Derby County v Cardiff City

Championship · Matchweek 2

Derby CountyDerby County

2–2

Cardiff CityCardiff City

Momentum

– Derby CountyCardiff City –

now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Stats

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Season context

Derby County	at home	Stat	league	away	Cardiff City
49.3 #14	–	Ball possession	50.1	–	65.1 #1
11.6 #20	–	Shots total	13.4	–	17.3 #2
3.3 #19	–	Shots on target	4.2	–	6.4 #1
6.4 #3	–	Corners	5.4	–	8.1 #1
13.3 #3	–	Fouls	11.2	–	10.3 #18
3.0 #3	–	Offsides	2.1	–	2.0 #14
14.3 #16	–	Tackles	14.8	–	12.7 #21
108.6 #2	–	Attacks	93.4	–	110.0 #1
60.0 #3	–	Dangerous attacks	46.3	–	68.0 #1
393.4 #14	–	Passes	418.2	–	528.4 #3
2.3 #6	–	Yellowcards	1.8	–	1.9 #11
0.7 #17	–	Assists	1.0	–	0.7 #17
– #19	–	Btts	65.5	–	– #7
– #14	–	Cleansheet	21.7	–	– #19
– #18	–	Draw	28.6	–	– #1
1.1 #20	–	Expected goals	1.5	–	2.0 #3
-0.2 #17	–	Expected goals difference	-0.1	–	-1.0 #24
– #1	–	Failed to score	21.3	–	– #8
0.9 #21	0.8	Goals	1.4	0.8	1.0 #17
1.9 #2	2.0	Goals conceded	1.4	1.8	1.6 #8
0.3 #1	–	Injury time goals	0.2	–	0.1 #11
7.9 #15	–	Interceptions	8.8	–	6.4 #24
– #2	–	Lost	35.6	–	– #8
6.7 #22	–	Rating	6.8	–	6.9 #6
3.6 #16	–	Shots blocked	3.9	–	4.4 #7
7.9 #18	–	Shots insidebox	9.1	–	12.1 #2
4.7 #19	–	Shots off target	5.4	–	6.4 #3
3.7 #17	–	Shots outsidebox	4.4	–	5.1 #6
– #20	–	Win	35.8	–	– #23

Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.

League this season · 2026/2027

Played: 81 of 552
Goals / match: 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
Home / draw / away: 42% · 28% · 30%
BTTS · over 2.5: 67% · 63%
Cards / match: 3.74 (reds 0.02)

Lineups

Waiting for lineups…

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Derby County · 2026/2027 · Championship

Bobby Clark 8 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.0 (76th pct) · G+A 2 + 2 (67% of team goals) · 89% of minutes

Sammie Szmodics 11 · Attacking Midfield

Not in the squad

Rating 6.92 (61th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (50% of team goals) · 72% of minutes

Carlton Morris 9 · Centre Forward

Starts

Rating 7.14 · G+A 1 + 1 (33% of team goals) · 43% of minutes

All key players

Cardiff City · 2026/2027 · Championship

Perry Ng 38 · Right Back

Starts

Rating 6.92 (69th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (14% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Joel Bagan 3 · Left Back

Starts

Rating 7.32 (98th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 100% of minutes

Alex Robertson 18 · Central Midfield

Starts

Rating 7.19 (91th pct) · G+A 0 + 0 (0% of team goals) · 98% of minutes

All key players

Absences

Derby County

injury Derry Murkin defender · Hamstring Injury · 10 missed

Cardiff City

injury Eli King midfielder · Cruciate Ligament Tear · 57 missed

Competition

Stage: Regular Season
Round: 2

Venue

Stadium: Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Capacity: 33,597
Surface: grass
Attendance: 28,926

Teams

Coaches: John Eustace · Brian Barry-Murphy
Position: 20 · 16
Formation: 4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Ruebyn Ricardo

Weather

Conditions: broken clouds
Temperature: 20.3° (feels 19.5°)
Wind: 2.2
Humidity: 44%

