Rating 7.35 (100th pct) · G+A 0 + 6 (55% of team goals) · 91% of minutes
Championship · Matchweek 1
Momentum
– Bristol CityMillwall –
Match momentum Δ pressure · 0–100
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Events
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Stats
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Season context
| Bristol City | at home | Stat | league | away | Millwall |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 #19 | – | Ball possession | 50.1 | – | 45.4 #18 |
| 14.5 #10 | – | Shots total | 13.4 | – | 14.6 #9 |
| 4.6 #8 | – | Shots on target | 4.2 | – | 3.7 #17 |
| 5.2 #13 | – | Corners | 5.4 | – | 4.7 #18 |
| 11.8 #6 | – | Fouls | 11.2 | – | 12.4 #5 |
| 1.2 #23 | – | Offsides | 2.1 | – | 3.9 #1 |
| 13.0 #20 | – | Tackles | 14.8 | – | 15.1 #9 |
| 83.1 #22 | – | Attacks | 93.4 | – | 90.4 #16 |
| 37.5 #23 | – | Dangerous attacks | 46.3 | – | 43.1 #16 |
| 353.5 #17 | – | Passes | 418.2 | – | 350.6 #18 |
| 1.5 #16 | – | Yellowcards | 1.8 | – | 1.4 #17 |
| – | – | Redcards | 0.1 | – | 0.1 #1 |
| 1.0 #9 | – | Assists | 1.0 | – | 1.1 #5 |
| – #13 | – | Btts | 65.5 | – | – #19 |
| – #18 | – | Cleansheet | 21.7 | – | – #3 |
| – #22 | – | Draw | 28.6 | – | – #18 |
| 1.3 #17 | – | Expected goals | 1.5 | – | 2.0 #2 |
| 0.1 #7 | – | Expected goals difference | -0.1 | – | -0.2 #13 |
| – #13 | – | Failed to score | 21.3 | – | – #14 |
| 1.4 #12 | 0.8 | Goals | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 #5 |
| 1.5 #11 | 1.0 | Goals conceded | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.9 #2 |
| 0.1 #22 | – | Injury time goals | 0.2 | – | 0.3 #1 |
| 7.6 #17 | – | Interceptions | 8.8 | – | 8.0 #13 |
| – #12 | – | Lost | 35.6 | – | – #8 |
| – | – | Penalties scored | 0.2 | – | 0.1 #4 |
| 6.7 #19 | – | Rating | 6.8 | – | 6.8 #11 |
| 3.1 #18 | – | Shots blocked | 3.9 | – | 4.7 #4 |
| 10.4 #8 | – | Shots insidebox | 9.1 | – | 11.7 #3 |
| 6.8 #2 | – | Shots off target | 5.4 | – | 6.1 #7 |
| 4.1 #13 | – | Shots outsidebox | 4.4 | – | 2.9 #22 |
| – #6 | – | Win | 35.8 | – | – #8 |
Season averages per match; # = rank in league of 24.
