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Championship · Matchweek 1

Momentum

CHADerby County
now

Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100

Waiting for pressure data…

Competition

Stage
Regular Season
Round
1

Venue

Stadium
The Valley, London
Capacity
27,111
Surface
grass
Attendance
21,539

Teams

Coaches
Nathan Jones · John Eustace
Position
24 · 9
Formation
4-2-3-1 · 5-3-2

Referee

Ben Speedie

Weather

Conditions
overcast clouds
Temperature
25.8° (feels 25.9°)
Wind
4.6
Humidity
58%

Where to watch · 4

2026/2027

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPtsForm
1 West Ham United 7421 20911 14 DWWWW
2 Swansea City 7421 1156 14 WWDLW
3 Middlesbrough 7421 14104 14 WDWWD
4 West Bromwich Albion 7421 1073 14 LDWWD
5 Queens Park Rangers 7331 853 12 WWLDD
6 Charlton Athletic 7331 67-1 12 WDLDD
7 Wolverhampton Wanderers 6321 14104 11 WWLDW
8 Lincoln City 7322 660 11 WDDWW
9 Southampton (-4) 7421 18810 10 WDDWW
10 Birmingham City 7241 1091 10 WDDLW
11 Millwall 7313 13130 10 LLWLD
12 Stoke City 7313 11110 10 LWWDW
13 Bristol City 7313 1012-2 10 WWWLL
14 Norwich City 7304 13130 9 WLWWL
15 Sheffield United 7232 89-1 9 DWLWL
16 Blackburn Rovers 7223 10100 8 LDLLW
17 Watford 7223 79-2 8 DLLWL
18 Portsmouth 6213 78-1 7 WLLWD
19 Wrexham 7142 711-4 7 LWDDL
20 Bolton Wanderers 7214 712-5 7 LLLLW
21 Cardiff City 7043 711-4 4 DLLDL
22 Derby County 7115 613-7 4 LWLLL
23 Preston North End 7106 613-7 3 LLWLL
24 Burnley 7034 816-8 3 LDLDL
  • Promotion
  • Promotion Play-off
  • Relegation

Charlton Athletic

DLWL 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 5 GA 7 · xG 3.74–5.93 · xPts 4.23

  • L A Swansea City 1–3 xG 1.17–1.27 UK CHAMP
  • W H Hull City 2–1 xG 0.56–1.25 UK CHAMP
  • L H Ipswich Town 1–2 xG 0.27–2.52 UK CHAMP
  • D A Sheffield Wednesday 1–1 xG 1.73–0.89 UK CHAMP

Derby County

WLWL 2W 0D 2L · 6 pts (1.5 ppg) · GF 6 GA 6 · xG 5.55–7.0 · xPts 4.78

  • L H Sheffield United 1–2 xG 2.02–1.82 UK CHAMP
  • W A Queens Park Rangers 3–2 xG 1.22–2.75 UK CHAMP
  • L A Norwich City 1–2 xG 0.96–1.55 UK CHAMP
  • W H Oxford United 1–0 xG 1.35–0.88 UK CHAMP

All meetings · 19 matches since 2000

Charlton Athletic 56 draws8 Derby County

Goals 23–28 · 2.68 per match · BTTS 63% · over 2.5 53%

Last 10 · 10 matches

Charlton Athletic 32 draws5 Derby County

Goals 12–15 · 2.7 per match · BTTS 60% · over 2.5 60%

Last 5 · 5 matches

Charlton Athletic 21 draws2 Derby County

Goals 8–6 · 2.8 per match · BTTS 80% · over 2.5 80%

Recent meetings

  • W Charlton Athletic 2–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 1–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 3–0 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Charlton Athletic 0–1 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • D Derby County 1–1 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 2–0 Charlton Athletic UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • W Charlton Athletic 3–2 Derby County UK CHAMP · Regular Season
  • L Derby County 3–0 Charlton Athletic neutral UK CHAMP · Regular Season
MetricCharlton Athletic all · 7Charlton Athletic at home · 4Derby County all · 7Derby County away · 3
Results
Matches77
Points per game1.710.57
W / D / L3 / 3 / 11 / 1 / 5
Goals for / match0.860.86
Goals against / match1.001.86
Clean sheets43%14%
Failed to score43%43%
Both teams scored43%43%
Over 2.543%71%
Expected goals
xG for / match0.851.10
xG against / match1.462.16
xG difference-0.62-1.06
Finishing vs xG0.01-0.24
xPts / match1.050.93
Points vs xPts0.67-0.35
Game state
Scored first29%43%
PPG when scoring first3.001.00
PPG when conceding first1.330.25
Came back from behind67%17%
Leads held100%33%
Minutes leading20%18%
Minutes level60%34%
Minutes trailing20%48%
First goal (min)4826
First goal conceded (min)4324
Timing
Goals scored in 2nd half83%33%
Goals conceded in 2nd half29%46%
Late goals for (76'+)0.140.00
Late goals against0.000.57
Style
Possession38%50%
Shots10.311.7
On target2.63.3
Shot conversion8%7%
Shots inside box58%67%
Big chances created0.61.6
Corners4.96.4
xG from set plays40%21%
Goals from headers17%0%
Pressure index8.811.7
Dominant minutes40.147.9
Pass accuracy76%78%
Fouls10.713.0
Cards1.712.29