Where to watch · 6

Denmark Viaplay Denmark
England Sky Sports+
Northern Ireland Sky Sports+
Republic of Ireland Sky Sports+
Scotland Sky Sports+
Wales Sky Sports+

2026/2027

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	West Ham United	7	4	2	1	20	9	11	14	DWWWW
2	Swansea City	7	4	2	1	11	5	6	14	WWDLW
3	Middlesbrough	7	4	2	1	14	10	4	14	WDWWD
4	West Bromwich Albion	7	4	2	1	10	7	3	14	LDWWD
5	Bristol City	8	4	1	3	11	12	-1	13	WWLLW
6	Queens Park Rangers	7	3	3	1	8	5	3	12	WWLDD
7	Charlton Athletic	7	3	3	1	6	7	-1	12	WDLDD
8	Wolverhampton Wanderers	6	3	2	1	14	10	4	11	WWLDW
9	Lincoln City	7	3	2	2	6	6	0	11	WDDWW
10	Southampton (-4)	7	4	2	1	18	8	10	10	WDDWW
11	Birmingham City	7	2	4	1	10	9	1	10	WDDLW
12	Millwall	7	3	1	3	13	13	0	10	LLWLD
13	Stoke City	7	3	1	3	11	11	0	10	LWWDW
14	Norwich City	7	3	0	4	13	13	0	9	WLWWL
15	Sheffield United	7	2	3	2	8	9	-1	9	DWLWL
16	Blackburn Rovers	7	2	2	3	10	10	0	8	LDLLW
17	Watford	8	2	2	4	7	10	-3	8	LLWLL
18	Portsmouth	6	2	1	3	7	8	-1	7	WLLWD
19	Wrexham	7	1	4	2	7	11	-4	7	LWDDL
20	Bolton Wanderers	7	2	1	4	7	12	-5	7	LLLLW
21	Cardiff City	7	0	4	3	7	11	-4	4	DLLDL
22	Derby County	7	1	1	5	6	13	-7	4	LWLLL
23	Preston North End	7	1	0	6	6	13	-7	3	LLWLL
24	Burnley	7	0	3	4	8	16	-8	3	LDLDL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Southampton	4	4	0	0	15	4	11	12	WDDWW
2	Middlesbrough	4	3	1	0	11	7	4	10	WDWWD
3	West Ham United	4	3	0	1	14	4	10	9	DWWWW
4	Swansea City	4	2	2	0	5	1	4	8	WWDLW
5	West Bromwich Albion	4	2	2	0	6	3	3	8	LDWWD
6	Charlton Athletic	4	2	2	0	3	1	2	8	WDLDD
7	Watford	4	2	1	1	6	5	1	7	LLWLL
8	Millwall	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	6	LLWLD
9	Stoke City	3	2	0	1	6	2	4	6	LWWDW
10	Norwich City	3	2	0	1	7	4	3	6	WLWWL
11	Blackburn Rovers	4	2	0	2	7	6	1	6	LDLLW
12	Bolton Wanderers	4	2	0	2	5	5	0	6	LLLLW
13	Bristol City	4	2	0	2	3	4	-1	6	WWLLW
14	Wolverhampton Wanderers	2	1	1	0	6	3	3	4	WWLDW
15	Queens Park Rangers	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4	WWLDD
16	Sheffield United	4	1	1	2	4	6	-2	4	DWLWL
17	Birmingham City	3	0	3	0	5	5	0	3	WDDLW
18	Cardiff City	3	0	3	0	4	4	0	3	DLLDL
19	Portsmouth	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3	WLLWD
20	Preston North End	4	1	0	3	4	8	-4	3	LLWLL
21	Burnley	3	0	2	1	4	5	-1	2	LDLDL
22	Wrexham	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	LWDDL
23	Lincoln City	3	0	2	1	2	4	-2	2	WDDWW
24	Derby County	4	0	1	3	3	8	-5	1	LWLLL