League this season · 2026/2027
- Played
- 81 of 552
- Goals / match
- 2.86 (home 1.63 · away 1.23)
- Home / draw / away
- 42% · 28% · 30%
- BTTS · over 2.5
- 67% · 63%
- Cards / match
- 3.74 (reds 0.02)
Trends
Waiting for trends…
Lineups
Waiting for lineups…
Bench
Key players · top 3 by influence, ranks within the current squad
Bristol City · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 6.82 (49th pct) · G+A 2 + 1 (27% of team goals) · 77% of minutes
Rating 6.93 (71th pct) · G+A 1 + 0 (9% of team goals) · 86% of minutes
Millwall · 2026/2027 · Championship
Rating 7.02 (85th pct) · G+A 1 + 1 (15% of team goals) · 100% of minutes
Rating 7.03 (79th pct) · G+A 1 + 2 (23% of team goals) · 93% of minutes
Rating 7.15 (88th pct) · G+A 4 + 0 (31% of team goals) · 56% of minutes
Absences
Bristol City
- injury Cameron Pring #15 key player defender · Ankle Injury · 59 missed
- injury Luke McNally defender · Cruciate Ligament Injury · 77 missed
Commentary
- Waiting for commentary…
In-Play Odds
Waiting for in-play odds…
Competition
- Stage
- Regular Season
- Round
- 1
Venue
- Stadium
- Ashton Gate Stadium, Bristol
- Capacity
- 27,000
- Surface
- grass
- Attendance
- 24,168
Teams
- Coaches
- Michael Skubala · Alex Neil
- Position
- 20 · 16
- Formation
- 4-2-3-1 · 4-3-3
Referee
Lewis Smith
Weather
- Conditions
- scattered clouds
- Temperature
- 25.6° (feels 25.6°)
- Wind
- 4.1
- Humidity
- 51%
Where to watch · 4
Denmark
Viaplay Denmark
Finland
Elisa Viihde Viaplay
Norway
Viaplay Norway
Sweden
Viaplay Sweden
2026/2027
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  West Ham United |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 14 | DWWWW |
| 2 |  Swansea City |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 14 | WWDLW |
| 3 |  Middlesbrough |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 14 | WDWWD |
| 4 |  West Bromwich Albion |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 5 |  Bristol City |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 | WWLLW |
| 6 |  Queens Park Rangers |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 12 | WWLDD |
| 7 |  Charlton Athletic |
7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 12 | WDLDD |
| 8 |  Wolverhampton Wanderers |
6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 11 | WWLDW |
| 9 |  Lincoln City |
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 11 | WDDWW |
| 10 |  Southampton (-4) |
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 10 | WDDWW |
| 11 |  Birmingham City |
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10 | WDDLW |
| 12 |  Millwall |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 10 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Stoke City |
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 10 | LWWDW |
| 14 |  Norwich City |
7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 9 | WLWWL |
| 15 |  Sheffield United |
7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 9 | DWLWL |
| 16 |  Blackburn Rovers |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 8 | LDLLW |
| 17 |  Watford |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 | LLWLL |
| 18 |  Portsmouth |
6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 | WLLWD |
| 19 |  Wrexham |
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 | LWDDL |
| 20 |  Bolton Wanderers |
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 21 |  Cardiff City |
7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 | DLLDL |
| 22 |  Derby County |
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 | LWLLL |
| 23 |  Preston North End |
7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 24 |  Burnley |
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 | LDLDL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southampton |
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Middlesbrough |
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 10 | WDWWD |
| 3 | West Ham United |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 9 | DWWWW |
| 4 | Swansea City |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | WWDLW |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Charlton Athletic |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | WDLDD |
| 7 | Watford |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 7 | LLWLL |
| 8 | Millwall |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | LLWLD |
| 9 | Stoke City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 | LWWDW |
| 10 | Norwich City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 6 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Blackburn Rovers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 | LDLLW |
