| 11.1 #21 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 11.9 #19 |
| 3.3 #19 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.9 #15 |
| 5.1 #14 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 3.4 #23 |
| 11.4 #8 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 11.0 #13 |
| 1.3 #21 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 1.0 #23 |
| 14.1 #17 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.6 #6 |
| 96.7 #7 | – | Attacks | 93.5 | – | 85.3 #19 |
| 46.3 #9 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 39.9 #20 |
| 459.4 #8 | – | Passes | 418.1 | – | 374.1 #16 |
| 1.1 #21 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 2.6 #3 |
| 0.9 #13 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 0.4 #22 |
| – #15 | – | Btts | 66.3 | – | – #7 |
| – #6 | – | Cleansheet | 21.1 | – | – #18 |
| – #1 | – | Draw | 28.9 | – | – #9 |
| 1.4 #14 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 1.2 #18 |
| -0.4 #20 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #16 |
| – #7 | – | Failed to score | 21.0 | – | – #7 |
| 1.0 #17 | 1.0 | Goals | 1.4 | 0.3 | 1.0 #17 |
| 1.6 #9 | 1.3 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.3 #15 |
| 0.1 #11 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 9.3 #9 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 10.7 #5 |
| – #13 | – | Lost | 35.5 | – | – #7 |
| 6.8 #13 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.7 #20 |
| 3.0 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.8 | – | 3.9 #12 |
| 8.6 #13 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 8.7 #11 |
| 4.9 #18 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 4.1 #20 |
| 2.6 #23 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 3.1 #21 |
| – #20 | – | Win | 35.6 | – | – #15 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Wrexham · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.0 (75th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (43% of team goals) · 63% of minutes
Rating 7.06 (83th pct) · G+A 2 + 0 (29% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Watford · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.95 (64th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (29% of team goals) · 83% of minutes
Rating 6.97 (76th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 6.81 (37th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Absences
Wrexham
- injury Sebastian Revan defender · Hamstring Injury · 24 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 2
Venue
- Stadium
- Racecourse Ground, Racecourse Ground
- Capacity
- 10,771
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 10,502
Teams
- Coaches
- Phil Parkinson · Alessio Dionisi
- Position
- 15 · 5
- Formation
- 3-4-2-1 · 4-2-3-1
Referee
John Busby
Weather
- Conditions
- broken clouds
- Temperature
- 17.8° (feels 17.2°)
- Wind
- 6.2
- Humidity
- 63%
Where to watch · 6
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
England
Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland
Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland
Sky Sports+
Scotland
Sky Sports+
Wales
Sky Sports+
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 6 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 7 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 8 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 9 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 11 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 12 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Bristol City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 | WWWLL |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 8 | DLLWL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | DLLWL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 14 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 15 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 16 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 17 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 18 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 19 | Bristol City |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 | WWWLL |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWWLL |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Watford |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 | DLLWL |
| 21 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Wrexham
LDD 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.75–5.12 · xPts 3.94
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
2–2
xG 2.04–2.36
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Coventry City
1–3
xG 1.02–1.69
UK CHAMP
LDD 0W 2D 1L · 2 pts (0.67 ppg) · GF 4 GA 6 · xG 4.75–5.12 · xPts 3.94
- D
A
Cardiff City
1–1
xG 1.69–1.07
UK CHAMP
- D
H
Middlesbrough
2–2
xG 2.04–2.36
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Coventry City
1–3
xG 1.02–1.69
UK CHAMP
Watford
LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 3.97–5.49 · xPts 3.29
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Coventry City
0–4
xG 1.61–1.41
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–5
xG 1.13–2.51
UK CHAMP
LLW 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 3.97–5.49 · xPts 3.29
- W
H
Southampton
2–1
xG 1.24–1.56
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Coventry City
0–4
xG 1.61–1.41
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Middlesbrough
1–5
xG 1.13–2.51
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 3 matches since 2025
Goals 4–6 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%
Last 10 · 3 matches
Goals 4–6 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%
Last 5 · 3 matches
Goals 4–6 · 3.33 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 67%
Recent meetings
