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Championship · Matchweek 1

Momentum

PortsmouthQPR
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Fratton Park, Portsmouth
Capacity
20,688
Surface
grass
Attendance
20,479

Teams

Coaches
John Mousinho · Julien Stéphan
Position
3 · 15
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 4-2-3-1

Referee

Will Finnie

Weather

Conditions
clear sky
Temperature
28.2° (feels 29.0°)
Wind
3.5
Humidity
53%

Where to watch

No broadcast listings.

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Bristol City 8413 1112-1 13 WWLLW
6 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
7 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
8 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
9 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
10 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
11 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
12 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
13 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 8224 710-3 8 LLWLL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Portsmouth

WLWD 2W 1D 1L · 7 pts (1.75 ppg) · GF 6 GA 7 · xG 3.83–6.98 · xPts 3.71

  • D H Birmingham City 1–1 xG 0.97–1.63 UK CHAMP
  • W A Stoke City 3–1 xG 1.7–1.8 UK CHAMP
  • L A Coventry City 1–5 xG 0.09–2.47 UK CHAMP
  • W H Leicester City 1–0 xG 1.06–1.08 UK CHAMP

Queens Park Rangers

LLLL 0W 0D 4L · 0 pts (0.0 ppg) · GF 3 GA 10 · xG 5.29–7.65 · xPts 4.0

  • L A Ipswich Town 0–3 xG 0.72–2.68 UK CHAMP
  • L H Derby County 2–3 xG 2.75–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L H Swansea City 1–2 xG 1.67–2.31 UK CHAMP
  • L A Millwall 0–2 xG 0.15–1.44 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 9 matches since 2010

Portsmouth 23 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 9–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%

Last 10 · 9 matches

Portsmouth 23 draws4 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 9–18 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 78% · over 2.5 44%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Portsmouth 21 draws2 Queens Park Rangers

Goals 7–12 · 3.8 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • L Portsmouth 1–3 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 6–1 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Portsmouth 2–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Queens Park Rangers 1–2 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Portsmouth UK FA Cup · 4th Round Replays
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK FA Cup · 4th Round
  • L Queens Park Rangers 2–0 Portsmouth UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Portsmouth 1–1 Queens Park Rangers UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricPortsmouth all · 6Portsmouth at home · 3Queens Park Rangers all · 7Queens Park Rangers away · 4
Results
Matches67
Points per game1.171.71
W / D / L2 / 1 / 33 / 3 / 1
Goals for / match1.171.14
Goals against / match1.330.71
Clean sheets33%29%
Failed to score33%43%
Both teams scored50%57%
Over 2.550%43%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.311.55
xG against / match1.361.19
xG difference-0.050.36
Finishing vs xG-0.15-0.41
xPts / match1.351.60
Points vs xPts-0.180.11
Game state
Scored first50%29%
PPG when scoring first2.002.00
PPG when conceding first0.002.00
Came back from behind0%67%
Leads held67%75%
Minutes leading30%20%
Minutes level36%66%
Minutes trailing34%14%
First goal (min)3640
First goal conceded (min)2840
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half43%38%
Goals conceded in 2nd half25%40%
Late goals for (76'+)0.170.00
Late goals against0.000.00
Style
Possession54%49%
Shots14.714.9
On target4.25.0
Shot conversion8%8%
Shots inside box57%70%
Big chances created1.32.1
Corners6.76.3
xG from set plays43%19%
Goals from headers14%14%
Pressure index11.514.6
Dominant minutes50.855.1
Pass accuracy76%84%
Fouls9.39.1
Cards0.501.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Portsmouth

0–15'20
16–30'11
31–45'15
46–60'11
61–75'11
76–90'10

Queens Park Rangers

0–15'01
16–30'01
31–45'51
46–60'21
61–75'11
76–90'00

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Portsmouth · 6 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.01) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.39

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.016
Early press (0-15, level)-0.056
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.393

Game state

When ahead+0.163
When level+0.056
When behind-0.153
10 min after conceding-0.104
10 min after scoring+0.034

Situations

At home-0.013
Away+0.033
4+ days rest-0.015

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.052
v bottom-tier opponents+0.044
Evenly matched-0.004

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.036
Conceded when ahead+0.013
Conceded late (76+)-0.286

Congested vs rested +0.16 · Ahead vs level +0.11 · Behind vs level -0.19

Queens Park Rangers · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.29) · stands out: as favourite +0.67

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.297
Early press (0-15, level)+0.047
Late push (76+, level)-0.093

Game state

When ahead+0.414
When level+0.367
When behind-0.233
10 min after conceding-0.315
10 min after scoring+0.394

Situations

At home+0.203
Away+0.354
3 days rest or fewer-0.172
4+ days rest+0.475

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.172
v bottom-tier opponents+0.475
As favourite+0.673
Evenly matched+0.083

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.077
Conceded when ahead-0.324
Conceded late (76+)-0.397

Congested vs rested -0.65 · Ahead vs level +0.04 · Behind vs level -0.59

Portsmouth

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 1 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 100%1.171.171.331.311.36

Queens Park Rangers

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 1

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-4-24 57%1.751.00.751.541.18
4-2-3-13 43%1.671.330.671.561.2

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.3Home 41% P 41%3.2Draw 29% P 29%3.2Away 29% P 30%

Double Chance

1.36Portsmouth or Draw 34%1.33Portsmouth or QPR 35%1.53Draw or QPR 31%

Draw No Bet

1.661 56%2.12 44%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 42%1.66Under 57% P 58%

Total Corners

15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.612 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%

Number of Cards

3.51.8Over 51% P 53%1.9Under 49% P 47%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 40–42.5% · away 30–32.5% · 701 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home41%41%41%-0.1
Draw29%28%26%-1.9
Away30%31%33%+2.1

In those fixtures: 2.7 goals a game · BTTS 55% · over 2.5 52%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.542%41%41%-0.4

Will Finnie

Career
41 matches · 10 seasons
Cards / match
3.68 (3.56 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
21.1 · 5.0 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.29
Cards to home side
42%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 26 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.04.05-0.1049
Fouls / match20.821.8-0.96
Fouls per card5.45.4-0.24 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.150.17-0.3335
Time added8.07.2+0.9078
First card
36' on average
Card timing
17% in first 30' · 26% in last 15'
Cards to home side
40% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-05-02 19 10
2026-03-21 40 120 34'4
2026-02-21 60 250 44'8
2026-01-20 · Queens Park Rangers 30 240 55'11
2026-01-17 10 160 79'9
2026-01-11 70 330 31'12
2026-01-01 50 210 27'6
2025-12-26 40 240 16'9