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts	Form
1	Lincoln City	4	3	0	1	4	2	2	9	WDDWW
2	Queens Park Rangers	4	2	2	0	6	3	3	8	WWLDD
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers	4	2	1	1	8	7	1	7	WWLDW
4	Birmingham City	4	2	1	1	5	4	1	7	WDDLW
5	Bristol City	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7	WWLLW
6	Swansea City	3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6	WWDLW
7	West Bromwich Albion	3	2	0	1	4	4	0	6	LDWWD
8	West Ham United	3	1	2	0	6	5	1	5	DWWWW
9	Sheffield United	3	1	2	0	4	3	1	5	DWLWL
10	Wrexham	4	1	2	1	4	7	-3	5	LWDDL
11	Portsmouth	3	1	1	1	4	3	1	4	WLLWD
12	Middlesbrough	3	1	1	1	3	3	0	4	WDWWD
13	Charlton Athletic	3	1	1	1	3	6	-3	4	WDLDD
14	Millwall	4	1	1	2	6	10	-4	4	LLWLD
15	Stoke City	4	1	1	2	5	9	-4	4	LWWDW
16	Derby County	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3	LWLLL
17	Norwich City	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3	WLWWL
18	Blackburn Rovers	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	LDLLW
19	Southampton	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2	WDDWW
20	Cardiff City	4	0	1	3	3	7	-4	1	DLLDL
21	Watford	4	0	1	3	1	5	-4	1	LLWLL
22	Bolton Wanderers	3	0	1	2	2	7	-5	1	LLLLW
23	Burnley	4	0	1	3	4	11	-7	1	LDLDL
24	Preston North End	3	0	0	3	2	5	-3	0	LLWLL

Promotion
Promotion Play-off
Relegation

Derby County

WLL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 6 · xG 4.72–5.94 · xPts 3.56

L A Charlton Athletic 1–2 xG 1.48–1.37 UK CHAMP
L H Sheffield United 1–2 xG 2.02–1.82 UK CHAMP
W A Queens Park Rangers 3–2 xG 1.22–2.75 UK CHAMP

Cardiff City

D 0W 1D 0L · 1 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 1 GA 1 · xG 1.07–1.69 · xPts 0.96

D H Wrexham 1–1 xG 1.07–1.69 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2005

Derby County 810 draws13 Cardiff City

Goals 38–51 · 2.87 per match · BTTS 61% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Derby County 23 draws5 Cardiff City

Goals 10–15 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 50%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Derby County 11 draws3 Cardiff City

Goals 4–6 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

D Derby County 2–2 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
L Cardiff City 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
W Derby County 1–0 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
L Derby County 0–1 Cardiff City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
L Cardiff City 1–0 Derby County neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
L Cardiff City 4–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
D Derby County 1–1 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
L Cardiff City 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
D Derby County 1–1 Cardiff City neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
W Derby County 3–1 Cardiff City UK CHAMP · Regular Season