| 12 | Bolton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 6 | LLLLW |
| 13 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 6 | WWLLW |
| 14 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 4 | WWLDW |
| 15 | Queens Park Rangers |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | WWLDD |
| 16 | Sheffield United |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 | DWLWL |
| 17 | Birmingham City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 | WDDLW |
| 18 | Cardiff City |
3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | DLLDL |
| 19 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | WLLWD |
| 20 | Preston North End |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 | LLWLL |
| 21 | Burnley |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2 | LDLDL |
| 22 | Wrexham |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LWDDL |
| 23 | Lincoln City |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 24 | Derby County |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 1 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City |
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | WDDWW |
| 2 | Queens Park Rangers |
4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | WWLDD |
| 3 | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 7 | WWLDW |
| 4 | Birmingham City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 | WDDLW |
| 5 | Bristol City |
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 7 | WWLLW |
| 6 | Swansea City |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 6 | WWDLW |
| 7 | West Bromwich Albion |
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | LDWWD |
| 8 | West Ham United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 5 | DWWWW |
| 9 | Sheffield United |
3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | DWLWL |
| 10 | Wrexham |
4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 5 | LWDDL |
| 11 | Portsmouth |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | WLLWD |
| 12 | Middlesbrough |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | WDWWD |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic |
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 4 | WDLDD |
| 14 | Millwall |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 15 | Stoke City |
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 4 | LWWDW |
| 16 | Derby County |
3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 3 | LWLLL |
| 17 | Norwich City |
4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 3 | WLWWL |
| 18 | Blackburn Rovers |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | LDLLW |
| 19 | Southampton |
3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 | WDDWW |
| 20 | Cardiff City |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 1 | DLLDL |
| 21 | Watford |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 1 | LLWLL |
| 22 | Bolton Wanderers |
3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 | LLLLW |
| 23 | Burnley |
4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 1 | LDLDL |
| 24 | Preston North End |
3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 | LLWLL |
- Promotion
- Promotion Play-off
- Relegation
Bristol City
LDLW 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 4.8–7.45 · xPts 4.07
- W
H
Stoke City
2–0
xG 1.19–1.12
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.2–1.49
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Southampton
2–2
xG 0.8–2.73
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Norwich City
2–4
xG 1.61–2.1
UK CHAMP
LDLW 1W 1D 2L · 4 pts (1.0 ppg) · GF 7 GA 8 · xG 4.8–7.45 · xPts 4.07
- W
H
Stoke City
2–0
xG 1.19–1.12
UK CHAMP
- L
A
Birmingham City
1–2
xG 1.2–1.49
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Southampton
2–2
xG 0.8–2.73
UK CHAMP
- L
H
Norwich City
2–4
xG 1.61–2.1
UK CHAMP
Millwall
WDWDL 2W 2D 1L · 8 pts (1.6 ppg) · GF 6 GA 4 · xG 8.35–5.75 · xPts 8.46
- L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP - D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Oxford United
2–0
xG 2.78–0.92
UK CHAMP - D
A
Leicester City
1–1
xG 2.1–1.51
UK CHAMP - W
A
Stoke City
3–1
xG 1.69–0.92
UK CHAMP
WWDWDL 3W 2D 1L · 11 pts (1.83 ppg) · GF 8 GA 4 · xG 9.79–5.89 · xPts 10.85
- L
H
Hull City
0–2
xG 1.02–1.93
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Hull City
0–0
xG 0.76–0.46
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Oxford United
2–0
xG 2.78–0.92
UK CHAMP
- D
A
Leicester City
1–1
xG 2.1–1.51
UK CHAMP
- W
A
Stoke City
3–1
xG 1.69–0.92
