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Championship · Matchweek 2

Momentum

BRCBristol City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
2

Venue

Stadium
St. Andrew's Stadium, Birmingham
Capacity
29,409
Surface
grass

Teams

Coaches
Chris Davies · Michael Skubala
Position
16 · 23
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
20.3° (feels 19.8°)
Wind
1.8
Humidity
51%

Where to watch · 16

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Birmingham City

WDD 1W 2D 0L · 5 pts (1.67 ppg) · GF 3 GA 2 · xG 3.95–2.59 · xPts 5.09

  • D A Sheffield United 0–0 xG 0.83–0.42 UK CHAMP
  • D A Portsmouth 1–1 xG 1.63–0.97 UK CHAMP
  • W H Bristol City 2–1 xG 1.49–1.2 UK CHAMP

Bristol City

LWL 1W 0D 2L · 3 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 4 · xG 2.88–5.74 · xPts 2.76

  • L H Millwall 0–2 xG 0.49–3.12 UK CHAMP
  • W H Stoke City 2–0 xG 1.19–1.12 UK CHAMP
  • L A Birmingham City 1–2 xG 1.2–1.49 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 27 matches since 2008

Birmingham City 175 draws5 Bristol City

Goals 42–25 · 2.48 per match · BTTS 44% · over 2.5 52%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Birmingham City 52 draws3 Bristol City

Goals 16–12 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 70%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Birmingham City 22 draws1 Bristol City

Goals 6–4 · 2.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%

Recent meetings

  • D Birmingham City 2–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 1–0 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Birmingham City 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 0–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Bristol City 4–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Bristol City 1–2 Birmingham City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Birmingham City 3–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Birmingham City 0–3 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricBirmingham City all · 7Birmingham City at home · 3Bristol City all · 8Bristol City away · 4
Results
Matches78
Points per game1.431.63
W / D / L2 / 4 / 14 / 1 / 3
Goals for / match1.431.38
Goals against / match1.291.50
Clean sheets14%12%
Failed to score14%25%
Both teams scored86%62%
Over 2.571%62%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.731.31
xG against / match1.271.46
xG difference0.45-0.15
Finishing vs xG-0.300.07
xPts / match1.671.37
Points vs xPts-0.240.26
Game state
Scored first14%50%
PPG when scoring first3.002.50
PPG when conceding first1.200.75
Came back from behind80%25%
Leads held100%80%
Minutes leading15%26%
Minutes level67%51%
Minutes trailing18%23%
First goal (min)4041
First goal conceded (min)3453
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half50%64%
Goals conceded in 2nd half22%75%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.63
Late goals against0.140.50
Style
Possession48%45%
Shots13.014.1
On target4.44.6
Shot conversion11%10%
Shots inside box72%71%
Big chances created3.12.2
Corners6.15.3
xG from set plays35%42%
Goals from headers50%36%
Pressure index12.215.5
Dominant minutes56.952.5
Pass accuracy70%75%
Fouls12.111.5
Cards2.001.75

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Birmingham City

0–15'11
16–30'11
31–45'35
46–60'11
61–75'30
76–90'11

Bristol City

0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'33
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Birmingham City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.12) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.36

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.127
Early press (0-15, level)+0.137
Late push (76+, level)-0.194
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.552

Game state

When ahead+0.152
When level+0.247
When behind-0.295
10 min after conceding-0.366
10 min after scoring+0.296

Situations

At home-0.063
Away+0.274
3 days rest or fewer+0.362
4+ days rest+0.035

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.155
v bottom-tier opponents+0.072
Evenly matched+0.093
As underdog+0.263

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.122
Conceded late (76+)-0.207

Congested vs rested +0.33 · Ahead vs level -0.09 · Behind vs level -0.53

Bristol City · 8 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134

Game state

When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496

Situations

At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408

Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04

Birmingham City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 6 · conceding 6

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.431.431.291.731.27

Bristol City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-18 100%1.631.381.51.311.46

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

Pinnacle · opened 45.7h before kick-off · 47 snapshots · last 30m before kick-off

1.79Home 54% ▲ +1.1 ptsopened 1.793.89Draw 25% · -0.3 ptsopened 3.774.58Away 21% · -0.8 ptsopened 4.33
24h12h6h1hKO 20%30%40%50%

Home Draw Away consensus of 8 bookmakers (dashed) · time axis compressed towards kick-off

BookmakerHomeDrawAwayLast
Pinnacle1.79 ▲ +1.13.89 · -0.34.58 · -0.830m
bet3651.75 · +0.33.7 · +0.54.5 · -0.730m
Betfair1.75 · +0.43.7 · -0.54.6 · +0.130m
BetVictor1.75 · +0.33.75 · +0.14.5 · -0.430m
Coral1.75 ▲ +1.13.8 · -0.54.4 · -0.530m
Ladbrokes1.75 ▲ +1.13.75 · -0.54.4 · -0.530m
Unibet1.75 · +0.03.65 · -0.14.35 · +0.130m
WilliamHill1.75 ▲ +1.43.6 · -0.84.33 · -0.730m

Latest prices

bet365 · last snapshot 0.5h before kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.75Home 54% P 54%3.7Draw 25% P 25%4.5Away 21% P 21%

Double Chance

1.18Birmingham or Draw 40%1.28Birmingham or Bristol City 37%2.0Draw or Bristol City 23%

Draw No Bet

1.31 72%3.42 28%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.8Over 53% P 52%2.0Under 47% P 48%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 52.5–55% · away 20–22.5% · 665 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home54%54%56%+2.6
Draw25%25%27%+1.4
Away21%21%17%-4.0

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 57% · over 2.5 54%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 50–52.5% · 3,575 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.552%51%51%-0.1

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.96
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-08-15 10 220 25'14
2026-05-02 19 10
2026-03-21 40 120 34'4
2026-02-21 · Bristol City 60 250 44'8
2026-01-20 30 240 55'11
2026-01-17 10 160 79'9
2026-01-11 70 330 31'12
2026-01-01 50 210 27'6
2025-12-26 · Bristol City 40 240 16'9