Metric	Derby County all · 7	Derby County at home · 4	Cardiff City all · 7	Cardiff City away · 4
Results
Matches	7	–	7	–
Points per game	0.57	–	0.57	–
W / D / L	1 / 1 / 5	–	0 / 4 / 3	–
Goals for / match	0.86	–	1.00	–
Goals against / match	1.86	–	1.57	–
Clean sheets	14%	–	0%	–
Failed to score	43%	–	29%	–
Both teams scored	43%	–	71%	–
Over 2.5	71%	–	43%	–
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.10	–	1.89	–
xG against / match	2.16	–	1.46	–
xG difference	-1.06	–	0.43	–
Finishing vs xG	-0.24	–	-0.89	–
xPts / match	0.93	–	1.62	–
Points vs xPts	-0.35	–	-1.05	–
Game state
Scored first	43%	–	29%	–
PPG when scoring first	1.00	–	1.00	–
PPG when conceding first	0.25	–	0.40	–
Came back from behind	17%	–	50%	–
Leads held	33%	–	0%	–
Minutes leading	18%	–	3%	–
Minutes level	34%	–	54%	–
Minutes trailing	48%	–	43%	–
First goal (min)	26	–	50	–
First goal conceded (min)	24	–	30	–
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	33%	–	43%	–
Goals conceded in 2nd half	46%	–	36%	–
Late goals for (76'+)	0.00	–	0.14	–
Late goals against	0.57	–	0.14	–
Style
Possession	50%	–	65%	–
Shots	11.7	–	17.9	–
On target	3.3	–	6.4	–
Shot conversion	7%	–	6%	–
Shots inside box	67%	–	70%	–
Big chances created	1.6	–	2.3	–
Corners	6.4	–	8.1	–
xG from set plays	21%	–	32%	–
Goals from headers	0%	–	14%	–
Pressure index	11.7	–	17.7	–
Dominant minutes	47.9	–	59.4	–
Pass accuracy	78%	–	85%	–
Fouls	13.0	–	9.6	–
Cards	2.29	–	1.71	–

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'02

16–30'32

31–45'13

46–60'10

61–75'12

76–90'04

Cardiff City

0–15'13

16–30'12

31–45'22

46–60'03

61–75'20

76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157

Early press (0-15, level)+0.287

Late push (76+, level)-0.552

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053

When level-0.057

When behind-0.256

10 min after conceding-0.286

10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174

Away-0.123

3 days rest or fewer-0.212

4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223

v bottom-tier opponents-0.033

Evenly matched-0.183

As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257

Conceded when ahead+0.203

Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Cardiff City · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387

Early press (0-15, level)+0.597

Late push (76+, level)+0.615

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.234

Game state

When ahead+0.252

When level+0.567

When behind+0.186

10 min after conceding+0.187

10 min after scoring+0.695

Situations

At home+0.313

Away+0.444

3 days rest or fewer+0.452

4+ days rest+0.365

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.233

v bottom-tier opponents+0.504

Evenly matched+0.394

As underdog+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.107

Conceded when ahead-0.482

Conceded late (76+)-0.227

Congested vs rested +0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.31 · Behind vs level -0.38

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 86%	0.67	0.83	1.83	1.04	2.29
5-3-2	1 14%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.48	1.37

Cardiff City

Current: winless 16 · conceding 9

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 57%	0.5	0.75	1.5	2.21	1.13
4-1-4-1	3 43%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.45	1.9

Metric	Derby County all · 10	Derby County at home · 10	Cardiff City all · 10	Cardiff City away · 10
Results
Matches	10	10	10	10
Points per game	0.70	1.60	0.50	0.60
W / D / L	2 / 1 / 7	5 / 1 / 4	0 / 5 / 5	1 / 3 / 6
Goals for / match	1.10	1.30	0.90	0.90
Goals against / match	1.90	1.20	1.60	1.70
Clean sheets	10%	30%	10%	10%
Failed to score	30%	20%	40%	50%
Both teams scored	60%	50%	60%	50%
Over 2.5	80%	60%	40%	50%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.19	1.68	1.86	1.39
xG against / match	2.12	1.38	1.60	1.50
xG difference	-0.93	0.30	0.26	-0.11
Finishing vs xG	-0.09	-0.38	-0.86	-0.39
xPts / match	0.95	1.63	1.53	1.31
Points vs xPts	-0.26	-0.03	-0.98	-0.64
Game state
Scored first	40%	60%	20%	20%
PPG when scoring first	0.75	2.00	1.00	2.00
PPG when conceding first	0.67	1.00	0.29	0.14
Came back from behind	22%	33%	38%	14%
Leads held	40%	71%	0%	50%
Minutes leading	19%	31%	2%	5%
Minutes level	36%	43%	53%	56%
Minutes trailing	45%	26%	45%	39%
First goal (min)	27	32	51	41
First goal conceded (min)	28	29	29	34
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	46%	46%	56%	67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	53%	33%	31%	41%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.20
Late goals against	0.40	0.10	0.10	0.20
Style
Possession	49%	53%	62%	54%
Shots	12.2	15.0	16.2	12.6
On target	4.0	4.1	5.6	4.6
Shot conversion	9%	9%	6%	7%
Shots inside box	70%	64%	70%	66%
Big chances created	1.8	3.0	2.1	1.8
Corners	6.1	6.5	7.9	5.3
xG from set plays	35%	31%	36%	35%
Goals from headers	9%	23%	11%	22%
Pressure index	11.3	14.4	14.2	9.0
Dominant minutes	47.4	57.3	52.8	38.2
Pass accuracy	76%	78%	85%	78%
Fouls	12.9	12.2	10.2	10.1
Cards	2.60	2.40	1.60	1.70

