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Championship · Matchweek 2

Momentum

PNEWOL
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
Deepdale, Preston
Capacity
23,408
Surface
grass
Attendance
19,341

Teams

Coaches
Paul Heckingbottom · César Peixoto
Position
21 · 14
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Elliot Bell

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
18.1° (feels 17.7°)
Wind
5.2
Humidity
63%

Where to watch · 5

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Preston North End

WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 4.53–6.48 · xPts 3.23

  • L A Bolton Wanderers 1–2 xG 1.1–0.77 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–3 xG 1.42–2.72 UK CHAMP
  • W A Sheffield United 3–2 xG 2.01–2.98 UK CHAMP

Wolverhampton Wanderers

DLDDD 0W 4D 1L · 4 pts (0.8 ppg) · GF 5 GA 8 · xG 7.98–6.57 · xPts 7.72

  • D H Blackburn Rovers 2–2 xG 1.79–0.79 UK CHAMP
  • D A Burnley 1–1 xG 2.31–1.28 UK PL
  • D H Fulham 1–1 xG 1.05–1.7 UK PL
  • L A Brighton & Hove Albion 0–3 xG 0.34–1.93 UK PL
  • D H Sunderland 1–1 xG 2.49–0.87 UK PL

All meetings · 15 matches since 2005

Preston North End 54 draws6 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Goals 19–19 · 2.53 per match · BTTS 67% · over 2.5 47%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Preston North End 33 draws4 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Goals 13–15 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Preston North End 02 draws3 Wolverhampton Wanderers

Goals 4–8 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • L Preston North End 1–3 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 3–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–0 Preston North End neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 0–0 Wolverhampton Wanderers neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–2 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Preston North End 1–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Wolverhampton Wanderers 1–3 Preston North End UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Preston North End 1–3 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Preston North End 2–1 Wolverhampton Wanderers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPreston North End all · 7Preston North End at home · 4Wolverhampton Wanderers all · 6Wolverhampton Wanderers away · 4
Results
Matches76
Points per game0.431.83
W / D / L1 / 0 / 63 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match0.862.33
Goals against / match1.861.67
Clean sheets0%17%
Failed to score29%0%
Both teams scored71%83%
Over 2.571%83%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.261.75
xG against / match1.171.15
xG difference0.080.60
Finishing vs xG-0.400.58
xPts / match1.421.78
Points vs xPts-0.990.05
Game state
Scored first29%67%
PPG when scoring first1.502.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.50
Came back from behind0%67%
Leads held50%60%
Minutes leading23%34%
Minutes level34%45%
Minutes trailing43%22%
First goal (min)4830
First goal conceded (min)4035
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%50%
Goals conceded in 2nd half69%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.290.67
Late goals against0.710.17
Style
Possession44%55%
Shots12.915.5
On target3.14.3
Shot conversion7%15%
Shots inside box58%71%
Big chances created2.12.7
Corners5.66.0
xG from set plays37%33%
Goals from headers33%7%
Pressure index8.313.1
Dominant minutes40.353.8
Pass accuracy73%84%
Fouls10.311.2
Cards2.431.00

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Preston North End

0–15'23
16–30'11
31–45'00
46–60'12
61–75'02
76–90'25

Wolverhampton Wanderers

0–15'21
16–30'32
31–45'23
46–60'12
61–75'21
76–90'41

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Preston North End · 7 matches

Pressure below an average side in the same situations (-0.18) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.54

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.187
Early press (0-15, level)-0.177
Late push (76+, level)+0.013
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.546

Game state

When ahead-0.162
When level+0.017
When behind-0.336
10 min after conceding-0.327
10 min after scoring+0.295

Situations

At home-0.194
Away-0.163
3 days rest or fewer-0.052
4+ days rest-0.235

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.222
v bottom-tier opponents-0.175
Evenly matched-0.154
As underdog-0.223

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.107
Conceded when ahead+0.172
Conceded late (76+)-0.027

Congested vs rested +0.18 · Ahead vs level -0.17 · Behind vs level -0.34

Wolverhampton Wanderers · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.15) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.44

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.156
Early press (0-15, level)-0.196
Late push (76+, level)-0.173
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.262

Game state

When ahead+0.205
When level+0.206
When behind-0.063
10 min after conceding-0.165
10 min after scoring+0.446

Situations

At home-0.062
Away+0.244
4+ days rest+0.135

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.272
v bottom-tier opponents+0.033
As favourite+0.214

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.066
Conceded when ahead-0.155
Conceded late (76+)-0.176

Congested vs rested +0.11 · Ahead vs level +0.00 · Behind vs level -0.26

Preston North End

Current: winless 2 · conceding 22

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-22 29%1.51.01.01.10.82
4-2-3-12 29%0.01.02.50.931.18
5-3-22 29%0.00.51.51.451.52
3-4-2-11 14%0.01.03.01.851.14

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Current: unbeaten 2 · wins 1 · scoring 8 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-15 83%2.02.41.61.741.22
4-3-31 17%1.02.02.01.790.79

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: away -4.7 pts at 7.0h

3.76Home 26% ▲ +2.0 ptsopened 4.013.58Draw 27% · +0.5 ptsopened 3.592.04Away 47% ▼ -2.5 ptsopened 1.91
2d24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 7 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle3.76 ▲ +2.03.58 · +0.52.04 ▼ -2.51.0h
bet3653.9 ▲ +1.93.25 ▲ +1.52.0 ▼ -3.41.0h
Betfair3.75 ▲ +1.43.4 ▲ +2.42.0 ▼ -3.71.0h
BetVictor3.6 ▲ +1.93.5 ▲ +1.32.0 ▼ -3.21.0h
Ladbrokes3.5 ▲ +3.43.5 ▲ +1.52.05 ▼ -4.91.0h
Unibet3.75 ▲ +3.23.55 ▲ +1.11.91 ▼ -4.41.0h
WilliamHill3.5 ▲ +2.73.3 · +0.92.0 ▼ -3.61.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

3.9Home 24% P 26%3.25Draw 29% P 27%2.0Away 47% P 47%

Double Chance

1.8Preston or Draw 26%1.33Preston or Wolverhampton 36%1.25Draw or Wolverhampton 38%

Draw No Bet

2.621 35%1.442 65%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.9Over 50% P 52%1.9Under 50% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 46%1.9Under 49% P 54%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 25–27.5% · away 45–47.5% · 466 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home26%26%26%-0.3
Draw27%28%28%+0.2
Away47%46%46%+0.1

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 51%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Elliot Bell

Career
25 matches · 4 seasons
Cards / match
4.6 (4.48 yellow · 0.04 red)
Fouls / match
24.2 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.04
Cards to home side
55%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 20 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.64.05+0.9986
Fouls / match22.421.8+0.44
Fouls per card4.95.4-1.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.050.17-1.792
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
39' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 38% in last 15'
Cards to home side
56% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-21 70 240 28'8
2026-04-06 30 280 3'10
2026-03-10 60 230 31'12
2026-03-03 70 290 13'7
2026-02-07 40 200 53'8
2026-01-20 40 220 14'5
2026-01-11 40 230 55'6
2025-12-20 30 220 31'10
2025-11-01 50 300 32'6
2025-10-25 40 230 69'13