- D Wrexham 1–1 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Watford 3–1 Wrexham UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Wrexham 2–2 Watford UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Wrexham all · 7 | Wrexham at home · 3 | Watford all · 7 | Watford away · 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 7 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.00 | – | 1.14 | – |
| W / D / L | 1 / 4 / 2 | – | 2 / 2 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.00 | – | 1.00 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.57 | – | 1.29 | – |
| Clean sheets | 29% | – | 0% | – |
| Failed to score | 29% | – | 29% | – |
| Both teams scored | 57% | – | 71% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | – | 43% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.37 | – | 1.17 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.24 | – | 1.78 | – |
| xG difference | 0.13 | – | -0.60 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.37 | – | -0.17 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.52 | – | 1.01 | – |
| Points vs xPts | -0.52 | – | 0.13 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 29% | – | 43% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.00 | – | 1.67 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | – | 0.75 | – |
| Came back from behind | 50% | – | 25% | – |
| Leads held | 50% | – | 50% | – |
| Minutes leading | 24% | – | 17% | – |
| Minutes level | 50% | – | 44% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 26% | – | 39% | – |
| First goal (min) | 32 | – | 41 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 34 | – | 28 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 57% | – | 43% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 54% | – | 22% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.43 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 51% | – | 43% | – |
| Shots | 11.3 | – | 11.7 | – |
| On target | 3.4 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 9% | – | 8% | – |
| Shots inside box | 77% | – | 73% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | – | 1.7 | – |
| Corners | 5.1 | – | 3.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 30% | – | 22% | – |
| Goals from headers | 14% | – | 29% | – |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | – | 9.3 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 47.6 | – | 42.6 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 81% | – | 79% | – |
| Fouls | 11.3 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 1.14 | – | 2.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'12
16–30'22
31–45'01
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'03
Watford
0–15'22
16–30'23
31–45'02
46–60'02
61–75'10
76–90'20
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: v bottom-tier opponents +0.16
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.027
Early press (0-15, level)-0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.044
Game state
When ahead+0.122
When level+0.017
When behind-0.034
10 min after conceding-0.135
10 min after scoring+0.135
Situations
At home+0.053
Away+0.004
3 days rest or fewer+0.073
4+ days rest-0.014
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.103
v bottom-tier opponents+0.163
As favourite+0.053
Evenly matched+0.033
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.087
Conceded when ahead+0.062
Conceded late (76+)-0.165
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level +0.12 · Behind vs level -0.04
Watford · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.09) · stands out: late push (76+, level) -0.45
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.097
Early press (0-15, level)-0.117
Late push (76+, level)-0.453
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.193
Game state
When ahead-0.144
When level-0.157
When behind+0.004
10 min after conceding-0.177
10 min after scoring-0.015
Situations
At home-0.234
Away+0.093
3 days rest or fewer+0.062
4+ days rest-0.155
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.024
v bottom-tier opponents-0.122
As underdog-0.085
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.277
Conceded when ahead+0.454
Conceded late (76+)-0.017
Congested vs rested +0.21 · Ahead vs level +0.01 · Behind vs level +0.16
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 6 86% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.67 | 1.32 | 1.27 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 14% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 86% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 14% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 10 | Wrexham at home · 10 | Watford all · 10 | Watford away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| W / D / L | 2 / 5 / 3 | 3 / 3 / 4 | 2 / 2 / 6 | 1 / 2 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.10 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| Goals against / match | 1.60 | 1.80 | 2.10 | 2.10 |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 80% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| xG against / match | 1.39 | 1.47 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| xG difference | 0.03 | -0.04 | -0.64 | -0.72 |
| Finishing vs xG | -0.32 | 0.07 | -0.37 | -0.51 |
| xPts / match | 1.45 | 1.36 | 0.99 | 0.98 |
| Points vs xPts | -0.35 | -0.16 | -0.19 | -0.48 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 30% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.33 | 2.25 | 1.67 | 2.00 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 43% | 14% | 12% |
| Leads held | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| Minutes leading | 22% | 24% | 12% | 6% |
| Minutes level | 55% | 46% | 36% | 36% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 30% | 52% | 58% |