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'13

16–30'42

31–45'14

46–60'22

61–75'14

76–90'24

Cardiff City

0–15'14

16–30'14

31–45'23

46–60'13

61–75'21

76–90'21

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	9 90%	0.78	1.11	1.89	1.16	2.21
5-3-2	1 10%	0.0	1.0	2.0	1.48	1.37

Cardiff City

Current: winless 16 · conceding 9

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	6 60%	0.5	0.83	1.67	2.06	1.44
4-1-4-1	3 30%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.45	1.9
4-4-2	1 10%	0.0	0.0	1.0	–	–

Metric	Derby County all · 49	Derby County at home · 26	Cardiff City all · 8	Cardiff City away · 5
Results
Matches	49	26	8	5
Points per game	1.39	1.38	0.50	0.20
W / D / L	20 / 8 / 21	10 / 6 / 10	0 / 4 / 4	0 / 1 / 4
Goals for / match	1.35	1.19	0.88	0.60
Goals against / match	1.31	1.23	1.50	1.60
Clean sheets	24%	27%	0%	0%
Failed to score	14%	12%	38%	60%
Both teams scored	61%	62%	62%	40%
Over 2.5	55%	46%	38%	40%
Expected goals
xG for / match	1.24	1.28	1.89	1.71
xG against / match	1.38	1.25	1.46	1.55
xG difference	-0.14	0.03	0.43	0.17
Finishing vs xG	0.10	-0.09	-0.89	-0.96
xPts / match	1.33	1.41	1.62	1.48
Points vs xPts	0.06	-0.03	-1.05	-1.23
Game state
Scored first	55%	54%	25%	20%
PPG when scoring first	2.07	2.00	1.00	1.00
PPG when conceding first	0.55	0.67	0.33	0.00
Came back from behind	28%	38%	43%	0%
Leads held	69%	67%	0%	0%
Minutes leading	30%	26%	3%	4%
Minutes level	42%	46%	52%	60%
Minutes trailing	27%	28%	45%	37%
First goal (min)	37	43	50	46
First goal conceded (min)	39	35	31	44
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half	47%	52%	43%	33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half	56%	47%	33%	50%
Late goals for (76'+)	0.20	0.19	0.13	0.00
Late goals against	0.31	0.27	0.13	0.20
Style
Possession	46%	48%	67%	66%
Shots	11.4	12.2	15.6	11.8
On target	3.6	3.7	5.6	5.0
Shot conversion	12%	10%	6%	5%
Shots inside box	71%	67%	70%	70%
Big chances created	2.2	2.3	2.3	2.0
Corners	5.0	6.0	7.6	6.4
xG from set plays	35%	39%	32%	34%
Goals from headers	29%	32%	14%	0%
Pressure index	10.9	12.0	16.7	14.8
Dominant minutes	42.5	46.1	58.6	54.2
Pass accuracy	74%	77%	85%	84%
Fouls	12.4	11.8	9.6	10.3
Cards	2.49	2.23	1.50	1.80