UK CHAMP
- W
H
Queens Park Rangers
2–0
xG 1.44–0.15
UK CHAMP
All meetings · 26 matches since 2010
Goals 26–34 · 2.31 per match · BTTS 46% · over 2.5 42%
Last 10 · 10 matches
Goals 12–13 · 2.5 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Last 5 · 5 matches
Goals 7–8 · 3.0 per match · BTTS 40% · over 2.5 40%
Recent meetings
- L Bristol City 0–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Millwall 2–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 0–2 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 4–3 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 0–1 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Millwall 0–1 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- D Millwall 0–0 Bristol City UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- L Bristol City 1–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
- W Bristol City 3–2 Millwall UK CHAMP · Regular Season
| Metric | Bristol City all · 8 | Bristol City at home · 4 | Millwall all · 7 | Millwall away · 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 8 | – | 7 | – |
| Points per game | 1.63 | – | 1.43 | – |
| W / D / L | 4 / 1 / 3 | – | 3 / 1 / 3 | – |
| Goals for / match | 1.38 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Goals against / match | 1.50 | – | 1.86 | – |
| Clean sheets | 12% | – | 43% | – |
| Failed to score | 25% | – | 14% | – |
| Both teams scored | 62% | – | 43% | – |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | – | 86% | – |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.31 | – | 2.00 | – |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | – | 1.38 | – |
| xG difference | -0.15 | – | 0.62 | – |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.07 | – | -0.14 | – |
| xPts / match | 1.37 | – | 1.68 | – |
| Points vs xPts | 0.26 | – | -0.25 | – |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | – | 71% | – |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.50 | – | 2.00 | – |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.75 | – | 0.00 | – |
| Came back from behind | 25% | – | 0% | – |
| Leads held | 80% | – | 60% | – |
| Minutes leading | 26% | – | 37% | – |
| Minutes level | 51% | – | 38% | – |
| Minutes trailing | 23% | – | 25% | – |
| First goal (min) | 41 | – | 29 | – |
| First goal conceded (min) | 53 | – | 36 | – |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | – | 54% | – |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 75% | – | 69% | – |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.63 | – | 0.57 | – |
| Late goals against | 0.50 | – | 0.29 | – |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 45% | – | 46% | – |
| Shots | 14.1 | – | 14.1 | – |
| On target | 4.6 | – | 3.7 | – |
| Shot conversion | 10% | – | 13% | – |
| Shots inside box | 71% | – | 80% | – |
| Big chances created | 2.2 | – | 2.9 | – |
| Corners | 5.3 | – | 4.4 | – |
| xG from set plays | 42% | – | 24% | – |
| Goals from headers | 36% | – | 17% | – |
| Pressure index | 15.5 | – | 11.5 | – |
| Dominant minutes | 52.5 | – | 48.1 | – |
| Pass accuracy | 75% | – | 75% | – |
| Fouls | 11.5 | – | 11.1 | – |
| Cards | 1.75 | – | 1.57 | – |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'10
16–30'00
31–45'33
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'54
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'32
46–60'34
61–75'03
76–90'42
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 8 matches
Pressure above an average side in the same situations (+0.37) · stands out: as underdog +0.72
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.378
Early press (0-15, level)+0.568
Late push (76+, level)+0.213
Late chase (76+, behind)+0.134
Game state
When ahead+0.105
When level+0.478
When behind+0.514
10 min after conceding+0.087
10 min after scoring+0.496
Situations
At home+0.154
Away+0.614
3 days rest or fewer+0.423
4+ days rest+0.355
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.514
v bottom-tier opponents+0.244
As favourite+0.193
Evenly matched+0.162
As underdog+0.723
Conceded
Pressure conceded-0.148
Conceded when ahead-0.285
Conceded late (76+)-0.408
Congested vs rested +0.07 · Ahead vs level -0.37 · Behind vs level +0.04
Millwall · 7 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (-0.01) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.54
Tempo
Overall intensity-0.017
Early press (0-15, level)+0.217
Game state
When ahead+0.045
When level+0.017
When behind-0.133
10 min after conceding-0.344
10 min after scoring+0.546
Situations
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.043
Away-0.044
3 days rest or fewer-0.322
4+ days rest+0.135
