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Championship · Matchweek 1

Momentum

MIDLincoln City
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough
Capacity
34,988
Surface
grass
Attendance
31,487

Teams

Coaches
Kim Hellberg · Chris Cohen
Position
4 · 23
Formation
4-2-2-2 · 5-3-2

Referee

Robert Madley

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
19.5° (feels 19.0°)
Wind
3.6
Humidity
56%

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2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Middlesbrough

WDDLL 1W 2D 2L · 5 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 8 GA 6 · xG 8.79–7.5 · xPts 7.65

  • L A Hull City 0–1 xG 0.75–1.22 UK CHAMP
  • L A Southampton 1–2 aet xG 0.92–2.4 UK CHAMP
  • D H Southampton 0–0 xG 2.24–0.73 UK CHAMP
  • D A Wrexham 2–2 xG 2.36–2.04 UK CHAMP
  • W H Watford 5–1 xG 2.51–1.13 UK CHAMP

Lincoln City

No recent played matches.

All meetings · 1 match since 2026

Middlesbrough 10 draws0 Lincoln City

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 10 · 1 match

Middlesbrough 10 draws0 Lincoln City

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Last 5 · 1 match

Middlesbrough 10 draws0 Lincoln City

Goals 2–1 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 100% · over 2.5 100%

Recent meetings

  • W Middlesbrough 2–1 Lincoln City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricMiddlesbrough all · 7Middlesbrough at home · 4Lincoln City all · 7Lincoln City away · 4
Results
Matches77
Points per game2.001.57
W / D / L4 / 2 / 13 / 2 / 2
Goals for / match2.000.86
Goals against / match1.430.86
Clean sheets14%57%
Failed to score0%14%
Both teams scored86%43%
Over 2.571%29%
Expected goals
xG for / match1.911.51
xG against / match1.231.35
xG difference0.690.16
Finishing vs xG0.09-0.66
xPts / match1.791.50
Points vs xPts0.210.08
Game state
Scored first57%57%
PPG when scoring first1.752.25
PPG when conceding first2.330.50
Came back from behind75%33%
Leads held67%75%
Minutes leading38%19%
Minutes level40%61%
Minutes trailing22%20%
First goal (min)3155
First goal conceded (min)3238
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half57%67%
Goals conceded in 2nd half60%50%
Late goals for (76'+)0.430.29
Late goals against0.000.14
Style
Possession61%36%
Shots17.912.6
On target5.33.0
Shot conversion11%7%
Shots inside box62%68%
Big chances created3.71.7
Corners6.14.4
xG from set plays24%46%
Goals from headers14%50%
Pressure index17.79.4
Dominant minutes63.037.1
Pass accuracy88%69%
Fouls9.613.6
Cards1.142.57

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Middlesbrough

0–15'33
16–30'20
31–45'11
46–60'23
61–75'33
76–90'30

Lincoln City

0–15'11
16–30'01
31–45'11
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'21

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Middlesbrough · 7 matches

Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.38) · stands out: when behind +1.00

Tempo

Overall intensity+0.387
Early press (0-15, level)+0.477
Late push (76+, level)+0.294

Game state

When ahead+0.196
When level+0.237
When behind+1.004
10 min after conceding+0.276
10 min after scoring+0.697

Situations

At home+0.464
Away+0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.822
4+ days rest+0.205

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents+0.415
v bottom-tier opponents+0.282
As favourite+0.435
Evenly matched+0.262

Conceded

Pressure conceded-0.137
Conceded when ahead-0.116
Conceded late (76+)-0.417

Congested vs rested +0.62 · Ahead vs level -0.04 · Behind vs level +0.77

Lincoln City · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.10) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.60

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.107
Early press (0-15, level)+0.357
Late push (76+, level)-0.504
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.603

Game state

When ahead-0.184
When level-0.047
When behind-0.183
10 min after conceding+0.083
10 min after scoring+0.346

Situations

At home-0.033
Away-0.164
3 days rest or fewer-0.122
4+ days rest-0.105

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.092
v bottom-tier opponents-0.115
Evenly matched-0.134
As underdog-0.063

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.187
Conceded when ahead+0.204
Conceded late (76+)+0.217

Congested vs rested -0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.14 · Behind vs level -0.14

Middlesbrough

Current: unbeaten 5 · winless 1 · scoring 7 · conceding 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-13 43%2.333.02.01.951.44
4-2-2-21 14%3.02.01.02.90.89
4-3-31 14%1.01.01.01.010.9
4-4-21 14%0.01.02.01.570.94
3-4-2-11 14%3.01.00.02.071.53

Lincoln City

Current: unbeaten 5 · wins 2 · scoring 3 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
3-4-2-13 43%2.331.00.331.460.96
3-4-32 29%2.00.50.01.51.17
4-2-3-11 14%0.01.03.02.341.38
5-3-21 14%0.01.02.00.892.9

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -0.5h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

1.53Home 61% P 63%4.33Draw 22% P 22%5.5Away 17% P 15%

Double Chance

1.12Middlesbrough or Draw 42%1.18Middlesbrough or Lincoln City 40%2.62Draw or Lincoln City 18%

Draw No Bet

1.141 83%5.52 17%

Both Teams To Score

1.9Yes 49%1.8No 51%

Goals Over/Under

2.51.72Over 55% P 53%2.1Under 45% P 47%

Total Corners

13.0Under 6 7%3.756 - 8 23%2.629 - 11 34%3.7512 - 14 23%7.0Over 14 13%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 52%1.83Under 50% P 48%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 62.5–65% · away 12.5–15% · 544 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home63%64%63%-0.9
Draw22%22%24%+2.1
Away15%14%13%-1.1

In those fixtures: 2.8 goals a game · BTTS 49% · over 2.5 55%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 52.5–55% · 2,940 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.553%54%54%+0.8

Robert Madley

Career
227 matches · 17 seasons
Cards / match
3.67 (3.49 yellow · 0.1 red)
Fouls / match
17.7 · 4.1 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.24
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 63 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match4.684.05+1.1494
Fouls / match21.421.8-0.39
Fouls per card4.75.4-1.33 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.170.17-0.0551
Time added8.37.2+1.2692
First card
37' on average
Card timing
15% in first 30' · 27% in last 15'
Cards to home side
48% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-25 10 270 82'5
2026-04-11 81 190 31'8
2025-11-05 60 170 11'5
2025-10-25 31 200 19'13
2025-10-18 10 130 54'8
2025-10-03 20 120 83'8
2025-09-27 50 190 30'7
2025-09-13 41 300 54'8
2025-08-17 40 270 41'12