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

0–15'712

16–30'126

31–45'1610

46–60'117

61–75'1014

76–90'1015

Cardiff City

0–15'13

16–30'12

31–45'23

46–60'03

61–75'20

76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 49 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.27

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.0449

Early press (0-15, level)+0.0249

Late push (76+, level)-0.2616

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2524

Game state

When ahead-0.0629

When level+0.0049

When behind-0.0929

10 min after conceding-0.1737

10 min after scoring+0.2742

Situations

With ten men-0.223

At home-0.0626

Away-0.0223

3 days rest or fewer-0.0115

4+ days rest-0.0634

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.1926

v bottom-tier opponents+0.0915

As favourite+0.2610

Evenly matched-0.0820

As underdog-0.1619

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.2349

Conceded when ahead+0.1529

Conceded late (76+)+0.1447

Congested vs rested +0.04 · Ahead vs level -0.07 · Behind vs level -0.09

Cardiff City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.33) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.69

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.338

Early press (0-15, level)+0.428

Late push (76+, level)+0.615

Late chase (76+, behind)-0.105

Game state

When ahead+0.252

When level+0.478

When behind+0.187

10 min after conceding+0.128

10 min after scoring+0.695

Situations

At home+0.313

Away+0.345

3 days rest or fewer+0.452

4+ days rest+0.296

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.233

v bottom-tier opponents+0.504

Evenly matched+0.305

As underdog+0.242

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.138

Conceded when ahead-0.482

Conceded late (76+)-0.278

Congested vs rested +0.15 · Ahead vs level -0.22 · Behind vs level -0.29

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	30 61%	1.43	1.33	1.27	1.39	1.46
3-4-2-1	8 16%	1.88	1.63	1.25	1.01	1.14
3-4-1-2	4 8%	1.5	1.0	0.75	0.93	1.54
4-4-2	3 6%	0.33	1.0	2.0	0.96	1.0
4-4-1-1	1 2%	0.0	1.0	3.0	0.68	2.51

Cardiff City

Current: winless 16 · conceding 9

Formation	Use	PPG	GF	GA	xG	xGA
4-2-3-1	4 50%	0.5	0.75	1.5	2.21	1.13
4-1-4-1	3 38%	0.67	1.33	1.67	1.45	1.9
4-4-2	1 12%	0.0	0.0	1.0	–	–

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: home -1.9 pts at 6.0h

2.09Home 46% ▼ -1.7 ptsopened 1.993.48Draw 28% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 3.573.67Away 26% · +0.6 ptsopened 3.71

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Home	Draw	Away	Last
Pinnacle	2.09 ▼ -1.7	3.48 ▲ +1.1	3.67 · +0.6	1.0h
bet365	2.05 ▼ -2.1	3.5 · +0.2	3.5 ▲ +1.9	1.0h
Betfair	2.0 ▼ -1.3	3.3 · +0.8	3.8 · +0.6	1.0h
BetVictor	2.05 ▼ -1.5	3.5 · -0.0	3.5 ▲ +1.5	1.0h
Coral	2.05 · -0.9	3.5 · +0.1	3.6 · +0.8	1.0h
Ladbrokes	2.0 · +0.0	3.5 · -0.8	3.5 · +0.8	1.0h
Unibet	1.96 · -0.2	3.35 · -0.1	3.75 · +0.2	1.0h
WilliamHill	2.05 ▼ -1.3	3.3 · -0.1	3.4 ▲ +1.4	1.0h

bet365 (Pinnacle absent) · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: no -2.4 pts at 10.0h

1.66Yes 56% ▲ +4.5 ptsopened 1.82.1No 44% ▼ -4.5 ptsopened 1.9

Yes No consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Last
bet365	1.66 ▲ +4.5	2.1 ▼ -4.5	1.0h
Betfair	1.6 ▲ +6.3	2.3 ▼ -6.3	1.0h
BetVictor	1.67 ▲ +3.1	2.05 ▼ -3.1	1.0h
Unibet	1.73 ▲ +2.1	2.0 ▼ -2.1	1.0h
WilliamHill	1.67 ▲ +4.2	2.1 ▼ -4.2	1.0h