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents+0.054
v bottom-tier opponents-0.073
Evenly matched+0.104
As underdog-0.112
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.257
Conceded when ahead+0.275
Conceded late (76+)-0.035
Congested vs rested -0.45 · Ahead vs level +0.03 · Behind vs level -0.14
Bristol City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 8 100% | 1.63 | 1.38 | 1.5 | 1.31 | 1.46 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-3-3 | 3 43% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 3 43% | 1.33 | 2.33 | 1.67 | 1.86 | 1.29 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 14% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 10 | Bristol City at home · 10 | Millwall all · 10 | Millwall away · 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| W / D / L | 5 / 1 / 4 | 4 / 0 / 6 | 4 / 2 / 4 | 3 / 5 / 2 |
| Goals for / match | 1.40 | 0.90 | 1.50 | 1.30 |
| Goals against / match | 1.40 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 1.40 |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% | 30% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 30% | 30% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 30% | 60% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.29 | 1.01 | 1.86 | 1.66 |
| xG against / match | 1.43 | 1.63 | 1.30 | 1.71 |
| xG difference | -0.14 | -0.62 | 0.56 | -0.06 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.11 | -0.11 | -0.36 | -0.36 |
| xPts / match | 1.35 | 1.08 | 1.66 | 1.41 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.25 | 0.12 | -0.26 | -0.01 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 50% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.60 | 2.40 | 2.17 | 1.75 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 |
| Came back from behind | 20% | 0% | 0% | 60% |
| Leads held | 83% | 80% | 67% | 60% |
| Minutes leading | 31% | 36% | 32% | 20% |
| Minutes level | 42% | 35% | 48% | 63% |
| Minutes trailing | 27% | 29% | 20% | 16% |
| First goal (min) | 41 | 21 | 30 | 42 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 47 | 44 | 42 | 46 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 64% | 33% | 53% | 62% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 64% | 62% | 73% | 64% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.70 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Late goals against | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 46% | 50% | 51% | 47% |
| Shots | 13.5 | 11.8 | 14.5 | 15.0 |
| On target | 4.4 | 3.7 | 4.1 | 3.7 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 8% | 10% | 9% |
| Shots inside box | 69% | 58% | 74% | 69% |
| Big chances created | 2.4 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 4.7 | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| xG from set plays | 46% | 33% | 26% | 28% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 33% | 14% | 8% |
| Pressure index | 13.7 | 11.0 | 14.3 | 10.5 |
| Dominant minutes | 48.9 | 46.4 | 52.8 | 44.0 |
| Pass accuracy | 76% | 79% | 77% | 74% |
| Fouls | 10.7 | 9.3 | 10.7 | 12.7 |
| Cards | 1.60 | 2.20 | 1.40 | 1.90 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'21
16–30'01
31–45'33
46–60'14
61–75'11
76–90'74
Millwall
0–15'20
16–30'12
31–45'42
46–60'44
61–75'04
76–90'43
Bristol City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 10 100% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.29 | 1.43 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 6 60% | 1.33 | 1.5 | 1.17 | 1.69 | 1.2 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 30% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 10% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| Metric | Bristol City all · 51 | Bristol City at home · 26 | Millwall all · 51 | Millwall away · 26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Results | ||||
| Matches | 51 | 26 | 51 | 26 |
| Points per game | 1.31 | 1.38 | 1.71 | 1.50 |
| W / D / L | 19 / 10 / 22 | 11 / 3 / 12 | 25 / 12 / 14 | 10 / 9 / 7 |
| Goals for / match | 1.24 | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.31 |
| Goals against / match | 1.35 | 1.31 | 1.22 | 1.42 |
| Clean sheets | 26% | 31% | 41% | 31% |
| Failed to score | 33% | 31% | 18% | 19% |
| Both teams scored | 47% | 38% | 49% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 46% | 53% | 50% |
| Expected goals | ||||
| xG for / match | 1.20 | 1.15 | 1.59 | 1.49 |
| xG against / match | 1.46 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 1.62 |
| xG difference | -0.26 | -0.29 | 0.19 | -0.13 |
| Finishing vs xG | 0.03 | 0.27 | -0.14 | -0.18 |