| First goal (min) | 32 | 37 | 42 | 54 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 28 | 25 | 24 | 26 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 36% | 33% | 50% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 44% | 38% | 43% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 50% | 50% | 43% | 49% |
| Shots | 12.3 | 12.6 | 11.5 | 11.3 |
| On target | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Shot conversion | 9% | 12% | 7% | 6% |
| Shots inside box | 71% | 68% | 72% | 58% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.1 | 5.3 | 3.0 | 3.9 |
| xG from set plays | 27% | 28% | 17% | 17% |
| Goals from headers | 20% | 36% | 25% | 14% |
| Pressure index | 10.9 | 11.2 | 8.7 | 8.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 46.3 | 45.4 | 38.3 | 39.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 80% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Fouls | 12.4 | 10.6 | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| Cards | 1.30 | 1.30 | 2.50 | 2.60 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'13
16–30'43
31–45'22
46–60'31
61–75'12
76–90'05
Watford
0–15'23
16–30'25
31–45'05
46–60'14
61–75'12
76–90'22
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 7 70% | 1.0 | 1.14 | 1.71 | 1.42 | 1.43 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 2 20% | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.29 | 1.41 |
| 5-4-1 | 1 10% | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.69 | 1.07 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 0.83 | 0.83 | 1.33 | 1.03 | 1.75 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.79 | 1.83 |
| 3-5-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 1.13 | 2.51 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 1.61 | 1.41 |
| 4-1-4-1 | 1 10% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.02 | 1.93 |
| Metric | Wrexham all · 51 | Wrexham at home · 26 | Watford all · 49 | Watford away · 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 49 | 25 |
| Points per game | 1.53 | 1.62 | 1.22 | 0.80 |
| W / D / L | 20 / 18 / 13 | 11 / 9 / 6 | 15 / 15 / 19 | 4 / 8 / 13 |
| Goals for / match | 1.45 | 1.73 | 1.14 | 0.96 |
| Goals against / match | 1.43 | 1.54 | 1.49 | 1.80 |
| Clean sheets | 28% | 23% | 14% | 8% |
| Failed to score | 16% | 4% | 29% | 32% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 73% | 61% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 50% | 49% | 52% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.24 | 1.55 | 1.35 | 1.19 |
| xG against / match | 1.40 | 1.32 | 1.33 | 1.47 |
| xG difference | -0.16 | 0.23 | 0.03 | -0.27 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.21 | 0.18 | -0.21 | -0.23 |
| xPts / match | 1.28 | 1.53 | 1.40 | 1.24 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | 0.08 | -0.17 | -0.44 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 51% | 58% | 26% | 20% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.08 | 2.13 | 2.23 | 1.80 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.95 | 0.91 | 0.85 | 0.53 |
| Came back from behind | 50% | 57% | 44% | 32% |
| Leads held | 62% | 61% | 65% | 40% |
| Minutes leading | 30% | 29% | 16% | 8% |
| Minutes level | 47% | 47% | 47% | 45% |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | 24% | 37% | 47% |
| First goal (min) | 36 | 37 | 48 | 53 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 39 | 36 | 30 | 25 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 53% | 49% | 59% | 71% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 55% | 50% | 44% | 40% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| Late goals against | 0.45 | 0.42 | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 48% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Shots | 11.5 | 14.0 | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.8 | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Shot conversion | 13% | 12% | 8% | 8% |
| Shots inside box | 66% | 67% | 60% | 60% |
| Big chances created | 2.1 | 2.6 | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 5.4 | 4.9 | 4.5 |
| xG from set plays | 31% | 35% | 26% | 29% |
| Goals from headers | 25% | 35% | 14% | 13% |
| Pressure index | 10.5 | 13.1 | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 43.3 | 50.4 | 45.9 | 41.1 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 80% | 80% | 79% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.6 | 10.7 | 10.4 |
| Cards | 1.51 | 1.35 | 2.16 | 2.28 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Wrexham
0–15'910
16–30'1310
31–45'1312
46–60'159
61–75'89
76–90'1621
Watford
0–15'711
16–30'616
31–45'1014
46–60'911
61–75'910
76–90'1511
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Wrexham · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.02) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.36
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.0251
Early press (0-15, level)-0.0151
Late push (76+, level)-0.1725
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.0115
Game state
When ahead+0.0432
When level-0.0451
When behind-0.0825
10 min after conceding-0.2237
10 min after scoring+0.3643
Situations
Against ten men+0.482
At home+0.0126
Away-0.0525
3 days rest or fewer+0.0417
4+ days rest-0.0534
Opposition
v top-tier opponents-0.333
v mid-tier opponents-0.0924
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0819
As favourite+0.0011
Evenly matched+0.0223
As underdog-0.1017
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1551
Conceded when ahead+0.1132
Conceded late (76+)-0.0849
Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.04
Watford · 49 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.02) · stands out: with ten men -0.27
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.0249
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0149
Late push (76+, level)+0.0820
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.0419
Game state