Pinnacle · opened 2.0d before kick-off · 49 snapshots · last 1.0h before kick-off · biggest step: over +1.6 pts at 23.0h

1.88Over 52% ▲ +3.8 ptsopened 2.02.01Under 48% ▼ -3.8 ptsopened 1.84

Over Under consensus of 5 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Last
Pinnacle	1.88 ▲ +3.8	2.01 ▼ -3.8	1.0h
bet365	1.8 ▲ +5.3	2.0 ▼ -5.3	1.0h
Betfair	1.83 ▲ +3.7	1.91 ▼ -3.7	1.0h
BetVictor	1.79 ▲ +3.1	1.88 ▼ -3.1	1.0h
Unibet	1.89 ▲ +2.3	1.83 ▼ -2.3	1.0h

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 1.0h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.05Home 46% P 46%3.5Draw 27% P 28%3.5Away 27% P 26%

Double Chance

1.25Derby or Draw 38%1.28Derby or Cardiff 37%1.83Draw or Cardiff 26%

Draw No Bet

1.441 65%2.622 35%

Both Teams To Score

1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

11.0Under 6 8%3.46 - 8 26%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%8.0Over 14 11%

Number of Cards

4.51.72Over 54% P 49%2.0Under 46% P 51%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Home	46%	46%	44%	-1.8
Draw	28%	28%	30%	+1.8
Away	26%	26%	26%	-0.0

In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 48%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

	This match	Band	Actual	±
Over 2.5	52%	51%	51%	-0.1

Ruebyn Ricardo

Career: 36 matches · 5 seasons
Cards / match: 4.47 (4.36 yellow · 0.03 red)
Fouls / match: 21.8 · 4.6 fouls per card
Penalties / match: 0.17
Cards to home side: 44%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

Metric	Referee	League	vs peers	pct
Cards / match	5.38	4.05	+2.40	98
Fouls / match	22.6	21.8	+0.66
Fouls per card	4.5	5.4	-1.52 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match	0.15	0.17	-0.33	35
Time added	7.5	7.2	+0.32	59

First card: 34' on average
Card timing: 16% in first 30' · 30% in last 15'
Cards to home side: 42% (league 45%)

Recent matches

Date	Y	R	Fouls	Pens	1st card	+min
2026-05-02	3	0	26	0	25'	3
2026-04-18	2	0	20	0	54'	10
2026-04-03	10	0	35	0	23'	9
2026-03-07	8	1	19	0	23'	9
2026-02-25	–	–	15	–	–	9
2026-02-17	5	0	24	0	40'	8
2026-02-07	9	1	20	0	34'	10
2026-01-17	8	0	29	0	45'	12
2026-01-01 · Derby County	4	0	21	0	59'	8
2025-12-29	–	–	21	–	–	6

Momentum

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Events

Stats

Season context

League this season · 2026/2027

Trends

Lineups

Bench

Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad

Derby County · 2026/2027 · Championship

Cardiff City · 2026/2027 · Championship

Absences

Derby County

Cardiff City

Commentary

In-Play Odds

Competition

Venue

Teams

Referee

Weather

Where to watch · 6

Derby County

Cardiff City

All meetings · 31 matches since 2005

Last 10 · 10 matches

Last 5 · 5 matches

Recent meetings

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

Cardiff City

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 7 matches

Cardiff City · 7 matches

Derby County

Cardiff City

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

Cardiff City

Derby County

Cardiff City

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Derby County

Cardiff City

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Derby County · 49 matches

Cardiff City · 8 matches

Derby County

Cardiff City

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Latest prices

Fulltime Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Both Teams To Score

Goals Over/Under

Total Corners

Number of Cards

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Match result · home 45–47.5% · away 25–27.5% · 854 fixtures

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

Ruebyn Ricardo

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

Recent matches