Goal timing for / against per 15 min

Charlton Athletic

0–15'11
16–30'03
31–45'01
46–60'21
61–75'21
76–90'10

Derby County

0–15'02
16–30'32
31–45'13
46–60'10
61–75'12
76–90'04

Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units

Charlton Athletic · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.11) · stands out: 10 min after conceding -0.57

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.117
Early press (0-15, level)+0.437
Late push (76+, level)-0.354

Game state

When ahead-0.333
When level-0.027
When behind-0.113
10 min after conceding-0.574
10 min after scoring+0.044

Situations

At home-0.034
Away-0.263
3 days rest or fewer+0.342
4+ days rest-0.225

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.372
v bottom-tier opponents+0.154
Evenly matched+0.182
As underdog-0.304

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.447
Conceded when ahead+0.363
Conceded late (76+)+0.096

Congested vs rested +0.56 · Ahead vs level -0.30 · Behind vs level -0.09

Derby County · 7 matches

Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.15) · stands out: late chase (76+, behind) -0.31

Tempo

Overall intensity-0.157
Early press (0-15, level)+0.297
Late push (76+, level)-0.552
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.315

Game state

When ahead-0.053
When level-0.057
When behind-0.256
10 min after conceding-0.286
10 min after scoring+0.254

Situations

At home-0.174
Away-0.123
3 days rest or fewer-0.212
4+ days rest-0.125

Opposition

v mid-tier opponents-0.223
v bottom-tier opponents-0.033
Evenly matched-0.193
As underdog-0.153

Conceded

Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.203
Conceded late (76+)+0.207

Congested vs rested -0.09 · Ahead vs level -0.00 · Behind vs level -0.20

Charlton Athletic

Current: unbeaten 2 · winless 4 · clean sheets 2

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-17 100%1.710.861.00.851.46

Derby County

Current: winless 3 · scoring 1 · conceding 3

FormationUsePPGGFGAxGxGA
4-2-3-16 86%0.670.831.831.042.29
5-3-21 14%0.01.02.01.481.37

Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.

Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off

Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.

No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.

Latest prices

bet365 · pre-match line -1.0h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.

Fulltime Result

2.7Home 35% P 35%3.1Draw 31% P 31%2.8Away 34% P 34%

Double Chance

1.44Charlton or Draw 32%1.36Charlton or Derby 34%1.4Draw or Derby 33%

Draw No Bet

1.831 50%1.832 50%

Both Teams To Score

1.83Yes 50%1.83No 50%

Goals Over/Under

2.52.2Over 43% P 41%1.66Under 57% P 59%

Total Corners

10.0Under 6 9%3.256 - 8 27%2.69 - 11 34%4.012 - 14 22%10.0Over 14 9%

Number of Cards

3.51.83Over 50% P 50%1.83Under 50% P 50%

Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026

Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.

Match result · home 35–37.5% · away 32.5–35% · 702 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Home35%36%35%-1.6
Draw31%30%32%+2.1
Away34%34%33%-0.6

In those fixtures: 2.4 goals a game · BTTS 53% · over 2.5 46%

Goals over/under 2.5 · over 40–42.5% · 2,093 fixtures

This matchBandActual±
Over 2.541%41%41%-0.4

Ben Speedie

Career
30 matches · 8 seasons
Cards / match
3.07 (2.97 yellow · 0.07 red)
Fouls / match
21.6 · 6.8 fouls per card
Penalties / match
0.03
Cards to home side
46%

Style in Championship (5-year window · 12 matches)

MetricRefereeLeaguevs peerspct
Cards / match3.04.05-1.910
Fouls / match20.121.8-1.56
Fouls per card7.35.4+2.55 (+ = lenient)
Penalties / match0.080.17-1.338
Time added8.07.2+0.9178
First card
45' on average
Card timing
14% in first 30' · 36% in last 15'
Cards to home side
33% (league 45%)

Recent matches

DateYRFoulsPens1st card+min
2026-04-03 50 160 15'11
2026-03-11 40 240 50'10
2026-02-13 10 150 83'6
2026-01-24 19 6
2026-01-09 40 210 25'15
2025-12-05 40 170 53'7
2025-09-27 20 230 75'8
2025-09-13 10 150 82'9
2025-08-30 21 161 44'4
2025-08-16 · Charlton Athletic 10 220 73'9