When ahead-0.0223
When level+0.0649
When behind-0.0134
10 min after conceding-0.2042
10 min after scoring+0.2433
Situations
With ten men-0.273
At home-0.0424
Away+0.0825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1117
4+ days rest-0.0332
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0127
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0415
As favourite+0.0714
Evenly matched-0.0320
As underdog+0.0515
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1049
Conceded when ahead+0.1523
Conceded late (76+)-0.1843
Congested vs rested +0.14 · Ahead vs level -0.08 · Behind vs level -0.07
Wrexham
Current: winless 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 31 61% | 1.52 | 1.48 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.33 |
| 3-5-2 | 6 12% | 0.5 | 0.67 | 1.83 | 0.74 | 2.11 |
| 3-5-1-1 | 4 8% | 2.25 | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.47 | 0.84 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 1.67 | 1.33 | 1.0 | 1.34 | 1.59 |
| 3-4-3 | 2 4% | 1.5 | 3.5 | 3.5 | 2.12 | 2.13 |
Watford
Current: winless 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 14
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-4-2 | 21 43% | 1.48 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.25 | 1.32 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 33% | 1.13 | 1.06 | 1.19 | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 3 6% | 2.33 | 2.0 | 1.33 | 3.0 | 1.2 |
| 3-5-2 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.79 |
| 5-4-1 | 2 4% | 0.0 | 0.5 | 3.5 | 1.16 | 1.82 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.9 pts at 25.0h
1.94Home 50% · -0.8 ptsopened 1.883.73Draw 26% · +0.0 ptsopened 3.683.97Away 24% · +0.8 ptsopened 4.04
Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Home | Draw | Away | Last |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.94 · -0.8 | 3.73 · +0.0 | 3.97 · +0.8 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 3.5 · +0.0 | 4.0 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.91 · -0.6 | 3.6 · +1.0 | 4.0 · -0.4 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.91 · -0.1 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 3.9 · +0.1 | 1.0h |
| Coral | 1.95 · +0.2 | 3.6 · +0.1 | 3.75 · -0.3 | 1.0h |
| Ladbrokes | 1.95 · +0.0 | 3.6 · +0.0 | 3.7 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.89 ▲ +1.9 | 3.55 · -0.7 | 3.85 ▼ -1.2 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.95 · -0.8 | 3.4 · +0.1 | 3.7 · +0.7 | 1.0h |
bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off
1.72Yes 54% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.722.0No 46% · +0.0 ptsopened 2.0
Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.72 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.67 · +0.0 | 2.15 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.0 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.7 · -0.4 | 2.04 · +0.4 | 1.0h |
| WilliamHill | 1.7 · +0.0 | 2.05 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off
1.91Over 51% · -0.0 ptsopened 1.881.98Under 49% · +0.0 ptsopened 1.95
Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Last |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.91 · -0.0 | 1.98 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| bet365 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.9 · +0.0 | 1.0h |
| Betfair | 1.8 ▲ +1.6 | 1.95 ▼ -1.6 | 1.0h |
| BetVictor | 1.81 · +0.3 | 1.86 · -0.3 | 1.0h |
| Unibet | 1.81 · +0.3 | 1.91 · -0.3 | 1.0h |
Latest prices
bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
1.9Home 50% P 50%3.5Draw 27% P 26%4.0Away 24% P 24%
Double Chance
1.22Wrexham or Draw 38%1.28Wrexham or Watford 36%1.83Draw or Watford 25%
Draw No Bet
1.41 66%2.752 34%
Both Teams To Score
1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 51%1.9Under 50% P 49%
Total Corners
10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%
Number of Cards
3.51.66Over 56% P 57%2.1Under 44% P 43%
4.52.1Over 44% P 38%1.66Under 56% P 62%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 47.5–50% · away 22.5–25% · 808 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 50% | 49% | 47% | -1.9 |
| Draw | 26% | 28% | 29% | +1.7 |
| Away | 24% | 24% | 24% | +0.3 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 54% · over 2.5 48%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% | 51% | -0.1 |
John Busby
- Career
- 130 matches · 13 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.9 (3.82 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.7 · 5.1 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.15
- Cards to home side
- 46%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 113 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.87 | 4.05 | -0.33 | 35 |
| Fouls / match | 20.9 | 21.8 | -0.89 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.5 | 5.4 | -0.15 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.15 | 0.17 | -0.40 | 29 |
| Time added | 7.8 | 7.2 | +0.68 | 71 |
- First card
- 37' on average
- Card timing
- 15% in first 30' · 33% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 53' | 12 |
| 2026-04-18 · Watford | 6 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 26' | 10 |
| 2026-04-11 | 5 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 33' | 10 |
| 2026-04-03 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 21' | 8 |
| 2026-03-21 | 6 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 22' | 4 |
| 2026-03-07 | 6 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 19' | 6 |
| 2026-02-25 | 5 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 9' | 10 |
| 2026-02-21 | 3 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 76' | 13 |
| 2026-02-07 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 0 | 5' | 7 |
| 2026-01-31 | 3 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 33' | 8 |