| xPts / match | 1.23 | 1.23 | 1.47 | 1.32 |
| Points vs xPts | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| Game state | ||||
| Scored first | 39% | 50% | 55% | 46% |
| PPG when scoring first | 2.40 | 2.38 | 2.46 | 2.25 |
| PPG when conceding first | 0.57 | 0.38 | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| Came back from behind | 27% | 20% | 36% | 42% |
| Leads held | 79% | 79% | 81% | 71% |
| Minutes leading | 28% | 35% | 29% | 21% |
| Minutes level | 43% | 36% | 52% | 57% |
| Minutes trailing | 29% | 29% | 19% | 22% |
| First goal (min) | 34 | 27 | 42 | 48 |
| First goal conceded (min) | 37 | 40 | 40 | 39 |
| Timing | ||||
| Goals scored in 2nd half | 54% | 54% | 60% | 65% |
| Goals conceded in 2nd half | 50% | 53% | 63% | 54% |
| Late goals for (76'+) | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| Late goals against | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| Style | ||||
| Possession | 49% | 51% | 47% | 45% |
| Shots | 12.4 | 12.1 | 12.8 | 12.5 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Shot conversion | 10% | 12% | 11% | 10% |
| Shots inside box | 62% | 61% | 71% | 70% |
| Big chances created | 2.0 | 1.9 | 2.4 | 2.3 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 4.7 | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| xG from set plays | 30% | 28% | 32% | 30% |
| Goals from headers | 29% | 30% | 17% | 16% |
| Pressure index | 13.5 | 15.9 | 11.8 | 9.1 |
| Dominant minutes | 45.9 | 48.9 | 44.4 | 39.3 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 79% | 71% | 70% |
| Fouls | 10.0 | 9.2 | 12.2 | 13.6 |
| Cards | 1.96 | 1.88 | 1.78 | 2.27 |
Goal timing for / against per 15 min
Bristol City
0–15'99
16–30'815
31–45'1210
46–60'109
61–75'812
76–90'1613
Millwall
0–15'87
16–30'108
31–45'128
46–60'1313
61–75'119
76–90'2017
Pressure DNA · intensity v an average side in the same situations, SD units
Bristol City · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.14) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.51
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1451
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0951
Late push (76+, level)-0.0716
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.2723
Game state
When ahead+0.1124
When level+0.2351
When behind+0.0429
10 min after conceding-0.1936
10 min after scoring+0.5133
Situations
At home+0.1126
Away+0.1825
3 days rest or fewer+0.1618
4+ days rest+0.1433
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0428
v bottom-tier opponents+0.2717
As favourite+0.3417
Evenly matched+0.0422
As underdog+0.0712
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.0551
Conceded when ahead+0.1424
Conceded late (76+)+0.0447
Congested vs rested +0.02 · Ahead vs level -0.12 · Behind vs level -0.19
Millwall · 51 matches
Pressure in line with an average side in the same situations (+0.10) · stands out: 10 min after scoring +0.43
Tempo
Overall intensity+0.1051
Early press (0-15, level)+0.0751
Late push (76+, level)-0.2618
Late chase (76+, behind)-0.4011
Game state
When ahead+0.2131
When level+0.1451
When behind-0.2222
10 min after conceding-0.1830
10 min after scoring+0.4341
Situations
With ten men-0.043
Against ten men-0.122
At home+0.1325
Away+0.0726
3 days rest or fewer+0.0817
4+ days rest+0.1134
Opposition
v mid-tier opponents-0.0226
v bottom-tier opponents+0.0919
As favourite+0.3716
Evenly matched-0.0422
As underdog-0.0313
Conceded
Pressure conceded+0.1151
Conceded when ahead-0.0331
Conceded late (76+)-0.0945
Congested vs rested -0.03 · Ahead vs level +0.07 · Behind vs level -0.36
Bristol City
Current: unbeaten 1 · wins 1 · scoring 1 · clean sheets 1
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3-4-2-1 | 22 43% | 1.32 | 1.32 | 1.5 | 1.16 | 1.39 |
| 4-2-3-1 | 16 31% | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.44 | 1.14 | 1.48 |
| 3-5-2 | 5 10% | 0.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| 3-4-1-2 | 4 8% | 1.0 | 0.75 | 1.5 | 1.48 | 1.44 |
| 4-2-2-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.96 | 2.9 |
Millwall
Current: unbeaten 1 · winless 2 · scoring 3 · conceding 2
| Formation | Use | PPG | GF | GA | xG | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-2-3-1 | 42 82% | 1.74 | 1.48 | 1.17 | 1.58 | 1.31 |
| 4-3-3 | 3 6% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.67 | 2.72 | 1.57 |
| 4-4-1-1 | 2 4% | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.25 | 2.23 |
| 3-1-4-2 | 1 2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.24 | 1.06 |
| 4-4-2 | 1 2% | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.64 | 0.88 |
Windows with fewer than 5 matches show no figures.
