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Championship · Matchweek 1

Momentum

Stoke CitySwansea City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Bet365 Stadium, Stoke
Capacity
30,089
Surface
grass
Attendance
24,332

Teams

Coaches
Mark Robins · Vítor Matos
Position
11 · 13
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-1-4-1

Referee

Oliver Langford

Weather

Conditions
broken clouds
Temperature
19.6° (feels 19.4°)
Wind
1.7
Humidity
65%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Stoke City

LLLL 0W 0D 4L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 2 GA 10 · xG 4.55–6.17 · xPts 4.36

  • L A Bristol City 0–2 xG 1.12–1.19 UK CHAMP
  • L H Portsmouth 1–3 xG 1.8–1.7 UK CHAMP
  • L H Millwall 1–3 xG 0.92–1.69 UK CHAMP
  • L A Wrexham 0–2 xG 0.71–1.58 UK CHAMP

Swansea City

LWDW 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 7 GA 5 · xG 6.34–6.48 · xPts 5.43

  • W H Charlton Athletic 3–1 xG 1.27–1.17 UK CHAMP
  • D A Norwich City 1–1 xG 1.38–2.06 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 2–1 xG 2.31–1.67 UK CHAMP
  • L H Southampton 1–2 xG 1.39–1.59 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 31 matches since 2011

Stoke City 156 draws10 Swansea City

Goals 45–40 · 2.74 per match · BTTS 58% · over 2.5 55%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Stoke City 43 draws3 Swansea City

Goals 14–12 · 2.6 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Stoke City 21 draws2 Swansea City

Goals 6–6 · 2.4 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Recent meetings

  • L Stoke City 1–2 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 2–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 2–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Swansea City 0–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Swansea City 3–0 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Swansea City 1–3 Stoke City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Stoke City 1–1 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Stoke City 3–0 Swansea City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricStoke City all · 7Stoke City at home · 3Swansea City all · 7Swansea City away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.432.00
W / D / L3 / 1 / 34 / 2 / 1
Goals for / match1.571.57
Goals against / match1.570.71
Clean sheets29%57%
Failed to score0%29%
Both teams scored71%43%
Over 2.571%57%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.041.62
xG against / match1.501.22
xG difference-0.450.40
Finishing vs xG0.53-0.05
xPts / match1.131.56
Points vs xPts0.300.44
Game state
Scored first86%43%
PPG when scoring first1.673.00
PPG when conceding first0.001.50
Came back from behind0%50%
Leads held50%100%
Minutes leading42%43%
Minutes level40%42%
Minutes trailing18%15%
First goal (min)1919
First goal conceded (min)4026
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half9%36%
Goals conceded in 2nd half64%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.000.14
Late goals against0.570.14
Style
Possession44%58%
Shots11.912.4
On target4.05.1
Shot conversion13%13%
Shots inside box68%61%
Big chances created1.32.8
Corners4.04.7
xG from set plays20%34%
Goals from headers9%0%
Pressure index11.612.1
Dominant minutes47.051.0
Pass accuracy77%82%
Fouls15.79.1
Cards2.711.86

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Stoke City

0–15'41
16–30'43
31–45'20
46–60'11
61–75'02
76–90'04

Swansea City

0–15'32
16–30'20
31–45'21
46–60'11
61–75'20
76–90'11

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Stoke City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.80

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.177
Late push (76+, level)-0.442
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.453

Game state

When ahead+0.166
When level+0.057
When behind+0.113
10 min after conceding-0.265
10 min after scoring+0.807

Situations

At home-0.273
Away+0.314
3 days rest or fewer-0.222
4+ days rest+0.255

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.154
v bottom-tier opponents+0.543
Evenly matched+0.362
As underdog-0.074

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.117
Conceded when ahead-0.016
Conceded late (76+)+0.326

Congested vs rested -0.47 · Ahead vs level +0.10 · Behind vs level +0.05

Swansea City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.04) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.35

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.047
Early press (0-15, level)+0.097
Late push (76+, level)-0.222

Game state

When ahead+0.214
When level-0.097
When behind-0.102
10 min after conceding-0.093
10 min after scoring+0.355

Situations

At home-0.024
Away+0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.092
4+ days rest+0.095

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.083
v bottom-tier opponents+0.134
As favourite+0.002
Evenly matched+0.114

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.017
Conceded when ahead-0.074
Conceded late (76+)-0.237

Congested vs rested -0.18 · Ahead vs level +0.30 · Behind vs level -0.01

Stoke City

Current: unbeaten 4 · wins 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 43%0.01.03.00.811.91
3-5-22 29%2.02.50.51.551.64
3-4-2-11 14%3.02.01.01.530.43
3-4-31 14%3.01.00.00.251.03

Swansea City

Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 2 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-3-34 57%1.751.751.01.661.18
4-1-4-12 29%3.02.00.52.031.0
4-2-3-11 14%1.00.00.00.671.82

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 42%3.4Draw 28% P 28%3.1Away 31% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Stoke or Draw 35%1.36Stoke or Swansea 35%1.53Draw or Swansea 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.72Yes 54%2.0No 46%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.0Over 47% P 49%1.8Under 53% P 51%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 33%3.612 - 14 24%7.0Over 14 12%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%
4.52.2Over 42% P 34%1.61Under 58% P 66%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home42%41%41%-0.1
Draw28%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.549%49%50%+1.3

Oliver Langford

Career
353 matches · 18 seasons
Cards / match
3.37 (3.23 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
20.9 · 5.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.23
Cards to home side
43%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 119 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.824.05-0.4229
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.91
Fouls per card5.55.4-0.02 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3731
Time added7.47.2+0.2157
First card
35' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 35% in last 15'
Cards to home side
41% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-02 16 8
2026-04-18 · Swansea City 40 100 18'8
2026-04-03 10 201 12'5
2026-03-21 20 150 24'5
2026-03-07 30 180 33'6
2026-02-24 10 180 16'8
2026-02-21 40 200 39'6
2026-02-07 20 180 81'12
2026-01-24 51 260 12'6
2026-01-17 62 200 35'8