Pre-match movement · ends at kick-off
Every snapshot up to kick-off only — in-play prices are in Match Hub. Movement is in fair-probability points since the first snapshot (overround removed): ▲ shortened, ▼ drifted.
No pre-match movement recorded for this fixture.
Latest prices
bet365 · pre-match line -0.3h before kick-off · recorded after kick-off. Fair % removes the overround; P = Pinnacle fair %.
Fulltime Result
2.45Home 39% P 38%3.4Draw 28% P 28%2.8Away 34% P 34%
Double Chance
1.4Bristol City or Draw 33%1.3Bristol City or Millwall 36%1.5Draw or Millwall 31%
Draw No Bet
1.81 51%1.92 49%
Both Teams To Score
1.66Yes 56%2.1No 44%
Goals Over/Under
2.51.9Over 50% P 49%1.9Under 50% P 51%
Total Corners
15.0Under 6 6%4.06 - 8 22%2.629 - 11 34%3.512 - 14 25%6.5Over 14 14%
Number of Cards
3.51.8Over 51% P 52%1.9Under 49% P 48%
Fixtures priced like this · Pinnacle closing price · 2017–2026
Every past fixture whose Pinnacle fair price fell in the same band as this one, and how it finished at 90 minutes. Band = mean price in the band; ± = actual minus price, in probability points.
Match result · home 37.5–40% · away 32.5–35% · 572 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 38% | 39% | 39% | +0.4 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 28% | +0.1 |
| Away | 34% | 34% | 33% | -0.5 |
In those fixtures: 2.6 goals a game · BTTS 56% · over 2.5 46%
Goals over/under 2.5 · over 47.5–50% · 3,307 fixtures
| This match | Band | Actual | ± | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 49% | 50% | +1.3 |
Lewis Smith
- Career
- 75 matches · 7 seasons
- Cards / match
- 3.67 (3.57 yellow · 0.05 red)
- Fouls / match
- 20.8 · 5.5 fouls per card
- Penalties / match
- 0.21
- Cards to home side
- 45%
Style in Championship (5-year window · 51 matches)
| Metric | Referee | League | vs peers | pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cards / match | 3.9 | 4.05 | -0.28 | 39 |
| Fouls / match | 20.8 | 21.8 | -0.98 | |
| Fouls per card | 5.6 | 5.4 | +0.11 (+ = lenient) | |
| Penalties / match | 0.16 | 0.17 | -0.28 | 43 |
| Time added | 8.2 | 7.2 | +1.13 | 88 |
- First card
- 34' on average
- Card timing
- 17% in first 30' · 31% in last 15'
- Cards to home side
- 45% (league 45%)
Recent matches
| Date | Y | R | Fouls | Pens | 1st card | +min |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 5 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 12' | 10 |
| 2026-04-17 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 7' | 8 |
| 2026-04-10 · Millwall | 3 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 56' | 9 |
| 2026-04-06 · Bristol City | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 4' | 9 |
| 2026-03-18 | 8 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 27' | 9 |
| 2026-03-11 | – | – | 18 | – | – | 4 |
| 2026-03-03 | 6 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 36' | 14 |
| 2026-02-27 · Bristol City | 5 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 26' | 10 |
| 2026-02-21 | 6 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 30' | 6 |
| 2026-02-14 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 101' | 8 |